Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. (VLRS)Industrials | Airlines | Mexico City, Mexico | NYSE
7.88 USD
-0.46
(-5.516%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:09 a.m. EDT
The long-term investment case is severely compromised by a decade-long structural decline; the stock has lost nearly 74% of its value over nine years, with the last two years showing consecutive negative returns. Despite recent operational headlines citing improved traffic and load factors, the balance sheet remains fragile with debt-to-equity exceeding 1,800 and negative operating margins, preventing any meaningful re-rating of the business quality. The short-term outlook is similarly muted; while the stock has recently rallied off its lows, the statistical forecasting models offer no directional edge, and the massive disconnect between the bullish call flow and the lack of protective put buying suggests a speculative gamble rather than a high-probability trade. With no dividend support and a forward P/E that is mathematically undefined due to losses, there is no margin of safety here. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.089939 |
| AutoETS | 0.089940 |
| AutoTheta | 0.092207 |
| MSTL | 0.104870 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 41% |
| H-stat | 1.30 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.629 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.37 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 1847.027 |
| Revenue per Share | 27.25 |
| Market Cap | 905,059,712 |
| Forward P/E | -460.82 |
| Beta | 0.92 |
| Profit Margins | -3.97% |
| Website | https://www.volaris.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:09 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is overwhelmingly skewed toward calls, particularly out-of-the-money strikes at $10 and $12.50 for September expiration, suggesting a bullish bet on a recovery or volatility expansion. However, this optimism is priced in with extremely low implied volatility relative to the deep in-the-money put options available at lower strikes, indicating a 'long gamma' setup where sellers profit if the stock stays flat or dips slightly, while buyers face significant cost if the anticipated surge fails to materialize.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.68376064 |
| Address1 | Tower B,13th Floor |
| Address2 | Av. Antonio DovalI Jaime No. 70 Colonia Zedec Santa Fe AlcaldIa Alvaro ObregOn |
| All Time High | 23.58 |
| All Time Low | 2.94 |
| Ask | 8.24 |
| Ask Size | 900 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.1 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 680,750 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 600,619 |
| Average Volume | 600,619 |
| Average Volume10Days | 680,750 |
| Beta | 0.919 |
| Bid | 7.0 |
| Bid Size | 600 |
| Book Value | 1.8 |
| City | Mexico City |
| Country | Mexico |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 7.88 |
| Current Ratio | 0.667 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 8.26 |
| Day Low | 7.85 |
| Debt To Equity | 1,847.027 |
| Display Name | Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,784,750,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,784,750,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,784,664,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,784,664,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,784,664,000 |
| Ebitda | 317,926,016 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.101569995 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 12.411 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.261 |
| Enterprise Value | 3,945,727,744 |
| Eps Current Year | -1.76429 |
| Eps Forward | -0.0171 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -2.6 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 7.9504 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.07039976 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.008854871 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 68.37607 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 10.8 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.92 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.27037036 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 4.4 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 3.48 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.79090905 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 4.4 - 10.8 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,379,511,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 86,255,174 |
| Forward Eps | -0.0171 |
| Forward P E | -460.8187 |
| Free Cashflow | 475,251,360 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 7,208 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.28375998 |
| Gross Profits | 888,238,016 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.36138 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 114,855,290 |
| Industry | Airlines |
| Industry Disp | Airlines |
| Industry Key | airlines |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiary, Concesionaria Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.P.I. de C.V., provides air transportation services for passengers, cargo, and mail in Mexico and internationally. The company operates approximately 550 daily flights on routes connecting 44 cities in Mexico, 22 cities in the United States, 4 cities in Central America, and 2 cities in South America. It also offers travel agency, share administration trust, pre-delivery payments financing, aircraft administration trust, and loyalty program, as well as specialized and aeronautical technical services. The company leases 151 aircraft and 14 spare engines. Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico. |
| Long Name | Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 905,059,712 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_37855853 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -124,239,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 905,059,685 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 13 |
| Open | 8.25 |
| Operating Cashflow | 842,905,984 |
| Operating Margins | -0.027679998 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 13.48 |
| Phone | 52 55 5261 6400 |
| Pre Market Change | -0.22000027 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | -2.7918816 |
| Pre Market Price | 7.66 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,030,036 |
| Previous Close | 8.34 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -4.466386 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 4.377778 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.28913447 |
| Profit Margins | -0.039690003 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.494 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.07692 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.46 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -5.51559 |
| Regular Market Day High | 8.26 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 7.85 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 7.85 - 8.26 |
| Regular Market Open | 8.25 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 8.34 |
| Regular Market Price | 7.88 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 585,095 |
| Return On Assets | 0.01365 |
| Return On Equity | -0.47615 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.136 |
| Revenue Per Share | 27.25 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Shares Outstanding | 114,855,290 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0159 |
| Shares Short | 1,826,674 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 2,307,296 |
| Short Name | Controladora Vuela Compania de |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0202 |
| Short Ratio | 2.78 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | DF |
| Symbol | VLRS |
| Target High Price | 12.0 |
| Target Low Price | 7.4 |
| Target Mean Price | 9.09231 |
| Target Median Price | 9.0 |
| Total Cash | 780,460,992 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 6.795 |
| Total Debt | 3,821,128,960 |
| Total Revenue | 3,130,237,952 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -2.6 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 7.9063 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.026299953 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.0033264554 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 585,095 |
| Website | https://www.volaris.com |
| Zip | 1,210 |