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Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)

Energy | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | San Antonio, United States | NYSE
295.79 USD +15.10 (5.380%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 298.28 +2.49 (0.842%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:12 a.m. EDT

Valero is riding a powerful wave of momentum, having surged significantly over the last two weeks to trade near its fifty-two-week high. This price action is backed by a robust nine-year price trajectory that shows consistent appreciation without a recent structural decline, alongside healthy fundamentals like a 15.85 percent return on equity and a forward price-to-earnings ratio that suggests earnings growth is priced in. The dividend offers a steady 1.71 percent yield with a conservative payout ratio, providing income stability even if the stock price fluctuates. However, the statistical forecasting models offer weak confidence for the immediate future, suggesting caution despite the strong technicals. Investors should view this as a high-conviction momentum play supported by solid corporate health, though the lack of deep statistical certainty warrants monitoring for potential volatility.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.035140
AutoARIMA0.044559
AutoETS0.044913
MSTL0.048966

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 1.22
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.324
Excess Kurtosis -1.01
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-20
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-20
Debt to Equity Ratio 42.664
Revenue per Share 386.364
Market Cap 87,829,749,760
Trailing P/E 20.50
Forward P/E 13.32
Beta 0.55
Profit Margins 3.57%
Website https://www.valero.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for continued upside momentum with significant call open interest concentrated near current prices and slightly out-of-the-money strikes around 300. While deep out-of-the-money puts show heavy open interest as a hedge against a sharp drop, the volume flow in calls—particularly the spike at the 285 strike—indicates active bullish speculation on the immediate trend.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.50% 2.60% 2.95% 3.39%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-21 1.200000 0.497739
2026-02-05 1.200000 0.618111
2025-11-20 1.130000 0.661515
2025-07-31 1.130000 0.822955
2025-05-20 1.130000 0.854701
2025-01-30 1.130000 0.834441
2024-11-20 1.070000 0.757790
2024-08-01 1.070000 0.683925
2024-05-30 1.070000 0.709079
2024-01-31 1.070000 0.770338
2023-11-16 1.020000 0.836614
2023-08-02 1.020000 0.807537
2023-05-22 1.020000 0.904335
2023-02-13 1.020000 0.729614
2022-11-16 0.980000 0.723087
2022-08-03 0.980000 0.909007
2022-05-11 0.980000 0.813818
2022-02-02 0.980000 1.131509
2021-11-17 0.980000 1.334241
2021-08-04 0.980000 1.526955
2021-05-14 0.980000 1.206748
2021-02-10 0.980000 1.505145
2020-11-17 0.980000 1.809788
2020-08-03 0.980000 1.817845
2020-05-13 0.980000 1.659611
2020-02-11 0.980000 1.163343
2019-11-19 0.900000 0.921942
2019-08-05 0.900000 1.187648
2019-05-14 0.900000 1.084860
2019-02-12 0.900000 1.093162
2018-11-19 0.800000 0.991449
2018-08-06 0.800000 0.696318
2018-05-16 0.800000 0.695713
2018-02-12 0.800000 0.900495
2017-11-20 0.700000 0.852723
2017-08-07 0.700000 1.029412
2017-05-15 0.700000 1.067887
2017-02-13 0.700000 1.044153
2016-11-18 0.600000 0.946522
2016-08-09 0.600000 1.143075
2016-05-23 0.600000 1.101726
2016-02-05 0.600000 1.050420
2015-11-19 0.500000 0.702839
2015-07-31 0.400000 0.609756
2015-05-11 0.400000 0.686460
2015-02-09 0.400000 0.734619
2014-11-17 0.275000 0.553097
2014-08-18 0.275000 0.515754
2014-05-19 0.250000 0.452325
2014-02-10 0.250000 0.527872
2013-11-25 0.225000 0.504711
2013-08-12 0.225000 0.610583
2013-05-20 0.200000 0.475172
2013-02-11 0.182815 0.433463
2012-11-19 0.159963 0.581201
2012-08-13 0.159963 0.613388
2012-05-21 0.137112 0.685560
2012-02-13 0.137112 0.613499
2011-11-14 0.137112 0.614001
2011-08-15 0.045704 0.232235
2011-05-16 0.045704 0.190622
2011-02-14 0.045704 0.171940
