Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF)Consumer Cyclical | Leisure | Irvine, United States | NYSE
4.77 USD
-0.05
(-1.037%) ⇩
(Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 4.77 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:09 a.m. EDT
The long-term investment case is severely compromised by a brutal four-year decline where the stock has lost nearly half its value, with the last three consecutive years showing negative returns. This persistent downward trajectory suggests the market views the current business fundamentals as deteriorating rather than offering a margin of safety, despite the low forward P/E. The company is also bleeding cash operationally and carries a debt load that dwarfs its cash reserves, creating a precarious balance sheet. While the short-term outlook appears more optimistic due to a sharp price rebound and aggressive options buying at higher strikes, this momentum feels like a speculative reaction to potential turnaround hopes rather than a confirmed reversal of the structural decline. Without a clear path to sustained revenue growth or a resolution to the balance sheet issues, the risk of further downside remains high. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.322832 |
| AutoETS | 0.322837 |
| MSTL | 0.331674 |
| AutoTheta | 0.349227 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 36% |
| H-stat | 2.97 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.119 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.12 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Revenue per Share | 7.708 |
| Market Cap | 236,196,096 |
| Forward P/E | 7.34 |
| Beta | 1.20 |
| Profit Margins | -14.76% |
| Website | https://www.xponential.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:09 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish on the upside, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes at 7.5 and 10.0) compared to negligible put volume. The call chain shows heavy positioning at strikes significantly above the current price, while put activity is concentrated only at the money or deep in-the-money, indicating a lack of hedging against further downside and a speculative bet on a recovery.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.31920904 |
| Address1 | 17,877 Von Karman Avenue |
| Address2 | Suite 100 |
| All Time High | 33.58 |
| All Time Low | 3.565 |
| Ask | 5.02 |
| Ask Size | 600 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,023,090 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 912,050 |
| Average Volume | 912,050 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,023,090 |
| Beta | 1.199 |
| Bid | 3.19 |
| Bid Size | 900 |
| Board Risk | 8 |
| Book Value | -7.618 |
| City | Irvine |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 4.77 |
| Current Ratio | 0.746 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 4.815 |
| Day Low | 4.61 |
| Display Name | Xponential Fitness |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,048,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,048,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Ebitda | 82,591,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.28631002 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 7.97 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.282 |
| Enterprise Value | 658,232,640 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.30703 |
| Eps Forward | 0.65 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -1.49 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 4.7626 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.007400036 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.0015537807 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -31.920904 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 9.25 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -4.48 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.48432434 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.565 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.2049999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.33800837 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.565 - 9.25 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,627,047,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 21,889,707 |
| Forward Eps | 0.65 |
| Forward P E | 7.338462 |
| Free Cashflow | 39,531,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 226 |
| Fullday Change | 0.010000229 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 0.20790496 |
| Fullday Price | 4.77 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.66626 |
| Gross Profits | 192,195,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.06142 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.0455899 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 49,517,000 |
| Industry | Leisure |
| Industry Disp | Leisure |
| Industry Key | leisure |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-07-23 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness brands franchisor in North America. The company's brands portfolio consist of Club Pilates, a Pilates facility franchisor; StretchLab, a fitness concept offering one-on-one assisted stretching services; YogaSix, a yoga concept; Pure Barre, a total body workout concept that uses the ballet barre to perform small isometric movements; and BFT, a high-intensity interval training concept that combines functional, high-energy strength, cardio, and conditioning-based classes to achieve the unique health of its members. Xponential Fitness, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Irvine, California. |
| Long Name | Xponential Fitness, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 236,196,096 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_549252720 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -52,353,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 156,210,300 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
| Open | 4.79 |
| Operating Cashflow | -5,750,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.18056 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Phone | 949 346 3000 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 4.77 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,008,605 |
| Previous Close | 4.82 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 15.535941 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | -0.6261486 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.81878906 |
| Profit Margins | -0.14764 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.513 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.0500002 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.03735 |
| Regular Market Day High | 4.815 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 4.61 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 4.61 - 4.815 |
| Regular Market Open | 4.79 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 4.82 |
| Regular Market Price | 4.77 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,008,002 |
| Regular Market Volume | 662,290 |
| Return On Assets | 0.12765999 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.134 |
| Revenue Per Share | 7.708 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.1570785 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 42,219,000 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.2585 |
| Shares Short | 10,912,823 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 9,227,637 |
| Short Name | Xponential Fitness, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.50240004 |
| Short Ratio | 14.1 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | XPOF |
| Target High Price | 8.0 |
| Target Low Price | 4.5 |
| Target Mean Price | 5.6 |
| Target Median Price | 5.0 |
| Total Cash | 18,233,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.432 |
| Total Debt | 529,745,984 |
| Total Revenue | 288,470,016 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -1.49 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 6.2887 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.5187001 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.24149667 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 662,290 |
| Website | https://www.xponential.com |
| Zip | 92,614 |