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Watsco, Inc. (WSO)

Industrials | Industrial Distribution | Miami, United States | NYSE
295.91 USD -0.29 (-0.098%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 295.00 -0.91 (-0.910%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4:11 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★⯪☆☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 10:40 a.m. EDT

Watsco is trading near its 52-week low after a sharp 14% decline over the past two weeks, driven by a recent sales miss and margin pressure. While the long-term track record is impressive with a 153% gain over nine years, the current fundamentals are strained. The 4.68% yield is attractive, but the payout ratio exceeding 100% signals that earnings are not fully covering the dividend, creating a sustainability risk. Analysts see significant upside to the $375 target, yet the technical breakdown and negative earnings growth suggest caution is warranted until the margin pressures resolve.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.135951
AutoETS0.142943
AutoARIMA0.143485
AutoTheta0.144775

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 1.43
Ljung-Box p 0.206
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 6.95
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-10-15
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-15
Debt to Equity Ratio 15.411
Revenue per Share 191.853
Market Cap 12,206,936,064
Trailing P/E 25.36
Forward P/E 22.26
Beta 1.04
Profit Margins 6.53%
Website https://www.watsco.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 10:40 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in at-the-money puts at the 280 strike, indicating a fear of further downside near current levels. Call activity is concentrated further out-of-the-money at 380 and 390 strikes, suggesting limited bullish conviction for a full recovery to previous highs. Implied volatility is elevated on deep out-of-the-money puts, reflecting anxiety about a potential gap lower.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.86% 3.24% 2.44% 2.70%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-16 3.300000 0.856787
2026-04-16 3.300000 0.782176
2026-01-16 3.000000 0.786246
2025-10-16 3.000000 0.812282
2025-07-16 3.000000 0.635930
2025-04-15 3.000000 0.587820
2025-01-17 2.700000 0.544048
2024-10-16 2.700000 0.545885
2024-07-16 2.700000 0.519341
2024-04-12 2.700000 0.646381
2024-01-16 2.450000 0.609362
2023-10-16 2.450000 0.640791
2023-07-14 2.450000 0.671877
2023-04-14 2.450000 0.785332
2023-01-13 2.450000 0.889421
2022-10-14 2.200000 0.911086
2022-07-14 2.200000 0.882648
2022-04-13 2.200000 0.746446
2022-01-13 1.950000 0.646788
2021-10-14 1.950000 0.689119
2021-07-14 1.950000 0.680201
2021-04-14 1.950000 0.704251
2021-01-14 1.775000 0.762195
2020-10-14 1.775000 0.745924
2020-07-15 1.775000 0.927668
2020-04-14 1.775000 1.146123
2020-01-15 1.600000 0.912149
2019-10-11 1.600000 0.944454
2019-07-15 1.600000 0.990405
2019-04-12 1.600000 1.105354
2019-01-15 1.600000 1.126285
2018-10-12 1.450000 0.888971
2018-07-16 1.450000 0.802346
2018-04-13 1.450000 0.790578
2018-01-12 1.250000 0.717401
2017-10-13 1.250000 0.783404
2017-07-13 1.250000 0.825409
2017-04-11 1.050000 0.744945
2017-01-12 1.050000 0.712928
2016-10-13 1.050000 0.753498
2016-07-13 0.850000 0.605931
2016-04-13 0.850000 0.629723
2016-01-13 0.850000 0.781322
2015-10-13 0.700000 0.549149
2015-07-13 0.700000 0.557991
2015-04-13 0.700000 0.560538
2015-01-16 0.700000 0.662816
2014-10-10 0.600000 0.694364
2014-07-11 0.600000 0.614125
2014-04-11 0.400000 0.409207
2014-01-13 0.400000 0.426667
2013-10-10 0.400000 0.422520
2013-07-11 0.250000 0.275786
2013-04-11 0.250000 0.302480
2013-01-23 0.250000 0.332668
2012-10-11 5.620000 8.136673
2012-07-12 0.620000 0.823592
2012-04-12 0.620000 0.858726
2012-01-11 0.620000 0.905109
2011-10-12 0.570000 0.955254
2011-07-13 0.570000 0.863898
2011-04-13 0.570000 0.818966
2011-01-12 0.520000 0.836551
2010-10-13 0.520000 0.906397
2010-07-13 0.520000 0.860927
2010-04-13 0.520000 0.883302
2010-01-13 0.480000 0.976404
2009-10-13 0.480000 0.909953
2009-07-13 0.480000 1.054945
2009-04-13 0.480000 1.206637
2009-01-13 0.450000 1.253482
2008-10-10 0.450000 0.956429