2010-11-15 0.045704 0.256148
2010-08-16 0.045704 0.295859
2010-05-17 0.045704 0.256938
2010-02-12 0.045704 0.282487
2009-11-06 0.137112 0.867557
2009-08-10 0.137112 0.809938
2009-05-22 0.137112 0.729930
2009-02-09 0.137112 0.612998
2008-11-07 0.137112 0.779629
2008-08-04 0.137112 0.484029
2008-05-23 0.137112 0.308580
2008-02-11 0.109689 0.203666
2007-11-05 0.109689 0.172861
2007-08-06 0.109689 0.190264
2007-05-14 0.109689 0.162822
2007-02-12 0.109689 0.217944
2006-11-06 0.073126 0.152963
2006-08-14 0.073126 0.126502
2006-05-15 0.073126 0.132100
2006-02-13 0.054845 0.118601
2005-11-07 0.045704 0.096759
2005-08-08 0.045704 0.113225
2005-05-16 0.045704 0.164854
2005-02-14 0.036563 0.129596
2004-11-08 0.036563 0.195122
2004-08-09 0.034278 0.215209
2004-05-17 0.034278 0.228207
2004-02-09 0.027422 0.223878
2003-11-07 0.027422 0.272724
2003-08-11 0.022852 0.261781
2003-05-22 0.022852 0.264132
2003-02-10 0.022852 0.265535
2002-11-08 0.022852 0.283528
2002-08-12 0.022852 0.297797
2002-05-23 0.022852 0.239407
2002-02-11 0.022852 0.218819
2001-11-09 0.022852 0.253294
2001-08-13 0.018282 0.229232
2001-05-24 0.018282 0.166914
2001-02-12 0.018282 0.207905
2000-11-13 0.018282 0.228577
2000-08-14 0.018282 0.276465
2000-05-25 0.018282 0.278268
2000-02-14 0.018282 0.353600
1999-11-05 0.018282 0.446004
1999-08-09 0.018282 0.335967
1999-05-07 0.018282 0.364682
1999-02-05 0.018282 0.418311
1998-11-05 0.018282 0.327374
1998-08-06 0.018282 0.355565
1998-05-07 0.018282 0.239706
1998-02-06 0.018282 0.242430
1997-11-06 0.018282 0.267230
1997-08-14 0.018282 0.252971
1997-08-01 3.142139 47.722346
1997-05-01 0.029707 0.370101
1997-02-06 0.029707 0.414336
1996-11-06 0.029707 0.553182
1996-08-07 0.029707 0.587561
1996-05-08 0.029707 0.488255
1996-02-07 0.029707 0.527910
1995-11-06 0.029707 0.547359
1995-08-04 0.029707 0.565208
1995-05-03 0.029707 0.587561
1995-02-06 0.029707 0.727261
1994-10-25 0.029707 0.604641
1994-08-02 0.029707 0.697975
1994-05-03 0.029707 0.615374
1994-01-25 0.029707 0.638026
1993-10-26 0.029707 0.519991
1993-07-21 0.025137 0.465606
1993-05-10 0.025137 0.455956
1993-01-26 0.025137 0.468083
1992-10-23 0.025137 0.480872
1992-07-21 0.025137 0.455956
1992-05-12 0.025137 0.360654
1992-02-04 0.020567 0.307696
1991-10-23 0.020567 0.322874
1991-07-24 0.020567 0.380957
1991-04-30 0.020567 0.387102
1991-01-25 0.015996 0.427472
1990-10-29 0.015996 0.368413
1990-07-31 0.015996 0.482748
1990-04-24 0.015996 0.499989
1990-01-30 0.011426 0.344829
1989-11-06 0.011426 0.373833
1989-08-01 0.011426 0.312501
1989-05-02 0.011426 0.268457
1984-08-07 0.025137 1.353841
1984-05-10 0.025137 0.977773
1984-02-06 0.025137 0.499998
1983-11-03 0.025137 0.575161
1983-08-08 0.022852 0.325204
1983-05-12 0.022852 0.388351
1983-02-04 0.022852 0.375588
1982-11-05 0.022852 0.449440
1982-08-06 0.018282 0.551738
1982-05-06 0.018282 0.418311
1982-02-05 0.018282 0.407654
Additional Data
dividendRate 4.8
dividendYield 1.71
exDividendDate 2026-05-21
trailingAnnualDividendRate 4.59
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.01635256
lastDividendValue 1.2
lastDividendDate 2026-05-21
dividendDate 2026-06-23

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.8854705
Address1 One Valero Way
All Time High 287.05
All Time Low 1.028336
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,124,750
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,056,934
Average Volume 3,056,934
Average Volume10Days 3,124,750
Beta 0.545
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 5
Book Value 80.388
City San Antonio
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 295.79
Current Ratio 1.576
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 297.66
Day Low 286.53
Debt To Equity 42.664
Display Name Valero Energy
Dividend Date 1,782,172,800
Dividend Rate 4.8
Dividend Yield 1.71
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,414,600
Ebitda 9,203,000,320
Ebitda Margins 0.078099996
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.502
Enterprise To Revenue 0.82
Enterprise Value 96,651,747,328
Eps Current Year 31.52652
Eps Forward 22.20686
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 14.43
