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Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN)

Industrials | Waste Management | Woodbridge, Canada | NYSE
171.17 USD +0.10 (0.058%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:03 a.m. EDT

Waste Connections is riding a powerful momentum surge, rallying over 11 percent in just two weeks despite a recent earnings miss. The price action has pushed the stock well above its 50-day and 200-day averages, and options flow confirms aggressive bullish positioning with heavy call open interest at nearby strikes. However, the long-term picture is mixed; while the nine-year price trajectory is exceptional with zero negative years, the current valuation is stretched with a trailing P/E of 41.5x and a high debt-to-equity ratio of 117 percent. The company is growing revenue at a modest 6.4 percent pace rather than the explosive rates required for a top-tier compounder, and liquidity is tight with a current ratio below 1. For investors seeking capital appreciation, the short-term trend is compelling, but the high valuation and balance sheet fragility warrant caution for a permanent hold.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.040232
AutoETS0.047141
AutoARIMA0.047960
MSTL0.048368

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 61%
H-stat 0.79
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.090
Excess Kurtosis -0.24
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-05
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-05
Debt to Equity Ratio 117.097
Revenue per Share 37.447
Market Cap 43,491,028,992
Trailing P/E 41.65
Forward P/E 27.63
Beta 0.48
Profit Margins 10.97%
Website https://www.wasteconnections.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:03 a.m. EDT: Call option open interest is heavily concentrated near the current price, with significant positioning at the 165, 175, and 180 strike levels, indicating strong bullish speculation for near-term upside. Put volume is negligible across all expirations, suggesting minimal hedging against downside risk. Implied volatility remains moderate, reflecting a balanced but optimistic sentiment among traders.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.23% 0.61% 0.67% 0.68%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-06 0.350000 0.228043
2026-02-25 0.350000 0.210084
2025-08-06 0.315000 0.167678
2025-05-07 0.315000 0.158778
2025-02-27 0.315000 0.169064
2024-11-07 0.315000 0.173172
2024-08-07 0.285000 0.158960
2024-05-07 0.285000 0.172205
2024-02-27 0.285000 0.169310
2023-11-07 0.285000 0.216450
2023-08-15 0.255000 0.184315
2023-05-09 0.255000 0.178621
2023-02-28 0.255000 0.190412
2022-11-15 0.255000 0.187348
2022-08-17 0.230000 0.159811
2022-05-17 0.230000 0.180576
2022-03-01 0.230000 0.182815
2021-11-08 0.230000 0.170737
2021-08-17 0.205000 0.161494
2021-05-11 0.205000 0.169421
2021-03-02 0.205000 0.205989
2020-11-09 0.205000 0.192905
2020-07-31 0.185000 0.180717
2020-05-04 0.185000 0.216780
2020-02-26 0.185000 0.185241
2019-11-08 0.185000 0.208240
2019-08-09 0.160000 0.174368
2019-05-07 0.160000 0.175573
2019-02-28 0.160000 0.191847
2018-11-09 0.160000 0.207900
2018-05-15 0.140000 0.186866
2018-02-27 0.140000 0.195422
2017-11-07 0.140000 0.202488
2017-08-03 0.120000 0.183599
2017-05-08 0.120000 0.194468
2017-03-03 0.120000 0.205058
2016-11-03 0.120000 0.242948
2016-07-28 0.096667 0.195129
2016-04-29 0.096667 0.215518
2016-02-26 0.096667 0.230929
2015-11-05 0.096667 0.262968
2015-08-06 0.086667 0.261623
2015-04-28 0.086667 0.276479
2015-02-26 0.086667 0.276010
2014-10-31 0.086667 0.260522
2014-07-30 0.076667 0.236529
2014-04-29 0.076667 0.258138
2014-02-07 0.076667 0.274464
2013-11-01 0.076667 0.269638
2013-08-02 0.066667 0.228834
2013-05-06 0.066667 0.263367
2013-02-01 0.066667 0.278631
2012-11-01 0.066667 0.302848
2012-08-02 0.060000 0.297915
2012-05-07 0.060000 0.284091
2012-02-16 0.060000 0.282043
2011-10-31 0.060000 0.264317
2011-08-01 0.050000 0.233064
2011-05-04 0.050000 0.245821
2011-02-17 0.050000 0.251509
2010-10-27 0.050222 0.282711
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.4
dividendYield 0.82
exDividendDate 2026-05-06
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.33
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.007774595
lastDividendValue 0.35
lastDividendDate 2026-05-06
dividendDate 2026-05-21

