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Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF (VTV)

Large Value | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
223.41 USD +0.44 (0.197%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 224.25 +0.84 (0.376%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 6:21 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 8:14 a.m. EDT

The Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF presents a compelling dichotomy: a fundamentally robust business currently trading at a discount, weighed down by short-term speculative pessimism. The long-term outlook remains strong, supported by a decade of superior performance (+110% over 9 years) and a clean multi-year trajectory with no recent consecutive declines. The business has demonstrated resilience, posting positive year-over-year growth in the most recent period, avoiding the structural deterioration that typically caps such ratings. However, the short-term picture is murky. The asset is trading below its 50-day moving average, and the options market is screaming caution, with massive put positioning at strikes significantly lower than the current price. This suggests traders are pricing in a potential 'value trap' scenario or a mean reversion event. While the underlying economics—solid revenue growth and a fortress-like balance sheet typical of a Morningstar value strategy—justify a core holding position, the immediate path is likely choppy as the market digests these defensive bets. The dividend yield offers a cushion, but it is not yet high enough to fully offset the drag of the recent underperformance against the 50-day average.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.019874
MSTL0.020672
AutoTheta0.028051
AutoARIMA0.056789

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 64%
H-stat 35.00
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.302
Excess Kurtosis -1.02
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 19.69

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 8:14 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume and significant open interest at strikes well below current prices (e.g., 198, 185, 150), suggesting a fear of a sharp downside correction. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, creating a 'major OI wall' at 225 and 230, which acts as a psychological resistance level. Implied volatility is elevated for deep out-of-the-money puts relative to calls, indicating asymmetric fear of a crash rather than a rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.47% 2.03% 2.24% 2.38%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-28 1.017 0.465702
2026-06-26 1.082 0.495444
2026-03-27 1.079 0.558055
2025-12-22 0.986 0.514131
2025-09-29 0.943 0.507644
2025-06-30 0.964 0.545434
2025-03-27 1.013 0.586057
2024-12-23 0.980 0.576878
2024-09-26 0.914 0.527135
2024-06-27 1.015 0.634613
2024-03-21 1.006 0.623992
2023-12-21 1.031 0.696904
2023-09-21 0.897 0.639937
2023-06-23 0.921 0.663832
2023-03-23 0.822 0.622115
2022-12-22 1.041 0.747362
2022-09-23 0.864 0.681657
2022-06-23 0.835 0.640485
2022-03-23 0.792 0.540577
2021-12-27 0.903 0.616088
2021-09-24 0.806 0.584100
2021-06-24 0.742 0.541645
2021-03-25 0.706 0.542201
2020-12-24 0.789 0.672634
2020-09-25 0.716 0.695889
2020-06-25 0.774 0.781581
2020-03-26 0.761 0.840884
2019-12-24 0.909 0.758701
2019-09-16 0.658 0.586453
2019-06-27 0.699 0.633841
2019-03-28 0.735 0.686788
2018-12-24 0.708 0.767064
2018-09-28 0.731 0.660463
2018-06-22 0.628 0.598608
2018-03-22 0.603 0.587319
2017-12-21 0.647 0.607797
2017-09-22 0.675 0.680581
2017-06-23 0.557 0.578041
2017-03-24 0.558 0.589354
2016-12-22 0.695 0.740780
2016-09-13 0.558 0.651793
2016-06-14 0.484 0.580266
2016-03-21 0.536 0.650406
2015-12-21 0.588 0.730526
2015-09-21 0.525 0.672043
2015-06-22 0.510 0.594406
2015-03-25 0.500 0.601468
2014-12-22 0.513 0.602042
2014-09-24 0.476 0.577880
2014-06-24 0.454 0.561325
2014-03-25 0.430 0.555340
2013-12-24 0.492 0.650020
2013-09-23 0.417 0.589483
2013-06-24 0.391 0.590011
2013-03-22 0.388 0.596281
2012-12-24 0.490 0.832908
2012-09-24 0.388 0.653529
2012-06-25 0.388 0.721860
2012-03-26 0.342 0.589046
2011-12-23 0.408 0.772142
2011-09-23 0.358 0.768570
2011-06-24 0.320 0.591169
2011-03-25 0.317 0.564459
2010-12-27 0.353 0.662662
2010-09-24 0.327 0.667756
2010-06-24 0.307 0.662924
2010-03-25 0.270 0.537313
2009-12-22 0.411 0.856250
2009-09-24 0.300 0.654450
2009-06-24 0.269 0.695630
2009-03-25 0.377 1.073462
2008-12-22 0.431 1.094464
2008-09-24 0.457 0.859507
2008-06-24 0.416 0.724360
2008-03-25 0.439 0.714286
2007-12-20 0.555 0.839002
2007-09-24 0.460 0.646067
2007-06-25 0.378 0.528745
2007-03-26 0.427 0.620279
2006-12-22 0.510 0.753769
2006-09-25 0.375 0.593261
2006-06-26 0.324 0.549898
2006-03-20 0.372 0.617120
2005-12-27 0.468 0.814621
2005-09-26 0.396 0.704501
2005-06-27 0.321 0.584487
2005-03-24 0.296 0.551621
2004-12-27 0.392 0.718739
2004-09-27 0.295 0.590946
2004-06-28 0.264 0.532258
2004-03-29 0.270 0.550571
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 3.04
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.013634121
dividendYield 1.93

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 228.57
All Time Low 22.4
Ask 224.03
Ask Size 700
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,828,950
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,690,376
Average Volume 2,690,376
Average Volume10Days 2,828,950
Beta3 Year 0.68
Bid 222.0
Bid Size 1,300
Book Value 75.779
Category Large Value
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 224.715
Day Low 222.795
Dividend Yield 1.93
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 11.349224
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 222.9232
Fifty Day Average Change 0.48680115
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0021837167
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 19.457817
Fifty Two Week High 228.57
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.1600037
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.022575157
Fifty Two Week Low 182.81
Fifty Two Week Low Change 40.600006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.22208855
Fifty Two Week Range 182.81 - 228.57
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,075,473,000,000
Five Year Average Return 0.122903496
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change 1.2799988
Fullday Change Percent 0.5740677
Fullday Price 223.41
Fund Family Vanguard
Fund Inception Date 1,075,075,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund manager employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the target index, a broadly diversified index made up of the value stocks of large U.S. companies, as determined by the index provider. Under normal circumstances, it invests at least 80% of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in the stocks that make up the target index.
Long Name Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_22939702
Nav Price 223.4
Net Assets 251,724,939,000.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.03
Open 224.05
Phone 800-523-1036
Post Market Change 0.83999634
Post Market Change Percent 0.3759887
Post Market Price 224.25
Post Market Time 1,792,189,274
Previous Close 222.97
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.9481783
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.440002
Regular Market Change Percent 0.197337
Regular Market Day High 224.715
Regular Market Day Low 222.795
Regular Market Day Range 222.795 - 224.715
Regular Market Open 224.05
Regular Market Previous Close 222.97
Regular Market Price 223.41
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,800
Regular Market Volume 3,205,714
Shares Outstanding 424,251,008
Short Name Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol VTV
Three Year Average Return 0.1988043
Total Assets 251,724,939,264
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 3.04
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.013634121
Trailing P E 19.685047
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -0.47413
Trailing Three Month Returns -0.47413
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 211.0697
Two Hundred Day Average Change 12.3403015
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.05846553
Type Disp ETF
Volume 3,205,714
Yield 0.019299999
Ytd Return 14.80536