| Indicators | Browse All

Vistra Corp. (VST)

Utilities | Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Irving, United States | NYSE
137.09 USD -2.72 (-1.946%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 138.00 +0.91 (0.664%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 6:06 a.m. EDT

Vistra presents a compelling divergence between its depressed trading price and the aggressive analyst consensus. While the stock trades near its fifty-two-week lows, the forward price-to-earnings ratio is significantly compressed compared to the trailing metric, and the average analyst target implies substantial upside potential. However, the underlying business is currently grappling with negative revenue and earnings growth, which contradicts the 'exceptional buy' profile required for top-tier long-term ratings. The balance sheet carries a heavy debt load, adding risk to the recovery thesis. On the short end, technical indicators remain lagging, though options flow suggests institutional players are betting on a rebound. The dividend yield is modest, offering little income support. Ultimately, this is a turnaround play where the market is pricing in a future recovery that hasn't yet materialized in the quarterly results.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.051933
MSTL0.074796
AutoTheta0.080472
AutoETS0.081031

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 16.19
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.388
Excess Kurtosis -1.00
Attribute Value
Sector Utilities
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-20
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-21
Debt to Equity Ratio 373.28
Revenue per Share 56.842
Market Cap 46,012,227,584
Trailing P/E 23.60
Forward P/E 13.23
Beta 1.43
Profit Margins 11.55%
Website https://vistracorp.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 6:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by heavy open interest in calls at strikes 165, 180, and 225, suggesting a bullish target range well above current prices. However, substantial put open interest exists at lower strikes (115, 125, 130), indicating a floor is expected and investors are hedging against downside risk. Implied volatility is elevated at deep out-of-the-money strikes, reflecting uncertainty about whether the stock can reach the high targets or if it will face further pressure.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.14% 0.54% 0.99% 1.84%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-22 0.229 0.136913
2026-03-20 0.228 0.156143
2025-12-22 0.227 0.140496
2025-09-19 0.226 0.106967
2025-06-18 0.225 0.124220
2025-03-20 0.224 0.169826
2024-12-20 0.222 0.158628
2024-09-20 0.220 0.203930
2024-06-18 0.218 0.248915
2024-03-19 0.215 0.337626
2023-12-19 0.213 0.564687
2023-09-19 0.206 0.621418
2023-06-20 0.204 0.816980
2023-03-21 0.198 0.790104
2022-12-19 0.193 0.808885
2022-09-20 0.184 0.738659
2022-06-21 0.177 0.777339
2022-03-21 0.170 0.770975
2021-12-15 0.150 0.724638
2021-09-15 0.150 0.813449
2021-06-15 0.150 0.814775
2021-03-16 0.150 0.827815
2020-12-15 0.135 0.731311
2020-09-15 0.135 0.732899
2020-06-15 0.135 0.679416
2020-03-16 0.135 0.986121
2019-12-13 0.125 0.527204
2019-09-13 0.125 0.476190
2019-06-13 0.125 0.523889
2019-03-14 0.125 0.489237
2016-12-15 2.320 16.349542
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.92
dividendYield 0.66
exDividendDate 2026-09-21
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.91
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0065088337
lastDividendValue 0.229
lastDividendDate 2026-06-22
dividendDate 2026-09-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.24756473
Address1 6,555 Sierra Drive
All Time High 219.82
All Time Low 11.3
Ask 138.1
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,016,800
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,377,050
Average Volume 4,377,050
Average Volume10Days 4,016,800
Beta 1.433
Bid 137.5
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 1
Book Value 8.947
City Irving
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 137.09
Current Ratio 0.973
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 141.1
Day Low 136.61
Debt To Equity 373.28
Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Dividend Rate 0.92
Dividend Yield 0.66
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,111,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,111,200
Earnings Growth -0.062
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.067
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,105,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda 6,646,000,128
Ebitda Margins 0.34592998
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.318
Enterprise To Revenue 3.569
Enterprise Value 68,573,229,056
Eps Current Year 8.61655
Eps Forward 10.36561
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.81
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,948,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 152.3092
Fifty Day Average Change -15.219208
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0999231
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -24.756474
Fifty Two Week High 219.82
Fifty Two Week High Change -82.73001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3763534
Fifty Two Week Low 132.66
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.4299927
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.03339358
Fifty Two Week Range 132.66 - 219.82
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,475,674,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.73
Float Shares 312,889,198
Forward Eps 10.36561
Forward P E 13.225463
Free Cashflow 37,125,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 6,390
Fullday Change -2.72
Fullday Change Percent -1.9455
Fullday Price 138.0
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.38309
Gross Profits 7,360,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.007929999
Held Percent Institutions 0.92067003
Implied Shares Outstanding 335,635,195
Industry Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Industry Disp Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Industry Key utilities-independent-power-producers
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,086,400
Last Dividend Value 0.229
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It is also involved in electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel procurement, and fuel logistics management activities. In addition, the company engages in decommissioning and reclamation of retired generation facilities, including mines, and battery removal and remediation activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 44,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.
Long Name Vistra Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 46,012,227,584
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_7959935
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 2,027,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 46,925,156,612
Number Of Analyst Opinions 19
Open 140.89
Operating Cashflow 5,120,999,936
Operating Margins 0.13766
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.1535
Peg Ratio 0.4
Phone 214 812 4600
Post Market Change 0.91000366
Post Market Change Percent 0.6638002
Post Market Price 138.0
Post Market Time 1,787,961,549
Previous Close 139.81
Price Eps Current Year 15.910079
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 15.322454
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.3949735
Profit Margins 0.1155
Quick Ratio 0.258
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.35
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.72
Regular Market Change Percent -1.9455
Regular Market Day High 141.1
Regular Market Day Low 136.61
Regular Market Day Range 136.61 - 141.1
Regular Market Open 140.89
Regular Market Previous Close 139.81
Regular Market Price 137.09
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 3,049,673
Return On Assets 0.05886
Return On Equity 0.42962003
Revenue Growth -0.055
Revenue Per Share 56.842
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Utilities
Sector Disp Utilities
Sector Key utilities
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 335,635,195
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0287
Shares Short 9,636,577
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 12,604,861
Short Name Vistra Corp.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0332
Short Ratio 2.04
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol VST
Target High Price 305.0
Target Low Price 106.0
Target Mean Price 217.42105
Target Median Price 221.0
Total Cash 435,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.296
Total Debt 20,508,000,256
Total Revenue 19,211,999,232
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.91
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0065088337
Trailing Eps 5.81
Trailing P E 23.595524
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.4024
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 158.85065
Two Hundred Day Average Change -21.76065
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.13698812
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,049,673
Website https://vistracorp.com
Zip 75,039