Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST)Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Mexico City, Mexico | NYSE
65.47 USD
+0.66
(1.018%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 66.36 +0.89 (1.355%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:41 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:07 a.m. EDT
The long-term investment case is compelling due to exceptional fundamentals: a 35% return on equity, nearly 100% revenue growth, and a forward P/E of roughly 6.5x suggests the market is pricing in significant future challenges or a cyclical peak. However, the price action tells a different story; the stock has failed to capitalize on this earnings explosion, trading well below its 52-week high and showing a trailing run of underperformance relative to its own history. This disconnect creates a 'value trap' risk where the cheap valuation reflects hidden operational issues or a deteriorating commodity environment not yet visible in the latest earnings. The short-term outlook is muted to bearish; the stock is trading below its 50-day moving average, and the heavy put option positioning suggests traders are hedging against a further decline rather than betting on an immediate bounce. Until the price action aligns with the superior fundamentals, the risk-reward profile remains skewed against the buyer. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.054328 |
| MSTL | 0.056755 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.057090 |
| AutoETS | 0.057383 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 40% |
| H-stat | 3.88 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.142 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.34 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Energy |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 145.057 |
| Revenue per Share | 27.748 |
| Market Cap | 7,296,134,144 |
| Trailing P/E | 9.54 |
| Forward P/E | 6.54 |
| Beta | -0.48 |
| Profit Margins | 25.65% |
| Previous Name | Vista Oil & Gas, S.A.B. de C.V. |
| Website | https://vistaenergy.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:07 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 30, 45, 55) across multiple expirations, particularly for the November and December dates where put volume dwarfs call volume. Conversely, call activity is concentrated in far out-of-the-money strikes (80, 90), suggesting a speculative bet on a sharp rally rather than steady appreciation. The implied volatility skew is heavily tilted toward the downside, indicating the market prices in a significant probability of a drop below current levels.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.42627645 |
| Address1 | Torre Mapfre, 243 Ps de la Reforma Ave |
| Address2 | 18th Floor Colonia Renacimiento AlcaldIa CuauhtEmoc |
| All Time High | 81.44 |
| All Time Low | 1.8 |
| Ask | 65.37 |
| Ask Size | 400 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.3 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 855,760 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,057,813 |
| Average Volume | 1,057,813 |
| Average Volume10Days | 855,760 |
| Beta | -0.48 |
| Bid | 65.21 |
| Bid Size | 900 |
| Book Value | 24.713 |
| City | Mexico City |
| Country | Mexico |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 65.47 |
| Current Ratio | 0.769 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 67.09 |
| Day Low | 65.19 |
| Debt To Equity | 145.057 |
| Display Name | Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,784,318,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,784,318,400 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.19 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.301 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,784,232,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,784,232,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,784,232,000 |
| Ebitda | 1,769,825,024 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.61013 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 5.674 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 3.462 |
| Enterprise Value | 10,042,188,800 |
| Eps Current Year | 172.62643 |
| Eps Forward | 10.010881 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 6.86 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 70.1712 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -4.7012024 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.06699618 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 42.627644 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 81.44 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -15.970001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.19609529 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 31.63 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 33.840004 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.0698705 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 31.63 - 81.44 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,564,147,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 87,247,322 |
| Forward Eps | 10.010881 |
| Forward P E | 6.5398836 |
| Free Cashflow | -821,809,856 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 584 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.81228995 |
| Gross Profits | 2,356,261,120 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.06335 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.57875 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 111,442,404 |
| Industry | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Disp | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Key | oil-gas-e-p |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in Latin America. The company's principal assets is situated in the Vaca Muerta play, Neuquina basin, Argentina. It owns producing assets in Argentina and Mexico. In addition, the company involved in drilling and workover activities situated in Argentina. The company was formerly known as Vista Oil & Gas, S.A.B. de C.V. and changed its name to Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. in April 2022. Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico. |
| Long Name | Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 7,296,134,144 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_433384628 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Name Change Date | 2,026-07-13 |
| Net Income To Common | 743,982,976 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 7,222,582,203 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 12 |
| Open | 66.13 |
| Operating Cashflow | 815,457,984 |
| Operating Margins | 0.24923 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 52 55 1555 7104 |
| Post Market Change | 0.88679504 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 1.3545059 |
| Post Market Price | 66.3568 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,986,064 |
| Prev Name | Vista Oil & Gas, S.A.B. de C.V. |
| Previous Close | 64.81 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 0.37925828 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.649213 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 2.5152552 |
| Profit Margins | 0.25648 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.759 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.33333 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.660004 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.01837 |
| Regular Market Day High | 67.09 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 65.19 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 65.19 - 67.09 |
| Regular Market Open | 66.13 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 64.81 |
| Regular Market Price | 65.47 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,121,972 |
| Return On Assets | 0.09295999 |
| Return On Equity | 0.3508 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.973 |
| Revenue Per Share | 27.748 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Energy |
| Sector Disp | Energy |
| Sector Key | energy |
| Shares Outstanding | 111,442,402 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.017 |
| Shares Short | 1,898,002 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 2,471,780 |
| Short Name | Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0215 |
| Short Ratio | 2.4 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | DF |
| Symbol | VIST |
| Target High Price | 117.996155 |
| Target Low Price | 86.16154 |
| Target Mean Price | 96.85654 |
| Target Median Price | 95.54258 |
| Total Cash | 615,142,016 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 5.848 |
| Total Debt | 3,770,740,992 |
| Total Revenue | 2,900,752,896 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 6.86 |
| Trailing P E | 9.543732 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 57.36745 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 8.1025505 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.14123951 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,121,972 |
| Website | https://vistaenergy.com |
| Zip | 6,500 |