Vanguard Ultra-Short Treasury ETF (VGUS)Ultrashort Bond | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
75.53 USD
+0.00
(0.003%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 75.53 +0.00 (0.004%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4:10 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:01 a.m. EDT
The ultra-short duration nature of this instrument creates a unique dynamic where capital preservation is paramount, yet the statistical forecast model flags a very high-confidence, albeit negligible, downward drift over the next 45 days. This technical signal suggests a slight headwind, likely driven by minor interest rate fluctuations or liquidity shifts, which keeps the short-term outlook neutral rather than bullish. However, the long-term investment case remains fundamentally sound due to the asset's role as a defensive treasury vehicle; the price history shows no structural decline, and the business model of holding high-quality government debt is stable, though it offers no growth upside. The dividend profile is the standout feature here, delivering a robust yield that comfortably outpaces inflation and provides consistent income, making it a reliable tool for capital preservation and cash flow generation, even if it lacks the explosive momentum required for a top-tier short-term trade. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.001231 |
| AutoETS | 0.001264 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.001331 |
| AutoTheta | 0.001343 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 90% |
| H-stat | 0.71 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.351 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.04 |
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29% | 3.62% | — | — |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | 0.220 | 0.291642 |
| 2026-06-01 | 0.224 | 0.296826 |
| 2026-05-01 | 0.217 | 0.287531 |
| 2026-04-01 | 0.218 | 0.288952 |
| 2026-03-02 | 0.192 | 0.254372 |
| 2026-02-02 | 0.224 | 0.296807 |
| 2025-12-18 | 0.234 | 0.310489 |
| 2025-12-01 | 0.233 | 0.308814 |
| 2025-11-03 | 0.240 | 0.318091 |
| 2025-10-01 | 0.242 | 0.320849 |
| 2025-09-02 | 0.240 | 0.318324 |
| 2025-08-01 | 0.245 | 0.325041 |
| 2025-07-01 | 0.216 | 0.286815 |
| 2025-06-02 | 0.243 | 0.322795 |
| 2025-05-01 | 0.208 | 0.276320 |
| 2025-04-01 | 0.256 | 0.340312 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 76.0 |
| All Time Low | 75.03 |
| Ask | 75.53 |
| Ask Size | 25 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 138,300 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 154,634 |
| Average Volume | 154,634 |
| Average Volume10Days | 138,300 |
| Beta3 Year | 0.0 |
| Bid | 75.51 |
| Bid Size | 22 |
| Category | Ultrashort Bond |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 75.53 |
| Day Low | 75.52 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.6 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 75.5553 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.030296326 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.00040098216 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 0.14586449 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 76.0 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -0.47499847 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.00624998 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 75.34 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.18500519 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.0024556038 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 75.34 - 76.0 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,739,370,600,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Fund Family | Vanguard |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,739,145,600 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,025-02-11 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The fund manager employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the target index, which includes fixed income securities issued by the U.S. Treasury (not including inflation-protected securities, floating rate securities, and certain other security types) that have maturities up to 12 months. Under normal circumstances, it invests at least 80% of its assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in the bonds that make up the target index. |
| Long Name | Vanguard Ultra-Short Treasury ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1905582168 |
| Nav Price | 75.5 |
| Net Assets | 1,019,249,020.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.07 |
| Open | 75.52 |
| Phone | 800-523-1036 |
| Post Market Change | 0.002998352 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0039701704 |
| Post Market Price | 75.525 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,973,405 |
| Previous Close | 75.523 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.0019989014 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.0026467452 |
| Regular Market Day High | 75.53 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 75.52 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 75.52 - 75.53 |
| Regular Market Open | 75.52 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 75.523 |
| Regular Market Price | 75.525 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 131,379 |
| Short Name | Vanguard Ultra-Short Treasury E |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | VGUS |
| Total Assets | 1,019,249,024 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | 0.86083 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | 0.86083 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 75.55043 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.025428772 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.0003365801 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 131,379 |
| Yield | 0.036 |
| Ytd Return | 1.67262 |