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State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI)

Industrials | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
180.37 USD -1.55 (-0.852%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 179.66 -0.71 (-0.713%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:54 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:04 a.m. EDT

The industrial sector is currently caught in a tug-of-war between strong historical momentum and immediate speculative fear. Fundamentally, the ETF is in excellent shape, having delivered a +160% gain over the last nine years with no recent consecutive annual declines, suggesting the core business is robust and the market has not yet punished the asset for a structural failure. However, the short-term outlook is clouded by aggressive bearish positioning in the options chain; traders are stacking up protective puts at levels significantly below the current price, hinting at an expectation of a sharp pullback or a 'sell the news' event. While the long-term trajectory remains firmly upward, the immediate path likely involves choppy, volatile trading as speculators bet on a reversal of the recent rally. The dividend yield is modest and insufficient to offset potential capital losses during such a correction, making this a hold for long-term believers but a risky play for those seeking immediate gains.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.023007
AutoTheta0.027347
AutoETS0.027925
AutoARIMA0.027925

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 54%
H-stat 19.00
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.126
Excess Kurtosis -0.46
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 30.96

As of July 11, 2026, 6:04 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a downside event in the immediate term, evidenced by massive put volume and open interest at strikes like $140 and $162 for the July expiration, creating a significant 'put wall' that suggests a fear of a sharp correction. Conversely, call activity shows a distinct preference for upside targets around $190 and $195, with heavy open interest at these levels acting as a resistance ceiling. This divergence indicates a market expecting volatility with a specific range-bound or mean-reversion bias rather than a straight-line trend.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.24% 1.27% 1.43% 1.51%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-22 0.444 0.244224
2026-03-23 0.453 0.277829
2025-12-22 0.532 0.338746
2025-09-22 0.630 0.411765
2025-06-23 0.432 0.300292
2025-03-24 0.405 0.301586
2024-12-23 0.670 0.503305
2024-09-23 0.431 0.322508
2024-06-24 0.421 0.342082
2024-03-18 0.376 0.308500
2023-12-18 0.615 0.547153
2023-09-18 0.426 0.406916
2023-06-20 0.420 0.402878
2023-03-20 0.395 0.404921
2022-12-19 0.466 0.479819
2022-09-19 0.425 0.472275
2022-06-21 0.374 0.431174
2022-03-21 0.341 0.331938
2021-12-20 0.385 0.383390
2021-09-20 0.323 0.326725
2021-06-21 0.314 0.309421
2021-03-22 0.296 0.307948
2020-12-21 0.366 0.416193
2020-09-21 0.305 0.402003
2020-06-22 0.306 0.443221
2020-03-23 0.396 0.811975
2019-12-20 0.403 0.494843
2019-09-20 0.415 0.533350
2019-06-21 0.337 0.437208
2019-03-15 0.428 0.578457
2018-12-21 0.392 0.629719
2018-09-21 0.384 0.480000
2018-06-15 0.302 0.402023
2018-03-16 0.307 0.400888
2017-12-15 0.402 0.539453
2017-09-15 0.316 0.455397
2017-06-16 0.324 0.471753
2017-03-17 0.297 0.452192
2016-12-16 0.384 0.613615
2016-09-16 0.312 0.551139
2016-06-17 0.307 0.550870
2016-03-18 0.283 0.508718
2015-12-18 0.319 0.616544
2015-09-18 0.281 0.552497
2015-06-19 0.278 0.498923
2015-03-20 0.261 0.456933
2014-12-19 0.316 0.558403
2014-09-19 0.257 0.472166
2014-06-20 0.250 0.454380
2014-03-21 0.225 0.435624
2013-12-20 0.259 0.505267
2013-09-20 0.219 0.466354
2013-06-21 0.216 0.510638
2013-03-15 0.182 0.433643
2012-12-21 0.280 0.738202
2012-09-21 0.240 0.649175
2012-06-15 0.164 0.469108
2012-03-16 0.177 0.466035
2011-12-16 0.218 0.667279
2011-09-16 0.178 0.556772
2011-06-17 0.175 0.493653
2011-03-18 0.157 0.436475
2010-12-17 0.177 0.512449
2010-09-17 0.155 0.504886
2010-06-18 0.147 0.490000
2010-03-19 0.106 0.344044
2009-12-18 0.181 0.649910
2009-09-18 0.144 0.533136
2009-06-19 0.148 0.666667
2009-03-20 0.173 0.994825
2008-12-19 0.217 0.961027
2008-09-19 0.176 0.531561
2008-06-20 0.171 0.476323
2008-03-20 0.161 0.439530
2007-12-21 0.186 0.470291
2007-09-21 0.204 0.502092
2007-06-15 0.101 0.256215
2007-03-16 0.076 0.215603
2006-12-15 0.283 0.803977
2006-09-15 0.138 0.421632
2006-06-16 0.085 0.255562
2006-03-17 0.126 0.372891
2005-12-16 0.190 0.599937
2005-09-16 0.118 0.391896
2005-06-17 0.075 0.247036
2005-03-18 0.107 0.349902
2004-12-17 0.156 0.504528
2004-09-17 0.099 0.346275
2004-06-18 0.058 0.206995
2004-03-19 0.091 0.352031
2003-12-19 0.130 0.490937
2003-09-19 0.087 0.356557
2003-06-20 0.050 0.218150
2003-03-21 0.076 0.369291
2002-12-20 0.113 0.542747
2002-09-20 0.077 0.377266
2002-06-21 0.059 0.249050
2002-03-15 0.082 0.292127
2001-09-21 0.091 0.419742
2001-06-15 0.065 0.217755
2001-03-16 0.079 0.292484
2000-12-15 0.128 0.423140
2000-09-15 0.085 0.279835
2000-06-16 0.061 0.210458
2000-03-17 0.057 0.206569
1999-12-17 0.110 0.385542
1999-09-17 0.054 0.184124
1999-06-18 0.038 0.126535
1999-03-19 0.094 0.370900
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.24
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.006816183
dividendYield 1.11

