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Vistra Corp. (VST)

Utilities | Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Irving, United States | NYSE
158.12 USD -0.74 (-0.466%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 157.45 -0.67 (-0.670%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:59 a.m. EDT

Vistra Corp. presents a compelling dichotomy between exceptional business quality and near-term technical weakness. The fundamentals are robust, boasting a 43% revenue growth rate and a 43% return on equity, driven by surging demand for power in the AI sector. While the trailing P/E looks elevated at 26x, the forward P/E compresses to 14.7x, reflecting the market's anticipation of continued earnings expansion. However, the stock is currently trading below its 200-day moving average, and the last two weeks have seen a steady grind lower, creating a short-term headwind. The high debt-to-equity ratio warrants caution, though the operating cash flow remains strong enough to service obligations. Options flow suggests traders are waiting for a catalyst to push prices toward the 200 strike level, while the low dividend yield reflects the company's focus on reinvestment rather than income distribution. This is a strong long-term hold for growth, but the immediate path may involve volatility as it consolidates below key moving averages.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.054181
AutoARIMA0.055626
AutoETS0.059369
MSTL0.064773

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 0.20
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.404
Excess Kurtosis -0.47
Attribute Value
Sector Utilities
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-21
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-21
Debt to Equity Ratio 355.187
Revenue per Share 57.422
Market Cap 53,315,289,088
Trailing P/E 26.49
Forward P/E 14.63
Beta 1.41
Profit Margins 11.53%
Website https://vistracorp.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:59 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant move away from current levels. Call option open interest builds a substantial wall at strikes above 200, suggesting bullish bets on a rally toward the 200-250 range. Conversely, put open interest concentrates heavily between 120 and 140, indicating defensive positioning against a drop back to the lower end of the recent range. Implied volatility remains moderate around 55%, reflecting balanced uncertainty rather than extreme fear or greed.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.14% 0.54% 0.99% 1.84%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-22 0.229 0.136913
2026-03-20 0.228 0.156143
2025-12-22 0.227 0.140496
2025-09-19 0.226 0.106967
2025-06-18 0.225 0.124220
2025-03-20 0.224 0.169826
2024-12-20 0.222 0.158628
2024-09-20 0.220 0.203930
2024-06-18 0.218 0.248915
2024-03-19 0.215 0.337626
2023-12-19 0.213 0.564687
2023-09-19 0.206 0.621418
2023-06-20 0.204 0.816980
2023-03-21 0.198 0.790104
2022-12-19 0.193 0.808885
2022-09-20 0.184 0.738659
2022-06-21 0.177 0.777339
2022-03-21 0.170 0.770975
2021-12-15 0.150 0.724638
2021-09-15 0.150 0.813449
2021-06-15 0.150 0.814775
2021-03-16 0.150 0.827815
2020-12-15 0.135 0.731311
2020-09-15 0.135 0.732899
2020-06-15 0.135 0.679416
2020-03-16 0.135 0.986121
2019-12-13 0.125 0.527204
2019-09-13 0.125 0.476190
2019-06-13 0.125 0.523889
2019-03-14 0.125 0.489237
2016-12-15 2.320 16.349542
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.92
dividendYield 0.58
exDividendDate 2026-06-22
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.906
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.005703135
lastDividendValue 0.229
lastDividendDate 2026-06-22
dividendDate 2026-06-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.18453878
Address1 6,555 Sierra Drive
All Time High 219.82
All Time Low 11.3
Ask 158.0
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,775,890
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,655,503
Average Volume 4,655,503
Average Volume10Days 3,775,890
Beta 1.409
Bid 158.04
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 1
Book Value 9.232
City Irving
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 158.12
Current Ratio 0.896
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 159.43
Day Low 156.2
Debt To Equity 355.187
Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Dividend Rate 0.92
Dividend Yield 0.58
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,132,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,132,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,105,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,105,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,105,800
Ebitda 6,790,000,128
Ebitda Margins 0.34919
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.056
Enterprise To Revenue 3.861
Enterprise Value 75,072,290,816
Eps Current Year 8.45603
Eps Forward 10.80686
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.97
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,086,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 154.0122
Fifty Day Average Change 4.107788
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.026671834
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -18.453878
Fifty Two Week High 219.82
Fifty Two Week High Change -61.700012
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.28068423
Fifty Two Week Low 132.66
Fifty Two Week Low Change 25.459991
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.19191912
Fifty Two Week Range 132.66 - 219.82
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,475,674,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.82
Float Shares 314,476,601
Forward Eps 10.80686
Forward P E 14.631447
Free Cashflow 476,875,008
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 6,390
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.38637
Gross Profits 7,512,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0078799995
Held Percent Institutions 0.90948
Implied Shares Outstanding 337,182,468
Industry Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Industry Disp Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Industry Key utilities-independent-power-producers
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,086,400
Last Dividend Value 0.229
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It is also involved in electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel procurement, and fuel logistics management activities. In addition, the company engages in decommissioning and reclamation of retired generation facilities, including mines, and battery removal and remediation activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 44,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.
Long Name Vistra Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 53,315,289,088
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_7959935
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 2,048,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 53,564,806,866
Number Of Analyst Opinions 18
Open 157.65
Operating Cashflow 4,670,000,128
Operating Margins 0.26578
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.1515
Peg Ratio 0.47
Phone 214 812 4600
Post Market Change -0.66999817
Post Market Change Percent -0.42372766
Post Market Price 157.45
Post Market Time 1,783,987,162
Previous Close 158.86
Price Eps Current Year 18.699081
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 17.127382
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.7418509
Profit Margins 0.11525
Quick Ratio 0.263
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.4
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.740005
Regular Market Change Percent -0.465822
Regular Market Day High 159.43
Regular Market Day Low 156.2
Regular Market Day Range 156.2 - 159.43
Regular Market Open 157.65
Regular Market Previous Close 158.86
Regular Market Price 158.12
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 2,506,006
Return On Assets 0.06022
Return On Equity 0.42898
Revenue Growth 0.434
Revenue Per Share 57.422
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Utilities
Sector Disp Utilities
Sector Key utilities
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 337,182,468
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.047199998
Shares Short 15,917,274
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 15,703,702
Short Name Vistra Corp.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0546
Short Ratio 3.62
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol VST
Target High Price 320.0
Target Low Price 99.0
Target Mean Price 222.88889
Target Median Price 225.0
Total Cash 658,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.951
Total Debt 19,925,999,616
Total Revenue 19,445,000,192
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.906
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.005703135
Trailing Eps 5.97
Trailing P E 26.485762
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.4699
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 167.238
Two Hundred Day Average Change -9.118011
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.05452117
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,506,006
Website https://vistracorp.com
Zip 75,039