Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF)Consumer Cyclical | Leisure | Irvine, United States | NYSE
5.43 USD
+0.04
(0.742%)
⇧
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 5.43 |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:36 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Xponential Fitness is currently broken by a perfect storm of deteriorating fundamentals and overwhelming bearish sentiment. The company is trapped in a multi-year decline, having lost nearly 24% of its value over the last four years while posting two consecutive years of negative annual returns. Fundamentally, the picture is grim: revenue has contracted by 13.4%, the company is burning cash with negative operating cash flow, and it carries a crushing debt load of nearly $530 million against a paltry cash reserve. The balance sheet is fragile, with a current ratio below 0.75 and negative book value, signaling that the market views this as a distressed situation rather than a value opportunity. Despite the bleak outlook, there is a glimmer of hope regarding profitability; forward estimates suggest a return to positive earnings, and operating margins remain healthy at 18%. However, this potential turnaround is being aggressively priced out by the market. The stock has been obliterated recently, dropping from highs near $6.70 to lows around $4.80, reflecting deep skepticism about management's ability to execute a turnaround amidst the debt burden. Options activity confirms this pessimism, with traders stacking put options to protect against further falls rather than betting on a recovery. Until the debt structure is resolved and revenue growth is proven, this remains a speculative hold with severe downside risks. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.142407 |
| AutoETS | 0.149835 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.151368 |
| AutoTheta | 0.232278 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 30% |
| H-stat | 0.83 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.000 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 1.69 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Revenue per Share | 7.708 |
| Market Cap | 268,877,312 |
| Forward P/E | 8.26 |
| Beta | 1.10 |
| Profit Margins | -14.76% |
| Website | https://www.xponential.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:36 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest significantly exceeds call open interest across all expirations, particularly at strikes above the current price (e.g., 7.5 and 10.0), indicating a heavy hedge against further declines. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term puts relative to calls, suggesting fear of a sharp drop in the coming weeks. The lack of significant call volume at out-of-the-money strikes confirms that bullish speculation is currently absent.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.34420288 |
| Address1 | 17,877 Von Karman Avenue |
| Address2 | Suite 100 |
| All Time High | 33.58 |
| All Time Low | 3.83 |
| Ask | 5.69 |
| Ask Size | 800 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 536,290 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 781,374 |
| Average Volume | 781,374 |
| Average Volume10Days | 536,290 |
| Beta | 1.096 |
| Bid | 5.43 |
| Bid Size | 200 |
| Board Risk | 8 |
| Book Value | -7.632 |
| City | Irvine |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 5.43 |
| Current Ratio | 0.746 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 5.6 |
| Day Low | 5.335 |
| Display Name | Xponential Fitness |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,048,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,048,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Ebitda | 82,591,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.28631002 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 8.307 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.378 |
| Enterprise Value | 686,097,152 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.29333 |
| Eps Forward | 0.65713 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -1.49 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 6.1884 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.75839996 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.122551866 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -34.420288 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 9.25 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -3.8200002 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.412973 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.83 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.5999999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.41775456 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.83 - 9.25 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,627,047,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 21,993,566 |
| Forward Eps | 0.65713 |
| Forward P E | 8.263205 |
| Free Cashflow | 39,531,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 226 |
| Fullday Change | 0.04 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 0.742114 |
| Fullday Price | 5.43 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.66626 |
| Gross Profits | 192,195,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0608 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.0465 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 49,517,000 |
| Industry | Leisure |
| Industry Disp | Leisure |
| Industry Key | leisure |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-07-23 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness brands franchisor in North America. The company's brands portfolio consist of Club Pilates, a Pilates facility franchisor; StretchLab, a fitness concept offering one-on-one assisted stretching services; YogaSix, a yoga concept; Pure Barre, a total body workout concept that uses the ballet barre to perform small isometric movements; and BFT, a high-intensity interval training concept that combines functional, high-energy strength, cardio, and conditioning-based classes to achieve the unique health of its members. Xponential Fitness, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Irvine, California. |
| Long Name | Xponential Fitness, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 268,877,312 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_549252720 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -52,353,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 227,560,410 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
| Open | 5.38 |
| Operating Cashflow | -5,750,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.18056 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 949 346 3000 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 5.43 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,959,806 |
| Previous Close | 5.39 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 18.511572 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -0.711478 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.9320806 |
| Profit Margins | -0.14764 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.513 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.04 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.742114 |
| Regular Market Day High | 5.6 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 5.335 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 5.335 - 5.6 |
| Regular Market Open | 5.38 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 5.39 |
| Regular Market Price | 5.43 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,203 |
| Regular Market Volume | 486,292 |
| Return On Assets | 0.12765999 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.134 |
| Revenue Per Share | 7.708 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20204377 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 42,219,000 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.21190001 |
| Shares Short | 8,947,065 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 8,625,922 |
| Short Name | Xponential Fitness, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.41189998 |
| Short Ratio | 7.86 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | XPOF |
| Target High Price | 8.0 |
| Target Low Price | 5.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 6.1 |
| Target Median Price | 5.5 |
| Total Cash | 18,233,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.432 |
| Total Debt | 529,745,984 |
| Total Revenue | 288,470,016 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -1.49 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 6.6814 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.2514 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.18729608 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 486,292 |
| Website | https://www.xponential.com |
| Zip | 92,614 |