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Vistra Corp. (VST)

Utilities | Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Irving, United States | NYSE
146.68 USD -5.11 (-3.366%) ⇩ (Oct. 15, 2026, 10:22 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 8:22 a.m. EDT

Vistra presents a compelling contradiction: a massive nine-year price surge paired with current earnings contraction and high leverage. The long-term rating holds steady because the multi-year trajectory remains overwhelmingly positive, yet the negative revenue and earnings growth prevent a top-tier buy classification. Short-term momentum is buoyed by the recent rally and analyst targets, though the recent pullback suggests profit-taking. The dividend yield is modest, offering little income cushion against the high valuation multiples. Options flow reveals a defensive posture with heavy put buying at lower levels, suggesting investors are wary of a deeper correction despite the bullish analyst consensus.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.162504
AutoETS0.162660
AutoTheta0.175035
MSTL0.213490

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 1.37
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.003
Excess Kurtosis 1.18
Attribute Value
Sector Utilities
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-20
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-20
Debt to Equity Ratio 373.28
Revenue per Share 56.842
Market Cap 49,230,966,784
Trailing P/E 26.48
Forward P/E 14.08
Beta 1.38
Profit Margins 11.55%
Website https://vistracorp.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 8:22 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound outcome with heavy call interest near current prices ($160-$170) while accumulating significant put protection at lower strikes ($110-$135). Implied volatility is elevated at deep out-of-the-money strikes, indicating fear of a sharp drop, yet the bulk of open interest sits in the money or slightly out-of-the-money calls, suggesting a bullish bias near the current level.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.16% 0.60% 0.84% 1.71%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-21 0.230 0.163375
2026-06-22 0.229 0.136913
2026-03-20 0.228 0.156143
2025-12-22 0.227 0.140496
2025-09-19 0.226 0.106967
2025-06-18 0.225 0.124220
2025-03-20 0.224 0.169826
2024-12-20 0.222 0.158628
2024-09-20 0.220 0.203930
2024-06-18 0.218 0.248915
2024-03-19 0.215 0.337626
2023-12-19 0.213 0.564687
2023-09-19 0.206 0.621418
2023-06-20 0.204 0.816980
2023-03-21 0.198 0.790104
2022-12-19 0.193 0.808885
2022-09-20 0.184 0.738659
2022-06-21 0.177 0.777339
2022-03-21 0.170 0.770975
2021-12-15 0.150 0.724638
2021-09-15 0.150 0.813449
2021-06-15 0.150 0.814775
2021-03-16 0.150 0.827815
2020-12-15 0.135 0.731311
2020-09-15 0.135 0.732899
2020-06-15 0.135 0.679416
2020-03-16 0.135 0.986121
2019-12-13 0.125 0.527204
2019-09-13 0.125 0.476190
2019-06-13 0.125 0.523889
2019-03-14 0.125 0.489237
2016-12-15 2.320 16.349542
Additional Data
dividendYield 0.57
exDividendDate 2026-09-21
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.91
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0059951255
lastDividendValue 0.23
lastDividendDate 2026-09-21
dividendDate 2026-09-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.27856463
Address1 6,555 Sierra Drive
All Time High 219.82
All Time Low 11.3
Ask 147.69
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 9,591,680
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,353,029
Average Volume 5,353,029
Average Volume10Days 9,591,680
Beta 1.384
Bid 147.47
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 1
Book Value 8.947
City Irving
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 146.68
Current Ratio 0.973
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 150.14
Day Low 145.85
Debt To Equity 373.28
Display Name Vistra
Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Dividend Yield 0.57
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,995,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,995,200
Earnings Growth -0.062
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.067
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,968,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,968,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,968,200
Ebitda 6,646,000,128
Ebitda Margins 0.34592998
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.06
Enterprise To Revenue 3.826
Enterprise Value 73,507,069,952
Eps Current Year 8.78324
Eps Forward 10.41634
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.54
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,948,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 144.395
Fifty Day Average Change 2.2849884
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.015824568
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -27.856462
Fifty Two Week High 217.1
Fifty Two Week High Change -70.42001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.32436672
Fifty Two Week Low 132.66
Fifty Two Week Low Change 14.019989
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.10568362
Fifty Two Week Range 132.66 - 217.1
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,475,674,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.98
Float Shares 312,986,532
Forward Eps 10.41634
Forward P E 14.081721
Free Cashflow 37,125,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 6,390
Fullday Change -5.1100006
Fullday Change Percent -3.3664937
Fullday Price 146.68
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.38309
Gross Profits 7,360,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00773
Held Percent Institutions 0.9197
Implied Shares Outstanding 335,635,195
Industry Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Industry Disp Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Industry Key utilities-independent-power-producers
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,789,948,800
Last Dividend Value 0.23
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It is also involved in electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel procurement, and fuel logistics management activities. In addition, the company engages in decommissioning and reclamation of retired generation facilities, including mines, and battery removal and remediation activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 44,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.
Long Name Vistra Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 49,230,966,784
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_7959935
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 2,027,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 46,307,587,854
Number Of Analyst Opinions 20
Open 148.35
Operating Cashflow 5,120,999,936
Operating Margins 0.13766
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.1535
Peg Ratio 0.42
Phone 214 812 4600
Previous Close 151.79
Price Eps Current Year 16.699986
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 16.394321
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.5625114
Profit Margins 0.1155
Quick Ratio 0.258
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change -5.1100006
Regular Market Change Percent -3.3664937
Regular Market Day High 150.14
Regular Market Day Low 145.85
Regular Market Day Range 145.85 - 150.14
Regular Market Open 148.35
Regular Market Previous Close 151.79
Regular Market Price 146.68
Regular Market Time 1,792,074,128
Regular Market Volume 1,455,154
Return On Assets 0.05886
Return On Equity 0.42962003
Revenue Growth -0.055
Revenue Per Share 56.842
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16440773
Sector Utilities
Sector Disp Utilities
Sector Key utilities
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 335,635,195
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0312
Shares Short 10,482,914
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 10,778,003
Short Name Vistra Corp.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0361
Short Ratio 2.21
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol VST
Target High Price 305.0
Target Low Price 106.0
Target Mean Price 210.25
Target Median Price 211.0
Total Cash 435,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.296
Total Debt 20,508,000,256
Total Revenue 19,211,999,232
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.91
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0059951255
Trailing Eps 5.54
Trailing P E 26.476534
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.3441
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 154.6758
Two Hundred Day Average Change -7.995804
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.051693957
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,455,154
Website https://vistracorp.com
Zip 75,039