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Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Mexico City, Mexico | NYSE
69.02 USD -0.40 (-0.576%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 69.20 +0.18 (0.261%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 6:50 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:34 a.m. EDT

Vista Energy presents a compelling dichotomy between a deteriorating technical trend and an exceptional underlying business. Fundamentally, the company is a powerhouse: revenue exploded 102% year-over-year, driven by the Vaca Muerta boom, while maintaining robust margins and a 29.8% return on equity. The balance sheet remains healthy despite elevated debt, supported by massive operating cash flow. However, the market has punished this growth recently, evidenced by a 24% drop in the trailing twelve-month period and a price that has fallen below its 50-day moving average. This disconnect creates a high-conviction long-term setup where the current price likely discounts future growth potential. For the immediate term, the outlook is mixed; the stock is struggling to regain momentum against its 50-day average, and the statistical forecasting model offers no directional guidance due to low confidence. While the long-term thesis is strong, the short-term path requires patience as the stock digests the recent correction.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.043745
AutoETS0.043745
MSTL0.044577
AutoTheta0.078241

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 2.17
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.318
Excess Kurtosis -0.72
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Debt to Equity Ratio 106.502
Revenue per Share 33.351
Market Cap 7,634,812,928
Trailing P/E 9.13
Forward P/E 6.89
Beta -0.46
Profit Margins 23.56%
Previous Name Vista Oil & Gas, S.A.B. de C.V.
Website https://vistaenergy.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:34 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for upside, with open interest concentrated significantly out-of-the-money on both calls and puts. Call writers are accumulating deep strikes ($80-$90) while put writers focus on lower strikes ($45-$60), creating a wide gap that suggests a belief in a volatile breakout rather than a steady grind. The dominance of out-of-the-money call open interest indicates a bullish bias expecting significant appreciation, though the high implied volatility on these strikes reflects uncertainty about the magnitude of that move.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.9732803
Address1 Torre Mapfre, 243 Ps de la Reforma Ave
Address2 18th Floor Colonia Renacimiento AlcaldIa CuauhtEmoc
All Time High 81.44
All Time Low 1.8
Ask 70.0
Ask Size 100
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 894,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,033,329
Average Volume 1,033,329
Average Volume10Days 894,130
Beta -0.459
Bid 68.02
Bid Size 100
Book Value 29.929
City Mexico City
Country Mexico
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 69.02
Current Ratio 0.692
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 70.08
Day Low 68.54
Debt To Equity 106.502
Display Name Vista Energy
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,304,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,304,000
Earnings Growth 0.298
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.367
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda 2,147,744,000
Ebitda Margins 0.60927
Enterprise To Ebitda 5.135
Enterprise To Revenue 3.129
Enterprise Value 11,029,499,904
Eps Current Year 175.8324
Eps Forward 10.020427
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.56
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 69.8152
Fifty Day Average Change -0.79520416
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.011390129
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 97.32803
Fifty Two Week High 81.44
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.420006
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.15250498
Fifty Two Week Low 34.6
Fifty Two Week Low Change 34.42
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.9947977
Fifty Two Week Range 34.6 - 81.44
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,564,147,800,000
Float Shares 89,757,939
Forward Eps 10.020427
Forward P E 6.88793
Free Cashflow 123,169,128
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 584
Fullday Change -0.40000153
Fullday Change Percent -0.576205
Fullday Price 69.2
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.82515
Gross Profits 2,908,742,912
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.11638
Held Percent Institutions 0.60817003
Implied Shares Outstanding 110,617,404
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in Latin America. The company's principal assets is situated in the Vaca Muerta play, Neuquina basin, Argentina. It owns producing assets in Argentina and Mexico. In addition, the company involved in drilling and workover activities situated in Argentina. The company was formerly known as Vista Oil & Gas, S.A.B. de C.V. and changed its name to Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. in April 2022. Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.
Long Name Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,634,812,928
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_433384628
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-10-13
Net Income To Common 830,428,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,770,872,631
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 69.34
Operating Cashflow 1,812,061,056
Operating Margins 0.44244
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 52 55 1555 7104
Post Market Change 0.1800003
Post Market Change Percent 0.26079443
Post Market Price 69.2
Post Market Time 1,791,931,813
Prev Name Vista Oil & Gas, S.A.B. de C.V.
Previous Close 69.42
Price Eps Current Year 0.39253289
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.3061242
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.165835
Profit Margins 0.23558001
Quick Ratio 0.672
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.400002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.576205
Regular Market Day High 70.08
Regular Market Day Low 68.54
Regular Market Day Range 68.54 - 70.08
Regular Market Open 69.34
Regular Market Previous Close 69.42
Regular Market Price 69.02
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,602
Regular Market Volume 972,812
Return On Assets 0.09996
Return On Equity 0.29795
Revenue Growth 1.023
Revenue Per Share 33.351
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Shares Outstanding 110,617,402
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0209
Shares Short 2,316,473
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,505,849
Short Name Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V.
Short Percent Of Float 0.026500002
Short Ratio 1.96
Source Interval 15
State DF
Symbol VIST
Target High Price 113.90769
Target Low Price 75.7634
Target Mean Price 91.55845
Target Median Price 87.36086
Total Cash 606,814,016
Total Cash Per Share 5.445
Total Debt 3,754,568,960
Total Revenue 3,525,113,088
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 7.56
Trailing P E 9.129629
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 65.4315
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.5884933
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.05484351
Type Disp Equity
Volume 972,812
Website https://vistaenergy.com
Zip 6,500