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XPO, Inc. (XPO)

Industrials | Trucking | Greenwich, United States | NYSE
209.45 USD +1.57 (0.755%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:23 a.m. EDT

XPO's nine-year price trajectory has surged 1,365%, underpinned by exceptional earnings growth of 46.6% and a 19.9% return on equity. This makes it a standout long-term candidate despite a high debt-to-equity ratio of 221%. However, the short-term picture is more complex. Trading near its 52-week high with a trailing P/E of 71, the stock faces valuation pressure. Options data confirms this tension, showing heavy hedging via out-of-the-money puts alongside upside bets at higher strikes. The statistical forecast leans slightly negative, suggesting a potential cooling-off period. Investors should view this as a core long-term holding rather than a short-term momentum play.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.037455
AutoETS0.046473
AutoARIMA0.046479
MSTL0.119067

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 3.78
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.248
Excess Kurtosis -0.99
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 221.07
Revenue per Share 70.331
Market Cap 24,591,521,792
Trailing P/E 71.98
Forward P/E 34.51
Beta 1.64
Profit Margins 4.19%
Previous Name XPO Logistics, Inc.
Website https://www.xpo.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:23 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for volatility with elevated implied volatility ranging from 45% to 53%. There is significant downside hedging evident in the heavy out-of-the-money put open interest for August and January 2027, suggesting a fear of a sharp drop or a desire for a price floor. Conversely, call open interest clusters at the 230-270 strikes for later expirations, indicating a belief in upside potential beyond current levels. The near-term mix shows a disconnect between hedging and directional bets, reflecting uncertainty despite the recent price surge.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.63262916
Address1 Five American Lane
All Time High 232.05
All Time Low 0.636371
Ask 275.0
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 935,510
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,497,311
Average Volume 1,497,311
Average Volume10Days 935,510
Beta 1.642
Bid 196.0
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 3
Book Value 15.766
City Greenwich
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 209.45
Current Ratio 0.991
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 212.335
Day Low 207.98
Debt To Equity 221.07
Display Name XPO
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Earnings Growth 0.466
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.464
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,414,600
Ebitda 1,295,000,064
Ebitda Margins 0.15604
Enterprise To Ebitda 21.966
Enterprise To Revenue 3.428
Enterprise Value 28,446,521,344
Eps Current Year 4.95313
Eps Forward 6.06848
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.91
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 209.3076
Fifty Day Average Change 0.14239502
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0006803146
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 63.262917
Fifty Two Week High 232.05
Fifty Two Week High Change -22.600006
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.09739283
Fifty Two Week Low 116.68
Fifty Two Week Low Change 92.77
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.79508054
Fifty Two Week Range 116.68 - 232.05
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,065,533,400,000
Float Shares 103,518,032
Forward Eps 6.06848
Forward P E 34.51441
Free Cashflow 323,750,016
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 37,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.18556
Gross Profits 1,540,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01993
Held Percent Institutions 1.0262799
Implied Shares Outstanding 117,409,981
Industry Trucking
Industry Disp Trucking
Industry Key trucking
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,667,260,800
Last Split Factor 1,683:1000
Long Business Summary XPO, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. The company operates in two segments, North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment provides shippers with geographic density and day-definite domestic and cross-border services to the U.S., Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean. The European Transportation segment offers dedicated truckload, LTL, truck brokerage, managed transportation, last mile, freight forwarding, and warehousing and multimodal solutions to an extensive base of customers within the consumer, trade, and industrial markets. The company was formerly known as XPO Logistics, Inc. and changed its name to XPO, Inc. in December 2022. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.
Long Name XPO, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 24,591,521,792
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_3181355
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-14
Net Income To Common 348,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 24,591,520,520
Number Of Analyst Opinions 23
Open 207.69
Operating Cashflow 1,027,000,000
Operating Margins 0.087790005
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 2.26
Phone 855 976 6951
Pre Market Change 0.44999695
Pre Market Change Percent 0.21484695
Pre Market Price 209.9
Pre Market Time 1,784,028,517
Prev Name XPO Logistics, Inc.
Previous Close 207.88
Price Eps Current Year 42.286392
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 13.284917
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.963191
Profit Margins 0.041929998
Quick Ratio 0.828
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.70833
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.56999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.75524
Regular Market Day High 212.335
Regular Market Day Low 207.98
Regular Market Day Range 207.98 - 212.335
Regular Market Open 207.69
Regular Market Previous Close 207.88
Regular Market Price 209.45
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 629,430
Return On Assets 0.059609998
Return On Equity 0.19937
Revenue Growth 0.073
Revenue Per Share 70.331
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 117,409,981
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.052800003
Shares Short 6,194,522
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 7,322,106
Short Name XPO, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.053200003
Short Ratio 3.8
Source Interval 15
State CT
Symbol XPO
Target High Price 275.0
Target Low Price 115.0
Target Mean Price 228.34782
Target Median Price 236.0
Total Cash 237,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.019
Total Debt 4,092,000,000
Total Revenue 8,298,999,808
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 2.91
Trailing P E 71.975945
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.2751
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 175.33595
Two Hundred Day Average Change 34.114044
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.19456388
Type Disp Equity
Volume 629,430
Website https://www.xpo.com
Zip 6,831