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Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL)

Consumer Defensive | Farm Products | Austin, United States | NasdaqGM
10.79 USD +0.35 (3.352%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 10.82 +0.03 (0.278%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:59 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is severely compromised by deteriorating fundamentals and a complete lack of shareholder returns. The company is burning cash, with free cash flow of nearly -$100 million and operating cash flow in the negative millions, while reporting negligible profit margins. This financial distress is reflected in the stock's trajectory, which has suffered three consecutive years of negative annual returns, capping any potential recovery narrative. Furthermore, the absence of any dividend history confirms that capital is being consumed by operations rather than returned to investors. While the forward P/E suggests analysts expect a turnaround, the balance sheet is fragile with debt significantly outweighing cash reserves. The options market agrees with this pessimism, with traders loading up on deep out-of-the-money puts as insurance against further decline. Until the bleeding stops and cash flow turns positive, this remains a speculative trap rather than a viable investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.130943
MSTL0.144978
AutoTheta0.154069
AutoARIMA0.261627

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 0.06
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.166
Excess Kurtosis -1.30
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Debt to Equity Ratio 38.162
Revenue per Share 17.449
Market Cap 463,231,104
Forward P/E 41.18
Beta 1.07
Profit Margins 0.02%
Website https://vitalfarms.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:59 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for downside protection, evidenced by massive put volume and open interest at strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., $5.00 and $7.50 expiring in late 2026 and early 2028). Call activity is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, suggesting a limited bullish thesis focused on mean reversion rather than a breakout. The disparity between high put volume and relatively lower call volume indicates a dominant fear of further deterioration.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.7988439
Address1 3,601 South Congress Avenue
Address2 Suite C100
All Time High 53.125
All Time Low 7.89
Ask 15.09
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 8
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,343,760
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,911,082
Average Volume 1,911,082
Average Volume10Days 1,343,760
Beta 1.071
Bid 8.9
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 6
Book Value 7.524
City Austin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 10.79
Current Ratio 1.104
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 10.965
Day Low 10.45
Debt To Equity 38.162
Display Name Vital Farms
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda 15,713,000
Ebitda Margins 0.02052
Enterprise To Ebitda 35.018
Enterprise To Revenue 0.719
Enterprise Value 550,240,128
Eps Current Year -0.4125
Eps Forward 0.262
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.05
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.0358
Fifty Day Average Change -1.2458
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.10350787
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -79.88439
Fifty Two Week High 52.79
Fifty Two Week High Change -42.0
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.79560524
Fifty Two Week Low 7.95
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.8400002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.35723272
Fifty Two Week Range 7.95 - 52.79
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,596,202,200,000
Float Shares 34,518,232
Forward Eps 0.262
Forward P E 41.18321
Free Cashflow -98,007,128
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 739
Fullday Change 0.35
Fullday Change Percent 3.35249
Fullday Price 10.82
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.28122
Gross Profits 215,326,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.18355
Held Percent Institutions 0.87149
Implied Shares Outstanding 42,931,522
Industry Farm Products
Industry Disp Farm Products
Industry Key farm-products
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,880,000
Long Business Summary Vital Farms, Inc., a food company, packages, markets, and distributes shell eggs, butter, and other products in the United States. The company produces products sourced from animals raised on family farms, including shell eggs, stick butter, hard-boiled eggs, and liquid whole eggs under the Vital Farms brand and other trade names. It offers its products through third parties and direct to retailers, and commercial and non-commercial foodservice operators. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Long Name Vital Farms, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 463,231,104
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_231730321
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,604,800
Net Income To Common 156,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,416,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 448,205,089
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 10.47
Operating Cashflow -16,710,000
Operating Margins -0.24180001
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 877 455 3063
Post Market Change 0.029999733
Post Market Change Percent 0.27803275
Post Market Price 10.82
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 10.44
Price Eps Current Year -26.157576
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.4340776
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.6049994
Profit Margins 0.0002
Quick Ratio 0.54
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.35
Regular Market Change Percent 3.35249
Regular Market Day High 10.965
Regular Market Day Low 10.45
Regular Market Day Range 10.45 - 10.965
Regular Market Open 10.47
Regular Market Previous Close 10.44
Regular Market Price 10.79
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 1,171,827
Return On Assets 0.00044
Return On Equity 0.00053
Revenue Growth -0.101
Revenue Per Share 17.449
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 42,931,522
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.19510001
Shares Short 8,375,857
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 7,978,805
Short Name Vital Farms, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.28100002
Short Ratio 5.32
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol VITL
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 10.0
Target Mean Price 13.22222
Target Median Price 14.0
Total Cash 21,239,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.495
Total Debt 108,248,000
Total Revenue 765,672,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.05
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 19.0141
Two Hundred Day Average Change -8.224099
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.43252635
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,171,827
Website https://vitalfarms.com
Zip 78,704