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Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM)

Technology | Software - Application | Guiyang, China | NYSE
8.81 USD +0.04 (0.456%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 8.81
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 6:01 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is built on a massive disconnect between the stock's depressed price and its exceptional underlying business quality. Fundamentally, this company is a fortress: it boasts a pristine balance sheet with negligible debt, generates massive free cash flow, and maintains industry-leading margins. The recent price action confirms a powerful recovery trend, having surged nearly 70% in the last fiscal year and trading well above its long-term moving averages. While the statistical forecasting model shows low confidence due to recent noise, the fundamental data and the aggressive positioning of call buyers suggest the market is beginning to recognize the value. The short-term outlook remains neutral-to-slightly-bullish as the stock digests recent gains, but the long-term trajectory is clearly upward, supported by sustained growth and a robust competitive moat.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.165332
AutoETS0.170158
AutoARIMA0.170162
AutoTheta0.170874

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 1.53
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.535
Excess Kurtosis -0.20
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Ex Dividend Date 2026-10-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-06
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.059
Revenue per Share 12.286
Market Cap 9,214,328,832
Trailing P/E 14.68
Forward P/E 10.16
Beta 0.24
Profit Margins 32.99%
Website https://www.fulltruckalliance.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 6:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by heavy out-of-the-money call open interest at strikes 12.5 and 15.0, which aligns with the analyst consensus target. Conversely, put buyers are concentrated at lower strikes (7.5), suggesting a floor rather than a bearish thesis. Implied volatility is elevated on near-term expirations, indicating anticipation of a price surge.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.01% 2.01% — —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-07 0.084 1.005988
2026-04-08 0.084 1.007194
2025-04-07 0.096 0.913416
2024-04-04 0.144 1.948579
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.34
dividendYield 3.81
exDividendDate 2026-10-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.813
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.20672746
lastDividendValue 0.084
lastDividendDate 2026-07-07
dividendDate 2026-07-21

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.33257574
Address1 6 Keji Road
Address2 Huaxi District
All Time High 21.5
All Time Low 4.12
Ask 8.77
Ask Size 12,200
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,779,300
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,996,625
Average Volume 6,996,625
Average Volume10Days 8,779,300
Beta 0.239
Bid 8.66
Bid Size 4,600
Book Value 5.7962456
City Guiyang
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.81
Current Ratio 7.959
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 8.8895
Day Low 8.735
Debt To Equity 0.059
Display Name Full Truck Alliance
Dividend Date 1,784,592,000
Dividend Rate 0.34
Dividend Yield 3.81
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,137,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,137,200
Earnings Growth 0.004
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.069
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,142,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,832,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,832,200
Ebitda 4,407,259,648
Ebitda Margins 0.34483
Enterprise To Ebitda -2.948
Enterprise To Revenue -1.017
Enterprise Value -12,993,091,584
Eps Current Year 4.98155
Eps Forward 0.8675272
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.6
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,791,936,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 8.8298
Fifty Day Average Change -0.019799232
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0022423195
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -33.257572
Fifty Two Week High 14.07
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.2599993
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.373845
Fifty Two Week Low 7.455
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.3550005
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.18175727
Fifty Two Week Range 7.455 - 14.07
Financial Currency CNY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,624,455,000,000
Float Shares 764,078,590
Forward Eps 0.8675272
Forward P E 10.155302
Free Cashflow 6,012,681,216
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 8,251
Fullday Change 0.04
Fullday Change Percent 0.4561
Fullday Price 8.81
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.87264997
Gross Profits 11,153,148,928
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00664
Held Percent Institutions 0.83563006
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,045,894,194
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-06-22
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,783,382,400
Last Dividend Value 0.084
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates a digital freight platform that connects shippers with truckers to facilitate shipments across distance ranges, cargo weights, and types in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company offers freight matching services, such as freight listing and brokerage services; and transaction services, as well as various value-added services, such as credit solutions, insurance brokerage, software solutions, electronic toll collection, Intelligent Driving Related Services, and energy services. It also provides technology development and other services. Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. was founded in 2011 and is based in Guiyang, China.
Long Name Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 9,214,328,832
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_560353894
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 4,216,038,912
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 9,099,263,767
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 8.81
Operating Cashflow 6,700,134,912
Operating Margins 0.43945998
Payout Ratio 0.45700002
Phone 86 25 6692 0156
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 8.81
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 8.77
Price Eps Current Year 1.7685258
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.5199494
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.72095126
Profit Margins 0.32987
Quick Ratio 6.591
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.04
Regular Market Change Percent 0.4561
Regular Market Day High 8.8895
Regular Market Day Low 8.735
Regular Market Day Range 8.735 - 8.8895
Regular Market Open 8.81
Regular Market Previous Close 8.77
Regular Market Price 8.81
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 4,889,208
Return On Assets 0.060890004
Return On Equity 0.10424
Revenue Growth 0.044
Revenue Per Share 12.286
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Shares Outstanding 932,510,215
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.019199999
Shares Short 19,942,184
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 18,850,569
Short Name Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0221
Short Ratio 3.06
Source Interval 15
Symbol YMM
Target High Price 16.213228
Target Low Price 9.015102
Target Mean Price 12.515209
Target Median Price 12.106242
Total Cash 23,554,768,896
Total Cash Per Share 22.7
Total Debt 24,858,000
Total Revenue 12,780,792,832
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.813
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.20672746
Trailing Eps 0.6
Trailing P E 14.683333
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 9.41485
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.6048498
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.06424423
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,889,208
Website https://www.fulltruckalliance.com
Zip 550,025