Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC)Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Shanghai, China | NYSE
44.67 USD
+1.47
(3.403%)
⇧
(Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:45 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is a classic value trap waiting for a catalyst. Fundamentally, the business is robust with double-digit revenue growth, healthy margins, and a fortress-like balance sheet, yet the stock has been punished by the market for two consecutive years, trading at a discount despite strong earnings. The price action confirms this disconnect; despite a positive long-term trajectory, the recent annual performance has dragged the share price down, leaving it significantly below its 200-day average. The dividend is a nice feature, offering nearly 3% yield with a sustainable payout ratio, but it is not enough to offset the capital appreciation drag seen recently. On the short end, the technicals are weak, with the stock failing to reclaim key moving averages and showing low beta, which limits explosive upside potential in the immediate term. However, the gap between the current price and the analyst consensus target of roughly $62 represents a massive margin of safety. The market appears to be pricing in macro headwinds that may be temporary. For a patient investor willing to wait for the macro environment to normalize, the valuation is compelling, but for a trader looking for immediate momentum, the setup lacks the necessary spark. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.067926 |
| AutoETS | 0.067953 |
| MSTL | 0.068197 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.070161 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 43% |
| H-stat | 16.59 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.090 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.60 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-08-26 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-08-26 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 37.981 |
| Revenue per Share | 34.84 |
| Market Cap | 15,071,193,088 |
| Trailing P/E | 16.36 |
| Forward P/E | 13.23 |
| Beta | 0.06 |
| Profit Margins | 7.84% |
| Website | https://www.yumchina.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:45 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume relative to calls, particularly in the near term, creating a 'put wall' around the $37.50-$40.00 strikes. While there is some call interest at $50 and $52.50 for later expirations, the overwhelming open interest concentration in OTM puts suggests a fear of further downside rather than a bullish breakout. Implied volatility remains elevated on the downside strikes, indicating hedging demand.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.65% | 1.86% | 1.62% | 1.35% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | 0.29 | 0.645736 |
| 2026-05-27 | 0.29 | 0.658193 |
| 2026-03-04 | 0.29 | 0.554175 |
| 2025-05-28 | 0.24 | 0.551978 |
| 2025-03-06 | 0.24 | 0.486815 |
| 2024-11-26 | 0.16 | 0.351803 |
| 2024-08-27 | 0.16 | 0.477755 |
| 2024-05-24 | 0.16 | 0.447678 |
| 2024-03-04 | 0.16 | 0.382318 |
| 2023-11-27 | 0.13 | 0.292398 |
| 2023-08-25 | 0.13 | 0.245052 |
| 2023-05-26 | 0.13 | 0.226126 |
| 2023-03-06 | 0.13 | 0.211968 |
| 2022-11-28 | 0.12 | 0.231750 |
| 2022-08-24 | 0.12 | 0.249532 |
| 2022-05-27 | 0.12 | 0.277585 |
| 2022-03-07 | 0.12 | 0.256849 |
| 2021-11-23 | 0.12 | 0.226415 |
| 2021-08-24 | 0.12 | 0.196689 |
| 2021-05-24 | 0.12 | 0.184219 |
| 2021-03-02 | 0.12 | 0.202327 |
| 2020-11-24 | 0.12 | 0.198774 |
| 2020-03-03 | 0.12 | 0.268037 |
| 2019-11-25 | 0.12 | 0.275545 |
| 2019-08-26 | 0.12 | 0.283554 |
| 2019-05-24 | 0.12 | 0.311769 |
| 2019-02-27 | 0.12 | 0.288878 |
| 2018-11-26 | 0.12 | 0.342173 |
| 2018-08-28 | 0.10 | 0.269034 |
| 2018-05-29 | 0.10 | 0.259740 |
| 2018-02-27 | 0.10 | 0.230044 |
| 2017-11-29 | 0.10 | 0.243843 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.019397497 |
| Address1 | Yum China Building |
| Address2 | No. 20, Tianyaoqiao Road |
| All Time High | 69.67 |
| All Time Low | 23.79 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 1,200 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.4 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,879,950 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,550,053 |
| Average Volume | 1,550,053 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,879,950 |
| Beta | 0.058 |
| Bid | 44.67 |
| Bid Size | 100 |
| Board Risk | 1 |
| Book Value | 15.643 |
| City | Shanghai |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 2 |
| Country | China |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 44.67 |
| Current Ratio | 0.965 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 45.1399 |
| Day Low | 44.0 |
| Debt To Equity | 37.981 |
| Display Name | Yum China |
| Dividend Date | 1,789,603,200 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,736,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,736,000 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.214 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.135 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,709,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,709,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,709,000 |
| Ebitda | 1,879,000,064 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.15107 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 8.991 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.358 |
| Enterprise Value | 16,893,604,864 |
| Eps Current Year | 2.93956 |
| Eps Forward | 3.37684 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.73 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,787,788,800 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 86 21 2407 8888 |
| Fifty Day Average | 43.9746 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.6953964 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.015813593 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 1.9397497 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 58.39 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -13.720001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.23497176 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 39.715 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 4.954998 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.12476389 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 39.715 - 58.39 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,476,711,000,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 1.26 |
| Float Shares | 340,941,046 |
| Forward Eps | 3.37684 |
| Forward P E | 13.228343 |
| Free Cashflow | 859,875,008 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 130,000 |
| Fullday Change | 1.9599991 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 4.537035 |
| Fullday Price | 44.67 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.20333 |
| Gross Profits | 2,528,999,936 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00416 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.74377996 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 337,389,590 |
| Industry | Restaurants |
| Industry Disp | Restaurants |
| Industry Key | restaurants |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,787,788,800 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.29 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Yum China Holdings, Inc. owns, operates, and franchises restaurants in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through two KFC, Pizza Hut, and All Other segments. It operates restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang concepts. The company also offers online food delivery services. Yum China Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. |
| Long Name | Yum China Holdings, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 15,071,193,088 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_318807568 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 975,000,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 13,839,960,351 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 20 |
| Open | 44.0 |
| Operating Cashflow | 1,578,000,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.11472 |
| Overall Risk | 1 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.38830003 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.96 |
| Phone | 86 21 2407 7777 |
| Previous Close | 43.2 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 15.196152 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.8555903 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.2117056 |
| Profit Margins | 0.07839 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.659 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.38095 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 1.47 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 3.40277 |
| Regular Market Day High | 45.1399 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 44.0 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 44.0 - 45.1399 |
| Regular Market Open | 44.0 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 43.2 |
| Regular Market Price | 44.67 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,094,402 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,525,231 |
| Return On Assets | 0.080819994 |
| Return On Equity | 0.16808 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.126 |
| Revenue Per Share | 34.84 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 2 |
| Shares Outstanding | 337,389,590 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0174 |
| Shares Short | 5,899,510 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 5,146,684 |
| Short Name | Yum China Holdings, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0175 |
| Short Ratio | 4.36 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | YUMC |
| Target High Price | 77.0 |
| Target Low Price | 56.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 62.165 |
| Target Median Price | 61.0 |
| Total Cash | 1,410,000,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 4.117 |
| Total Debt | 2,302,000,128 |
| Total Revenue | 12,437,999,616 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 1.06 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.024537036 |
| Trailing Eps | 2.73 |
| Trailing P E | 16.362637 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 0.9118 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 46.98125 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -2.3112526 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.04919521 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,525,231 |
| Website | https://www.yumchina.com |
| Zip | 200,030 |