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Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | West Chester, United States | NasdaqCM
3.83 USD +0.25 (6.983%) ⇧ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 3.83 +0.00 (0.104%) ⇧ (Oct. 14, 2026, 6:53 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:01 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Verrica Pharmaceuticals is currently compromised by severe structural deterioration and a complete lack of income generation. Fundamentally, the company is in a deep freefall, having lost over 97% of its value over the past seven years. While the most recent annual data shows two consecutive years of decline rather than a longer streak, the trajectory is unmistakably negative, driven by a massive contraction in revenue (-54%) and persistent losses. The balance sheet is fragile, with negative free cash flow and a price-to-book ratio of 16x, suggesting the market views the current equity value as a liability relative to assets. Despite a 'Strong Buy' analyst recommendation and a lofty $20 price target, these figures appear disconnected from the harsh reality of the underlying business metrics. The recent news of a potential deal in Israel offers a glimmer of hope, but it is insufficient to counteract the multi-year trend of value destruction. From a trading perspective, the sentiment is overwhelmingly bearish; options data reveals a heavy concentration of put buying, with traders actively hedging against further drops while virtually ignoring upside potential. With no dividend to provide any cushion and a statistical forecast leaning slightly negative, the short-term outlook remains precarious. Investors should view this as a high-risk speculative play on a binary clinical outcome rather than a viable investment vehicle.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.074032
AutoETS0.088042
AutoARIMA0.089271
MSTL0.090054

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 5.01
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.652
Excess Kurtosis -0.67
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 42.025
Revenue per Share 1.831
Market Cap 65,794,756
Forward P/E -2.59
Beta 1.61
Profit Margins -102.84%
Website https://www.verrica.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with significant open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in December at strikes below the current price. Conversely, call activity is negligible, with minimal interest even in near-term out-of-the-money strikes, indicating a lack of speculative bullishness.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.12682927
Address1 44 West Gay Street
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 232.9
All Time Low 3.28
Ask 5.91
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 48,680
Average Daily Volume3 Month 64,728
Average Volume 64,728
Average Volume10Days 48,680
Beta 1.606
Bid 3.4
Bid Size 2
Book Value 0.251
City West Chester
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 3.83
Current Ratio 1.454
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 3.92
Day Low 3.5
Debt To Equity 42.025
Display Name Verrica Pharmaceuticals
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,048,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,048,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,600,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,600,000
Ebitda -25,964,000
Ebitda Margins -0.8563
Enterprise To Ebitda -2.007
Enterprise To Revenue 1.719
Enterprise Value 52,112,052
Eps Current Year -1.965
Eps Forward -1.4775
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.75
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 4.8022
Fifty Day Average Change -0.9721999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.20244886
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -12.682926
Fifty Two Week High 9.821
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.991
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6100194
Fifty Two Week Low 3.28
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.54999995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.16768292
Fifty Two Week Range 3.28 - 9.821
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,529,069,400,000
Float Shares 12,405,660
Forward Eps -1.4775
Forward P E -2.5922165
Free Cashflow -9,037,125
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 76
Fullday Change 0.26999998
Fullday Change Percent 7.541899
Fullday Price 3.834
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.3768
Gross Profits 11,425,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.48997003
Held Percent Institutions 0.27144
Implied Shares Outstanding 17,178,787
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,753,401,600
Last Split Factor 1:10
Long Business Summary Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc., a dermatology therapeutics company, engages in the development and commercialization of medications for the treatment of dermatologic diseases in the United States. The company offers YCANTH (VP-102) a drug-device combination that contains a GMP-controlled formulation of cantharidin for the treatment of molluscum in adult and pediatric patients, as well as for the treatment of common warts. It also develops VP-315, an oncolytic peptide-based injectable therapy that is in phase II clinical trial for the treatment of dermatology oncologic conditions, which include basal cell carcinoma and other dermatological oncology indications. The company has a collaboration and license agreement with Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. for the development and commercialization of its product candidates for the treatment of molluscum and common warts in Japan; and a license agreement with Lytix Biopharma AS to develop and commercialize VP-315 for use in malignant and pre-malignant dermatological indications. Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in West Chester, Pennsylvania.
Long Name Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 65,794,756
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_319720251
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -31,183,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 80,224,930
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 3.54
Operating Cashflow -13,347,000
Operating Margins -1.9445599
Phone 484 453 3300
Post Market Change 0.004000187
Post Market Change Percent 0.10444353
Post Market Price 3.834
Post Market Time 1,792,018,382
Previous Close 3.58
Price Eps Current Year -1.9491093
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 15.258965
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.1699402
Profit Margins -1.02843
Quick Ratio 0.993
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.28571
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.25
Regular Market Change Percent 6.9832406
Regular Market Day High 3.92
Regular Market Day Low 3.5
Regular Market Day Range 3.5 - 3.92
Regular Market Open 3.54
Regular Market Previous Close 3.58
Regular Market Price 3.83
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,000
Regular Market Volume 53,958
Return On Assets -0.43982
Revenue Growth -0.539
Revenue Per Share 1.831
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 17,178,786
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0114
Shares Short 196,221
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 222,572
Short Name Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0222
Short Ratio 3.79
Source Interval 15
State PA
Symbol VRCA
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 9.0
Target Mean Price 13.83333
Target Median Price 12.5
Total Cash 11,198,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.652
Total Debt 1,810,000
Total Revenue 30,321,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.75
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 5.9071
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.0771003
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.35162774
Type Disp Equity
Volume 53,958
Website https://www.verrica.com
Zip 19,380