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Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE)

Consumer Cyclical | Apparel Manufacturing | New York, United States | NasdaqCM
6.44 USD +0.14 (2.222%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 6.44

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:11 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is driven by a powerful earnings-driven reversal. After a brutal decade-long decline where the stock lost over 97% of its value, the company recently reported a Q1 loss that was significantly narrower than expected while beating revenue estimates. This catalyst triggered a massive 54% rally in the past month, pushing the price from roughly $3.50 to over $7.00. The technical setup is now extremely bullish, with the stock trading well above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting strong institutional and retail interest in the turnaround story. However, this short-term excitement masks severe long-term structural issues. The business remains unprofitable with negative operating margins and is burning significant free cash flow. Furthermore, the balance sheet is precarious, carrying debt nearly 270 times the equity value, which creates a constant threat of dilution or distress. While the momentum is clearly upward right now, the lack of a dividend and the fragile financial foundation mean this is a high-risk speculative play rather than a stable investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.133714
AutoARIMA0.136797
AutoETS0.137864
MSTL0.142564

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 21%
H-stat 11.04
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.001
Excess Kurtosis 0.32
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 269.479
Revenue per Share 23.574
Market Cap 82,736,576
Trailing P/E 9.20
Forward P/E 8.94
Beta 1.30
Profit Margins 2.97%
Website https://www.vince.com

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 3.064516
Address1 500 5th Avenue
Address2 20th Floor
All Time High 390.8
All Time Low 1.0
Ask 8.0
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 197,060
Average Daily Volume3 Month 287,942
Average Volume 287,942
Average Volume10Days 197,060
Beta 1.304
Bid 4.84
Bid Size 2
Book Value 3.9
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.44
Current Ratio 1.743
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 6.76
Day Low 6.21
Debt To Equity 269.479
Display Name Vince Holding
Dividend Date 1,508,803,200
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,746,189,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,746,189,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,781,613,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,788,957,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,788,957,000
Ebitda 13,792,000
Ebitda Margins 0.04506
Enterprise To Ebitda 15.353
Enterprise To Revenue 0.692
Enterprise Value 211,747,568
Eps Current Year 0.61
Eps Forward 0.72
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.7
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 5.355
Fifty Day Average Change 1.085
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.20261438
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 306.4516
Fifty Two Week High 8.2
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.7599998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21463412
Fifty Two Week Low 1.19
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.25
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 4.4117646
Fifty Two Week Range 1.19 - 8.2
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,385,130,600,000
Float Shares 4,197,982
Forward Eps 0.72
Forward P E 8.944444
Free Cashflow -3,246,625
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 558
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.49777
Gross Profits 152,372,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.58178
Held Percent Institutions 0.07177
Implied Shares Outstanding 12,847,294
Industry Apparel Manufacturing
Industry Disp Apparel Manufacturing
Industry Key apparel-manufacturing
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-10-21
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,769,817,600
Last Split Date 1,508,803,200
Last Split Factor 1:10
Long Business Summary Vince Holding Corp. operates as a retail company in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Vince Wholesale and Vince Direct-to-Consumer. The company offers women's products, including cashmere sweaters and silk blouses, as well as leather and suede jackets, dresses, skirts, pants, t-shirts, footwear, outerwear, and accessories; and men's products, such as cashmere sweaters, woven shirts, core and fashion pants, blazers, outerwear, footwear, and accessories under the Vince brand. It sells its products through its branded specialty retail stores, outlet stores, department stores, and specialty stores, as well as through its vince.com e-commerce platform. The company was formerly known as Apparel Holding Corp. and changed its name to Vince Holding Corp. in November 2013. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in New York, New York. Vince Holding Corp. operates as a subsidiary of P180.
Long Name Vince Holding Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 82,736,576
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_247261058
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,680,000
Net Income To Common 9,080,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,801,353,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 80,616,769
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 6.23
Operating Cashflow 5,893,000
Operating Margins -0.041339997
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 323 421 5980
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 6.44
Post Market Time 1,783,973,093
Previous Close 6.3
Price Eps Current Year 10.557377
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.6512821
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.27028468
Profit Margins 0.029660001
Quick Ratio 0.347
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.14
Regular Market Change Percent 2.22222
Regular Market Day High 6.76
Regular Market Day Low 6.21
Regular Market Day Range 6.21 - 6.76
Regular Market Open 6.23
Regular Market Previous Close 6.3
Regular Market Price 6.44
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 144,153
Return On Assets 0.031489998
Return On Equity 0.21284
Revenue Growth 0.105
Revenue Per Share 23.574
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 12,847,294
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0050999997
Shares Short 65,903
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 15,518
Short Name Vince Holding Corp.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0112
Short Ratio 0.2
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol VNCE
Target High Price 9.0
Target Low Price 9.0
Target Mean Price 9.0
Target Median Price 9.0
Total Cash 762,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.059
Total Debt 129,773,000
Total Revenue 306,108,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.7
Trailing P E 9.2
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 3.5741
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.8659
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.8018522
Type Disp Equity
Volume 144,153
Website https://www.vince.com
Zip 10,110