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Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Washington, United States | NasdaqGM
6.00 USD -0.24 (-3.846%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★⯪☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:11 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is severely compromised by a brutal multi-year price trajectory. Despite the company securing regulatory milestones like FDA approvals and pediatric designations, the stock has lost nearly 59% of its value over the last nine years, with four consecutive years of negative annual returns ending recently. This persistent decline suggests the market views these developments as insufficient to reverse the fundamental deterioration or restore confidence in the business model. The balance sheet is fragile, with significant operating losses and negative free cash flow, while the high short ratio indicates deep skepticism among investors. Although analysts maintain a 'strong buy' rating based on potential future catalysts, the price action tells a different story of structural weakness. With no dividend to provide income and a statistical forecast leaning slightly negative, the near-term outlook remains bearish as the stock struggles to find a floor amidst ongoing execution risks.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.102944
AutoARIMA0.102982
MSTL_660.105707
AutoETS0.117879
MSTL0.143313
MSTL_66_1260.144704
MSTL_1260.181903

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 6.68
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.069
Excess Kurtosis -0.49
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.656
Revenue per Share 3.681
Market Cap 360,813,376
Forward P/E 30.00
Beta 0.60
Profit Margins -109.99%
Website https://www.vandapharma.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:11 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume relative to calls, particularly at strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., $3.00 and $5.00 expiring in December). While there is notable open interest in out-of-the-money calls ($9.00 and $10.00), the implied volatility skew is heavily tilted toward downside protection, suggesting traders expect a continued grind lower rather than a sharp rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.26050425
Address1 2,200 Pennsylvania Avenue NW
Address2 Suite 300E
All Time High 33.44
All Time Low 0.45
Ask 6.91
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 815,050
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,022,763
Average Volume 1,022,763
Average Volume10Days 815,050
Beta 0.603
Bid 5.24
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 6
Book Value 5.536
City Washington
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.0
Current Ratio 2.162
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 6.215
Day Low 5.96
Debt To Equity 4.656
Display Name Vanda Pharmaceuticals
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,099,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,099,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Ebitda -151,976,992
Ebitda Margins -0.69784
Enterprise To Ebitda -1.129
Enterprise To Revenue 0.788
Enterprise Value 171,576,368
Eps Forward 0.2
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -4.06
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.2744
Fifty Day Average Change -0.27440023
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.043733303
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 26.050425
Fifty Two Week High 9.94
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.9399996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.39637825
Fifty Two Week Low 4.14
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.8600001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4492754
Fifty Two Week Range 4.14 - 9.94
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,144,848,600,000
Float Shares 53,838,767
Forward Eps 0.2
Forward P E 30.0
Free Cashflow -83,154,496
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 533
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.94177
Gross Profits 205,100,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.066479996
Held Percent Institutions 0.78195
Implied Shares Outstanding 60,135,562
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies to address high unmet medical needs worldwide. The company's commercial portfolio includes Fanapt for the acute treatment of manic or mixed episodes associated with bipolar I disorder and the treatment of schizophrenia; HETLIOZ to treat non-24-hour sleep-wake disorders and nighttime sleep disturbances; PONVORY to treat relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis; and NEREUSTM for preventing vomiting induced by motion. It also develops Fanapt (iloperidone), a long acting injectable (LAI) formulation for the treatment of schizophrenia and hypertension; BysantiTM (milsaperidone), for the acute treatment of manic or mixed episodes associated with bipolar I disorder, and for the treatment of schizophrenia and major depressive disorder; HETLIOZ (tasimelteon) to treat jet lag disorder, insomnia, pediatric insomnia, delayed sleep phase disorder, and pediatric Non-24; PONVORY (ponesimod) to treat psoriasis and ulcerative colitis; and NEREUSTM (tradipitant) for prevention of vomiting induced by GLP-1 receptor agonists, as well as treatment of gastroparesis and atopic dermatitis. In addition, the company's products include Imsidolimab, an IL-36R antagonist to treat generalized pustular psoriasis; VTR-297, for the treatment of hematologic malignancies and onychomycosis, and several oncology indications; and VQW-765, small molecule alpha-7 nicotinic acetylcholine receptor partial agonist for the treatment of social/performance anxiety and psychiatric disorders. Further, it develops cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator activators and inhibitors; and antisense oligonucleotide molecules. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Washington, the District of Columbia.
Long Name Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 360,813,376
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_24545059
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -239,547,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 360,212,016
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 6.15
Operating Cashflow -126,513,000
Operating Margins -0.97111
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 2.23
Phone 202 734 3400
Pre Market Change 0.010000229
Pre Market Change Percent 0.16667049
Pre Market Price 6.01
Pre Market Time 1,784,030,532
Previous Close 6.24
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.0838151
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.656764
Profit Margins -1.0999401
Quick Ratio 1.912
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.24
Regular Market Change Percent -3.84615
Regular Market Day High 6.215
Regular Market Day Low 5.96
Regular Market Day Range 5.96 - 6.215
Regular Market Open 6.15
Regular Market Previous Close 6.24
Regular Market Price 6.0
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 1,168,635
Return On Assets -0.18813999
Return On Equity -0.60478
Revenue Growth 0.034
Revenue Per Share 3.681
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 60,135,562
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1221
Shares Short 7,342,818
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 6,811,524
Short Name Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1282
Short Ratio 7.93
Source Interval 15
State DC
Symbol VNDA
Target High Price 21.0
Target Low Price 7.5
Target Mean Price 14.125
Target Median Price 14.0
Total Cash 202,310,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.364
Total Debt 13,073,000
Total Revenue 217,782,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -4.06
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.5124
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.51240015
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.078680694
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,168,635
Website https://www.vandapharma.com
Zip 20,037