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Via Transportation, Inc. (VIA)

Technology | Software - Application | New York, United States | NYSE
32.10 USD -1.48 (-4.407%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 11:52 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:59 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fractured between a desperate short-term bounce and a broken long-term business. Fundamentally, the company is in distress: it is burning cash with negative operating and free cash flow, posting negative returns on equity and assets, and trading at a forward P/E of 81x despite losing money. The recent news headlines regarding a securities class action and a 70% decline from IPO prices confirm that the market has already priced in severe growth obstacles and potential liability. While the stock has recently rallied off its lows, the lack of a multi-year price history prevents any assessment of a sustainable recovery trend. Short-term, the options market is screaming 'bullish,' with heavy positioning in deep-in-the-money calls suggesting traders are betting on a sharp reversal. However, this is likely a contrarian play on oversold conditions rather than a confirmation of a turnaround. The statistical forecast model offers no directional guidance, reinforcing the view that the price action is currently driven by noise and sentiment rather than a predictable trend. Long-term, the outlook remains bleak. The business lacks the profitability, cash generation, or competitive moat required for a high-quality compounder. The combination of negative earnings, a massive lawsuit, and a history of underperformance makes this a speculative gamble rather than an investment. There is no dividend to provide a floor, and the balance sheet does not offer a clear margin of safety given the legal overhang.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.381082
AutoETS0.391625
AutoTheta0.467627
AutoARIMA0.505479

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 3.55
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.037
Excess Kurtosis -0.25
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 2.915
Revenue per Share 7.319
Market Cap 2,616,330,240
Forward P/E 81.00
Profit Margins -20.04%
Website https://www.ridewithvia.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:59 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish on the near term, evidenced by massive open interest in deep-in-the-money calls (strikes 20 and 25) relative to negligible put volume. This suggests a 'buy the dip' thesis where traders expect a significant rebound from current lows. However, implied volatility is extremely skewed, with call IV significantly lower than put IV, indicating the market prices in a high probability of further downside while offering cheap protection against it.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.28385586
Address1 114 5th Avenue
Address2 17th Floor
All Time High 56.31
All Time Low 12.95
Ask 32.32
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 601,770
Average Daily Volume3 Month 775,151
Average Volume 775,151
Average Volume10Days 601,770
Bid 32.29
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 8
Book Value 7.592
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 32.1
Current Ratio 5.047
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 33.98
Day Low 31.99
Debt To Equity 2.915
Display Name Via Transportation
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,794,254,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,794,254,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,794,227,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,227,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,227,400
Ebitda -79,655,000
Ebitda Margins -0.162
Enterprise To Ebitda -30.369
Enterprise To Revenue 4.92
Enterprise Value 2,419,068,416
Eps Current Year -0.03504
Eps Forward 0.39629
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.47
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 27.9176
Fifty Day Average Change 4.182398
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.14981222
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -28.385586
Fifty Two Week High 55.2
Fifty Two Week High Change -23.100002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4184783
Fifty Two Week Low 12.95
Fifty Two Week Low Change 19.149998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.4787643
Fifty Two Week Range 12.95 - 55.2
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,757,683,800,000
Float Shares 57,899,957
Forward Eps 0.39629
Forward P E 81.00128
Free Cashflow -22,626,624
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,040
Fullday Change -1.4800034
Fullday Change Percent -4.407395
Fullday Price 32.1
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.39801
Gross Profits 195,703,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.29698
Held Percent Institutions 0.45577
Implied Shares Outstanding 81,505,613
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Via Transportation, Inc. provides a platform that transforms global transportation systems into digital networks in the United States, Germany, and internationally. The company's Via platform designed to address workflows for the end-to-end management of transit networks, including planning and scheduling, operating software, tech-enabled services, passenger tools, and data and insights. It offers technology-enabled services, including driver management, fleet management, autonomous vehicles, and customer support services. In addition, the company's end to end hosted platform allows for the integration of multiple transportation modes into a single unified network. It offers solutions in the areas of end-to-end transit networks, transit planning and scheduling, microtransit, paratransit, school bus transportation, and integrated trip planning. The company serves cities, transit agencies, transport operators, school districts and departments of education, universities, corporations, healthcare providers and payers, riders, and drivers. Via Transportation, Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Long Name Via Transportation, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,616,330,240
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_264265118
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -98,528,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,407,675,807
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 33.49
Operating Cashflow -40,827,000
Operating Margins -0.1603
Overall Risk 10
Phone 917 877 0915
Previous Close 33.58
Price Eps Current Year -916.0959
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.2281346
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.320956
Profit Margins -0.20038
Quick Ratio 4.853
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.4
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.4800034
Regular Market Change Percent -4.407395
Regular Market Day High 33.98
Regular Market Day Low 31.99
Regular Market Day Range 31.99 - 33.98
Regular Market Open 33.49
Regular Market Previous Close 33.58
Regular Market Price 32.1
Regular Market Time 1,792,165,974
Regular Market Volume 159,235
Return On Assets -0.09915
Return On Equity -0.23607999
Revenue Growth 0.267
Revenue Per Share 7.319
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 77,659,430
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.097399995
Shares Short 7,934,631
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,715,537
Short Name Via Transportation, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.21030001
Short Ratio 8.94
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol VIA
Target High Price 55.0
Target Low Price 26.0
Target Mean Price 36.88889
Target Median Price 34.0
Total Cash 335,915,008
Total Cash Per Share 4.121
Total Debt 18,025,000
Total Revenue 491,703,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.47
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 20.59105
Two Hundred Day Average Change 11.508949
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.55892974
Type Disp Equity
Volume 159,235
Website https://www.ridewithvia.com
Zip 10,011