2008-07-11 0.450000 1.040944
2008-04-11 0.450000 1.031164
2008-01-11 0.400000 1.199400
2007-10-11 0.400000 0.907853
2007-07-11 0.330000 0.580475
2007-04-11 0.330000 0.657240
2007-01-10 0.250000 0.546329
2006-10-11 0.250000 0.534874
2006-07-12 0.250000 0.456371
2006-04-11 0.250000 0.392034
2006-01-11 0.200000 0.303951
2005-10-12 0.200000 0.400962
2005-07-13 0.140000 0.331518
2005-04-13 0.140000 0.334768
2005-01-12 0.140000 0.399772
2004-10-13 0.100000 0.326052
2004-07-13 0.100000 0.369686
2004-04-13 0.100000 0.353982
2004-01-13 0.080000 0.353982
2003-10-10 0.080000 0.400000
2003-07-11 0.040000 0.237107
2003-04-11 0.040000 0.269906
2003-01-13 0.040000 0.236967
2002-10-10 0.030000 0.217391
2002-07-11 0.030000 0.171527
2002-04-11 0.030000 0.165654
2002-01-10 0.025000 0.170068
2001-10-11 0.025000 0.206441
2001-07-11 0.025000 0.192604
2001-04-11 0.025000 0.191424
2001-01-10 0.025000 0.182615
2000-10-12 0.025000 0.250000
2000-07-12 0.025000 0.186916
2000-04-12 0.025000 0.213904
2000-01-12 0.025000 0.205128
1999-10-13 0.025000 0.242424
1999-07-13 0.026000 0.160618
1999-04-13 0.025000 0.149813
1999-01-13 0.025000 0.142349
1998-10-13 0.025000 0.169492
1998-07-13 0.023333 0.100357
1998-04-13 0.023333 0.139649
1998-01-13 0.023333 0.139301
1997-10-10 0.023333 0.116909
1997-07-11 0.023333 0.125278
1997-04-11 0.023333 0.140702
1997-01-13 0.023333 0.135264
1996-10-10 0.023333 0.187917
1996-07-11 0.023333 0.183004
1996-04-11 0.022222 0.187792
1996-01-17 0.022222 0.273970
1995-10-12 0.022222 0.305340
1995-07-12 0.022222 0.373828
1995-04-10 0.019259 0.363631
1995-01-09 0.019259 0.403095
1994-10-11 0.019259 0.412693
1994-07-11 0.019259 0.406245
1994-04-11 0.019259 0.429746
1994-01-10 0.017778 0.432438
1993-10-08 0.017778 0.417397
1993-07-09 0.017778 0.384005
1993-04-08 0.017778 0.440372
1993-01-11 0.017778 0.500006
1992-10-08 0.017778 0.533340
1992-07-09 0.017778 0.666675
1992-04-09 0.017778 0.695661
Additional Data
dividendRate 13.2
dividendYield 4.41
exDividendDate 2026-10-16
trailingAnnualDividendRate 12.3
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.041525993
lastDividendValue 3.3
lastDividendDate 2026-07-16
dividendDate 2026-10-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.19228697
Address1 2,665 South Bayshore Drive
Address2 Suite 901
All Time High 571.42
All Time Low 1.657848
Ask 299.5
Ask Size 80
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.7 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 555,830
Average Daily Volume3 Month 522,001
Average Volume 522,001
Average Volume10Days 555,830
Beta 1.042
Bid 294.8
Bid Size 40
Board Risk 8
Book Value 77.598
City Miami
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 295.91
Current Ratio 3.199
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 299.157
Day Low 292.1
Debt To Equity 15.411
Display Name Watsco
Dividend Date 1,793,318,400
Dividend Rate 13.2
Dividend Yield 4.41
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Earnings Growth -0.117
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.11
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,104,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,104,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,104,200
Ebitda 701,102,016
Ebitda Margins 0.096260004
Enterprise To Ebitda 17.269
Enterprise To Revenue 1.662
Enterprise Value 12,107,215,872
Eps Current Year 12.09114
Eps Forward 13.2927
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 11.67
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,792,108,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 308.5182
Fifty Day Average Change -12.608185
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.040866908
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -19.228697
Fifty Two Week High 459.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -163.09
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3553159
Fifty Two Week Low 277.34
Fifty Two Week Low Change 18.570007
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.066957556
Fifty Two Week Range 277.34 - 459.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 455,463,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.68
Float Shares 33,493,901
Forward Eps 13.27396
Forward P E 22.261091