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,321,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 253.3508
Fifty Day Average Change 42.43921
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.16751164
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 88.54705
Fifty Two Week High 297.66
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.8699951
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.006282319
Fifty Two Week Low 130.78
Fifty Two Week Low Change 165.01001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.2617373
Fifty Two Week Range 130.78 - 297.66
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 379,002,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.36
Float Shares 295,388,732
Forward Eps 22.20686
Forward P E 13.319758
Free Cashflow 4,786,625,024
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 9,785
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.14563
Gross Profits 17,160,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0040599997
Held Percent Institutions 0.87918997
Implied Shares Outstanding 296,932,782
Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Industry Disp Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Industry Key oil-gas-refining-marketing
Ir Website http://www.valero.com/InvestorRelations/Pages/Home.aspx
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,321,600
Last Dividend Value 1.2
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,367,452,800
Last Split Factor 1,094:1000
Long Business Summary Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company also owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces and sells renewable diesel, renewable naphtha, and neat sustainable aviation fuel under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distillers grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
Long Name Valero Energy Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 87,829,749,760
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_311679
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 4,196,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 83,346,062,579
Number Of Analyst Opinions 18
Open 285.82
Operating Cashflow 6,264,000,000
Operating Margins 0.060510002
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.3353
Peg Ratio 4.08
Phone 210 345 2000
Post Market Change 2.4900818
Post Market Change Percent 0.8418411
Post Market Price 298.2801
Post Market Time 1,783,987,191
Previous Close 280.69
Price Eps Current Year 9.38226
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.6795294
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.7453242
Profit Margins 0.03569
Quick Ratio 1.084
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.42105
Region US
Regular Market Change 15.1
Regular Market Change Percent 5.3796
Regular Market Day High 297.66
Regular Market Day Low 286.53
Regular Market Day Range 286.53 - 297.66
Regular Market Open 285.82
Regular Market Previous Close 280.69
Regular Market Price 295.79
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 2,780,820
Return On Assets 0.06487
Return On Equity 0.1585
Revenue Growth 0.066
Revenue Per Share 386.364
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 296,932,782
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.035
Shares Short 10,378,936
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 9,261,359
Short Name Valero Energy Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.0404
Short Ratio 3.13
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol VLO
Target High Price 340.0
Target Low Price 190.0
Target Mean Price 273.94443
Target Median Price 286.0
Total Cash 5,733,000,192
Total Cash Per Share 19.307
Total Debt 11,491,000,320
Total Revenue 117,841,002,496
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 4.59
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.01635256
Trailing Eps 14.43
Trailing P E 20.498268
Trailing Peg Ratio 4.0843
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 208.18015
Two Hundred Day Average Change 87.60986
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.42083678
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,780,820
Website https://www.valero.com
Zip 78,249