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Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Shanghai, China | NYSE
45.02 USD +0.11 (0.245%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 45.02

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:56 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is compelling, driven by a robust recovery in 2025 that erased previous declines and established a solid multi-year upward trend. Fundamentals are healthy with double-digit revenue growth, expanding margins, and a fortress-like balance sheet supported by massive free cash flow. The board is actively considering a quarterly dividend, which would cement its status as a high-quality compounder. While the short-term outlook is neutral due to lingering macro headwinds and a lack of immediate explosive catalysts, the combination of a recovering price trajectory and improving operational metrics makes this a solid core holding for patient capital.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.035349
AutoETS0.037040
AutoARIMA0.037040
MSTL0.037131

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 5.41
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.223
Excess Kurtosis -0.26
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-26
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-26
Debt to Equity Ratio 37.981
Revenue per Share 34.84
Market Cap 15,346,666,496
Trailing P/E 16.43
Forward P/E 13.33
Beta 0.08
Profit Margins 7.84%
Website https://www.yumchina.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:56 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a modest upside move with heavy call volume at the $52.50 strike, suggesting a target near the 50-day average. However, put writing is dominant across all expirations, particularly deep in-the-money strikes, indicating a strong 'insurance' strategy against downside volatility rather than aggressive hedging. Implied volatility is elevated on deep OTM puts, reflecting fear of a sharp drop, while call IV remains relatively low, implying the market expects a slow grind higher rather than a sudden spike.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.65% 1.86% 1.62% 1.35%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-27 0.29 0.645736
2026-05-27 0.29 0.658193
2026-03-04 0.29 0.554175
2025-05-28 0.24 0.551978
2025-03-06 0.24 0.486815
2024-11-26 0.16 0.351803
2024-08-27 0.16 0.477755
2024-05-24 0.16 0.447678
2024-03-04 0.16 0.382318
2023-11-27 0.13 0.292398
2023-08-25 0.13 0.245052
2023-05-26 0.13 0.226126
2023-03-06 0.13 0.211968
2022-11-28 0.12 0.231750
2022-08-24 0.12 0.249532
2022-05-27 0.12 0.277585
2022-03-07 0.12 0.256849
2021-11-23 0.12 0.226415
2021-08-24 0.12 0.196689
2021-05-24 0.12 0.184219
2021-03-02 0.12 0.202327
2020-11-24 0.12 0.198774
2020-03-03 0.12 0.268037
2019-11-25 0.12 0.275545
2019-08-26 0.12 0.283554
2019-05-24 0.12 0.311769
2019-02-27 0.12 0.288878
2018-11-26 0.12 0.342173
2018-08-28 0.10 0.269034
2018-05-29 0.10 0.259740
2018-02-27 0.10 0.230044
2017-11-29 0.10 0.243843
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.16
dividendYield 2.58
exDividendDate 2026-08-27
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.06
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.02360276
lastDividendValue 0.29
lastDividendDate 2026-08-27
dividendDate 2026-09-17

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.028865933
Address1 Yum China Building
Address2 No. 20, Tianyaoqiao Road
All Time High 69.67
All Time Low 23.79
Ask 45.4
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,582,850
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,696,262
Average Volume 1,696,262
Average Volume10Days 1,582,850
Beta 0.084
Bid 45.1
Bid Size 400
Board Risk 1
Book Value 15.195
City Shanghai
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 45.02
Current Ratio 0.965
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 45.5069
Day Low 44.77
Debt To Equity 37.981
Display Name Yum China
Dividend Date 1,789,603,200
Dividend Rate 1.16
Dividend Yield 2.58
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,409,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,409,200
Earnings Growth 0.214
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.135
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,795,400
Ebitda 1,879,000,064
Ebitda Margins 0.15107
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.055
Enterprise To Revenue 1.368
Enterprise Value 17,013,465,088
Eps Current Year 2.95204
Eps Forward 3.3776
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.74
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,787,788,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 86 21 2407 8888
Fifty Day Average 44.8314
Fifty Day Average Change 0.18859863
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0042068423
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 2.8865933
Fifty Two Week High 58.39
Fifty Two Week High Change -13.369999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.22897755
Fifty Two Week Low 40.15
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.869999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.12129511
Fifty Two Week Range 40.15 - 58.39
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,476,711,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.36
Float Shares 340,951,320
Forward Eps 3.3776
Forward P E 13.328991
Free Cashflow 859,875,008
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 130,000
Fullday Change 0.110001
Fullday Change Percent 0.244936
Fullday Price 45.02
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.20333
Gross Profits 2,528,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00417
Held Percent Institutions 0.74551004
Implied Shares Outstanding 340,885,525
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,787,788,800
Last Dividend Value 0.29
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Yum China Holdings, Inc. owns, operates, and franchises restaurants in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through two KFC, Pizza Hut, and All Other segments. It operates restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang concepts. The company also offers online food delivery services. Yum China Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Long Name Yum China Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 15,346,666,496
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_318807568
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 975,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 15,309,168,927
Number Of Analyst Opinions 21
Open 45.29
Operating Cashflow 1,578,000,000
Operating Margins 0.11472
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.38830003
Peg Ratio 1.22
Phone 86 21 2407 7777
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 45.02
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 44.91
Price Eps Current Year 15.250471
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.9628167
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.2338532
Profit Margins 0.07839
Quick Ratio 0.659
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.36364
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.110001
Regular Market Change Percent 0.244936
Regular Market Day High 45.5069
Regular Market Day Low 44.77
Regular Market Day Range 44.77 - 45.5069
Regular Market Open 45.29
Regular Market Previous Close 44.91
Regular Market Price 45.02
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 1,139,252
Return On Assets 0.080819994
Return On Equity 0.16808
Revenue Growth 0.126
Revenue Per Share 34.84
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 340,885,525
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0167
Shares Short 5,689,931
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 4,837,863
Short Name Yum China Holdings, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0167
Short Ratio 3.55
Source Interval 15
Symbol YUMC
Target High Price 77.0
Target Low Price 52.0
Target Mean Price 62.05238
Target Median Price 61.0
Total Cash 1,410,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 4.117
Total Debt 2,302,000,128
Total Revenue 12,437,999,616
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.06
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.02360276
Trailing Eps 2.74
Trailing P E 16.430656
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.1243
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 47.8778
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.8577995
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.05968945
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,139,252
Website https://www.yumchina.com
Zip 200,030