Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL)Consumer Defensive | Farm Products | Austin, United States | NasdaqGM
8.27 USD
-0.28
(-3.275%) ⇩
(Oct. 16, 2026, 1:08 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:06 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Vital Farms is currently broken by a severe fundamental deterioration masked by a recent, likely anomalous, price spike. The company is generating negative free cash flow, burning operating cash, and reporting a massive operating loss of nearly 24%. This is compounded by a sharp contraction in revenue growth of over 10%, indicating the business is shrinking. Despite the stock trading at a low multiple relative to book value, the lack of earnings power and the bleeding cash make it a value trap rather than a bargain. The recent price surge to $43 appears disconnected from the deteriorating operational reality, as the stock has since corrected significantly. With no dividend to provide income and a balance sheet showing debt levels that exceed equity, the risk profile is extreme. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying put protection at strikes far below the current price, signaling a fear of further collapse. Until the company demonstrates a path to profitability and stabilizes its top-line growth, this remains a high-risk speculative vehicle unsuitable for capital preservation. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.115354 |
| MSTL | 0.122676 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.143039 |
| AutoETS | 0.143041 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 36% |
| H-stat | 8.75 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.197 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.91 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 38.162 |
| Revenue per Share | 17.449 |
| Market Cap | 355,043,680 |
| Forward P/E | 27.80 |
| Beta | 1.08 |
| Profit Margins | 0.02% |
| Website | https://vitalfarms.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes $5.00 and $7.50) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some speculative call activity at distant strikes ($25.00) suggesting a long-term recovery thesis, the immediate term is dominated by hedging and bearish bets, with implied volatility significantly higher for puts than calls.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.7906977 |
| Address1 | 3,601 South Congress Avenue |
| Address2 | Suite C100 |
| All Time High | 53.125 |
| All Time Low | 7.89 |
| Ask | 15.09 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 8 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.3 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,661,590 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,611,953 |
| Average Volume | 1,611,953 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,661,590 |
| Beta | 1.077 |
| Bid | 8.9 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 6 |
| Book Value | 6.608 |
| City | Austin |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 8.27 |
| Current Ratio | 1.104 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 8.781 |
| Day Low | 8.19 |
| Debt To Equity | 38.162 |
| Display Name | Vital Farms |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,881,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,881,800 |
| Ebitda | 15,713,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.02052 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 28.898 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.593 |
| Enterprise Value | 454,073,504 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.3825 |
| Eps Forward | 0.2975 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.05 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 10.3507 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -2.0807 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.20102021 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -79.06977 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 42.08 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -33.81 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.8034696 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 7.95 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.32000065 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.040251654 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 7.95 - 42.08 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,596,202,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 34,609,676 |
| Forward Eps | 0.2975 |
| Forward P E | 27.798319 |
| Free Cashflow | -98,007,128 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Full Time Employees | 739 |
| Fullday Change | -0.27999973 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -3.2748506 |
| Fullday Price | 8.27 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.28122 |
| Gross Profits | 215,326,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.18294 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.8729 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 42,931,522 |
| Industry | Farm Products |
| Industry Disp | Farm Products |
| Industry Key | farm-products |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,766,880,000 |
| Long Business Summary | Vital Farms, Inc., a food company, packages, markets, and distributes shell eggs, butter, and other products in the United States. The company produces products sourced from animals raised on family farms, including shell eggs, stick butter, hard-boiled eggs, and liquid whole eggs under the Vital Farms brand and other trade names. It offers its products through third parties and direct to retailers, and commercial and non-commercial foodservice operators. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas. |
| Long Name | Vital Farms, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 355,043,680 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_231730321 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,604,800 |
| Net Income To Common | 156,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,416,000 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 441,765,361 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 9 |
| Open | 8.54 |
| Operating Cashflow | -16,710,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.24180001 |
| Overall Risk | 7 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 877 455 3063 |
| Previous Close | 8.55 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -21.620916 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.2515135 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.46370205 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0002 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.54 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.3 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.27999973 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -3.2748506 |
| Regular Market Day High | 8.781 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 8.19 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 8.19 - 8.781 |
| Regular Market Open | 8.54 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 8.55 |
| Regular Market Price | 8.27 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,170,482 |
| Regular Market Volume | 823,132 |
| Return On Assets | 0.00044 |
| Return On Equity | 0.00053 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.101 |
| Revenue Per Share | 17.449 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 42,931,522 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.2024 |
| Shares Short | 8,687,698 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 9,564,910 |
| Short Name | Vital Farms, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.2915 |
| Short Ratio | 4.98 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | TX |
| Symbol | VITL |
| Target High Price | 18.0 |
| Target Low Price | 8.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 12.66667 |
| Target Median Price | 14.0 |
| Total Cash | 21,239,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.495 |
| Total Debt | 108,248,000 |
| Total Revenue | 765,672,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.05 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 15.198325 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -6.9283247 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.45586106 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 823,132 |
| Website | https://vitalfarms.com |
| Zip | 78,704 |