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State Street SPDR S&P Transportation ETF (XTN)

Industrials | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
117.59 USD +0.94 (0.806%) ⇧ (April 21, 2026, 3:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 1:10 a.m. EDT

XTN presents a tactical 'buy weakness' opportunity driven by a fundamental disconnect: the quantitative forecasting model predicts a short-term decline, yet current options positioning is entirely net-long, betting on continuation of the recent recovery. Recent price action (up 30% in the last two weeks) has left much of the upside traveled, but the technicals still hold support above key averages. The high dividend yield (approx 8% annualized on recent dividends) provides a strong floor, but the lack of consensus growth trajectory and 'avoid' headlines in recent news suggest this is a neutral-to-bearish long-term hold waiting for a higher liquidity cycle.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.053960
AutoTheta0.054696
AutoETS0.054793
AutoARIMA0.054940

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 72%
H-stat 1.27
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.221
Excess Kurtosis -1.12
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 21.19

As of April 19, 2026, 1:10 a.m. EDT: Options flow shows a distinct bullish tilt relative to the underlying model prediction. Despite the predictive model forecasting a -1.35% move, calls show 100% of their open interest (OI) above the money by July (at 115 and 115 strikes), indicating speculators are positioned for upside momentum. While out-of-the-money (OTM) puts at 80 strike for the July expiration have the highest volume (10 contracts), the concentration of call OI at the ATM and OTM levels suggests a bullish gamma exposure setup for rallies toward year-end. Implied volatility is elevated for the near-term (0.58 OTM calls), but the flow structure lacks significant downside hedging protection compared to the speculative call activity.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.22% 0.84% 0.88% 0.84%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-03-23 0.2000 0.221361
2025-12-22 0.2150 0.229389
2025-09-22 0.1750 0.206925
2025-06-23 0.1440 0.185014
2025-03-24 0.1810 0.237537
2024-12-23 0.2470 0.289118
2024-09-23 0.1890 0.238844
2024-06-24 0.1640 0.214508
2024-03-18 0.2040 0.261375
2023-12-18 0.1350 0.166618
2023-09-18 0.1870 0.248762
2023-06-20 0.1180 0.152858
2023-03-20 0.1730 0.257867
2022-12-19 0.0870 0.132662
2022-09-19 0.2230 0.328311
2022-06-21 0.1660 0.251949
2022-03-21 0.2230 0.262019
2021-12-20 0.1140 0.133886
2021-09-20 0.1130 0.138860
2021-06-21 0.0520 0.062929
2021-03-22 0.6830 0.828792
2020-12-21 0.2000 0.295546
2020-09-21 0.0680 0.123104
2020-06-22 0.0930 0.185900
2020-03-23 0.1770 0.487476
2019-12-23 0.1530 0.251381
2019-09-23 0.1560 0.270525
2019-06-24 0.3130 0.566215
2019-03-18 0.1310 0.232000
2018-12-24 0.1410 0.298648
2018-09-24 0.1270 0.204046
2018-06-18 0.1290 0.207893
2018-03-19 0.1280 0.212942
2017-12-15 0.1210 0.205516
2017-09-15 0.1040 0.196370
2017-06-16 0.0950 0.191101
2017-03-17 0.0940 0.190337
2016-12-16 0.0900 0.179158
2016-09-16 0.0860 0.203328
2016-06-17 0.1010 0.251813
2016-03-18 0.0800 0.190178
2015-12-18 0.2790 0.731758
2015-09-18 0.0530 0.125212
2015-06-19 0.0520 0.114494
2015-03-20 0.0555 0.110780
2014-12-19 0.0860 0.180522
2014-09-19 0.0405 0.093408
2014-06-20 0.0440 0.104736
2014-03-21 0.0425 0.110424
2013-12-20 0.0670 0.185962
2013-09-20 0.0365 0.113136
2013-06-21 0.0375 0.127944
2013-03-15 0.0285 0.097512
2012-12-21 0.1455 0.603253
2012-09-21 0.0265 0.123180
2012-06-15 0.0340 0.157370
2012-03-16 0.0165 0.074134
2011-12-16 0.0410 0.206516
2011-09-16 0.0250 0.128450
2011-06-17 0.0245 0.109285
2011-03-18 0.0255 0.114307
Additional Data
dividendYield 0.79

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 120.21
All Time Low 18.065
Ask 186.96
Ask Size 200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 165,250
Average Daily Volume3 Month 66,739
Average Volume 66,739
Average Volume10Days 165,250
Beta3 Year 1.77
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 1,100
Category Industrials
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 120.205
Day Low 112.5101
Dividend Yield 0.79
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.550505
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 98.7576
Fifty Day Average Change 18.832397
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.19069315
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 71.08977
Fifty Two Week High 120.21
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.6200027
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.021795215
Fifty Two Week Low 66.59
Fifty Two Week Low Change 51.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.7658808
Fifty Two Week Range 66.59 - 120.21
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,296,138,600,000
Five Year Average Return 0.0686509
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family State Street Investment Management
Fund Inception Date 1,296,000,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary In seeking to track the performance of the S&P Transportation Select Industry Index (the "index"), the fund employs a sampling strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index represents the transportation segment of the S&P Total Market Index ("S&P TMI").
Long Name State Street SPDR S&P Transportation ETF
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_118789341
Nav Price 116.58595
Net Assets 267,101,744.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.35
Open 117.06
Previous Close 116.65
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.939995
Regular Market Change Percent 0.805825
Regular Market Day High 120.205
Regular Market Day Low 112.5101
Regular Market Day Range 112.5101 - 120.205
Regular Market Open 117.06
Regular Market Previous Close 116.65
Regular Market Price 117.59
Regular Market Time 1,776,801,590
Regular Market Volume 238,832
Short Name State Street SPDR S&P Transport
Source Interval 15
Symbol XTN
Three Year Average Return 0.1793021
Total Assets 267,101,744
Tradeable 0
Trailing P E 21.18546
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 2.13623
Trailing Three Month Returns 2.13623
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 90.6867
Two Hundred Day Average Change 26.903297
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.296662
Type Disp ETF
Volume 238,832
Yield 0.007900001
Ytd Return 2.13623