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Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. (VLRS)

Industrials | Airlines | Mexico City, Mexico | NYSE
5.88 USD -0.11 (-1.836%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 5.99 +0.11 (1.871%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 6:52 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:12 a.m. EDT

The airline faces a severe fundamental crisis that overrides any potential turnaround narrative. The company is generating negative earnings and negative operating margins, trading at a negative forward P/E, which indicates the market sees no path to profitability in the near term. The balance sheet is dangerously leveraged with debt-to-equity exceeding 5,700%, creating a massive overhang that prevents any meaningful capital allocation or strategic flexibility. Despite recent traffic growth and a slight uptick in load factors, these operational improvements are insufficient to offset the structural financial deterioration. The price has been decimated over the last decade, dropping nearly 64% from its peak, reflecting a deep loss of investor confidence. With no dividend to provide income and a bleak outlook for earnings recovery, this is a speculative trap rather than an investment opportunity.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.190114
MSTL0.191966
AutoARIMA0.192020
AutoTheta0.197127

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 2.56
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.302
Excess Kurtosis 0.72
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 5717.213
Revenue per Share 28.69
Market Cap 675,914,048
Forward P/E -14.08
Beta 1.08
Profit Margins -5.70%
Website https://www.volaris.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money December puts compared to negligible call volume. While there is some interest in the $7.50 strike calls, the overwhelming capital flow is into strikes significantly below the current price, suggesting a consensus view of continued weakness rather than a rebound.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.13529414
Address1 Tower B,13th Floor
Address2 Av. Antonio DovalI Jaime No. 70 Colonia Zedec Santa Fe AlcaldIa Alvaro ObregOn
All Time High 23.58
All Time Low 2.94
Ask 6.47
Ask Size 3,700
Average Analyst Rating 2.1 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 471,550
Average Daily Volume3 Month 460,481
Average Volume 460,481
Average Volume10Days 471,550
Beta 1.079
Bid 5.66
Bid Size 2,700
Book Value 0.59
City Mexico City
Country Mexico
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 5.88
Current Ratio 0.644
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 6.105
Day Low 5.8601
Debt To Equity 5,717.213
Display Name Controladora Vuela Compañía
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,044,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,044,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,044,800
Ebitda 206,544,992
Ebitda Margins 0.06267
Enterprise To Ebitda 17.971
Enterprise To Revenue 1.126
Enterprise Value 3,711,833,088
Eps Current Year -2.62397
Eps Forward -0.4177
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.59
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.7792
Fifty Day Average Change -0.89919996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.13264102
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -13.529414
Fifty Two Week High 10.8
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.92
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.45555556
Fifty Two Week Low 5.79
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.09000015
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.015544068
Fifty Two Week Range 5.79 - 10.8
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,379,511,000,000
Float Shares 86,637,698
Forward Eps -0.4177
Forward P E -14.077089
Free Cashflow 429,944,736
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 7,289
Fullday Change 0.0
Fullday Change Percent 0.0
Fullday Price 5.88
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.28259
Gross Profits 931,313,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0
Held Percent Institutions 0.35527
Implied Shares Outstanding 114,951,370
Industry Airlines
Industry Disp Airlines
Industry Key airlines
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiary, Concesionaria Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.P.I. de C.V., provides air transportation services for passengers, cargo, and mail in Mexico and internationally. The company operates approximately 550 daily flights on routes connecting 44 cities in Mexico, 22 cities in the United States, 4 cities in Central America, and 2 cities in South America. It also offers travel agency, share administration trust, pre-delivery payments financing, aircraft administration trust, and loyalty program, as well as specialized and aeronautical technical services. The company leases 151 aircraft and 14 spare engines. Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Long Name Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V.
Market us_market
Market Cap 675,914,048
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_37855853
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -187,916,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 773,622,720
Number Of Analyst Opinions 14
Open 6.04
Operating Cashflow 979,929,984
Operating Margins -0.11504
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 13.48
Phone 52 55 5261 6400
Post Market Change 0.10999966
Post Market Change Percent 1.8707424
Post Market Price 5.99
Post Market Time 1,792,191,167
Previous Close 5.99
Price Eps Current Year -2.2408793
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 9.966103
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.20509402
Profit Margins -0.05702
Quick Ratio 0.489
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.07143
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.11
Regular Market Change Percent -1.83639
Regular Market Day High 6.105
Regular Market Day Low 5.8601
Regular Market Day Range 5.8601 - 6.105
Regular Market Open 6.04
Regular Market Previous Close 5.99
Regular Market Price 5.88
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,803
Regular Market Volume 764,999
Return On Assets 0.00122
Return On Equity -1.16834
Revenue Growth 0.239
Revenue Per Share 28.69
Sand P52 Week Change 0.13723719
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Shares Outstanding 114,951,370
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0081
Shares Short 934,876
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,021,672
Short Name Controladora Vuela Compania de
Short Percent Of Float 0.010299999
Short Ratio 2.67
Source Interval 15
State DF
Symbol VLRS
Target High Price 12.0
Target Low Price 6.6
Target Mean Price 9.04286
Target Median Price 8.95
Total Cash 823,942,976
Total Cash Per Share 7.168
Total Debt 3,859,862,016
Total Revenue 3,295,630,080
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.59
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 7.86095
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.9809499
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.25199878
Type Disp Equity
Volume 764,999
Website https://www.volaris.com
Zip 1,210