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Watsco, Inc. (WSO)

Industrials | Industrial Distribution | Miami, United States | NYSE
310.76 USD -2.29 (-0.732%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 310.76

Short-term:★⯪☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:53 a.m. EDT

Watsco is caught between a legacy of strong performance and a present reality of operational strain. While the nine-year cumulative gain remains impressive, the company is currently navigating margin compression and a revenue miss that has dragged earnings growth into negative territory. The 4.2% yield looks attractive on paper, but a payout ratio exceeding 100% signals that dividends are being funded beyond current earnings, creating a fragility that contradicts the buy-and-hold thesis. Short-term momentum is clearly broken with the stock trading well below its moving averages, and the recent price action confirms a lack of immediate support. Investors should wait for clearer signs of margin recovery and earnings stabilization before committing capital to a turnaround story that has not yet proven itself.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.110147
AutoETS0.164622
MSTL0.168432
AutoARIMA0.169292

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 41.05
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.099
Excess Kurtosis -1.52
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-15
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-15
Debt to Equity Ratio 15.411
Revenue per Share 191.853
Market Cap 12,819,531,776
Trailing P/E 26.81
Forward P/E 23.42
Beta 1.04
Profit Margins 6.53%
Website https://www.watsco.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are hedging downside risk with significant deep OTM put volume and IV spikes at the 200-210 strikes, indicating a fear of a sharp drop. Call positioning is modest with a notable long-dated wall at 380, but the overall flow suggests a defensive stance rather than a bullish breakout.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.86% 3.24% 2.66% 2.84%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-16 3.300000 0.856787
2026-04-16 3.300000 0.782176
2026-01-16 3.000000 0.786246
2025-10-16 3.000000 0.812282
2025-07-16 3.000000 0.635930
2025-04-15 3.000000 0.587820
2025-01-17 2.700000 0.544048
2024-10-16 2.700000 0.545885
2024-07-16 2.700000 0.519341
2024-04-12 2.700000 0.646381
2024-01-16 2.450000 0.609362
2023-10-16 2.450000 0.640791
2023-07-14 2.450000 0.671877
2023-04-14 2.450000 0.785332
2023-01-13 2.450000 0.889421
2022-10-14 2.200000 0.911086
2022-07-14 2.200000 0.882648
2022-04-13 2.200000 0.746446
2022-01-13 1.950000 0.646788
2021-10-14 1.950000 0.689119
2021-07-14 1.950000 0.680201
2021-04-14 1.950000 0.704251
2021-01-14 1.775000 0.762195
2020-10-14 1.775000 0.745924
2020-07-15 1.775000 0.927668
2020-04-14 1.775000 1.146123
2020-01-15 1.600000 0.912149
2019-10-11 1.600000 0.944454
2019-07-15 1.600000 0.990405
2019-04-12 1.600000 1.105354
2019-01-15 1.600000 1.126285
2018-10-12 1.450000 0.888971
2018-07-16 1.450000 0.802346
2018-04-13 1.450000 0.790578
2018-01-12 1.250000 0.717401
2017-10-13 1.250000 0.783404
2017-07-13 1.250000 0.825409
