Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM)Technology | Information Technology Services | Mesa, United States | NasdaqCM
4.39 USD
-0.02
(-0.454%) ⇩
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 4.40 +0.01 (0.228%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:48 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:38 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is defined by a stark disconnect between the company's deteriorating price trajectory and aggressive speculative positioning. While the business shows signs of life with double-digit revenue growth and a forward P/E under 5x, the stock has suffered a brutal multi-year decline, dropping nearly 80% from its highs. This structural weakness is compounded by a massive debt load relative to equity, creating a fragile balance sheet that limits the ability to fund growth without dilution. Despite these fundamental cracks, the options market is screaming 'bullish,' with heavy open interest at the $7.50 strike. This suggests traders are betting on a catalyst—likely the upcoming earnings call or the resolution of the class-action lawsuit—to spark a recovery. However, the statistical forecast models are unreliable and point to continued weakness, while the recent price action shows the stock struggling to hold gains above the $4.50-$5.00 range. The short-term outlook remains cautious due to this volatility and the risk of the legal headlines dragging the price lower, but the long-term potential exists if management can navigate the debt and litigation hurdles to capitalize on their growth story. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.084006 |
| AutoETS | 0.084815 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.084818 |
| AutoTheta | 0.778487 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 34% |
| H-stat | 0.56 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.452 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.04 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 486.398 |
| Revenue per Share | 6.488 |
| Market Cap | 667,204,480 |
| Trailing P/E | 16.26 |
| Forward P/E | 4.63 |
| Beta | 0.41 |
| Profit Margins | 4.40% |
| Website | https://www.verramobility.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:38 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish on the upside, with open interest concentrated almost entirely in out-of-the-money calls (95-99% of volume). There is significant positioning at the $7.50 strike across multiple expirations, suggesting a speculative bet on a move toward the $10 analyst target. Conversely, put activity is minimal and clustered deep in-the-money, indicating a lack of organized downside hedging despite the legal headlines.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.8218182 |
| Address1 | 2,046 Riverview Auto Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 300 |
| All Time High | 31.03 |
| All Time Low | 3.4 |
| Ask | 5.74 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 3.0 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,656,870 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 6,031,135 |
| Average Volume | 6,031,135 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,656,870 |
| Beta | 0.406 |
| Bid | 4.47 |
| Bid Size | 35 |
| Board Risk | 6 |
| Book Value | 1.471 |
| City | Mesa |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 1 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 4.39 |
| Current Ratio | 2.058 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 4.61 |
| Day Low | 4.39 |
| Debt To Equity | 486.398 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,963,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,963,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,960,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,217,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,217,600 |
| Ebitda | 357,924,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.35544997 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 4.743 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.686 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,697,768,448 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.14056 |
| Eps Forward | 0.94823 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.27 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NCM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 4.5235 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.1335001 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.029512567 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -82.181816 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 25.449 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -21.059 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.82749814 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.4 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.9899998 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.2911764 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.4 - 25.449 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,490,362,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 150,342,910 |
| Forward Eps | 0.94823 |
| Forward P E | 4.6296782 |
| Free Cashflow | 43,281,376 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqCM |
| Full Time Employees | 1,888 |
| Fullday Change | -0.02 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -0.453514 |
| Fullday Price | 4.4 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.55711 |
| Gross Profits | 560,982,976 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01058 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.03259 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 151,982,804 |
| Industry | Information Technology Services |
| Industry Disp | Information Technology Services |
| Industry Key | information-technology-services |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Verra Mobility Corporation provides smart mobility technology solutions in the United States, Australia, Europe, and Canada. It operates through three segments: Commercial Services, Government Solutions, and Parking Solutions. The Commercial Services segment offers automated toll and violations management, and title and registration solutions to rental car companies, direct commercial fleet owner-operators, fleet management companies, and other fleet owners. The Government Solutions segment provides photo enforcement solutions and services to its customers, including complete, end-to-end speed, red-light, and school bus stop arm and bus lane enforcement solutions; and traffic enforcement products and recurring maintenance services related to the equipment and software. This segment serves municipalities, counties, school districts, and law enforcement agencies. The Parking Solutions segment offers an integrated suite of parking software, transaction processing and hardware solutions to its customers, which include universities, municipalities, healthcare facilities, and commercial parking operators. This segment also develops specialized hardware and parking management software that provides a platform for the issuance of parking permits, enforcement, gateless vehicle counting, and event parking and citation services, as well as produces and markets its proprietary software as a service to its customers. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Mesa, Arizona. |
| Long Name | Verra Mobility Corporation |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 667,204,480 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_118474533 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 44,285,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 668,724,337 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 6 |
| Open | 4.45 |
| Operating Cashflow | 214,935,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.27168 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 480 443 7000 |
| Post Market Change | 0.010000229 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.22779566 |
| Post Market Price | 4.4 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,960,906 |
| Previous Close | 4.41 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 3.8489861 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 2.9843643 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.6625935 |
| Profit Margins | 0.04398 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.771 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 3.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.02 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.453514 |
| Regular Market Day High | 4.61 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 4.39 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 4.39 - 4.61 |
| Regular Market Open | 4.45 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 4.41 |
| Regular Market Price | 4.39 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,200 |
| Regular Market Volume | 3,114,568 |
| Return On Assets | 0.09162 |
| Return On Equity | 0.15384 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.117 |
| Revenue Per Share | 6.488 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20504117 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 151,982,804 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0799 |
| Shares Short | 12,137,618 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 10,989,646 |
| Short Name | Verra Mobility Corporation |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.095 |
| Short Ratio | 2.25 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | AZ |
| Symbol | VRRM |
| Target High Price | 10.0 |
| Target Low Price | 5.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 7.0 |
| Target Median Price | 6.0 |
| Total Cash | 57,128,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.376 |
| Total Debt | 1,087,692,032 |
| Total Revenue | 1,006,958,976 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.27 |
| Trailing P E | 16.259258 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 13.75875 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -9.36875 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.6809303 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 3,114,568 |
| Website | https://www.verramobility.com |
| Zip | 85,201 |