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Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN)

Consumer Cyclical | Apparel Manufacturing | Milan, Italy | NYSE
13.35 USD +0.56 (4.378%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 13.40 +0.05 (0.375%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 5:51 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:06 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Ermenegildo Zegna hinges on a classic turnaround narrative where improving operational momentum clashes with a stubborn valuation gap. Fundamentally, the business is showing signs of life: revenue grew 6.4% annually, and the company successfully navigated a severe 33.69% drop in 2024 to end 2025 on a flat note, avoiding a third consecutive year of decline. This stabilization, combined with a healthy payout ratio of 40%, suggests the worst of the structural deterioration may be behind them. However, the market remains skeptical, pricing in a forward P/E of 21x despite modest earnings growth, which leaves little room for error if the recovery stalls. The short-term outlook is neutral; while the price has stabilized near the 200-day average, the statistical forecast offers no directional edge, and the stock is trading below its 50-day moving average, capping immediate upside. The dividend yield of 1.12% is adequate but not compelling enough to offset the lack of explosive growth. Investors should view this as a speculative hold on a brand with strong heritage waiting for full consumer demand recovery, rather than a definitive buy-and-hold compounder at these valuations.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.090435
AutoARIMA0.090437
MSTL0.091229
AutoTheta0.101949

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 17.99
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.259
Excess Kurtosis -1.18
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-05
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-05
Debt to Equity Ratio 105.448
Revenue per Share 7.394
Market Cap 3,589,673,216
Trailing P/E 38.14
Forward P/E 22.39
Beta 0.91
Profit Margins 3.98%
Previous Name Ermenegildo Zegna Holditalia S.p.A.
Website https://www.zegnagroup.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by heavy out-of-the-money call open interest at the $15 strike compared to minimal put activity. Conversely, the put side shows concentrated interest far below the current price ($2.50), suggesting a hedge against a crash rather than a bearish bet on the immediate future. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term calls, indicating anticipation of a rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.02% 1.02% 1.24% —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-06 0.137 1.016321
2025-07-07 0.141 1.568409
2024-07-05 0.130 1.144366
2023-07-05 0.109 0.881164
2022-07-05 0.094 0.802048
Additional Data
dividendYield 1.06
exDividendDate 2026-07-06
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.12
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.00938233
lastDividendValue 0.137
lastDividendDate 2026-07-06
dividendDate 2026-07-29

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.27900004
Address1 via Savona 56A
All Time High 16.36
All Time Low 6.05
Ask 13.51
Ask Size 300
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 939,600
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,088,532
Average Volume 1,088,532
Average Volume10Days 939,600
Beta 0.907
Bid 12.56
Bid Size 600
Book Value 4.320073
City Milan
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Italy
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 13.35
Current Ratio 1.468
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 13.39
Day Low 12.67
Debt To Equity 105.448
Display Name Ermenegildo Zegna
Dividend Date 1,785,283,200
Dividend Yield 1.06
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,788,436,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,788,436,800
Earnings Growth -0.492
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.462
Earnings Timestamp 1,788,438,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,788,438,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,788,438,600
Ebitda 159,895,008
Ebitda Margins 0.0809
Enterprise To Ebitda 28.391
Enterprise To Revenue 2.297
Enterprise Value 4,539,530,240
Eps Current Year 0.3938
Eps Forward 0.5963134
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.35
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,783,296,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.9918
Fifty Day Average Change 0.35820007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.027571242
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 27.900005
Fifty Two Week High 15.95
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.5999994
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.16300938
Fifty Two Week Low 8.65
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.700001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5433527
Fifty Two Week Range 8.65 - 15.95
Financial Currency EUR
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,640,010,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.03
Float Shares 53,167,499
Forward Eps 0.5963134
Forward P E 22.387556
Free Cashflow 285,307,136
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 7,600
Fullday Change 0.60999966
Fullday Change Percent 4.7693486
Fullday Price 13.4
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.67584
Gross Profits 1,335,820,032
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.70255
Held Percent Institutions 0.29009
Implied Shares Outstanding 268,889,388
Industry Apparel Manufacturing
Industry Disp Apparel Manufacturing
Industry Key apparel-manufacturing
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,783,296,000
Last Dividend Value 0.137
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Ermenegildo Zegna N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, produces, markets, and distributes luxury menswear and womenwear, children's clothing, footwear, leather goods, and other accessories worldwide. It offers luxury leisurewear, such as knitwear, jeans, jersey and shirts, fabric and leather outerwear, and accessories; formalwear, including formal suits to tuxedos, shirts, blazers, formal coats, and accessories; and leather accessories comprising sneakers and other shoes, bags, belts and small leather accessories. The company is also manufacturing and distributing eyewear, cufflinks and jewelry, beachwear, underwear, and fragrances. In addition, it offers fine jewelry, childrenswear, textile, and home design products. The company sells its products under the ZEGNA, Thom Browne, and TOM FORD FASHION brands. It serves its products through retail stores and online channels. The company was founded in 1910 and is based in Milan, Italy. Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. operates as a subsidiary of Monterubello Societa' Semplice.
Long Name Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,589,673,216
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_30639546
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-10-15
Net Income To Common 78,661,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,344,983,986
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 12.67
Operating Cashflow 387,672,000
Operating Margins 0.07169
Payout Ratio 0.4
Phone 39 02 422091
Post Market Change 0.049999237
Post Market Change Percent 0.3745261
Post Market Price 13.4
Post Market Time 1,792,101,116
Prev Name Ermenegildo Zegna Holditalia S.p.A.
Previous Close 12.79
Price Eps Current Year 33.90046
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.0902255
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.8161335
Profit Margins 0.0398
Quick Ratio 0.639
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.84615
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.56
Regular Market Change Percent 4.37842
Regular Market Day High 13.39
Regular Market Day Low 12.67
Regular Market Day Range 12.67 - 13.39
Regular Market Open 12.67
Regular Market Previous Close 12.79
Regular Market Price 13.35
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,402
Regular Market Volume 975,329
Return On Assets 0.035669997
Return On Equity 0.08725
Revenue Growth 0.064
Revenue Per Share 7.394
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16440773
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 268,889,388
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.028499998
Shares Short 7,668,273
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 6,061,100
Short Name Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0991
Short Ratio 5.96
Source Interval 15
State MI
Symbol ZGN
Target High Price 16.00942
Target Low Price 11.271871
Target Mean Price 14.503309
Target Median Price 15.060566
Total Cash 294,812,992
Total Cash Per Share 1.096
Total Debt 1,171,432,960
Total Revenue 1,976,546,944
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.12
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.00938233
Trailing Eps 0.35
Trailing P E 38.14286
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.2356
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.1143999
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.09107848
Type Disp Equity
Volume 975,329
Website https://www.zegnagroup.com
Zip 20,144