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Viavi Solutions Inc. (VIAV)

Technology | Communication Equipment | Chandler, United States | NasdaqGS
40.92 USD -2.16 (-5.014%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:06 a.m. EDT

The immediate catalyst here is the AI-driven demand narrative, which has pushed analyst targets to $65, yet the stock is currently trapped between heavy put support and call resistance. The technical setup is precarious: the price is trading well below its 50-day average, suggesting the recent surge has stalled, but the 200-day average remains a significant floor. Fundamentally, the picture is mixed; while revenue growth is accelerating (+43%), profitability is still broken, with negative earnings and a high forward P/E that prices in perfection. The lack of a dividend makes this purely a momentum play. The options market agrees with the volatility thesis, betting on a breakout above $50 or a crash toward $35. Given the weak statistical forecast confidence and the company's recent public offering dilution, I am leaning cautiously bullish for a short-term bounce, but the long-term investment case remains unproven until earnings turn consistently positive.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.098290
MSTL0.131298
AutoETS0.149378
AutoARIMA0.153586

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 0.99
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.653
Excess Kurtosis -0.21
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 134.259
Revenue per Share 6.056
Market Cap 10,094,375,936
Forward P/E 31.84
Beta 1.19
Profit Margins -4.03%
Website https://www.viavisolutions.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. Call Open Interest is heavily concentrated at strikes significantly above the current price (50, 60, 65), creating a 'wall' that suggests a target zone for a rally. Conversely, Put Open Interest is massive at lower strikes (35, 37, 40), indicating a strong floor or a hedge against a drop back to the 30s. The skew in implied volatility shows traders pricing in a sharp move in either direction, but the heavy OI at out-of-the-money calls implies the primary speculative thesis is on upside momentum breaking past the 50 resistance.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 3.2152643
Address1 1,445 South Spectrum Boulevard
Address2 Suite 102
All Time High 698.1655
All Time Low 0.959898
Ask 42.87
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,110,260
Average Daily Volume3 Month 7,547,149
Average Volume 7,547,149
Average Volume10Days 8,110,260
Beta 1.191
Bid 39.25
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 2
Book Value 3.619
City Chandler
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 40.92
Current Ratio 1.615
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 42.97
Day Low 40.66
Debt To Equity 134.259
Display Name Viavi
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,494,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,494,600
Earnings Growth -0.685
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.672
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,492,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Ebitda 223,500,000
Ebitda Margins 0.16364999
Enterprise To Ebitda 45.67
Enterprise To Revenue 7.474
Enterprise Value 10,207,210,496
Eps Current Year 0.93715
Eps Forward 1.28528
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.24
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 49.4778
Fifty Day Average Change -8.5578
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.17296243
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 321.52643
Fifty Two Week High 60.43
Fifty Two Week High Change -19.510002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3228529
Fifty Two Week Low 9.62
Fifty Two Week Low Change 31.3
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 3.2536383
Fifty Two Week Range 9.62 - 60.43
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 753,546,600,000
Float Shares 231,496,280
Forward Eps 1.28528
Forward P E 31.83742
Free Cashflow 175,037,504
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.6068
Gross Profits 828,700,032
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01031
Held Percent Institutions 0.97251
Implied Shares Outstanding 246,685,647
Industry Communication Equipment
Industry Disp Communication Equipment
Industry Key communication-equipment
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=105112&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,751,068,800
Last Split Date 1,438,646,400
Last Split Factor 1,758:1000
Long Business Summary Viavi Solutions Inc. provides network test, monitoring, and assurance solutions for telecommunications, cloud, enterprises, first responders, military, aerospace, and critical infrastructures in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates in two segments, Network and Service Enablement (NSE) and Optical Security and Performance Products (OSP). The NSE segment provides testing, monitoring, assurance, and security solutions that address lab and production environments, network management, service assurance, and AIOps for wireless, wireline, cloud, satellite, public safety, military, and infrastructure networks. This segment also offers instruments, microprobes, and perpetual software licenses that support the development, production, maintenance, and optimization of network systems, as well as product support and professional services comprising repair, calibration, software support, and technical assistance for its products. Its OSP segment leverages its core optical coating technologies and volume manufacturing capability to design, manufacture, and sell technologies for the anti-counterfeiting, 3D sensing, government and aerospace, automotive, and industrial markets. The company has a strategic partnership with QuNu Labs Pvt. Ltd. for the development of quantum security and advanced network intelligence technologies. The company was formerly known as JDS Uniphase Corporation. Viavi Solutions Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Chandler, Arizona.
Long Name Viavi Solutions Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 10,094,375,936
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_96079
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,656,000
Net Income To Common -55,100,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,604,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 10,627,217,672
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 41.63
Operating Cashflow 71,000,000
Operating Margins 0.121929996
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.34
Phone 408 404 3600
Pre Market Change 1.1300011
Pre Market Change Percent 2.7614887
Pre Market Price 42.05
Pre Market Time 1,784,019,309
Previous Close 43.08
Price Eps Current Year 43.6643
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 11.306991
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 7.391357
Profit Margins -0.040349998
Quick Ratio 1.296
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.375
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.16
Regular Market Change Percent -5.01394
Regular Market Day High 42.97
Regular Market Day Low 40.66
Regular Market Day Range 40.66 - 42.97
Regular Market Open 41.63
Regular Market Previous Close 43.08
Regular Market Price 40.92
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 3,538,156
Return On Assets 0.03575
Return On Equity -0.06995
Revenue Growth 0.428
Revenue Per Share 6.056
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 246,685,647
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0417
Shares Short 10,290,538
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 12,682,120
Short Name Viavi Solutions Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.057800002
Short Ratio 1.09
Source Interval 15
State AZ
Symbol VIAV
Target High Price 70.0
Target Low Price 60.0
Target Mean Price 64.57143
Target Median Price 65.0
Total Cash 500,800,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.141
Total Debt 1,136,499,968
Total Revenue 1,365,699,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.24
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 29.94335
Two Hundred Day Average Change 10.976648
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.36658052
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,538,156
Website https://www.viavisolutions.com
Zip 85,286