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Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM)

Technology | Software - Application | Guiyang, China | NYSE
8.57 USD -0.11 (-1.279%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 1:02 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:29 a.m. EDT

The most compelling signal here is the stark divergence between the company's deteriorating price trajectory and its robust underlying fundamentals. While the stock has suffered a brutal 60% drop over the last two years, the business is actually growing: revenue is up 4.4%, earnings are up 6.9%, and the company boasts a fortress balance sheet with $2.3 billion in cash against negligible debt. This creates a classic 'value trap' scenario where the market has punished the stock for past geopolitical fears or sector headwinds, yet the current financials tell a story of recovery and efficiency. The short-term outlook remains murky due to the lack of immediate catalysts and a weak statistical forecast, keeping the near-term rating neutral. However, the long-term picture is significantly brighter. The company trades at a fraction of its historical valuation (under 1x sales, 15x earnings) while generating massive free cash flow and returning capital via dividends. The recent price action shows a slight stabilization, moving away from the 200-day average, which suggests the worst of the panic selling may be over. Options activity confirms a speculative belief that the floor is far from the ceiling; traders are buying deep out-of-the-money calls, betting on a re-rating of the asset class. With a 47% upside target from analysts and a payout ratio that leaves plenty of room for growth, this appears to be a high-conviction buy-and-hold opportunity for investors willing to ignore the noise of the past few years.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.065026
AutoETS0.069725
AutoARIMA0.069726
MSTL0.071308

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 8.02
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.173
Excess Kurtosis -1.14
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Ex Dividend Date 2026-10-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-06
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.059
Revenue per Share 12.286
Market Cap 8,958,083,072
Trailing P/E 15.03
Forward P/E 9.85
Beta 0.21
Profit Margins 32.99%
Website https://www.fulltruckalliance.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:29 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for upside moves over the coming months, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes 10.0 and 12.5) compared to negligible put volume. The call chain shows significant 'Top OI' at strikes well above the current price, while the put side is virtually dormant except for minimal hedging at the money. Implied volatility is extremely compressed (near zero) for longer-dated calls, suggesting traders expect a low-probability, high-reward event rather than a crash.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.01% 2.01% — —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-07 0.084 1.005988
2026-04-08 0.084 1.007194
2025-04-07 0.096 0.913416
2024-04-04 0.144 1.948579
Additional Data
dividendYield 3.84
exDividendDate 2026-10-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.813
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.20896727
lastDividendValue 0.084
lastDividendDate 2026-07-07
dividendDate 2026-10-28

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.29863894
Address1 6 Keji Road
Address2 Huaxi District
All Time High 21.5
All Time Low 4.12
Ask 8.56
Ask Size 20,200
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 7,404,070
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,781,464
Average Volume 6,781,464
Average Volume10Days 7,404,070
Beta 0.21
Bid 8.55
Bid Size 7,700
Book Value 5.804698
City Guiyang
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.565
Current Ratio 7.959
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 8.92
Day Low 8.545
Debt To Equity 0.059
Display Name Full Truck Alliance
Dividend Date 1,793,145,600
Dividend Yield 3.84
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,137,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,137,200
Earnings Growth 0.004
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.069
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,142,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,832,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,832,200
Ebitda 4,407,259,648
Ebitda Margins 0.34483
Enterprise To Ebitda -2.96
Enterprise To Revenue -1.021
Enterprise Value -13,044,973,568
Eps Current Year 4.9818
Eps Forward 0.8699068
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.57
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,791,936,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 8.5984
Fifty Day Average Change -0.033400536
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.003884506
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -29.863894
Fifty Two Week High 13.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.835
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.36082092
Fifty Two Week Low 7.455
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.1099997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.14889331
Fifty Two Week Range 7.455 - 13.4
Financial Currency CNY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,624,455,000,000
Float Shares 764,078,590
Forward Eps 0.8699068
Forward P E 9.845882
Free Cashflow 6,012,681,216
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 8,251
Fullday Change 0.119999886
Fullday Change Percent 1.390497
Fullday Price 8.565
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.87264997
Gross Profits 11,153,148,928
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0094
Held Percent Institutions 0.84661
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,045,894,194
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-06-22
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,783,382,400
Last Dividend Value 0.084
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates a digital freight platform that connects shippers with truckers to facilitate shipments across distance ranges, cargo weights, and types in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company offers freight matching services, such as freight listing and brokerage services; and transaction services, as well as various value-added services, such as credit solutions, insurance brokerage, software solutions, electronic toll collection, Intelligent Driving Related Services, and energy services. It also provides technology development and other services. Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. was founded in 2011 and is based in Guiyang, China.
Long Name Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 8,958,083,072
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_560353894
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 4,216,038,912
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 8,653,119,705
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 8.71
Operating Cashflow 6,700,134,912
Operating Margins 0.43945998
Payout Ratio 0.4679
Phone 86 25 6692 0156
Previous Close 8.676
Price Eps Current Year 1.719258
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.4755288
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.700902
Profit Margins 0.32987
Quick Ratio 6.591
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.53333
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.11100006
Regular Market Change Percent -1.2793921
Regular Market Day High 8.92
Regular Market Day Low 8.545
Regular Market Day Range 8.545 - 8.92
Regular Market Open 8.71
Regular Market Previous Close 8.676
Regular Market Price 8.565
Regular Market Time 1,791,997,348
Regular Market Volume 4,455,153
Return On Assets 0.060890004
Return On Equity 0.10424
Revenue Growth 0.044
Revenue Per Share 12.286
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Shares Outstanding 932,510,215
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0191
Shares Short 19,835,749
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 23,562,878
Short Name Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.022
Short Ratio 3.34
Source Interval 15
Symbol YMM
Target High Price 16.295183
Target Low Price 9.060673
Target Mean Price 12.503436
Target Median Price 12.167437
Total Cash 23,554,768,896
Total Cash Per Share 22.7
Total Debt 24,858,000
Total Revenue 12,780,792,832
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.813
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.20896727
Trailing Eps 0.57
Trailing P E 15.026316
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.9436
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.37860012
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.04233196
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,455,153
Website https://www.fulltruckalliance.com
Zip 550,025