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 186.45
All Time Low 15.14
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 7,034,530
Average Daily Volume3 Month 8,170,181
Average Volume 8,170,181
Average Volume10Days 7,034,530
Beta3 Year 1.01
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Book Value 98.382
Category Industrials
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 182.18
Day Low 179.81
Dividend Yield 1.11
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.8263206
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 176.2854
Fifty Day Average Change 4.0845947
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.023170352
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 20.468843
Fifty Two Week High 186.45
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.080002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.032609288
Fifty Two Week Low 147.14
Fifty Two Week Low Change 33.229996
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.2258393
Fifty Two Week Range 147.14 - 186.45
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 914,337,000,000
Five Year Average Return 0.1363492
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family State Street Investment Management
Fund Inception Date 913,766,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary Under normal market conditions, the fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as Industrial companies by the Global Industry Classification Standard, including securities of companies from the following industries: aerospace and defense; industrial conglomerates; marine transportation. It is non-diversified.
Long Name State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_8795505
Nav Price 181.93329
Net Assets 33,963,890,700.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.08
Open 181.52
Post Market Change -0.7133026
Post Market Change Percent -0.39546633
Post Market Price 179.6567
Post Market Time 1,783,986,872
Previous Close 181.92
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.8333637
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.55
Regular Market Change Percent -0.852025
Regular Market Day High 182.18
Regular Market Day Low 179.81
Regular Market Day Range 179.81 - 182.18
Regular Market Open 181.52
Regular Market Previous Close 181.92
Regular Market Price 180.37
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 5,384,527
Shares Outstanding 136,626,000
Short Name State Street Industrial Select
Source Interval 15
Symbol XLI
Three Year Average Return 0.2001231
Total Assets 33,963,890,688
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.24
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.006816183
Trailing P E 30.957787
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 14.84846
Trailing Three Month Returns 14.84846
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 165.2753
Two Hundred Day Average Change 15.094696
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.091330625
Type Disp ETF
Volume 5,384,527
Yield 0.0111
Ytd Return 20.12333