Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF)Consumer Cyclical | Leisure | Irvine, United States | NYSE
6.74 USD
-0.11
(-1.606%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:26 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Xponential Fitness is currently broken by a severe deterioration in core business metrics. The company is reporting a sharp contraction in revenue (-21%) and is posting significant losses, evidenced by negative trailing EPS and a negative book value. While the forward P/E appears attractive at under 9x, this is a mathematical artifact of the denominator being negative; the market is correctly pricing in a distressed asset scenario where the business model is failing to generate top-line growth. The price action reflects this reality, having lost over 36% in the trailing twelve months and sitting well below its 200-day average. The technical setup is bearish, with the stock trading below key moving averages and showing a low reliability score in short-term forecasting models, suggesting continued volatility without a clear upward bias. Crucially, there is no safety net for investors. The company does not pay a dividend, offering no income buffer during this period of uncertainty. Furthermore, the options market is screaming caution, with heavy put buying indicating that traders are actively hedging against further declines rather than betting on a rebound. Until the company demonstrates a sustained turnaround in revenue growth and a return to profitability, this remains a speculative hold with significant downside risk. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_73 ✓ | 0.141437 |
| MSTL_73_113 | 0.168577 |
| AutoTheta | 0.173539 |
| AutoETS | 0.186357 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.186360 |
| MSTL | 0.219125 |
| MSTL_113 | 0.245829 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_73
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 39% |
| H-stat | 0.28 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.712 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.41 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Revenue per Share | 8.378 |
| Market Cap | 330,969,888 |
| Forward P/E | 8.78 |
| Beta | 1.07 |
| Profit Margins | -12.55% |
| Website | https://www.xponential.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:26 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest significantly exceeds call open interest across nearly all expirations, with deep out-of-the-money puts holding substantial volume relative to calls. This distribution suggests a market consensus expecting further price weakness, likely driven by concerns over the company's deteriorating fundamentals and lack of a clear recovery path.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.35620302 |
| Address1 | 17,877 Von Karman Avenue |
| Address2 | Suite 100 |
| All Time High | 33.58 |
| All Time Low | 3.83 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 200 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 631,740 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 587,293 |
| Average Volume | 587,293 |
| Average Volume10Days | 631,740 |
| Beta | 1.073 |
| Bid | 2.74 |
| Bid Size | 300 |
| Board Risk | 8 |
| Book Value | -7.632 |
| City | Irvine |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 6.74 |
| Current Ratio | 0.757 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 6.9 |
| Day Low | 6.62 |
| Display Name | Xponential Fitness |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,185,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,185,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,184,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,046,400 |
| Ebitda | 86,222,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.28865 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 8.55 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.468 |
| Enterprise Value | 737,235,968 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.46585 |
| Eps Forward | 0.76809 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -1.39 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 6.1458 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.59419966 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.09668386 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -35.6203 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 11.14 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -4.4000006 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.3949731 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.83 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.9099998 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.7597911 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.83 - 11.14 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,627,047,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 26,161,399 |
| Forward Eps | 0.76809 |
| Forward P E | 8.775013 |
| Free Cashflow | 30,932,500 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 226 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.67067003 |
| Gross Profits | 200,336,992 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.06183 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.96585 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 49,105,324 |
| Industry | Leisure |
| Industry Disp | Leisure |
| Industry Key | leisure |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-07-23 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness brands franchisor in North America. The company's brands portfolio consist of Club Pilates, a Pilates facility franchisor; StretchLab, a fitness concept offering one-on-one assisted stretching services; YogaSix, a yoga concept; Pure Barre, a total body workout concept that uses the ballet barre to perform small isometric movements; and BFT, a high-intensity interval training concept that combines functional, high-energy strength, cardio, and conditioning-based classes to achieve the unique health of its members. Xponential Fitness, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Irvine, California. |
| Long Name | Xponential Fitness, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 330,969,888 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_549252720 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -48,044,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 282,250,980 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 7 |
| Open | 6.81 |
| Operating Cashflow | 811,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.24681 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 949 346 3000 |
| Pre Market Change | -0.029999733 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | -0.44509992 |
| Pre Market Price | 6.71 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,021,859 |
| Previous Close | 6.85 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 14.468176 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -0.88312364 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.1079973 |
| Profit Margins | -0.12549 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.499 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.11 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.60584 |
| Regular Market Day High | 6.9 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 6.62 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 6.62 - 6.9 |
| Regular Market Open | 6.81 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 6.85 |
| Regular Market Price | 6.74 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,802 |
| Regular Market Volume | 516,138 |
| Return On Assets | 0.1274 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.21 |
| Revenue Per Share | 8.378 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 41,877,000 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1858 |
| Shares Short | 7,780,493 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 7,932,962 |
| Short Name | Xponential Fitness, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.36400002 |
| Short Ratio | 13.05 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | XPOF |
| Target High Price | 10.0 |
| Target Low Price | 6.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 7.21429 |
| Target Median Price | 7.0 |
| Total Cash | 12,179,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.291 |
| Total Debt | 522,816,992 |
| Total Revenue | 298,710,016 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -1.39 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 6.91545 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.17545033 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.025370775 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 516,138 |
| Website | https://www.xponential.com |
| Zip | 92,614 |