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XPeng Inc. (XPEV)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Guangzhou, China | NYSE
12.95 USD -0.08 (-0.614%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4:02 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 12.91 -0.04 (-0.040%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:53 a.m. EDT

The investment case for XPeng is currently bifurcated between a distressed valuation and a precarious operational reality. Fundamentally, the company is trapped in a multi-year decline; despite a massive 100% recovery in the most recent fiscal year, the asset has lost more than half its value over the last four years. The market is pricing in persistent execution risks, evidenced by the downgrade to 'Hold' and the looming robotaxi uncertainty, which suggests the current rally may be a capitulation event rather than a trend reversal. While the balance sheet remains intact with substantial cash reserves, the negative operating margins and shrinking revenue growth indicate a business still fighting for product-market fit in a crowded sector. Technically, the stock is oversold relative to its moving averages, creating a classic setup for a mean-reversion bounce. However, the options data reveals a speculative crowd waiting for a catalyst to drive a parabolic move, rather than patient capital accumulating for a slow grind. With no dividend to provide income and a high short interest suggesting lingering skepticism, the path of least resistance remains cautious. Investors should view the current dip as a chance to enter a high-risk, high-reward story, but the lack of consistent profitability and the weight of historical underperformance warrant a neutral stance until the turnaround proves sustainable over multiple quarters.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.098247
AutoETS0.099283
MSTL0.101636
AutoTheta0.113815

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 38.89
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.238
Excess Kurtosis -1.13
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 83.214
Revenue per Share 77.557
Market Cap 12,387,887,104
Forward P/E 22.50
Beta 1.11
Profit Margins -3.06%
Website https://www.xpeng.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (16.0, 18.0, 27.0) with massive open interest walls, suggesting bets on a sharp gap-up or a rally to test resistance levels. Conversely, put open interest is concentrated just below the current price (12.0, 13.0), creating a dense 'floor' of protection. This structure indicates a 'long gamma' environment where the market expects significant swings in both directions, with traders hedging downside risk while simultaneously buying cheap calls for a potential breakout.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.26133788
Address1 No.10, Cencun Fengzhuang Avenue
Address2 Tianhe District
All Time High 74.49
All Time Low 6.18
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 1,600
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 7,857,720
Average Daily Volume3 Month 7,286,290
Average Volume 7,286,290
Average Volume10Days 7,857,720
Beta 1.112
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 2,600
Book Value 4.6544256
City Guangzhou
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 12.95
Current Ratio 1.138
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 13.14
Day Low 12.7813
Debt To Equity 83.214
Display Name XPeng
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,779,966,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,779,966,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,779,971,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,056,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,056,200
Ebitda -1,189,754,752
Ebitda Margins -0.01609
Enterprise To Ebitda -4.588
Enterprise To Revenue 0.074
Enterprise Value 5,458,796,032
Eps Current Year -1.75
Eps Forward 0.5754489
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.34
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 14.9376
Fifty Day Average Change -1.9876003
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.13306022
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -26.133787
Fifty Two Week High 28.235
Fifty Two Week High Change -15.285001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5413494
Fifty Two Week Low 11.77
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.1799994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.100254826
Fifty Two Week Range 11.77 - 28.235
Financial Currency CNY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,598,535,000,000
Float Shares 708,964,260
Forward Eps 0.5754489
Forward P E 22.504171
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 19,884
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.20023
Gross Profits 14,805,452,800
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04741
Held Percent Institutions 0.11394
Implied Shares Outstanding 956,593,619
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Industry Disp Auto Manufacturers
Industry Key auto-manufacturers
Ipo Expected Date 2,020-08-27
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary XPeng Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets smart electric vehicles (EVs) in the People's Republic of China and globally. The company offers P7 and P7i, a four-door sports sedan; G9, a smart EV and a mid- to large-sized sport utility vehicle (SUV); G7 for families and individual consumers seeking advanced technology and comfort; G6, a smart EV and a coupe SUV; X9, Smart EV and a large seven-seater multi-purpose vehicle (MPV); MONA M03, an all-electric hatchback coupe; Next P7, an all-new coupe sports sedan; and P7+, smart EV of XPeng series. It also provides XOS Tianji, smart in-car operating system; Powertrain; and SEPA 2.0, a smart electric platform architecture. In addition, the company offers various services, including services embedded in a sales contract, supercharging, maintenance, technical support, technical research and development, and second-hand vehicle sales services; and insurance technology support, and automotive loan referral and auto financing services. XPeng Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Long Name XPeng Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 12,387,887,104
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_682614209
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -2,259,514,112
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 12,504,412,010
Number Of Analyst Opinions 26
Open 13.0
Operating Margins -0.14774
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 86 20 6680 6680
Post Market Change -0.03999996
Post Market Change Percent -0.30888003
Post Market Price 12.91
Post Market Time 1,783,987,172
Previous Close 13.03
Price Eps Current Year -7.4
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.782298
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.16753317
Profit Margins -0.03056
Quick Ratio 0.656
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.73077
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0799999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.613967
Regular Market Day High 13.14
Regular Market Day Low 12.7813
Regular Market Day Range 12.7813 - 13.14
Regular Market Open 13.0
Regular Market Previous Close 13.03
Regular Market Price 12.95
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,958
Regular Market Volume 4,073,829
Return On Assets -0.02337
Return On Equity -0.07638
Revenue Growth -0.176
Revenue Per Share 77.557
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 782,239,490
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.057800002
Shares Short 55,259,076
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 54,110,091
Short Name XPeng Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.073
Short Ratio 7.22
Source Interval 15
Symbol XPEV
Target High Price 29.965477
Target Low Price 15.03991
Target Mean Price 22.503283
Target Median Price 22.768787
Total Cash 30,594,603,008
Total Cash Per Share 32.027
Total Debt 23,682,467,840
Total Revenue 73,942,892,544
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.34
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 18.65375
Two Hundred Day Average Change -5.7037497
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.30576962
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,073,829
Website https://www.xpeng.com
Zip 510,640