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State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT)

Consumer Cyclical | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
87.78 USD +0.31 (0.354%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 86.60 -1.18 (-1.182%) ⇩ (July 14, 2026, 7:34 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:57 a.m. EDT

The retail sector ETF is showing signs of a tactical rebound, trading above its 50-day moving average with a recent 11% gain, yet the underlying consumer sentiment remains fragile. Fundamentally, the asset offers a compelling value proposition with a price-to-book ratio below parity (0.97x) and a trailing P/E of 17, supported by a nine-year trajectory that is up nearly 83% with no recent consecutive annual declines. However, the long-term rating is capped at 3.0 because the recent price action has been flat to slightly positive, lacking the explosive multi-year growth required for a top-tier buy. The dividend yield of 0.77% is modest, offering only inflation-matching income rather than a significant income boost. Options flow confirms a short-term bullish tilt, with traders betting on a move toward the $90 resistance level, but the lack of deep institutional accumulation suggests this rally may be limited until broader consumer data improves.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.024900
MSTL0.025454
AutoARIMA0.025482
AutoETS0.025486

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 57%
H-stat 0.54
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.366
Excess Kurtosis -0.67
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 16.98

As of July 11, 2026, 4:57 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a modest upside move, evidenced by significant new call volume at strikes 88.5 and 89.0 for the July expiration, alongside heavy open interest walls at 90.0 and 92.0. While put volume is elevated, the open interest distribution is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (80.0 and 85.0), suggesting hedging rather than a bearish bet. The implied volatility surface shows elevated premiums for near-term OTM calls relative to deep ITM puts, indicating a speculative bias toward a bounce above current levels.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.22% 0.80% 1.21% 1.57%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-22 0.1860 0.217518
2026-03-23 0.2120 0.265465
2025-12-22 0.1730 0.198508
2025-09-22 0.1020 0.117674
2025-06-23 0.2050 0.265647
2025-03-24 0.1810 0.254249
2024-12-23 0.5640 0.703768
2024-09-23 0.1240 0.162049
2024-06-24 0.3740 0.491911
2024-03-18 0.1500 0.198886
2023-12-18 0.3260 0.460712
2023-09-18 0.1710 0.280007
2023-06-20 0.3100 0.499436
2023-03-20 0.2050 0.338228
2022-12-19 0.5440 0.908484
2022-09-19 0.3430 0.545050
2022-06-21 0.3180 0.521226
2022-03-21 0.0940 0.121009
2021-12-20 0.9330 1.095713
2021-09-20 0.1880 0.203133
2021-06-21 0.1210 0.129274
2021-03-22 0.1570 0.174367
2020-12-21 0.2510 0.396212
2020-09-21 0.1300 0.263745
2020-06-22 0.0930 0.216028
2020-03-23 0.1750 0.648388
2019-12-20 0.2130 0.465981
2019-09-20 0.1770 0.423648
2019-06-21 0.1950 0.460775
2019-03-15 0.1360 0.306237
2018-12-21 0.1670 0.432643
2018-09-21 0.1590 0.309640
2018-06-15 0.1670 0.338331
2018-03-16 0.1260 0.281627
2017-12-15 0.1960 0.442638
2017-09-15 0.1820 0.441748
2017-06-16 0.2000 0.500375
2017-03-17 0.1080 0.254477
2016-12-16 0.1490 0.324548
2016-09-16 0.1470 0.336000
2016-06-17 0.1520 0.366795
2016-03-18 0.1520 0.330579
2015-12-18 0.1490 0.348620
2015-09-18 0.0910 0.197397
2015-06-19 0.1465 0.291978
2015-03-20 0.1730 0.342710
2014-12-19 0.0905 0.192287
2014-09-19 0.0795 0.179580
2014-06-20 0.1180 0.273687
2014-03-21 0.0680 0.158084
2013-12-20 0.0730 0.167546
2013-09-20 0.0510 0.123937
2013-06-21 0.1105 0.292715
2013-03-15 0.0300 0.085300
2012-12-21 0.2890 0.928067
2012-09-21 0.1025 0.320212
2012-06-15 0.0755 0.260480
2012-03-16 0.0500 0.163934
2011-12-16 0.1135 0.440862
2011-09-16 0.0495 0.197763
2011-06-17 0.0495 0.195691
2011-03-18 0.0365 0.152496
2010-12-17 0.1090 0.454545
2010-09-17 0.0365 0.181007
2010-06-18 0.0700 0.355240
2010-03-19 0.0225 0.111139
2009-12-18 0.1500 0.853728
2009-09-18 0.0335 0.194937
2009-06-19 0.0405 0.297794
2009-03-20 0.0155 0.145335
2008-12-19 0.1250 1.243781
2008-09-19 0.0340 0.202985
2008-06-20 0.0795 0.515564
2008-03-20 0.0270 0.163835
2007-12-21 0.0365 0.212209
2007-09-21 0.0140 0.070600
2007-06-15 0.0145 0.065879
2007-03-16 0.0095 0.045816
2006-12-15 0.0330 0.158730
2006-09-15 0.0075 0.038750
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.521
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.005956328
dividendYield 0.77

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 104.31
All Time Low 7.405
Ask 88.31
Ask Size 200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,733,040
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,264,326
Average Volume 5,264,326
Average Volume10Days 3,733,040
Beta3 Year 1.19
Bid 86.42
Bid Size 400
Book Value 90.33
Category Consumer Cyclical
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 88.135
Day Low 86.78
Dividend Yield 0.77
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.1688976
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 84.7458
Fifty Day Average Change 3.0342026
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.035803575
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 10.6374855
Fifty Two Week High 91.65
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.8700027
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.04222589
Fifty Two Week Low 76.72
Fifty Two Week Low Change 11.059998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.14416055
Fifty Two Week Range 76.72 - 91.65
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,150,983,000,000
Five Year Average Return -0.0039241
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family State Street Investment Management
Fund Inception Date 1,150,675,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary In seeking to track the performance of the S&P Retail Select Industry Index (the "index"), the fund employs a sampling strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index represents the retail segment of the S&P Total Market Index ("S&P TMI").
Long Name State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF
Market us_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_27776413
Nav Price 87.50153
Net Assets 381,375,040.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.35
Open 87.86
Post Market Change -1.1822968
Post Market Change Percent -1.3468863
Post Market Price 86.5977
Post Market Time 1,784,072,069
Previous Close 87.47
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.97177017
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.309998
Regular Market Change Percent 0.354404
Regular Market Day High 88.135
Regular Market Day Low 86.78
Regular Market Day Range 86.78 - 88.135
Regular Market Open 87.86
Regular Market Previous Close 87.47
Regular Market Price 87.78
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,200
Regular Market Volume 2,512,323
Shares Outstanding 12,100,200
Short Name State Street SPDR S&P Retail ET
Source Interval 15
Symbol XRT
Three Year Average Return 0.112741604
Total Assets 381,375,040
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.521
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.005956328
Trailing P E 16.982344
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 9.25075
Trailing Three Month Returns 9.25075
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 84.8087
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.9712982
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.0350353
Type Disp ETF
Volume 2,512,323
Yield 0.0077
Ytd Return 3.28875