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West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG)

Basic Materials | Lumber & Wood Production | Vancouver, Canada | NYSE
63.43 USD -0.67 (-1.045%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 9:53 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★⯪☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:30 a.m. EDT

The investment case for West Fraser is currently fractured by deteriorating operational reality. Despite a historical trajectory showing a massive 121% gain over nine years, the company is trapped in a multi-year decline cycle, having lost over a third of its value in the last year alone. Fundamentals are alarming: the business is generating negative free cash flow, posting operating losses, and carrying a debt load that dwarfs its equity base. While management is executing a restructuring plan to close inefficient mills, the financials reflect a company burning capital rather than generating it. The 2% dividend yield is insufficient to offset the risk of a shrinking balance sheet and negative earnings power. On the short end, the technicals are weak, trading well below key moving averages, while options flow confirms a defensive stance with buyers placing heavy insurance at current levels. This is a value trap where the low price reflects genuine business distress rather than a margin of safety.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.038041
AutoETS0.044336
AutoARIMA0.044337
MSTL0.048926

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 0.29
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.832
Excess Kurtosis -0.29
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-28
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-28
Debt to Equity Ratio 7.025
Revenue per Share 66.814
Market Cap 4,966,811,648
Forward P/E 30.01
Beta 1.14
Profit Margins -22.98%
Website https://www.westfraser.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:30 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume concentrated at strikes near the current price (65 and 70), creating a significant floor. Call activity is sparse and skewed toward distant out-of-the-money strikes, indicating a lack of immediate bullish conviction despite the elevated implied volatility on near-term calls suggesting fear of a downside spike.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.45% 1.41% 1.36% 1.39%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-29 0.3200 0.452041
2026-06-25 0.3200 0.457797
2026-03-13 0.3200 0.496047
2025-06-26 0.3200 0.431209
2025-03-14 0.3200 0.417809
2024-12-27 0.3200 0.370071
2024-09-26 0.3200 0.333194
2024-06-26 0.3200 0.415584
2024-03-14 0.3000 0.371471
2023-12-28 0.3000 0.349000
2023-09-26 0.3000 0.415053
2023-06-20 0.3000 0.368415
2023-03-16 0.3000 0.413223
2022-12-29 0.3000 0.404640
2022-09-21 0.3000 0.398989
2022-06-21 0.3000 0.382020
2022-03-17 0.2500 0.256911
2021-12-23 0.2000 0.220507
2021-09-22 0.1950 0.242266
2021-06-18 0.2020 0.293136
2021-03-17 0.1610 0.246403
2020-12-24 0.1560 0.241038
2020-09-29 0.1500 0.324184
2020-07-06 0.1480 0.403270
2020-03-17 0.1430 0.627193
2019-12-24 0.1520 0.346636
2019-09-27 0.1510 0.381024
2019-06-25 0.1520 0.339741
2019-03-15 0.1500 0.302969
2018-12-24 0.1470 0.300184
2018-09-24 0.1550 0.260899
2018-06-26 0.1130 0.173313
2018-03-16 0.1150 0.168498
2017-12-22 0.0860 0.136486
2017-09-25 0.0890 0.154086
2017-06-23 0.0530 0.116663
2017-03-16 0.0530 0.125207
2016-12-16 0.0520 0.143251
2016-09-27 0.0530 0.172134
2016-06-24 0.0550 0.190114
2016-03-17 0.0530 0.139510
2015-12-17 0.0510 0.135028
2015-09-24 0.0530 0.151689
2015-06-25 0.0570 0.102888
2015-03-18 0.0550 0.110375
2014-12-18 0.0600 0.112676
2014-09-25 0.0630 0.128336
2014-06-26 0.0650 0.139815
2014-03-19 0.0630 0.134990
2013-12-19 0.0655 0.135317
2013-06-20 0.0680 0.159850
Additional Data
dividendYield 2.0
exDividendDate 2026-09-29
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.28
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.019968798
lastDividendValue 0.32
lastDividendDate 2026-09-29
dividendDate 2026-10-19

