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State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF)

Financial | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
58.10 USD +0.22 (0.380%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 58.05 -0.05 (-0.050%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:19 a.m. EDT

The financial sector ETF is currently riding a powerful wave of momentum, having delivered a spectacular +174% return over the last nine years with no recent annual declines. The recent price action shows the asset trading near its 52-week highs, supported by strong earnings from big banks that have temporarily silenced the bear case. However, the long-term rating is capped at 3.5 because the dividend yield of 1.42% is merely inflation-matching rather than providing a meaningful income cushion, and the valuation remains elevated relative to historical norms. For the short term, the outlook is highly bullish; options data reveals a distinct 'call wall' mentality where traders are betting on further gains, while the statistical forecast model confirms a high-confidence upward drift over the next 45 days. This is a classic momentum play where the business quality is solid, but the immediate reward comes from the sector's continued rotation back into favor.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.073391
MSTL0.075755
AutoETS0.075792
AutoARIMA0.080770

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 66%
H-stat 7.14
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.218
Excess Kurtosis -1.18
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 17.00

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:19 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for upside continuation, evidenced by massive open interest walls in out-of-the-money calls (strikes 58.5, 59.0, 61.0) and significant volume spikes in strikes above the current price. While deep out-of-the-money puts show inflated implied volatility suggesting a fear of a sharp drop, the actual open interest concentration is heavily skewed toward the upside, indicating a bullish bias among retail and speculative traders.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.35% 1.53% 1.57% 1.73%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-22 0.187000 0.348231
2026-03-23 0.251000 0.509438
2025-12-22 0.191000 0.345264
2025-09-22 0.178000 0.329630
2025-06-23 0.172000 0.338449
2025-03-24 0.179000 0.356929
2024-12-23 0.206000 0.425444
2024-09-23 0.165000 0.363116
2024-06-24 0.163000 0.391921
2024-03-18 0.153000 0.374358
2023-12-18 0.184000 0.493430
2023-09-18 0.155000 0.445787
2023-06-20 0.150000 0.452080
2023-03-20 0.153000 0.490857
2022-12-19 0.210000 0.628742
2022-09-19 0.173000 0.520144
2022-06-21 0.164000 0.522626
2022-03-21 0.152000 0.391652
2021-12-20 0.184000 0.488582
2021-09-20 0.162000 0.443228
2021-06-21 0.139000 0.387079
2021-03-22 0.151000 0.449004
2020-12-21 0.152000 0.529248
2020-09-21 0.135000 0.564145
2020-06-22 0.152000 0.641080
2020-03-23 0.159000 0.900340
2019-12-20 0.156000 0.508475
2019-09-20 0.144000 0.512821
2019-06-21 0.139000 0.510654
2019-03-15 0.135000 0.506947
2018-12-21 0.145000 0.636244
2018-09-21 0.128000 0.445372
2018-06-15 0.119000 0.433200
2018-03-16 0.105000 0.363699
2017-12-15 0.128000 0.460266
2017-09-15 0.103000 0.415826
2017-06-16 0.093000 0.382874
2017-03-17 0.088000 0.359918
2016-12-16 0.107000 0.458048
2016-09-16 0.092608 0.482644
2016-06-17 0.098294 0.535161
2016-03-18 0.081235 0.439948
2015-12-18 0.121852 0.643776
2015-09-18 0.091795 0.498675
2015-06-19 0.089358 0.444623
2015-03-20 0.073924 0.368274
2014-12-19 0.102356 0.510536
2014-09-19 0.079610 0.414376
2014-06-20 0.073111 0.394217
2014-03-21 0.067425 0.370536
2013-12-20 0.082047 0.467376
2013-09-20 0.065800 0.396475
2013-06-21 0.062551 0.402721
2013-03-15 0.050366 0.336046
2012-12-21 0.084484 0.634145
2012-09-21 0.053615 0.416930
2012-06-15 0.055240 0.474201
2012-03-16 0.040617 0.318063
2011-12-16 0.064988 0.637960
2011-09-16 0.040617 0.387293
2011-06-17 0.043054 0.355940
2011-03-18 0.034119 0.258147
2010-12-17 0.045491 0.360589
2010-09-17 0.026807 0.225869
2010-06-18 0.025183 0.209038
2010-03-19 0.029245 0.229449
2009-12-18 0.042242 0.365681
2009-09-18 0.038180 0.310433
2009-06-19 0.049553 0.506642
2009-03-20 0.069862 1.056513
2008-12-19 0.148660 1.496324
2008-09-19 0.154346 0.848972
2008-06-20 0.162470 0.901716
2008-03-20 0.160845 0.752280
2007-12-21 0.212835 0.894503
2007-09-21 0.207149 0.736995
2007-06-15 0.165719 0.544727
2007-03-16 0.120227 0.422614
2006-12-15 0.228270 0.767761
2006-09-15 0.157595 0.568080
2006-06-16 0.151909 0.587681
2006-03-17 0.143786 0.534745
2005-12-16 0.168968 0.650405
2005-09-16 0.139724 0.574291
2005-06-17 0.142161 0.590618
2005-03-18 0.125914 0.535037
2004-12-17 0.151909 0.623126
2004-09-17 0.128351 0.540541
2004-06-18 0.118603 0.511922
2004-03-19 0.108855 0.457340
2003-12-19 0.133225 0.594634
2003-09-19 0.112916 0.530128
2003-06-20 0.094232 0.463072
2003-03-21 0.078798 0.438519
2002-12-20 0.108042 0.587195
2002-09-20 0.090983 0.541063
2002-06-21 0.090983 0.449078
2002-03-15 0.073111 0.326086
2001-12-21 0.093420 0.439099
2001-09-21 0.080422 0.452052
2001-06-15 0.082047 0.366207
2001-03-16 0.070674 0.335259
2000-12-15 0.083672 0.371381
2000-09-15 0.071487 0.307258
2000-06-16 0.070674 0.362499
2000-03-17 0.069050 0.366826
1999-12-17 0.068237 0.364227
1999-09-17 0.060926 0.327421
1999-06-18 0.057677 0.277075
1999-03-19 0.056052 0.270588
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.58
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.010020732
dividendYield 1.42