2017-04-11 1.050000 0.744945
2017-01-12 1.050000 0.712928
2016-10-13 1.050000 0.753498
2016-07-13 0.850000 0.605931
2016-04-13 0.850000 0.629723
2016-01-13 0.850000 0.781322
2015-10-13 0.700000 0.549149
2015-07-13 0.700000 0.557991
2015-04-13 0.700000 0.560538
2015-01-16 0.700000 0.662816
2014-10-10 0.600000 0.694364
2014-07-11 0.600000 0.614125
2014-04-11 0.400000 0.409207
2014-01-13 0.400000 0.426667
2013-10-10 0.400000 0.422520
2013-07-11 0.250000 0.275786
2013-04-11 0.250000 0.302480
2013-01-23 0.250000 0.332668
2012-10-11 5.620000 8.136673
2012-07-12 0.620000 0.823592
2012-04-12 0.620000 0.858726
2012-01-11 0.620000 0.905109
2011-10-12 0.570000 0.955254
2011-07-13 0.570000 0.863898
2011-04-13 0.570000 0.818966
2011-01-12 0.520000 0.836551
2010-10-13 0.520000 0.906397
2010-07-13 0.520000 0.860927
2010-04-13 0.520000 0.883302
2010-01-13 0.480000 0.976404
2009-10-13 0.480000 0.909953
2009-07-13 0.480000 1.054945
2009-04-13 0.480000 1.206637
2009-01-13 0.450000 1.253482
2008-10-10 0.450000 0.956429
2008-07-11 0.450000 1.040944
2008-04-11 0.450000 1.031164
2008-01-11 0.400000 1.199400
2007-10-11 0.400000 0.907853
2007-07-11 0.330000 0.580475
2007-04-11 0.330000 0.657240
2007-01-10 0.250000 0.546329
2006-10-11 0.250000 0.534874
2006-07-12 0.250000 0.456371
2006-04-11 0.250000 0.392034
2006-01-11 0.200000 0.303951
2005-10-12 0.200000 0.400962
2005-07-13 0.140000 0.331518
2005-04-13 0.140000 0.334768
2005-01-12 0.140000 0.399772
2004-10-13 0.100000 0.326052
2004-07-13 0.100000 0.369686
2004-04-13 0.100000 0.353982
2004-01-13 0.080000 0.353982
2003-10-10 0.080000 0.400000
2003-07-11 0.040000 0.237107
2003-04-11 0.040000 0.269906
2003-01-13 0.040000 0.236967
2002-10-10 0.030000 0.217391
2002-07-11 0.030000 0.171527
2002-04-11 0.030000 0.165654
2002-01-10 0.025000 0.170068
2001-10-11 0.025000 0.206441
2001-07-11 0.025000 0.192604
2001-04-11 0.025000 0.191424
2001-01-10 0.025000 0.182615
2000-10-12 0.025000 0.250000
2000-07-12 0.025000 0.186916
2000-04-12 0.025000 0.213904
2000-01-12 0.025000 0.205128
1999-10-13 0.025000 0.242424
1999-07-13 0.026000 0.160618
1999-04-13 0.025000 0.149813
1999-01-13 0.025000 0.142349
1998-10-13 0.025000 0.169492
1998-07-13 0.023333 0.100357
1998-04-13 0.023333 0.139649
1998-01-13 0.023333 0.139301
1997-10-10 0.023333 0.116909
1997-07-11 0.023333 0.125278
1997-04-11 0.023333 0.140702
1997-01-13 0.023333 0.135264
1996-10-10 0.023333 0.187917
1996-07-11 0.023333 0.183004
1996-04-11 0.022222 0.187792
1996-01-17 0.022222 0.273970
1995-10-12 0.022222 0.305340
1995-07-12 0.022222 0.373828
1995-04-10 0.019259 0.363631
1995-01-09 0.019259 0.403095
1994-10-11 0.019259 0.412693
1994-07-11 0.019259 0.406245
1994-04-11 0.019259 0.429746
1994-01-10 0.017778 0.432438
1993-10-08 0.017778 0.417397
1993-07-09 0.017778 0.384005
1993-04-08 0.017778 0.440372
1993-01-11 0.017778 0.500006
1992-10-08 0.017778 0.533340
1992-07-09 0.017778 0.666675
1992-04-09 0.017778 0.695661
Additional Data
dividendRate 13.2
dividendYield 4.22
exDividendDate 2026-07-16
trailingAnnualDividendRate 12.3
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.03929085
lastDividendValue 3.3
lastDividendDate 2026-07-16
dividendDate 2026-07-31