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.065977275
Address1 885 West Georgia Street
Address2 Suite 1500
All Time High 102.96
All Time Low 8.565
Ask 63.99
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 175,230
Average Daily Volume3 Month 220,393
Average Volume 220,393
Average Volume10Days 175,230
Beta 1.141
Bid 63.04
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 3
Book Value 71.082
City Vancouver
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 63.43
Current Ratio 2.059
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 63.77
Day Low 63.355
Debt To Equity 7.025
Display Name West Fraser Timber
Dividend Date 1,792,368,000
Dividend Yield 2.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,304,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,304,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda -240,000,000
Ebitda Margins -0.04581
Enterprise To Ebitda -22.244
Enterprise To Revenue 1.019
Enterprise Value 5,338,624,000
Eps Current Year -3.8125
Eps Forward 2.11333
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -15.36
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,790,640,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 68.973
Fifty Day Average Change -5.5429993
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.08036477
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -6.597728
Fifty Two Week High 76.99
Fifty Two Week High Change -13.559998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.17612675
Fifty Two Week Low 57.34
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.09
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.106208585
Fifty Two Week Range 57.34 - 76.99
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,234,535,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.41
Float Shares 54,649,803
Forward Eps 2.11333
Forward P E 30.014244
Free Cashflow -423,500,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 9,600
Fullday Change 0.20284653
Fullday Change Percent 0.31739405
Fullday Price 63.43
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.21836
Gross Profits 1,144,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.32345
Held Percent Institutions 0.58897996
Implied Shares Outstanding 78,303,822
Industry Lumber & Wood Production
Industry Disp Lumber & Wood Production
Industry Key lumber-wood-production
Ir Website http://www.westfraser.com/ir/index.asp
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,790,640,000
Last Dividend Value 0.32
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,389,657,600
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd., a diversified wood products company, engages in manufacturing, selling, marketing, and distributing lumber, engineered wood products, northern bleached softwood kraft pulp, newsprint, paper, wood chips and other residuals. It operates through four segments: Lumber, North America Engineered Wood Products, Pulp & Paper, and Europe Engineered Wood Products. The Lumber segment produces spruce, pine, fir and southern yellow pine lumber, douglas fir, hemlock, wood chips, and other residuals. The North America Engineered Wood Products segment manufactures oriented strand board, laminated veneer lumber, medium-density fibreboard, plywood, and particleboard, with OSB products marketed under brands such as Durastrand pointSIX, Pinnacle Stabledge, TruFlor pointSIX and TruFlor, Rimboard, SteadiTred, QuakeZone, Windstorm, TallWall and Trubord, and SolarBord, Trubord, TruDeck, StableDeck and StableWall, DuraSmart, Stable RVand NorCore; and MDF products under Ranger, WestPine, and EcoGold. The Pulp & Paper segment produces northern bleached softwood kraft pulp (NBSK), newsprint, and bleached chemithermomechanical pulp used to produce various paper products, including printing and writing papers, paper products, and tissue. The Europe Engineered Wood Products segment produces OSB, particleboard, and MDF applications including cabinet doors, mouldings and interior wall paneling under the SterlingOSB Zero, CaberFloor, and CaberMDF brands. It also provides bioenergy and green raw materials. Its products are used in home construction, repair and remodeling, paper, tissue, and box materials, and industrial applications. It sells its products to major retail chains, dealers, contractor supply yards, and wholesalers, as well as industrial customers for further processing or as components for other products in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, and internationally. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Long Name West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,966,811,648
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_643621
Most Recent Quarter 1,783,036,800
Net Income To Common -1,204,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,725,663,645
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 63.26
Operating Cashflow -92,000,000
Operating Margins -0.05579
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.7578
Phone 604 895 2700
Previous Close 64.1
Price Eps Current Year -16.637377
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.89234966
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.94804573
Profit Margins -0.22981001
Quick Ratio 0.752
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.85714
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.66999817
Regular Market Change Percent -1.045239
Regular Market Day High 63.77
Regular Market Day Low 63.355
Regular Market Day Range 63.355 - 63.77
Regular Market Open 63.26
Regular Market Previous Close 64.1
Regular Market Price 63.43
Regular Market Time 1,791,986,027
Regular Market Volume 9,011
Return On Assets -0.06079
Return On Equity -0.19319999
Revenue Growth -0.064
Revenue Per Share 66.814
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 76,022,344
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0345
Shares Short 2,699,112
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,445,208
Short Name West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd
Short Ratio 11.95
Source Interval 15
State BC
Symbol WFG
Target High Price 90.0
Target Low Price 83.0
Target Mean Price 86.5
Target Median Price 86.5
Total Cash 74,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.945
Total Debt 391,000,000
Total Revenue 5,239,000,064
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.28
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.019968798
Trailing Eps -15.36
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 66.9756
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.545601
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.052938696
Type Disp Equity
Volume 9,011
Website https://www.westfraser.com
Zip V6C 3E8