| Indicators | Browse All

Exagen Inc. (XGN)

Healthcare | Diagnostics & Research | Vista, United States | NasdaqGM
7.39 USD -0.13 (-1.729%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 7.39

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:09 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is driven by a powerful speculative squeeze rather than traditional value metrics. While the company remains unprofitable with negative earnings and operating cash flow, the recent price action—surging nearly 230% year-over-year—has ignited a frenzy among options traders who are positioning heavily for further upside. The stock is trading significantly above its 50-day moving average, confirming strong momentum, though the statistical forecasting models offer no directional guidance due to extreme volatility. For the short term, the heavy call open interest suggests a 'momentum play' where buyers are willing to pay a premium for exposure to a potential breakout, making it a high-conviction entry for traders despite the fundamental risks. However, the lack of dividends and negative free cash flow means this rally relies entirely on growth expectations and sentiment; if the revenue story fails to sustain, the lack of a safety net could lead to a rapid correction.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.171173
AutoTheta0.180909
AutoETS0.188530
MSTL0.229389

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 29%
H-stat 0.78
Ljung-Box p 0.026
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 8.37
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 226.392
Revenue per Share 3.007
Market Cap 179,025,264
Forward P/E -16.80
Beta 2.03
Profit Margins -26.61%
Website https://www.exagen.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:09 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish, evidenced by massive open interest in in-the-money calls (strikes at 5.0 and 7.5) compared to negligible put activity. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term calls, suggesting a high probability of a sharp upward move or significant gap-up event. The lack of defensive put positioning indicates the market is pricing in a continuation of the recent rally rather than a crash.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.21748179
Address1 1,261 Liberty Way
Address2 Suite C
All Time High 29.858
All Time Low 1.3
Ask 8.21
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 332,400
Average Daily Volume3 Month 330,362
Average Volume 330,362
Average Volume10Days 332,400
Beta 2.027
Bid 5.1
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 9
Book Value 0.505
City Vista
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 7.39
Current Ratio 3.185
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 7.605
Day Low 7.32
Debt To Equity 226.392
Display Name Exagen
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,846,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,846,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,846,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,313,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,313,800
Ebitda -10,772,000
Ebitda Margins -0.15145999
Enterprise To Ebitda -16.904
Enterprise To Revenue 2.56
Enterprise Value 182,093,248
Eps Current Year -0.62
Eps Forward -0.44
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.82
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 5.4321
Fifty Day Average Change 1.9579
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.36043152
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -21.748178
Fifty Two Week High 12.23
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.8399997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.39574814
Fifty Two Week Low 2.59
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.8
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.853282
Fifty Two Week Range 2.59 - 12.23
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,568,899,800,000
Float Shares 13,872,883
Forward Eps -0.44
Forward P E -16.795454
Free Cashflow -1,557,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 216
Fullday Change -0.13
Fullday Change Percent -1.72872
Fullday Price 7.39
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.58636004
Gross Profits 41,703,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.27833
Held Percent Institutions 0.44882
Implied Shares Outstanding 24,225,339
Industry Diagnostics & Research
Industry Disp Diagnostics & Research
Industry Key diagnostics-research
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Exagen Inc. designs, develops, and commercializes various testing products under the AVISE brand in the United States. The company enables healthcare providers to care for patients through the diagnosis, prognosis, and monitoring of complex rheumatic, and autoimmune and autoimmune-related diseases, including systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The company's lead testing product is AVISE CTD that enables differential diagnosis for patients presenting with symptoms indicative of various connective tissue diseases (CTDs) and other related diseases with overlapping symptoms. The company offers AVISE Lupus platform, a cornerstone of the SLE assessment that begins by quantifying the level of CB-CAPs biomarkers (EC4d and BC4d) in the patient's blood; and AVISE APS that aids in the diagnosis and management of APS. In addition, it provides AVISE Vasculitis AAV, which utilizes a testing panel of individual analytes to provide physicians with results in the assessment and monitoring of anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody associated vasculitis; AVISE Anti-Histone, a test for autoantibodies to histone proteins; AVISE SLE Prognostic, a panel of autoantibodies for assessing the potential for complications affecting the kidney, brain, and cardiovascular system; and AVISE Anti-CarP, a biomarker-driven RA prognostic test. Further, the company offers AVISE SLE Monitor, a blood test that employs CB-CAPs technology; AVISE MTX, a patented and validated blood test; and AVISE HCQ, a blood test to monitor levels of hydroxychloroquine. It has a research collaboration and license agreement with Allegheny Health Network (AHN) Research Institute to develop T-Cell biomarkers. The company was formerly known as Exagen Diagnostics, Inc. and changed its name to Exagen Inc. in January 2019. Exagen Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Vista, California.
Long Name Exagen Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 179,025,264
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_8444750
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -18,923,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 182,416,802
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 7.53
Operating Cashflow -6,498,000
Operating Margins -0.08635
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 760 560 1501
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 7.39
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 7.52
Price Eps Current Year -11.919354
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 14.633663
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.5171573
Profit Margins -0.26606
Quick Ratio 2.749
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.13
Regular Market Change Percent -1.72872
Regular Market Day High 7.605
Regular Market Day Low 7.31
Regular Market Day Range 7.31 - 7.605
Regular Market Open 7.53
Regular Market Previous Close 7.52
Regular Market Price 7.39
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 244,025
Return On Assets -0.14918
Return On Equity -1.13823
Revenue Growth 0.159
Revenue Per Share 3.007
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 24,225,339
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0388
Shares Short 940,432
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 978,980
Short Name Exagen Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0429
Short Ratio 2.39
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol XGN
Target High Price 12.0
Target Low Price 9.0
Target Mean Price 9.85714
Target Median Price 10.0
Total Cash 24,588,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.015
Total Debt 27,656,000
Total Revenue 71,122,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.82
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 4.831225
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.558775
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.52963275
Type Disp Equity
Volume 244,025
Website https://www.exagen.com
Zip 92,081