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.20575923
Address1 2,665 South Bayshore Drive
Address2 Suite 901
All Time High 571.42
All Time Low 1.657848
Ask 310.85
Ask Size 80
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.8 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 478,860
Average Daily Volume3 Month 440,858
Average Volume 440,858
Average Volume10Days 478,860
Beta 1.042
Bid 310.34
Bid Size 80
Board Risk 9
Book Value 77.598
City Miami
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 310.76
Current Ratio 3.199
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 319.54
Day Low 306.12
Debt To Equity 15.411
Display Name Watsco
Dividend Date 1,785,456,000
Dividend Rate 13.2
Dividend Yield 4.22
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,333,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,333,600
Earnings Growth -0.117
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.11
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,190,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,190,600
Ebitda 701,102,016
Ebitda Margins 0.096260004
Enterprise To Ebitda 17.889
Enterprise To Revenue 1.722
Enterprise Value 12,541,725,696
Eps Current Year 12.14305
Eps Forward 13.26753
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 11.59
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,784,160,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 356.5218
Fifty Day Average Change -45.76178
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.12835619
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -20.575922
Fifty Two Week High 459.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -148.23999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.32296294
Fifty Two Week Low 295.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change 15.01001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.050752357
Fifty Two Week Range 295.75 - 459.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 455,463,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.72
Float Shares 33,512,423
Forward Eps 13.26753
Forward P E 23.422596
Free Cashflow 483,663,744
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 6,950
Fullday Change -2.28998
Fullday Change Percent -0.731506
Fullday Price 310.76
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.27512
Gross Profits 2,003,837,056
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00382
Held Percent Institutions 1.10074
Implied Shares Outstanding 41,252,194
Industry Industrial Distribution
Industry Disp Industrial Distribution
Industry Key industrial-distribution
Ir Website http://investors.watsco.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=94992&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,784,160,000
Last Dividend Value 3.3
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 903,312,000
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary Watsco, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies in the United States, Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. It distributes equipment, including residential ducted and ductless air conditioners, such as gas, electric, and oil furnaces; commercial air conditioning and heating equipment systems; and other specialized equipment. The company also offers parts comprising replacement compressors, evaporator coils, motors, and other component parts; and supplies, such as thermostats, insulation materials, refrigerants, ductworks, grills, registers, sheet metals, tools, copper tubing, concrete pads, tapes, adhesives, and other ancillary supplies, as well as plumbing and bathroom remodeling supplies. It serves contractors and dealers that service the replacement and new construction markets for residential and light commercial central air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration systems. Watsco, Inc. was incorporated in 1956 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.
Long Name Watsco, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 12,819,531,776
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_313461
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 443,478,016
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 12,930,989,644
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 315.96
Operating Cashflow 733,262,976
Operating Margins 0.1094
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 1.054
Peg Ratio 1.32
Phone 305 714 4100
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 310.76
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 313.05
Price Eps Current Year 25.591595
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.0047426
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.7600468
Profit Margins 0.06531
Quick Ratio 1.412
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.78571
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.28998
Regular Market Change Percent -0.731506
Regular Market Day High 319.54
Regular Market Day Low 306.12
Regular Market Day Range 306.12 - 319.54
Regular Market Open 315.96
Regular Market Previous Close 313.05
Regular Market Price 310.76
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,203
Regular Market Volume 416,127
Return On Assets 0.08369
Return On Equity 0.16744
Revenue Growth 0.021
Revenue Per Share 191.853
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 35,588,756
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0
Shares Short 90
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 57
Short Name Watsco, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0
Short Ratio 0.0
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol WSO
Target High Price 485.0
Target Low Price 330.0
Target Mean Price 378.7
Target Median Price 367.0
Total Cash 464,188,992
Total Cash Per Share 12.029
Total Debt 535,268,992
Total Revenue 7,283,631,104
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 12.3
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.03929085
Trailing Eps 11.59
Trailing P E 26.81277
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.3658
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 375.87106
Two Hundred Day Average Change -65.11105
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1732271
Type Disp Equity
Volume 416,127
Website https://www.watsco.com
Zip 33,133