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XPEL, Inc. (XPEL)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Parts | San Antonio, United States | NasdaqCM
49.76 USD -0.93 (-1.835%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 49.76

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:22 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains solid, driven by a dominant competitive niche and a proven ability to compound earnings over the last six years, which saw a cumulative gain of nearly 340%. While the company recently faced two consecutive years of price declines, the underlying business metrics—such as robust revenue growth and healthy margins—suggest the market may have overreacted to temporary headwinds. The current valuation appears fair relative to this growth profile. However, the short-term picture is clouded by significant uncertainty. The stock has been volatile, trading in a tight range, and the statistical forecasting models offer almost no directional guidance, highlighting the difficulty in predicting the immediate catalyst needed to break out. This ambiguity is mirrored in the options market, where traders are hedging against a drop while simultaneously betting on a rebound. Until a clear trend emerges to resolve this tension, the best approach is to hold the quality of the business without adding to positions aggressively.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.060090
MSTL0.060730
AutoETS0.061436
AutoARIMA0.061436

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 2.25
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.086
Excess Kurtosis -1.54
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 19.949
Revenue per Share 18.399
Market Cap 1,371,920,384
Trailing P/E 25.13
Forward P/E 18.43
Beta 1.12
Profit Margins 10.77%
Website https://www.xpel.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:22 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., 32.5 and 35.0), indicating a fear of a deeper correction. However, there is also notable call interest at the 55.0 strike, suggesting a belief that the stock can reclaim its highs. Implied volatility is elevated on the near-term puts, reflecting uncertainty about the immediate path forward despite the recent recovery.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.36410117
Address1 711 Broadway
Address2 Suite 320
All Time High 103.84
All Time Low 5.14
Ask 49.79
Ask Size 3
Audit Risk 8
Average Daily Volume10 Day 157,610
Average Daily Volume3 Month 242,804
Average Volume 242,804
Average Volume10Days 157,610
Beta 1.123
Bid 36.43
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 9
Book Value 10.433
City San Antonio
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 49.76
Current Ratio 2.61
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 50.59
Day Low 49.25
Debt To Equity 19.949
Display Name XPEL
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,933,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,933,000
Earnings Growth 0.104
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.107
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,933,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,795,400
Ebitda 83,181,000
Ebitda Margins 0.16371
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.918
Enterprise To Revenue 2.77
Enterprise Value 1,407,226,368
Eps Current Year 2.25
Eps Forward 2.7
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.98
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 47.0234
Fifty Day Average Change 2.736599
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.058196537
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 36.41012
Fifty Two Week High 55.91
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.1500015
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.10999824
Fifty Two Week Low 31.5
Fifty Two Week Low Change 18.259998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.57968247
Fifty Two Week Range 31.5 - 55.91
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,561,987,800,000
Float Shares 22,974,153
Forward Eps 2.7
Forward P E 18.429628
Free Cashflow -15,348,625
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 1,337
Fullday Change -0.93
Fullday Change Percent -1.83468
Fullday Price 49.76
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.42901
Gross Profits 217,976,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.09426
Held Percent Institutions 0.94999003
Implied Shares Outstanding 27,570,748
Industry Auto Parts
Industry Disp Auto Parts
Industry Key auto-parts
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary XPEL, Inc. manufactures, installs, sells, and distributes protective films, coatings and related services. It offers automotive and surface paint protection, windshield protection, and automotive and architectural window films, as well as proprietary DAP software. The company also provides pre-cut film products, merchandise and apparel, ceramic coatings, installation, and tools and accessories; and training services to customers for the installation of its products. In addition, the company offers paint protection kits, car wash products, after-care products, and installation tools through its website. The company sells and distributes its products through independent installers, new car dealerships, third-party distributors, automobile original equipment manufacturers, and company-owned installation centers, as well as through franchisees and online channels. The company operates in the United States, Canada, China, the Asia Pacific, European Union, the United Kingdom, Africa, India, the Middle East, Latin America, and internationally. XPEL, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
Long Name XPEL, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,371,920,384
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_10945567
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 54,734,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,394,528,433
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 50.53
Operating Cashflow 73,989,000
Operating Margins 0.16228001
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 210 678 3700
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 49.76
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 50.69
Price Eps Current Year 22.115555
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.7694817
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.7001576
Profit Margins 0.10773
Quick Ratio 1.085
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.93
Regular Market Change Percent -1.83468
Regular Market Day High 50.59
Regular Market Day Low 49.25
Regular Market Day Range 49.25 - 50.59
Regular Market Open 50.53
Regular Market Previous Close 50.69
Regular Market Price 49.76
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 161,977
Return On Assets 0.108219996
Return On Equity 0.19365999
Revenue Growth 0.147
Revenue Per Share 18.399
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1966995
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 27,570,748
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0943
Shares Short 2,598,680
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 2,521,797
Short Name XPEL, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1506
Short Ratio 10.59
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol XPEL
Target High Price 65.0
Target Low Price 60.0
Target Mean Price 61.66667
Target Median Price 60.0
Total Cash 40,675,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.475
Total Debt 63,550,000
Total Revenue 508,088,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.98
Trailing P E 25.131311
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 46.8202
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.9397964
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.06278906
Type Disp Equity
Volume 161,977
Website https://www.xpel.com
Zip 78,215