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XPEL, Inc. (XPEL)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Parts | San Antonio, United States | NasdaqCM
44.37 USD +0.36 (0.807%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 1:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:05 a.m. EDT

XPEL presents a compelling dichotomy: a fundamentally resilient niche compounder currently trading at a discount due to recent price weakness, yet lacking the immediate catalyst to spark a short-term surge. The business is healthy, with revenue growing 14.7% and earnings up 10.4%, while operating margins remain robust at 16.2%. Valuation is attractive relative to growth, trading at a forward P/E of roughly 16x and a P/S of 2.4x, well below its historical highs. However, the price action tells a different story for the immediate future. The stock has underperformed its moving averages, sitting below both the 50-day and 200-day lines, which dampens near-term momentum. Furthermore, the absence of a dividend and the heavy concentration of options activity at distant strikes suggest the market is waiting for a specific event to drive volatility, rather than pricing in a steady climb. While the long-term thesis as a quality growth stock remains intact, the short-term setup feels like a pause before the next leg up, making it a hold for accumulation rather than a high-conviction entry for immediate gains.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.114652
AutoETS0.114695
AutoARIMA0.114695
MSTL0.126430

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 0.93
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.125
Excess Kurtosis -1.32
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 19.949
Revenue per Share 18.399
Market Cap 1,223,176,320
Trailing P/E 23.11
Forward P/E 16.43
Beta 1.18
Profit Margins 10.77%
Website https://www.xpel.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:05 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile range-bound scenario rather than a decisive breakout. Call open interest is heavily concentrated at strikes significantly out-of-the-money ($52.50 and $55.00), suggesting bets on a sharp rally to the upper end of the fifty-two-week range. Conversely, put open interest is clustered deep out-of-the-money ($32.50 and $37.50), indicating a hedge against a drop back toward the lower end of the trading range. The lack of significant open interest near the current price suggests traders expect the stock to drift within its existing channels rather than break out immediately.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.26939714
Address1 711 Broadway
Address2 Suite 320
All Time High 103.84
All Time Low 5.14
Ask 56.97
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 8
Average Daily Volume10 Day 154,940
Average Daily Volume3 Month 203,671
Average Volume 203,671
Average Volume10Days 154,940
Beta 1.176
Bid 32.3
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 9
Book Value 11.103
City San Antonio
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 44.365
Current Ratio 2.61
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 45.655
Day Low 44.17
Debt To Equity 19.949
Display Name XPEL
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,933,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,933,000
Earnings Growth 0.104
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.107
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,933,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,795,400
Ebitda 83,181,000
Ebitda Margins 0.16371
Enterprise To Ebitda 15.012
Enterprise To Revenue 2.458
Enterprise Value 1,248,694,656
Eps Current Year 2.25
Eps Forward 2.7
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.92
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 47.4057
Fifty Day Average Change -3.040699
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.064142056
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 26.939714
Fifty Two Week High 55.91
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.544998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.20649254
Fifty Two Week Low 31.88
Fifty Two Week Low Change 12.4850025
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.39162493
Fifty Two Week Range 31.88 - 55.91
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,561,987,800,000
Float Shares 22,972,499
Forward Eps 2.7
Forward P E 16.431482
Free Cashflow -15,348,625
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 1,337
Fullday Change 0.35500336
Fullday Change Percent 0.80664253
Fullday Price 44.365
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.42901
Gross Profits 217,976,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.09433
Held Percent Institutions 0.8719
Implied Shares Outstanding 27,570,748
Industry Auto Parts
Industry Disp Auto Parts
Industry Key auto-parts
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary XPEL, Inc. manufactures, installs, sells, and distributes protective films, coatings and related services. It offers automotive and surface paint protection, windshield protection, and automotive and architectural window films, as well as proprietary DAP software. The company also provides pre-cut film products, merchandise and apparel, ceramic coatings, installation, and tools and accessories; and training services to customers for the installation of its products. In addition, the company offers paint protection kits, car wash products, after-care products, and installation tools through its website. The company sells and distributes its products through independent installers, new car dealerships, third-party distributors, automobile original equipment manufacturers, and company-owned installation centers, as well as through franchisees and online channels. The company operates in the United States, Canada, China, the Asia Pacific, European Union, the United Kingdom, Africa, India, the Middle East, Latin America, and internationally. XPEL, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
Long Name XPEL, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,223,176,320
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_10945567
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 54,734,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,227,173,993
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 44.43
Operating Cashflow 73,989,000
Operating Margins 0.16228001
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 210 678 3700
Previous Close 44.01
Price Eps Current Year 19.71778
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.995767
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.4074056
Profit Margins 0.10773
Quick Ratio 1.085
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.35500336
Regular Market Change Percent 0.80664253
Regular Market Day High 45.655
Regular Market Day Low 44.17
Regular Market Day Range 44.17 - 45.655
Regular Market Open 44.43
Regular Market Previous Close 44.01
Regular Market Price 44.365
Regular Market Time 1,792,087,007
Regular Market Volume 58,891
Return On Assets 0.108219996
Return On Equity 0.19365999
Revenue Growth 0.147
Revenue Per Share 18.399
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16440773
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 27,570,748
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.096999995
Shares Short 2,674,596
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,585,676
Short Name XPEL, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.155
Short Ratio 13.36
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol XPEL
Target High Price 65.0
Target Low Price 60.0
Target Mean Price 61.66667
Target Median Price 60.0
Total Cash 40,675,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.475
Total Debt 63,550,000
Total Revenue 508,088,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.92
Trailing P E 23.106771
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 46.7174
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.352398
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.050353784
Type Disp Equity
Volume 58,891
Website https://www.xpel.com
Zip 78,215