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GraniteShares YieldBOOST Bitcoin ETF (XBTY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
5.60 USD -0.01 (-0.178%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 5.60

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:37 a.m. EDT

The GraniteShares YieldBOOST Bitcoin ETF presents a classic 'high-yield trap' scenario where the headline 174% yield is misleading due to massive capital destruction. While the weekly distributions look generous on paper, the share price has collapsed from roughly $25 to under $6—a loss of nearly 80%—erasing the value of the dividends paid. The recent price action shows a steady grind lower, trading well below its 50-day and 200-day averages, confirming a downtrend. The options market reinforces this bearish sentiment, with traders buying deep out-of-the-money puts to hedge against further collapse rather than betting on a recovery. Although the business model (Bitcoin exposure) remains intact, the current price trajectory and the severe drawdown suggest the market is pricing in significant further downside or a prolonged period of low prices. The yield is not generating income; it is returning the principal. For a short-term trade, the momentum is clearly negative. Long-term, the asset is neutral because the underlying Bitcoin exposure is still viable, but the current price structure offers no margin of safety given the recent 80% loss.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.056451
AutoTheta0.077534
AutoETS0.112603
MSTL0.117030

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 54%
H-stat 50.38
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.123
Excess Kurtosis -1.49

As of July 11, 2026, 3:37 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated significantly out-of-the-money (strikes 14, 21, 18), suggesting a fear of a sharp decline back toward zero or lower. Call activity is sparse and mostly ATM, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish conviction despite the high yield.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.79% 90.83%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-10 0.044 0.785013
2026-07-02 0.043 0.769231
2026-06-26 0.044 0.790798
2026-06-18 0.046 0.793788
2026-06-12 0.045 0.763359
2026-06-05 0.047 0.790580
2026-05-29 0.051 0.793280
2026-05-22 0.051 0.782209
2026-05-15 0.070 1.044309
2026-05-08 0.132 1.932650
2026-05-01 0.127 1.832612
2026-04-24 0.136 1.924982
2026-04-17 0.135 1.885475
2026-04-10 0.135 1.906780
2026-04-02 0.132 1.903663
2026-03-27 0.139 1.956369
2026-03-20 0.150 1.992032
2026-03-13 0.148 1.933377
2026-03-06 0.151 1.965890
2026-02-27 0.150 1.930502
2026-02-20 0.159 1.964175
2026-02-13 0.161 1.904199
2026-02-06 0.177 2.020548
2026-01-30 0.194 2.050523
2026-01-23 0.194 1.904762
2026-01-16 0.207 1.891275
2026-01-09 0.214 1.965647
2026-01-02 0.211 1.885275
2025-12-26 0.210 1.902002
2025-12-19 0.206 1.857529
2025-12-12 0.222 1.888558
2025-12-05 0.223 1.893039
2025-11-28 0.230 1.863857
2025-11-21 0.246 2.053422
2025-11-14 0.272 2.093918
2025-11-07 0.286 2.001400
2025-10-31 0.309 1.964399
2025-10-24 0.308 1.928616
2025-10-17 0.315 1.997463
2025-10-10 0.361 2.072331
2025-10-03 0.369 1.947229
2025-09-26 0.391 2.055731
2025-09-19 0.404 1.920152
2025-09-12 0.415 1.917745
2025-09-05 0.410 1.913206
2025-08-29 0.417 1.961430
2025-08-22 0.433 1.852010
2025-08-15 0.453 1.931770
2025-08-08 0.448 1.899915
2025-08-01 0.473 2.023097
2025-07-25 0.475 1.912238
2025-07-18 0.478 1.919679
2025-07-11 0.477 1.902673
2025-07-03 0.457 1.841257
2025-06-27 0.504 2.045455
2025-06-20 0.608 2.504119
2025-06-13 0.623 2.487026
2025-06-06 0.461 1.842452
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 174.11

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 26.92
All Time Low 5.49
Ask 7.15
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 21,410
Average Daily Volume3 Month 45,159
Average Volume 45,159
Average Volume10Days 21,410
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 4.02
Bid Size 2
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 5.62
Day Low 5.56
Dividend Yield 174.11
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.22492
Fifty Day Average Change -0.6249199
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.10039003
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -77.85461
Fifty Two Week High 25.6
Fifty Two Week High Change -20.0
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.78125
Fifty Two Week Low 5.49
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.11000013
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.020036455
Fifty Two Week Range 5.49 - 25.6
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,747,143,000,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family Graniteshares
Fund Inception Date 1,747,008,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund will invest at least 80% of its net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in derivatives contracts that utilize the underlying Bitcoin ETF as the reference asset. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name GraniteShares YieldBOOST Bitcoin ETF
Market us_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1903253729
Nav Price 5.63
Net Assets 11,576,483.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.15
Open 5.57
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 5.6
Post Market Time 1,783,986,604
Previous Close 5.61
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0100002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.178257
Regular Market Day High 5.62
Regular Market Day Low 5.56
Regular Market Day Range 5.56 - 5.62
Regular Market Open 5.57
Regular Market Previous Close 5.61
Regular Market Price 5.6
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 92,043
Short Name GraniteShares YieldBOOST Bitcoi
Source Interval 15
Symbol XBTY
Total Assets 11,576,483
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -7.87536
Trailing Three Month Returns -7.87536
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.050285
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.4502854
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.4428019
Type Disp ETF
Volume 92,043
Yield 1.7411
Ytd Return -24.47481