Vipshop Holdings Limited (VIPS)Consumer Cyclical | Internet Retail | Guangzhou, China | NYSE
13.92 USD
-0.02
(-0.143%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 13.89 -0.03 (-0.033%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:01 a.m. EDT
The investment case here rests on a classic value trap vs. turnaround dynamic. Fundamentally, the business is showing signs of life: revenue is growing modestly (+1.2%), earnings are accelerating (+20%), and the balance sheet is surprisingly robust with massive cash reserves and a fortress-like payout ratio of just 23%. This supports a solid long-term hold, as the company is no longer bleeding capital and is generating real returns on equity. However, the market remains deeply skeptical, evidenced by the crushing 17-year price trajectory where the stock has lost nearly half its value despite the recent earnings beat. The price-to-book ratio of 1.1x is misleading; it reflects a depressed book value, not a cheap asset. The recent news of insider selling and analyst target cuts reinforces the bearish sentiment, even as the company posts better-than-expected results. Short-term, the outlook is murky. The statistical forecast models are weak and leaning slightly negative, which clashes with the improving fundamentals. The options market tells a different story, with heavy speculation on a rally to $20+, but this could be noise. Given the conflicting signals—strong operational recovery versus persistent market pessimism and weak statistical momentum—the prudent stance is neutral-to-slightly-bullish. The stock offers a decent yield and a reasonable entry point for a patient investor willing to wait for the market to recognize the turnaround, but it lacks the explosive momentum required for a high-conviction short-term trade. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_74 ✓ | 0.043427 |
| MSTL_74_126 | 0.052951 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.055340 |
| AutoETS | 0.055772 |
| MSTL | 0.057213 |
| MSTL_126 | 0.058652 |
| AutoTheta | 0.062540 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_74
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 39% |
| H-stat | 3.79 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.089 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.60 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-04-09 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-04-09 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 16.046 |
| Revenue per Share | 215.887 |
| Market Cap | 6,685,365,760 |
| Trailing P/E | 6.36 |
| Forward P/E | 5.15 |
| Beta | 0.63 |
| Profit Margins | 7.07% |
| Website | https://www.vip.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 6:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound recovery rather than a breakout. Call Open Interest is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes ($16-$22) for later expirations, suggesting bets on a significant upside move to $20+, while Put Open Interest clusters tightly around the current price ($13-$15), indicating a floor is expected but not a crash. The massive volume in deep OTM calls relative to puts implies asymmetric bullish sentiment, though the low model confidence suggests this flow is speculative.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.11% | 4.11% | — | — |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | 0.62 | 4.114134 |
| 2025-04-11 | 0.48 | 3.821656 |
| 2024-03-14 | 0.43 | 2.489867 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.077432156 |
| Address1 | 128 Dingxin Road |
| Address2 | Haizhu District |
| All Time High | 46.0 |
| All Time Low | 0.412 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 2,100 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.1 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,752,110 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,467,331 |
| Average Volume | 2,467,331 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,752,110 |
| Beta | 0.633 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 2,300 |
| Book Value | 12.571719 |
| City | Guangzhou |
| Country | China |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 13.92 |
| Current Ratio | 1.262 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 14.11 |
| Day Low | 13.88 |
| Debt To Equity | 16.046 |
| Display Name | Vipshop |
| Dividend Date | 1,776,988,800 |
| Dividend Rate | 0.62 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.45 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,779,363,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,779,363,000 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.202 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.136 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,779,366,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,624,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,624,200 |
| Ebitda | 9,765,176,320 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.09193 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -1.338 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | -0.123 |
| Enterprise Value | -13,066,221,568 |
| Eps Current Year | 17.24998 |
| Eps Forward | 2.702547 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.19 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,775,779,200 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 13.9504 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.030400276 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.0021791686 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -7.7432156 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 21.08 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -7.16 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.33965844 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 12.65 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.2700005 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.1003953 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 12.65 - 21.08 |
| Financial Currency | CNY |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,332,509,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 289,497,476 |
| Forward Eps | 2.702547 |
| Forward P E | 5.1506968 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 15,145 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.23444 |
| Gross Profits | 24,903,256,064 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00476 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.70862997 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 480,270,540 |
| Industry | Internet Retail |
| Industry Disp | Internet Retail |
| Industry Key | internet-retail |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,775,779,200 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.62 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,415,059,200 |
| Last Split Factor | 10:1 |
| Long Business Summary | Vipshop Holdings Limited operates online platforms in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Vip.com, Shan Shan Outlets, and Others segments. It provides womenswear, menswear, sportswear and sporting goods, baby and children products, shoes and bags, skincare and cosmetics, home goods and other lifestyle products, and supermarket and other products. The company also engages in warehousing, retail business, product procurement, and software development and information technology support activities. It provides branded products through its vip.com and vipshop.com online platforms, as well as through retail stores. Vipshop Holdings Limited was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. |
| Long Name | Vipshop Holdings Limited |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 6,685,365,760 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_115620169 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 7,505,952,768 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 6,685,365,916 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 20 |
| Open | 13.95 |
| Operating Margins | 0.09399 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.2342 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.79 |
| Phone | 86 20 2233 0025 |
| Post Market Change | -0.032999992 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.2370689 |
| Post Market Price | 13.887 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,987,180 |
| Previous Close | 13.94 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 0.8069574 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.1072471 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.0629356 |
| Profit Margins | 0.07066 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.097 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.09524 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.0199995 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.143468 |
| Regular Market Day High | 14.11 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 13.88 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 13.88 - 14.11 |
| Regular Market Open | 13.95 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 13.94 |
| Regular Market Price | 13.92 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,565,661 |
| Return On Assets | 0.06641 |
| Return On Equity | 0.17789 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.012 |
| Revenue Per Share | 215.887 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Shares Outstanding | 402,468,750 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0111 |
| Shares Short | 5,318,361 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 6,952,238 |
| Short Name | Vipshop Holdings Limited |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.019199999 |
| Short Ratio | 2.0 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | VIPS |
| Target High Price | 23.573494 |
| Target Low Price | 13.029481 |
| Target Mean Price | 18.302322 |
| Target Median Price | 18.217754 |
| Total Cash | 30,344,026,112 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 63.181 |
| Total Debt | 7,168,373,760 |
| Total Revenue | 106,225,508,352 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 4.337 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.31111908 |
| Trailing Eps | 2.19 |
| Trailing P E | 6.3561645 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 0.7864 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 16.8099 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -2.8899002 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.17191656 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,565,661 |
| Website | https://www.vip.com |
| Zip | 510,220 |