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 58.41
All Time Low 4.776604
Ask 58.08
Ask Size 11,800
Average Daily Volume10 Day 29,406,590
Average Daily Volume3 Month 33,555,500
Average Volume 33,555,500
Average Volume10Days 29,406,590
Beta3 Year 0.72
Bid 57.96
Bid Size 18,300
Book Value 34.017
Category Financial
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 58.41
Day Low 57.92
Dividend Yield 1.42
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.4170015
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 56.3592
Fifty Day Average Change 1.740799
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.030887574
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 8.005226
Fifty Two Week High 58.41
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.31000137
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.005307334
Fifty Two Week Low 47.67
Fifty Two Week Low Change 10.43
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.21879591
Fifty Two Week Range 47.67 - 58.41
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 914,337,000,000
Five Year Average Return 0.1010196
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change 0.219997
Fullday Change Percent 0.380092
Fullday Price 58.05
Fund Family State Street Investment Management
Fund Inception Date 913,766,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as Financial companies by the Global Industry Classification Standard, including securities of companies from the following industries: financial services; insurance; banks; capital markets; mortgage real estate investment trusts; and consumer finance. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_8795483
Nav Price 58.24206
Net Assets 57,884,381,000.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.08
Open 57.98
Post Market Change -0.049999237
Post Market Change Percent -0.08605721
Post Market Price 58.05
Post Market Time 1,787,961,533
Previous Close 57.88
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.7079695
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.219997
Regular Market Change Percent 0.380092
Regular Market Day High 58.41
Regular Market Day Low 57.92
Regular Market Day Range 57.92 - 58.41
Regular Market Open 57.98
Regular Market Previous Close 57.88
Regular Market Price 58.1
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 25,049,523
Shares Outstanding 883,444,992
Short Name State Street Financial Select S
Source Interval 15
Symbol XLF
Three Year Average Return 0.2130522
Total Assets 57,884,381,184
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.58
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.010020732
Trailing P E 17.003212
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 9.60009
Trailing Three Month Returns 9.60009
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 53.3347
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.765297
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.08934703
Type Disp ETF
Volume 25,049,523
Yield 0.014199999
Ytd Return 4.85976