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.07248968
Address1 6,220 Highway 7
Address2 Suite 600
All Time High 201.66
All Time Low 1.82716
Ask 200.0
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,324,000
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,719,608
Average Volume 1,719,608
Average Volume10Days 1,324,000
Beta 0.484
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 1
Book Value 32.257
City Woodbridge
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 171.17
Current Ratio 0.686
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 173.53
Day Low 171.17
Debt To Equity 117.097
Display Name Waste Connections
Dividend Date 1,779,321,600
Dividend Rate 1.4
Dividend Yield 0.82
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,836,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,836,800
Earnings Growth -0.076
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.092
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,750,400
Ebitda 3,070,896,128
Ebitda Margins 0.31957
Enterprise To Ebitda 17.198
Enterprise To Revenue 5.496
Enterprise Value 52,812,013,568
Eps Current Year 5.50351
Eps Forward 6.19495
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.11
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,025,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 158.3722
Fifty Day Average Change 12.797806
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.080808416
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -7.248968
Fifty Two Week High 191.91
Fifty Two Week High Change -20.740005
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.10807152
Fifty Two Week Low 146.89
Fifty Two Week Low Change 24.279999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.16529375
Fifty Two Week Range 146.89 - 191.91
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 895,843,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.69
Float Shares 253,199,251
Forward Eps 6.19495
Forward P E 27.63057
Free Cashflow 1,057,641,856
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 24,214
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.42504
Gross Profits 4,084,332,032
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00253
Held Percent Institutions 0.90892
Implied Shares Outstanding 254,080,912
Industry Waste Management
Industry Disp Waste Management
Industry Key waste-management
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,025,600
Last Dividend Value 0.35
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,497,830,400
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary Waste Connections, Inc. provides non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, and disposal services in the United States and Canada. It offers collection services to residential, commercial, municipal, industrial, and exploration and production (E&P) customers; landfill disposal services; and recycling services for various recyclable materials, including compost, cardboard, mixed paper, plastic containers, glass bottles, and ferrous and aluminum metals. The company owns and operates transfer stations that receive, compact, and/or load waste to be transported to landfills or treatment facilities through truck, rail, or barge; develops, owns, and operates projects or the beneficial reuse of landfill gas through landfill network; and intermodal services for the movement of cargo and solid waste containers. In addition, it provides E&P waste treatment, recovery, and disposal services for waste created through the initial drilling and completion of an oil or natural gas well, such as drilling fluids, drill cuttings, completion fluids, and flowback water; production wastes and produced water during a well's operating life; contaminated soils that require treatment during site reclamation; and substances, which require clean-up after a spill, reserve pit clean-up, or pipeline rupture. Waste Connections, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is based in Woodbridge, Canada.
Long Name Waste Connections, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 43,491,028,992
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_384586
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 1,054,390,976
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 43,465,621,615
Number Of Analyst Opinions 25
Open 171.17
Operating Cashflow 2,418,127,872
Operating Margins 0.1875
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.32439998
Peg Ratio 2.71
Phone 905 532 7510
Pre Market Change 0.35499573
Pre Market Change Percent 0.20736337
Pre Market Price 171.55
Pre Market Time 1,784,023,158
Previous Close 171.07
Price Eps Current Year 31.101969
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.306445
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.5258985
Profit Margins 0.10973
Quick Ratio 0.572
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.53571
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0999908
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0584502
Regular Market Day High 173.53
Regular Market Day Low 171.17
Regular Market Day Range 171.17 - 173.53
Regular Market Open 171.17
Regular Market Previous Close 171.07
Regular Market Price 171.17
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 881,578
Return On Assets 0.05472
Return On Equity 0.13121
Revenue Growth 0.064
Revenue Per Share 37.447
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 254,080,912
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0117
Shares Short 2,969,730
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,963,861
Short Name Waste Connections, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0134000005
Short Ratio 1.45
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol WCN
Target High Price 305.0
Target Low Price 156.0
Target Mean Price 203.4
Target Median Price 203.0
Total Cash 114,266,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.45
Total Debt 9,435,247,616
Total Revenue 9,609,369,600
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.33
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.007774595
Trailing Eps 4.11
Trailing P E 41.6472
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.7135
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 166.33694
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.8330536
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.029055804
Type Disp Equity
Volume 881,578
Website https://www.wasteconnections.com
Zip L4H 4G3