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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO)

Industrials | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Shanghai, China | NYSE
21.19 USD -0.13 (-0.610%) ⇩ (Aug. 27, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 21.03 -0.16 (-0.160%) ⇩ (Aug. 27, 2026, 7:37 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:08 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains solid despite a recent multi-year price correction. Fundamentals are robust: the company boasts a fortress balance sheet with massive cash reserves, healthy free cash flow, and a 23% revenue growth rate that justifies its valuation. The recent price decline has compressed the multiple significantly, trading at less than 0.3x sales and under 12x earnings, which represents a compelling entry point for a dominant player in the logistics sector. However, the short-term chart is bearish, having failed to recover from the 2025 lows, and the options market reflects this anxiety with significant put writing. While the statistical forecast suggests a negligible drift upward, the disconnect between the strong underlying business and the depressed share price creates a classic value setup, provided investors can stomach the volatility while waiting for the market to re-rate the asset.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.050811
AutoETS0.051511
AutoARIMA0.052163
MSTL0.052607

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 3.01
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.144
Excess Kurtosis -0.72
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-04-07
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-07
Debt to Equity Ratio 34.579
Revenue per Share 69.199
Market Cap 16,103,431,168
Trailing P/E 11.09
Forward P/E 9.45
Beta -0.22
Profit Margins 19.04%
Website https://www.zto.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:08 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at strikes below the current price (17-21 range) across multiple expirations, suggesting a fear of further downside. Conversely, call interest is concentrated at out-of-the-money strikes (23-25), indicating a speculative hope for a rebound to test previous highs, though the overall positioning leans towards hedging existing long positions rather than aggressive new buying.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.59% 1.59% 2.73% 2.10%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-04-08 0.39 1.587948
2025-04-10 0.35 1.981880
2024-09-10 0.35 1.606979
2024-04-09 0.62 3.027344
2023-04-05 0.37 1.308808
2022-04-07 0.25 0.983478
2021-04-07 0.25 0.878426
2020-04-07 0.30 1.092101
2019-03-29 0.24 1.312910
2018-03-22 0.20 1.335114
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.69
dividendYield 3.24
exDividendDate 2026-04-08
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.677
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.12556286
lastDividendValue 0.39
lastDividendDate 2026-04-08
dividendDate 2026-04-29

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.15618217
Address1 Building One
Address2 No. 1685 Huazhi Road Huaxin Town Qingpu District
All Time High 38.99
All Time Low 11.14
Ask 21.44
Ask Size 600
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,892,770
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,647,771
Average Volume 1,647,771
Average Volume10Days 1,892,770
Beta -0.22
Bid 21.22
Bid Size 1,000
Book Value 12.456578
City Shanghai
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 21.19
Current Ratio 1.672
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 21.27
Day Low 21.035
Debt To Equity 34.579
Display Name ZTO Express (Cayman)
Dividend Date 1,777,420,800
Dividend Rate 0.69
Dividend Yield 3.24
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,083,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,083,200
Earnings Growth 0.581
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.574
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,083,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,795,032,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,795,032,000
Ebitda 14,943,898,624
Ebitda Margins 0.27568
Enterprise To Ebitda 0.464
Enterprise To Revenue 0.128
Enterprise Value 6,932,272,640
Eps Current Year 13.49122
Eps Forward 2.2425268
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.91
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,775,606,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 23.1016
Fifty Day Average Change -1.9116001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.08274752
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 15.618217
Fifty Two Week High 26.2
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.01
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.19122137
Fifty Two Week Low 17.74
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.4500008
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.1944758
Fifty Two Week Range 17.74 - 26.2
Financial Currency CNY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,477,575,000,000
Float Shares 371,751,739
Forward Eps 2.2425268
Forward P E 9.4491625
Free Cashflow 6,433,000,960
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 23,888
Fullday Change -0.129999
Fullday Change Percent -0.609752
Fullday Price 21.03
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.25100002
Gross Profits 13,606,297,600
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.030050002
Held Percent Institutions 0.11881
Implied Shares Outstanding 759,954,209
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Disp Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Key integrated-freight-logistics
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,775,606,400
Last Dividend Value 0.39
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It also offers less-than-truckload (LTL) logistics services; integrated logistics solutions for warehousing, distribution, and transportation; and freight forwarding services. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Long Name ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 16,103,431,168
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_403424124
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 10,318,296,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 15,880,572,075
Number Of Analyst Opinions 18
Open 21.2
Operating Cashflow 14,789,850,112
Operating Margins 0.22185
Payout Ratio 0.3747
Peg Ratio 1.22
Phone 86 21 5980 4508
Post Market Change -0.15999985
Post Market Change Percent -0.7550724
Post Market Price 21.03
Post Market Time 1,787,873,862
Previous Close 21.32
Price Eps Current Year 1.5706512
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.7011093
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.29706934
Profit Margins 0.19035
Quick Ratio 1.38
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.129999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.609752
Regular Market Day High 21.27
Regular Market Day Low 21.035
Regular Market Day Range 21.035 - 21.27
Regular Market Open 21.2
Regular Market Previous Close 21.32
Regular Market Price 21.19
Regular Market Time 1,787,860,802
Regular Market Volume 1,459,293
Return On Assets 0.07378
Return On Equity 0.16277
Revenue Growth 0.23
Revenue Per Share 69.199
Sand P52 Week Change 0.18053913
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Shares Outstanding 553,854,209
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0162
Shares Short 12,341,674
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 14,644,974
Short Name ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.024400001
Short Ratio 6.89
Source Interval 15
Symbol ZTO
Target High Price 34.57963
Target Low Price 23.036
Target Mean Price 28.563019
Target Median Price 28.99043
Total Cash 31,307,786,240
Total Cash Per Share 41.177
Total Debt 22,039,842,816
Total Revenue 54,207,651,840
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.677
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.12556286
Trailing Eps 1.91
Trailing P E 11.094241
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.2194
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 22.97445
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.7844486
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.07767101
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,459,293
Website https://www.zto.com
Zip 201,708