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Wayfair Inc. (W)

Consumer Cyclical | Internet Retail | Boston, United States | NYSE
107.99 USD +1.85 (1.743%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 107.80 -0.19 (-0.190%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:32 a.m. EDT

Wayfair presents a high-volatility turnaround story where the recovery narrative clashes with fragile balance sheet realities. The stock has staged a remarkable nine-year rebound, climbing nearly 100% from its trough, yet it still carries the scars of a distressed period with negative book value and trailing losses. While revenue is growing at a respectable pace and operating cash flow is positive, the high debt load and thin profit margins prevent this from being a core compounder. Short-term momentum is building as the price trades above key moving averages and short interest remains elevated, creating a potential squeeze dynamic that could fuel a quick rally. However, the statistical models offer little guidance, and the elevated options pricing suggests the market is bracing for continued turbulence. This is a speculative play on a recovery, not a safe harbor for capital preservation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.115715
AutoARIMA0.133963
AutoETS0.140861
MSTL0.152727

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 0.43
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.021
Excess Kurtosis 1.61
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Revenue per Share 99.262
Market Cap 14,254,301,184
Forward P/E 27.84
Beta 3.03
Profit Margins -2.49%
Website https://www.wayfair.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:32 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility is significantly elevated across all expirations, ranging from 50% to over 200% on deep strikes. Open interest is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money contracts, with call writers establishing walls at 115, 130, and 145 strikes while put writers cluster heavily at 75, 95, and 105. Notably, deep in-the-money puts exhibit massive IV spikes exceeding 200%, suggesting a hedge against a severe downside event or speculative positioning for a crash, despite the bullish open interest at higher strikes.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.34015155
Address1 4 Copley Place
Address2 7th Floor
All Time High 369.0
All Time Low 16.74
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,021,410
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,821,979
Average Volume 2,821,979
Average Volume10Days 2,021,410
Beta 3.025
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 7
Book Value -20.428
City Boston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 107.99
Current Ratio 0.743
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 108.5399
Day Low 105.88
Display Name Wayfair
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,795,400
Ebitda 354,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.02743
Enterprise To Ebitda 48.486
Enterprise To Revenue 1.33
Enterprise Value 17,164,181,504
Eps Current Year 2.90092
Eps Forward 3.87956
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -2.47
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 102.3386
Fifty Day Average Change 5.6513977
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.05522254
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 34.015156
Fifty Two Week High 119.98
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.9900055
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.09993336
Fifty Two Week Low 55.6
Fifty Two Week Low Change 52.39
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.9422662
Fifty Two Week Range 55.6 - 119.98
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,412,256,600,000
Float Shares 114,379,296
Forward Eps 3.87956
Forward P E 27.83563
Free Cashflow 471,624,992
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 11,800
Fullday Change 1.800003
Fullday Change Percent 1.6958762
Fullday Price 107.99
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.30347002
Gross Profits 3,916,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02407
Held Percent Institutions 1.05756
Implied Shares Outstanding 131,996,499
Industry Internet Retail
Industry Disp Internet Retail
Industry Key internet-retail
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Wayfair Inc. engages in the e-commerce business in the United States and internationally. It provides online selections of furniture, décor, housewares, and home improvement products through its sites comprising Wayfair, Joss & Main, AllModern, Birch Lane, Perigold, and Wayfair Professional. The company offers its products under the Three Posts and Mercury Row brands. Wayfair Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
Long Name Wayfair Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 14,254,301,184
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_30663855
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -321,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 13,500,942,659
Number Of Analyst Opinions 29
Open 105.68
Operating Cashflow 665,000,000
Operating Margins 0.03012
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 23.5
Phone 617 532 6100
Post Market Change -0.18999481
Post Market Change Percent -0.17593741
Post Market Price 107.8
Post Market Time 1,791,935,772
Previous Close 106.14
Price Eps Current Year 37.22612
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -5.2863717
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.1046422
Profit Margins -0.02488
Quick Ratio 0.585
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.93939
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.85
Regular Market Change Percent 1.74298
Regular Market Day High 108.5399
Regular Market Day Low 105.88
Regular Market Day Range 105.88 - 108.5399
Regular Market Open 105.68
Regular Market Previous Close 106.14
Regular Market Price 107.99
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,603
Regular Market Volume 1,870,669
Return On Assets 0.05335
Revenue Growth 0.075
Revenue Per Share 99.262
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 111,018,505
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.087299995
Shares Short 11,952,238
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 9,669,604
Short Name Wayfair Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.138
Short Ratio 4.86
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol W
Target High Price 156.0
Target Low Price 80.0
Target Mean Price 122.68966
Target Median Price 125.0
Total Cash 1,143,000,064
Total Cash Per Share 8.345
Total Debt 3,516,000,000
Total Revenue 12,903,999,488
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -2.47
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 88.37795
Two Hundred Day Average Change 19.612045
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.22191106
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,870,669
Website https://www.wayfair.com
Zip 2,116