Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM)Technology | Information Technology Services | Mesa, United States | NasdaqCM
4.52 USD
+0.40
(9.709%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 4.50 -0.02 (-0.020%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:45 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Verra Mobility is currently broken by a perfect storm of deteriorating fundamentals, legal peril, and capitulation in the options market. While the balance sheet shows a high ROE and the company has generated free cash flow, these positives are completely overshadowed by a massive debt load relative to equity, a sharp contraction in earnings growth, and, most critically, a severe multi-year price decline. The stock has lost nearly half its value in the last year and sits at the bottom of a brutal downtrend where the market has repeatedly rejected higher valuations despite the company's operational metrics. This is compounded by a looming class-action lawsuit suggesting potential securities fraud, which adds a layer of existential legal risk that makes holding the stock dangerous. The options market confirms this bearish thesis with a heavy concentration of put buying, signaling that traders are betting on further losses rather than a recovery. With no dividend to provide income and a trajectory that suggests the business is struggling to maintain its footing, this is a security to avoid entirely. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.562521 |
| MSTL | 0.621501 |
| AutoETS | 0.622628 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.623669 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 17% |
| H-stat | 1076.39 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.028 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.93 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 405.085 |
| Revenue per Share | 6.235 |
| Market Cap | 686,618,112 |
| Trailing P/E | 5.02 |
| Forward P/E | 4.42 |
| Beta | 0.43 |
| Profit Margins | 13.38% |
| Website | https://www.verramobility.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 6:45 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection. Put open interest significantly exceeds call open interest across nearly all expirations, with deep out-of-the-money puts showing massive volume relative to calls. The implied volatility skew is inverted, with put IV substantially higher than call IV, indicating a market pricing in a high probability of further decline rather than a rally.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.835134 |
| Address1 | 2,046 Riverview Auto Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 300 |
| All Time High | 31.03 |
| All Time Low | 3.4 |
| Ask | 5.49 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 5,229,550 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 6,441,640 |
| Average Volume | 6,441,640 |
| Average Volume10Days | 5,229,550 |
| Beta | 0.431 |
| Bid | 3.35 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 6 |
| Book Value | 1.908 |
| City | Mesa |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 1 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 4.52 |
| Current Ratio | 1.892 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 4.75 |
| Day Low | 4.255 |
| Debt To Equity | 405.085 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,101,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,101,200 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.15 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.173 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,097,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,960,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,960,000 |
| Ebitda | 357,996,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.36553 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 4.84 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.769 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,732,874,112 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.22731 |
| Eps Forward | 1.02174 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.9 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NCM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 8.0081 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -3.4880996 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.43557146 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -83.513405 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 25.57 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -21.05 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.8232303 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.4 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.1199999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.32941172 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.4 - 25.57 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,490,362,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 150,273,656 |
| Forward Eps | 1.02174 |
| Forward P E | 4.423826 |
| Free Cashflow | 53,916,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqCM |
| Full Time Employees | 1,888 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.56907004 |
| Gross Profits | 557,347,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01055 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.0536 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 151,906,653 |
| Industry | Information Technology Services |
| Industry Disp | Information Technology Services |
| Industry Key | information-technology-services |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Verra Mobility Corporation provides smart mobility technology solutions in the United States, Australia, Europe, and Canada. It operates through three segments: Commercial Services, Government Solutions, and Parking Solutions. The Commercial Services segment offers automated toll and violations management, and title and registration solutions to rental car companies, direct commercial fleet owner-operators, fleet management companies, and other fleet owners. The Government Solutions segment provides photo enforcement solutions and services to its customers, including complete, end-to-end speed, red-light, and school bus stop arm and bus lane enforcement solutions; and traffic enforcement products and recurring maintenance services related to the equipment and software. This segment serves municipalities, counties, school districts, and law enforcement agencies. The Parking Solutions segment offers an integrated suite of parking software, transaction processing and hardware solutions to its customers, which include universities, municipalities, healthcare facilities, and commercial parking operators. This segment also develops specialized hardware and parking management software that provides a platform for the issuance of parking permits, enforcement, gateless vehicle counting, and event parking and citation services, as well as produces and markets its proprietary software as a service to its customers. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Mesa, Arizona. |
| Long Name | Verra Mobility Corporation |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 686,618,112 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_118474533 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 131,038,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 626,614,943 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 7 |
| Open | 4.255 |
| Operating Cashflow | 233,678,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.2317 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 480 443 7000 |
| Post Market Change | -0.01999998 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.44247746 |
| Post Market Price | 4.5 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,986,962 |
| Previous Close | 4.12 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 3.6828513 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 2.3689728 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.70106494 |
| Profit Margins | 0.1338 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.597 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.4 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 9.70874 |
| Regular Market Day High | 4.75 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 4.255 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 4.255 - 4.75 |
| Regular Market Open | 4.255 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 4.12 |
| Regular Market Price | 4.52 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 10,654,623 |
| Return On Assets | 0.091759995 |
| Return On Equity | 0.45852003 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.001 |
| Revenue Per Share | 6.235 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 151,906,653 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0728 |
| Shares Short | 11,053,056 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 4,998,815 |
| Short Name | Verra Mobility Corporation |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0866 |
| Short Ratio | 1.27 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | AZ |
| Symbol | VRRM |
| Target High Price | 28.0 |
| Target Low Price | 4.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 9.71429 |
| Target Median Price | 6.0 |
| Total Cash | 55,576,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.366 |
| Total Debt | 1,101,831,936 |
| Total Revenue | 979,393,024 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.9 |
| Trailing P E | 5.0222225 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 17.05365 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -12.533649 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.73495406 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 10,654,623 |
| Website | https://www.verramobility.com |
| Zip | 85,201 |