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Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN)

Consumer Cyclical | Apparel Manufacturing | Milan, Italy | NYSE
13.16 USD -0.28 (-2.083%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 13.16

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:59 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Ermenegildo Zegna is currently weighed down by a deteriorating multi-year price trajectory. While the business shows signs of stabilization with a slight revenue uptick and improved profitability margins, the stock has suffered two consecutive years of significant declines, erasing nearly 15% of its value over the last three years. This persistent underperformance has triggered a defensive response from options traders, who are accumulating downside protection at deep discounts, signaling skepticism about an immediate recovery. Although the dividend yield is modest and sustainable, it does not compensate for the capital destruction seen in the trailing run. The valuation appears stretched relative to the recent performance, with a forward P/E that implies expectations the company has yet to meet. Until the price trend turns decisively positive, the risk of further downside outweighs the potential for a quick bounce.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_82_114 ✓0.085399
MSTL_1140.110801
MSTL_820.114805
MSTL0.127359
AutoETS0.137847
AutoARIMA0.137914
AutoTheta0.139544

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_82_114

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 4.58
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.102
Excess Kurtosis -1.18
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-05
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-05
Debt to Equity Ratio 89.38
Revenue per Share 7.384
Market Cap 3,530,986,496
Trailing P/E 30.60
Forward P/E 21.66
Beta 0.90
Profit Margins 5.14%
Previous Name Ermenegildo Zegna Holditalia S.p.A.
Website https://www.zegnagroup.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:59 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest at strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., $10.00 and $12.50), while call activity remains sparse and concentrated near the money. This imbalance suggests a market expectation of further downside or a lack of conviction in a near-term rebound, despite the stock trading above its 200-day average.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.02% 1.02% 1.24%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-06 0.137 1.016321
2025-07-07 0.141 1.568409
2024-07-05 0.130 1.144366
2023-07-05 0.109 0.881164
2022-07-05 0.094 0.802048
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.14
dividendYield 1.02
exDividendDate 2026-07-06
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.12
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.008928572
lastDividendValue 0.137
lastDividendDate 2026-07-06
dividendDate 2026-07-29

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.5272727
Address1 via Savona 56A
All Time High 16.36
All Time Low 6.05
Ask 14.0
Ask Size 100
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,510,920
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,123,798
Average Volume 1,123,798
Average Volume10Days 1,510,920
Beta 0.895
Bid 13.2
Bid Size 400
Book Value 4.394807
City Milan
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Italy
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 13.16
Current Ratio 1.586
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 13.57
Day Low 13.04
Debt To Equity 89.38
Display Name Ermenegildo Zegna
Dividend Date 1,785,283,200
Dividend Rate 0.14
Dividend Yield 1.02
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,774,008,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,774,008,000
Earnings Growth 0.045
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.067
Earnings Timestamp End 1,774,009,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,774,009,800
Ebitda 244,948,000
Ebitda Margins 0.12778
Enterprise To Ebitda 17.802
Enterprise To Revenue 2.275
Enterprise Value 4,360,672,768
Eps Current Year 0.41347
Eps Forward 0.6076682
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.43
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,783,296,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.4868
Fifty Day Average Change -0.32680035
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.024231125
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 52.727272
Fifty Two Week High 15.44
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.2799997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.14766838
Fifty Two Week Low 7.605
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.555
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.7304405
Fifty Two Week Range 7.605 - 15.44
Financial Currency EUR
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,640,010,600,000
Float Shares 45,529,872
Forward Eps 0.6076682
Forward P E 21.656555
Free Cashflow 246,619,632
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 7,243
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.67504996
Gross Profits 1,294,036,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.73038
Held Percent Institutions 0.25311002
Implied Shares Outstanding 268,312,050
Industry Apparel Manufacturing
Industry Disp Apparel Manufacturing
Industry Key apparel-manufacturing
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,783,296,000
Last Dividend Value 0.137
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Ermenegildo Zegna N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, produces, markets, and distributes luxury menswear and womenwear, children's clothing, footwear, leather goods, and other accessories worldwide. It offers luxury leisurewear, such as knitwear, jeans, jersey and shirts, fabric and leather outerwear, and accessories; formalwear, including formal suits to tuxedos, shirts, blazers, formal coats, and accessories; and leather accessories comprising sneakers and other shoes, bags, belts and small leather accessories. The company is also manufacturing and distributing eyewear, cufflinks and jewelry, beachwear, underwear, and fragrances. In addition, it offers fine jewelry, childrenswear, textile, and home design products. The company sells its products under the ZEGNA, Thom Browne, and TOM FORD FASHION brands. It serves its products through retail stores and online channels. The company was founded in 1910 and is based in Milan, Italy. Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. operates as a subsidiary of Monterubello Societa' Semplice.
Long Name Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,530,986,496
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_30639546
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 98,582,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,606,113,952
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 13.43
Operating Cashflow 335,559,008
Operating Margins 0.09531
Payout Ratio 0.3158
Phone 39 02 422091
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 13.16
Post Market Time 1,783,981,119
Prev Name Ermenegildo Zegna Holditalia S.p.A.
Previous Close 13.44
Price Eps Current Year 31.828186
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.9944432
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.8419845
Profit Margins 0.05143
Quick Ratio 0.741
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.83333
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.28
Regular Market Change Percent -2.08333
Regular Market Day High 13.57
Regular Market Day Low 13.04
Regular Market Day Range 13.04 - 13.57
Regular Market Open 13.43
Regular Market Previous Close 13.44
Regular Market Price 13.16
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 851,414
Return On Assets 0.03593
Return On Equity 0.105179995
Revenue Growth 0.003
Revenue Per Share 7.384
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 268,312,050
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0167
Shares Short 4,494,084
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,958,127
Short Name Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0585
Short Ratio 2.8
Source Interval 15
State MI
Symbol ZGN
Target High Price 15.341685
Target Low Price 10.915717
Target Mean Price 13.666286
Target Median Price 13.852506
Total Cash 295,864,992
Total Cash Per Share 1.103
Total Debt 982,353,984
Total Revenue 1,916,946,944
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.12
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.008928572
Trailing Eps 0.43
Trailing P E 30.60465
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 11.16415
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.9958496
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.17877309
Type Disp Equity
Volume 851,414
Website https://www.zegnagroup.com
Zip 20,144