Free Cashflow 483,663,744
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 6,950
Fullday Change -1.2000122
Fullday Change Percent -0.40513578
Fullday Price 295.0
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.27512
Gross Profits 2,003,837,056
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00433
Held Percent Institutions 1.0891
Implied Shares Outstanding 41,252,194
Industry Industrial Distribution
Industry Disp Industrial Distribution
Industry Key industrial-distribution
Ir Website http://investors.watsco.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=94992&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,784,160,000
Last Dividend Value 3.3
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 903,312,000
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary Watsco, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies in the United States, Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. It distributes equipment, including residential ducted and ductless air conditioners, such as gas, electric, and oil furnaces; commercial air conditioning and heating equipment systems; and other specialized equipment. The company also offers parts comprising replacement compressors, evaporator coils, motors, and other component parts; and supplies, such as thermostats, insulation materials, refrigerants, ductworks, grills, registers, sheet metals, tools, copper tubing, concrete pads, tapes, adhesives, and other ancillary supplies, as well as plumbing and bathroom remodeling supplies. It serves contractors and dealers that service the replacement and new construction markets for residential and light commercial central air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration systems. Watsco, Inc. was incorporated in 1956 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.
Long Name Watsco, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 12,206,936,064
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_313461
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 443,478,016
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 12,952,296,747
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 295.49
Operating Cashflow 733,262,976
Operating Margins 0.1094
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 1.054
Peg Ratio 1.15
Phone 305 714 4100
Post Market Change -0.91000366
Post Market Change Percent -0.30752718
Post Market Price 295.0
Post Market Time 1,792,181,516
Previous Close 296.2
Price Eps Current Year 24.473293
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.8133717
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.675941
Profit Margins 0.06531
Quick Ratio 1.412
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.71429
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.290009
Regular Market Change Percent -0.0979097
Regular Market Day High 299.157
Regular Market Day Low 292.1
Regular Market Day Range 292.1 - 299.157
Regular Market Open 295.49
Regular Market Previous Close 296.2
Regular Market Price 295.91
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,803
Regular Market Volume 513,442
Return On Assets 0.08369
Return On Equity 0.16744
Revenue Growth 0.021
Revenue Per Share 191.853
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 35,588,756
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1012
Shares Short 4,175,908
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 3,941,524
Short Name Watsco, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1549
Short Ratio 8.53
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol WSO
Target High Price 485.0
Target Low Price 315.0
Target Mean Price 367.4
Target Median Price 342.5
Total Cash 464,188,992
Total Cash Per Share 12.029
Total Debt 535,268,992
Total Revenue 7,283,631,104
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 12.3
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.041525993
Trailing Eps 11.67
Trailing P E 25.35647
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.2025
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 369.12524
Two Hundred Day Average Change -73.21524
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.19834797
Type Disp Equity
Volume 513,442
Website https://www.watsco.com
Zip 33,133