XPeng Inc. (XPEV)Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Guangzhou, China | NYSE
12.95 USD
-0.08
(-0.614%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4:02 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:53 a.m. EDT
The investment case for XPeng is currently bifurcated between a distressed valuation and a precarious operational reality. Fundamentally, the company is trapped in a multi-year decline; despite a massive 100% recovery in the most recent fiscal year, the asset has lost more than half its value over the last four years. The market is pricing in persistent execution risks, evidenced by the downgrade to 'Hold' and the looming robotaxi uncertainty, which suggests the current rally may be a capitulation event rather than a trend reversal. While the balance sheet remains intact with substantial cash reserves, the negative operating margins and shrinking revenue growth indicate a business still fighting for product-market fit in a crowded sector. Technically, the stock is oversold relative to its moving averages, creating a classic setup for a mean-reversion bounce. However, the options data reveals a speculative crowd waiting for a catalyst to drive a parabolic move, rather than patient capital accumulating for a slow grind. With no dividend to provide income and a high short interest suggesting lingering skepticism, the path of least resistance remains cautious. Investors should view the current dip as a chance to enter a high-risk, high-reward story, but the lack of consistent profitability and the weight of historical underperformance warrant a neutral stance until the turnaround proves sustainable over multiple quarters. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.098247 |
| AutoETS | 0.099283 |
| MSTL | 0.101636 |
| AutoTheta | 0.113815 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 32% |
| H-stat | 38.89 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.238 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.13 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 83.214 |
| Revenue per Share | 77.557 |
| Market Cap | 12,387,887,104 |
| Forward P/E | 22.50 |
| Beta | 1.11 |
| Profit Margins | -3.06% |
| Website | https://www.xpeng.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 6:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (16.0, 18.0, 27.0) with massive open interest walls, suggesting bets on a sharp gap-up or a rally to test resistance levels. Conversely, put open interest is concentrated just below the current price (12.0, 13.0), creating a dense 'floor' of protection. This structure indicates a 'long gamma' environment where the market expects significant swings in both directions, with traders hedging downside risk while simultaneously buying cheap calls for a potential breakout.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.27734375 |
| Address1 | No.10, Cencun Fengzhuang Avenue |
| Address2 | Tianhe District |
| All Time High | 74.49 |
| All Time Low | 6.18 |
| Ask | 13.37 |
| Ask Size | 1,600 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.7 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 7,429,010 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 7,263,854 |
| Average Volume | 7,263,854 |
| Average Volume10Days | 7,429,010 |
| Beta | 1.112 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 2,600 |
| Book Value | 4.6544256 |
| City | Guangzhou |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,735,603,200 |
| Country | China |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 12.95 |
| Current Ratio | 1.138 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 13.14 |
| Day Low | 12.7813 |
| Debt To Equity | 83.214 |
| Display Name | XPeng |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,779,966,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,779,966,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,779,971,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,787,056,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,787,056,200 |
| Ebitda | -1,189,754,752 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.01609 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -4.588 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.074 |
| Enterprise Value | 5,458,796,032 |
| Eps Current Year | -1.75 |
| Eps Forward | 0.5754489 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.35 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 14.8794 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.9294004 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.12966923 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -27.734375 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 28.235 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -15.285001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5413494 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 11.77 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.1799994 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.100254826 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 11.77 - 28.235 |
| Financial Currency | CNY |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,598,535,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 708,964,260 |
| Forward Eps | 0.5754489 |
| Forward P E | 22.504171 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 19,884 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.20023 |
| Gross Profits | 14,805,452,800 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.04741 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.113929994 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 956,593,619 |
| Industry | Auto Manufacturers |
| Industry Disp | Auto Manufacturers |
| Industry Key | auto-manufacturers |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,020-08-27 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | XPeng Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets smart electric vehicles (EVs) in the People's Republic of China and globally. The company offers P7 and P7i, a four-door sports sedan; G9, a smart EV and a mid- to large-sized sport utility vehicle (SUV); G7 for families and individual consumers seeking advanced technology and comfort; G6, a smart EV and a coupe SUV; X9, Smart EV and a large seven-seater multi-purpose vehicle (MPV); MONA M03, an all-electric hatchback coupe; Next P7, an all-new coupe sports sedan; and P7+, smart EV of XPeng series. It also provides XOS Tianji, smart in-car operating system; Powertrain; and SEPA 2.0, a smart electric platform architecture. In addition, the company offers various services, including services embedded in a sales contract, supercharging, maintenance, technical support, technical research and development, and second-hand vehicle sales services; and insurance technology support, and automotive loan referral and auto financing services. XPeng Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. |
| Long Name | XPeng Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 12,387,887,104 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_682614209 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -2,259,514,112 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 12,394,617,173 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 26 |
| Open | 13.0 |
| Operating Margins | -0.14774 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 86 20 6680 6680 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.36500072 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 2.819627 |
| Pre Market Price | 13.31 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,031,960 |
| Previous Close | 13.03 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -7.4 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.782298 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.16753317 |
| Profit Margins | -0.03056 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.656 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.73077 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.0799999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.613967 |
| Regular Market Day High | 13.14 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 12.7813 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 12.7813 - 13.14 |
| Regular Market Open | 13.0 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 13.03 |
| Regular Market Price | 12.95 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,958 |
| Regular Market Volume | 4,073,829 |
| Return On Assets | -0.02337 |
| Return On Equity | -0.07638 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.176 |
| Revenue Per Share | 77.557 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Shares Outstanding | 782,239,490 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.057800002 |
| Shares Short | 55,259,076 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 54,110,091 |
| Short Name | XPeng Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.073 |
| Short Ratio | 7.22 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | XPEV |
| Target High Price | 30.012856 |
| Target Low Price | 15.06369 |
| Target Mean Price | 22.538862 |
| Target Median Price | 22.804789 |
| Total Cash | 30,594,603,008 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 32.027 |
| Total Debt | 23,682,467,840 |
| Total Revenue | 73,942,892,544 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.35 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 18.61255 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -5.662551 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.30423293 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 4,073,829 |
| Website | https://www.xpeng.com |
| Zip | 510,640 |