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Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF)

Consumer Cyclical | Leisure | Irvine, United States | NYSE
6.74 USD -0.11 (-1.606%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:26 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Xponential Fitness is currently broken by a severe deterioration in core business metrics. The company is reporting a sharp contraction in revenue (-21%) and is posting significant losses, evidenced by negative trailing EPS and a negative book value. While the forward P/E appears attractive at under 9x, this is a mathematical artifact of the denominator being negative; the market is correctly pricing in a distressed asset scenario where the business model is failing to generate top-line growth. The price action reflects this reality, having lost over 36% in the trailing twelve months and sitting well below its 200-day average. The technical setup is bearish, with the stock trading below key moving averages and showing a low reliability score in short-term forecasting models, suggesting continued volatility without a clear upward bias. Crucially, there is no safety net for investors. The company does not pay a dividend, offering no income buffer during this period of uncertainty. Furthermore, the options market is screaming caution, with heavy put buying indicating that traders are actively hedging against further declines rather than betting on a rebound. Until the company demonstrates a sustained turnaround in revenue growth and a return to profitability, this remains a speculative hold with significant downside risk.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_73 ✓0.141437
MSTL_73_1130.168577
AutoTheta0.173539
AutoETS0.186357
AutoARIMA0.186360
MSTL0.219125
MSTL_1130.245829

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_73

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 0.28
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.712
Excess Kurtosis -0.41
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Revenue per Share 8.378
Market Cap 330,969,888
Forward P/E 8.78
Beta 1.07
Profit Margins -12.55%
Website https://www.xponential.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:26 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest significantly exceeds call open interest across nearly all expirations, with deep out-of-the-money puts holding substantial volume relative to calls. This distribution suggests a market consensus expecting further price weakness, likely driven by concerns over the company's deteriorating fundamentals and lack of a clear recovery path.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.35620302
Address1 17,877 Von Karman Avenue
Address2 Suite 100
All Time High 33.58
All Time Low 3.83
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 10
Average Daily Volume10 Day 631,740
Average Daily Volume3 Month 587,293
Average Volume 587,293
Average Volume10Days 631,740
Beta 1.073
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 8
Book Value -7.632
City Irvine
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.74
Current Ratio 0.757
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 6.9
Day Low 6.62
Display Name Xponential Fitness
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,185,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,185,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,184,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Ebitda 86,222,000
Ebitda Margins 0.28865
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.55
Enterprise To Revenue 2.468
Enterprise Value 737,235,968
Eps Current Year 0.46585
Eps Forward 0.76809
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.39
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.1458
Fifty Day Average Change 0.59419966
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.09668386
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -35.6203
Fifty Two Week High 11.14
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.4000006
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3949731
Fifty Two Week Low 3.83
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.9099998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.7597911
Fifty Two Week Range 3.83 - 11.14
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,627,047,000,000
Float Shares 26,161,399
Forward Eps 0.76809
Forward P E 8.775013
Free Cashflow 30,932,500
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 226
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.67067003
Gross Profits 200,336,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.06183
Held Percent Institutions 0.96585
Implied Shares Outstanding 49,105,324
Industry Leisure
Industry Disp Leisure
Industry Key leisure
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-07-23
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness brands franchisor in North America. The company's brands portfolio consist of Club Pilates, a Pilates facility franchisor; StretchLab, a fitness concept offering one-on-one assisted stretching services; YogaSix, a yoga concept; Pure Barre, a total body workout concept that uses the ballet barre to perform small isometric movements; and BFT, a high-intensity interval training concept that combines functional, high-energy strength, cardio, and conditioning-based classes to achieve the unique health of its members. Xponential Fitness, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
Long Name Xponential Fitness, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 330,969,888
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_549252720
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -48,044,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 286,857,450
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 6.81
Operating Cashflow 811,000
Operating Margins 0.24681
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 949 346 3000
Pre Market Change -0.009999752
Pre Market Change Percent -0.14836428
Pre Market Price 6.73
Pre Market Time 1,784,016,067
Previous Close 6.85
Price Eps Current Year 14.468176
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -0.88312364
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.1079973
Profit Margins -0.12549
Quick Ratio 0.499
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.11
Regular Market Change Percent -1.60584
Regular Market Day High 6.9
Regular Market Day Low 6.62
Regular Market Day Range 6.62 - 6.9
Regular Market Open 6.81
Regular Market Previous Close 6.85
Regular Market Price 6.74
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 516,138
Return On Assets 0.1274
Revenue Growth -0.21
Revenue Per Share 8.378
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 41,877,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1858
Shares Short 7,780,493
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 7,932,962
Short Name Xponential Fitness, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.36400002
Short Ratio 13.05
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol XPOF
Target High Price 10.0
Target Low Price 6.0
Target Mean Price 7.21429
Target Median Price 7.0
Total Cash 12,179,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.291
Total Debt 522,816,992
Total Revenue 298,710,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.39
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.91545
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.17545033
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.025370775
Type Disp Equity
Volume 516,138
Website https://www.xponential.com
Zip 92,614