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West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG)

Basic Materials | Lumber & Wood Production | Vancouver, Canada | NYSE
67.06 USD -0.21 (-0.312%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:56 a.m. EDT

The investment case for West Fraser is currently fractured by deteriorating operational fundamentals. The company is posting negative profit margins and burning cash, which is a severe warning sign for a cyclical industrial leader. This operational distress is reflected in the price action, which has failed to recover meaningfully despite a massive long-term rally, resulting in two consecutive years of decline. The valuation metrics are misleading; trading at less than book value and with a negative forward P/E suggests the market has already priced in a permanent impairment of the business model rather than a temporary trough. While the dividend provides a modest cushion, the payout ratio is dangerously high given the free cash flow burn, making it unsustainable if earnings do not turn quickly. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying protection at current levels. Until the company demonstrates a clear path to restoring profitability and stabilizing its balance sheet, the risk of further capital destruction outweighs the potential for a cyclical bounce.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.053904
AutoETS0.054001
AutoARIMA0.054002
AutoTheta0.057483

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 50%
H-stat 2.09
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.146
Excess Kurtosis -1.34
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-24
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-24
Debt to Equity Ratio 9.542
Revenue per Share 67.871
Market Cap 5,251,054,080
Forward P/E 28.51
Beta 1.13
Profit Margins -21.87%
Website https://www.westfraser.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:56 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at the money and near-the-money strikes for the immediate expiration, creating a significant floor around current prices. While there is some call interest at higher strikes (75/80) suggesting a belief in a cyclical rebound, the dominant sentiment is hedging against downside risk rather than aggressive bullish speculation.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.46% 0.95% 1.35% 1.35%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-25 0.3200 0.457797
2026-03-13 0.3200 0.496047
2025-06-26 0.3200 0.431209
2025-03-14 0.3200 0.417809
2024-12-27 0.3200 0.370071
2024-09-26 0.3200 0.333194
2024-06-26 0.3200 0.415584
2024-03-14 0.3000 0.371471
2023-12-28 0.3000 0.349000
2023-09-26 0.3000 0.415053
2023-06-20 0.3000 0.368415
2023-03-16 0.3000 0.413223
2022-12-29 0.3000 0.404640
2022-09-21 0.3000 0.398989
2022-06-21 0.3000 0.382020
2022-03-17 0.2500 0.256911
2021-12-23 0.2000 0.220507
2021-09-22 0.1950 0.242266
2021-06-18 0.2020 0.293136
2021-03-17 0.1610 0.246403
2020-12-24 0.1560 0.241038
2020-09-29 0.1500 0.324184
2020-07-06 0.1480 0.403270
2020-03-17 0.1430 0.627193
2019-12-24 0.1520 0.346636
2019-09-27 0.1510 0.381024
2019-06-25 0.1520 0.339741
2019-03-15 0.1500 0.302969
2018-12-24 0.1470 0.300184
2018-09-24 0.1550 0.260899
2018-06-26 0.1130 0.173313
2018-03-16 0.1150 0.168498
2017-12-22 0.0860 0.136486
2017-09-25 0.0890 0.154086
2017-06-23 0.0530 0.116663
2017-03-16 0.0530 0.125207
2016-12-16 0.0520 0.143251
2016-09-27 0.0530 0.172134
2016-06-24 0.0550 0.190114
2016-03-17 0.0530 0.139510
2015-12-17 0.0510 0.135028
2015-09-24 0.0530 0.151689
2015-06-25 0.0570 0.102888
2015-03-18 0.0550 0.110375
2014-12-18 0.0600 0.112676
2014-09-25 0.0630 0.128336
2014-06-26 0.0650 0.139815
2014-03-19 0.0630 0.134990
2013-12-19 0.0655 0.135317
2013-06-20 0.0680 0.159850
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.28
dividendYield 1.9
exDividendDate 2026-06-25
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.28
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0190278
lastDividendValue 0.32
lastDividendDate 2026-06-25
dividendDate 2026-07-13

