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Zevra Therapeutics, Inc. (ZVRA)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Boston, United States | NasdaqGS
13.18 USD -0.17 (-1.273%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 13.24 +0.06 (0.480%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:04 a.m. EDT

The investment thesis here is a classic turnaround play on a biotech firm that has finally proven its commercial viability. While the stock has suffered a brutal multi-year decline, dropping roughly 81% from its peak, the fundamentals have flipped entirely in the last two years. Revenue exploded by 77.5%, and the company is now generating significant free cash flow with healthy margins. This shift from a cash-burn story to a profitable one is the primary catalyst for the long-term rating of 4.5 stars; the business quality is now exceptional relative to its depressed valuation, trading at a low P/E despite the recent surge. However, the short-term outlook remains cautious due to the heavy options positioning. The sheer volume of put buying at strikes like $5 and $8 suggests the market is still bracing for a sharp correction or is using these strikes as a hard floor. This creates a tension: the fundamentals scream 'buy,' but the speculative crowd is betting on a pullback. The statistical forecast model offers almost no guidance, reflecting the noise inherent in such volatile, small-cap biotech moves. For a patient investor, the current price represents a compelling entry point given the proven growth and cash generation, but the immediate path may be choppy as the market digests the recent rally.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.134572
MSTL0.135230
AutoARIMA0.138782
AutoETS0.138786

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 29.47
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.187
Excess Kurtosis -1.33
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.557
Revenue per Share 2.169
Market Cap 779,136,832
Trailing P/E 6.56
Forward P/E 11.03
Beta 0.85
Profit Margins 101.58%
Previous Name KemPharm, Inc.
Website https://www.zevra.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:04 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 5.0 and 8.0) expiring late in 2026 and 2027, which dwarfs call volume at those strikes. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, suggesting a belief in a modest rebound or consolidation rather than a massive breakout. The skew indicates a 'bear put' strategy where traders are hedging against a potential drop while maintaining a neutral-to-slightly-bullish bias for a recovery.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.04378426
Address1 101 Federal Street
Address2 Suite 103
All Time High 418.4
All Time Low 1.936
Ask 16.69
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 8
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,785,080
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,683,665
Average Volume 1,683,665
Average Volume10Days 1,785,080
Beta 0.852
Bid 9.46
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 7
Book Value 3.481
City Boston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 13.18
Current Ratio 4.89
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 13.29
Day Low 13.01
Debt To Equity 0.557
Display Name Zevra Therapeutics
Dividend Date 1,609,113,600
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,099,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,099,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,097,600
Ebitda 12,734,000
Ebitda Margins 0.10413
Enterprise To Ebitda 45.521
Enterprise To Revenue 4.74
Enterprise Value 579,667,776
Eps Current Year 1.22333
Eps Forward 1.195
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.01
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 11.96
Fifty Day Average Change 1.2200003
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.10200671
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 4.378426
Fifty Two Week High 15.035
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.8549995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.12337875
Fifty Two Week Low 7.16
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.0200005
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.8407822
Fifty Two Week Range 7.16 - 15.035
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,429,191,000,000
Float Shares 54,926,189
Forward Eps 1.195
Forward P E 11.029288
Free Cashflow 25,852,250
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 61
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.86070997
Gross Profits 105,255,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01282
Held Percent Institutions 0.725
Implied Shares Outstanding 59,115,084
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,609,113,600
Last Split Factor 1:16
Long Business Summary Zevra Therapeutics, Inc., a commercial-stage company, focuses on addressing unmet needs for the treatment of rare diseases in the United States. The company develops its products through Ligand Activated Technology platform. Its lead product candidate is KP1077, consisting of KP1077IH, which is under Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of idiopathic hypersomnia, and KP1077N, which is under Phase 3 clinical trial to treat narcolepsy. The company is developing Celiprolol, an investigational product candidate that is under Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of vascular Ehlers Danlos syndrome. In addition, it offers AZSTARYS, a once-daily treatment for attention deficit and hyperactivity disorder in patients aged six years and older; OLPRUVA to treat urea cycle disorders; and MIPLYFFA for the treatment of niemann-pick disease type C, an ultra-rare neurodegenerative disease. The company has collaboration and license agreement with Commave Therapeutics SA to develop, manufacture and commercialize the company's product candidates containing SDX and d-methylphenidate; and license agreement with Acer and Relief Therapeutics, Inc. to develop and commercialize rights for OLPRUVA. The company was formerly known as KemPharm, Inc. and changed its name to Zevra Therapeutics, Inc. in February 2023. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
Long Name Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 779,136,832
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_65059726
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 117,001,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 788,299,645
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 13.2
Operating Cashflow 12,766,000
Operating Margins 0.24384001
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 10.67
Phone 888 958 1253
Post Market Change 0.0632
Post Market Change Percent 0.4795144
Post Market Price 13.2432
Post Market Time 1,783,987,195
Prev Name KemPharm, Inc.
Previous Close 13.35
Price Eps Current Year 10.773871
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.7862685
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.371275
Profit Margins 1.0157701
Quick Ratio 4.736
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.17
Regular Market Change Percent -1.27341
Regular Market Day High 13.29
Regular Market Day Low 13.01
Regular Market Day Range 13.01 - 13.29
Regular Market Open 13.2
Regular Market Previous Close 13.35
Regular Market Price 13.18
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 843,504
Return On Assets 0.027590001
Return On Equity 1.00652
Revenue Growth 0.775
Revenue Per Share 2.169
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 59,115,084
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.109799996
Shares Short 6,490,132
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 5,964,448
Short Name Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.111099996
Short Ratio 3.32
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol ZVRA
Target High Price 35.0
Target Low Price 21.0
Target Mean Price 27.88889
Target Median Price 27.0
Total Cash 200,616,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.394
Total Debt 1,147,000
Total Revenue 122,289,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 2.01
Trailing P E 6.5572143
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 9.98985
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.1901503
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.31933916
Type Disp Equity
Volume 843,504
Website https://www.zevra.com
Zip 2,110