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.10735136
Address1 885 West Georgia Street
Address2 Suite 1500
All Time High 102.96
All Time Low 8.565
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 2.1 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 152,920
Average Daily Volume3 Month 184,593
Average Volume 184,593
Average Volume10Days 152,920
Beta 1.125
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 3
Book Value 74.7
City Vancouver
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 67.06
Current Ratio 1.837
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 67.668
Day Low 66.605
Debt To Equity 9.542
Display Name West Fraser Timber
Dividend Date 1,783,900,800
Dividend Rate 1.28
Dividend Yield 1.9
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Ebitda -205,000,000
Ebitda Margins -0.03841
Enterprise To Ebitda -27.844
Enterprise To Revenue 1.07
Enterprise Value 5,708,054,528
Eps Current Year -3.16702
Eps Forward 2.35196
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -14.89
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,345,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 65.364
Fifty Day Average Change 1.6959991
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.025946992
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -10.735136
Fifty Two Week High 76.99
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.93
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.12897779
Fifty Two Week Low 57.34
Fifty Two Week Low Change 9.719997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.16951513
Fifty Two Week Range 57.34 - 76.99
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,234,535,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.45
Float Shares 54,637,275
Forward Eps 2.35196
Forward P E 28.51239
Free Cashflow -380,750,016
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 9,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.21454
Gross Profits 1,144,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.32345
Held Percent Institutions 0.5841
Implied Shares Outstanding 78,303,822
Industry Lumber & Wood Production
Industry Disp Lumber & Wood Production
Industry Key lumber-wood-production
Ir Website http://www.westfraser.com/ir/index.asp
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,345,600
Last Dividend Value 0.32
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,389,657,600
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd., a diversified wood products company, engages in manufacturing, selling, marketing, and distributing lumber, engineered wood products, northern bleached softwood kraft pulp, newsprint, paper, wood chips and other residuals. It operates through four segments: Lumber, North America Engineered Wood Products, Pulp & Paper, and Europe Engineered Wood Products. The Lumber segment produces spruce, pine, fir and southern yellow pine lumber, douglas fir, hemlock, wood chips, and other residuals. The North America Engineered Wood Products segment manufactures oriented strand board, laminated veneer lumber, medium-density fibreboard, plywood, and particleboard, with OSB products marketed under brands such as Durastrand pointSIX, Pinnacle Stabledge, TruFlor pointSIX and TruFlor, Rimboard, SteadiTred, QuakeZone, Windstorm, TallWall and Trubord, and SolarBord, Trubord, TruDeck, StableDeck and StableWall, DuraSmart, Stable RVand NorCore; and MDF products under Ranger, WestPine, and EcoGold. The Pulp & Paper segment produces northern bleached softwood kraft pulp (NBSK), newsprint, and bleached chemithermomechanical pulp used to produce various paper products, including printing and writing papers, paper products, and tissue. The Europe Engineered Wood Products segment produces OSB, particleboard, and MDF applications including cabinet doors, mouldings and interior wall paneling under the SterlingOSB Zero, CaberFloor, and CaberMDF brands. It also provides bioenergy and green raw materials. Its products are used in home construction, repair and remodeling, paper, tissue, and box materials, and industrial applications. It sells its products to major retail chains, dealers, contractor supply yards, and wholesalers, as well as industrial customers for further processing or as components for other products in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, and internationally. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Long Name West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,251,054,080
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_643621
Most Recent Quarter 1,775,174,400
Net Income To Common -1,167,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,238,088,310
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 67.23
Operating Cashflow 1,000,000
Operating Margins -0.15817
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.72190005
Phone 604 895 2700
Previous Close 67.27
Price Eps Current Year -21.174479
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.8977242
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.9838962
Profit Margins -0.21866
Quick Ratio 0.631
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.14286
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.209999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.312173
Regular Market Day High 67.668
Regular Market Day Low 66.605
Regular Market Day Range 66.605 - 67.668
Regular Market Open 67.23
Regular Market Previous Close 67.27
Regular Market Price 67.06
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 80,073
Return On Assets -0.05725
Return On Equity -0.18558
Revenue Growth -0.086
Revenue Per Share 67.871
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 76,022,344
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0256
Shares Short 1,864,549
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,815,308
Short Name West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd
Short Ratio 8.96
Source Interval 15
State BC
Symbol WFG
Target High Price 90.0
Target Low Price 75.0
Target Mean Price 83.66667
Target Median Price 83.5
Total Cash 81,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.034
Total Debt 538,000,000
Total Revenue 5,336,999,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.28
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0190278
Trailing Eps -14.89
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 65.18125
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.878746
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.028823411
Type Disp Equity
Volume 80,073
Website https://www.westfraser.com
Zip V6C 3E8