| Indicators | Browse All

Vanguard Long-Term Treasury Index Fund ETF Shares (VGLT)

Long Government | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
50.38 USD -0.03 (-0.069%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 11:31 a.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:12 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook is severely compromised by a nearly 30% drawdown over the last nine years, driven by six consecutive years of negative annual returns. This persistent multi-year decline suggests the market views the underlying asset class as structurally inferior to alternatives, capping the investment thesis despite the entity's solid balance sheet. While the current yield of 5.04% provides a substantial income floor, it is insufficient to offset the capital destruction inherent in the recent trajectory. Short-term momentum is equally weak, with the price trading well below both its 50-day and 200-day averages, confirming a downtrend that shows no signs of immediate reversal. The options market reinforces this bearish sentiment, with heavy put positioning signaling that traders are hedging against further losses rather than betting on a recovery.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.026164
MSTL0.026817
AutoETS0.027286
AutoARIMA0.027287

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 55%
H-stat 5.28
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.28

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with significant open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in early 2027 and notable volume in strikes below the current price. Call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money, while implied volatility remains elevated for downside strikes compared to calls, indicating a market expectation of continued weakness or stagnation rather than a rally.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.41% 4.62% 4.32% 3.67%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-01 0.205 0.409427
2026-09-01 0.215 0.409056
2026-08-03 0.215 0.407583
2026-07-01 0.208 0.380534
2026-06-01 0.214 0.391798
2026-05-01 0.210 0.383702
2026-04-01 0.226 0.410163
2026-03-02 0.187 0.327266
2026-02-02 0.215 0.388227
2025-12-18 0.214 0.381666
2025-12-01 0.204 0.360743
2025-11-03 0.213 0.373357
2025-10-01 0.207 0.364501
2025-09-02 0.212 0.386791
2025-08-01 0.209 0.373681
2025-07-01 0.204 0.364416
2025-06-02 0.210 0.387025
2025-05-01 0.202 0.358792
2025-04-01 0.210 0.363071
2025-03-03 0.189 0.323464
2025-02-03 0.207 0.371167
2024-12-24 0.208 0.374707
2024-12-02 0.218 0.369993
2024-11-01 0.212 0.370889
2024-10-01 0.197 0.319080
2024-09-03 0.204 0.333388
2024-08-01 0.201 0.335783
2024-07-01 0.197 0.348549
2024-06-03 0.203 0.353166
2024-05-01 0.193 0.346499
2024-04-01 0.200 0.344709
2024-03-01 0.176 0.298255
2024-02-01 0.188 0.306889
2023-12-22 0.190 0.310002
2023-12-01 0.178 0.306949
2023-11-01 0.180 0.336574
2023-10-02 0.177 0.325009
2023-09-01 0.181 0.306780
2023-08-01 0.167 0.274536
2023-07-03 0.165 0.261822
2023-06-01 0.169 0.265098
2023-05-01 0.162 0.253720
2023-04-03 0.167 0.254186
2023-03-01 0.151 0.244179
2023-02-01 0.161 0.241778
2022-12-23 0.158 0.250476
2022-12-01 0.149 0.228879
2022-11-01 0.155 0.259501
2022-10-03 0.153 0.239925
2022-09-01 0.152 0.226292
2022-08-01 0.151 0.206115
2022-07-01 0.144 0.203534
2022-06-01 0.147 0.207071
2022-05-02 0.135 0.188574
2022-04-01 0.148 0.184493
2022-03-01 0.125 0.146182
2022-02-01 0.129 0.150437
2021-12-23 0.137 0.152731
2021-12-01 0.134 0.146097
2021-11-01 0.136 0.153672
2021-10-01 0.135 0.153096
2021-09-01 0.142 0.157236
2021-08-02 0.143 0.156541
2021-07-01 0.132 0.150719
2021-06-01 0.140 0.166330
2021-05-03 0.133 0.157434
2021-04-01 0.136 0.162291
2021-03-01 0.123 0.142990
2021-02-01 0.135 0.145978
2020-12-23 0.426 0.447432
2020-12-01 0.133 0.138441
2020-11-02 0.136 0.140627
2020-10-01 0.135 0.135406
2020-09-01 0.144 0.144058
2020-08-03 0.145 0.140002
2020-07-01 0.146 0.146366
2020-06-01 0.155 0.156376
2020-05-01 0.155 0.151382
2020-04-01 0.174 0.171091
2020-03-02 0.146 0.154989
2020-02-03 0.165 0.184998
2019-12-23 0.174 0.208159
2019-12-02 0.158 0.186277
2019-11-01 0.169 0.196147
2019-10-01 0.169 0.192505
2019-09-03 0.172 0.190708
2019-08-01 0.178 0.214355
2019-07-01 0.168 0.206744
2019-06-03 0.180 0.221266
2019-05-01 0.170 0.223156
2019-04-01 0.177 0.231615
2019-03-01 0.163 0.223074
2019-02-01 0.174 0.233777
2018-12-24 0.186 0.249296
2018-12-03 0.161 0.225490
2018-11-01 0.170 0.243170
2018-10-01 0.170 0.237929
2018-09-04 0.175 0.237192
2018-08-01 0.175 0.240154
2018-07-02 0.172 0.230594
2018-06-01 0.168 0.227273
2018-05-01 0.168 0.230643
2018-04-02 0.175 0.233520
2018-03-01 0.148 0.201470
2018-02-01 0.160 0.215314
2017-12-26 0.186 0.241684
2017-12-01 0.170 0.218369
2017-11-01 0.150 0.195236
2017-10-02 0.175 0.228609
2017-09-01 0.165 0.211322
2017-08-01 0.174 0.226533
2017-07-03 0.160 0.208850
2017-06-01 0.165 0.215574
2017-05-01 0.169 0.225845
2017-04-03 0.155 0.206199
2017-03-01 0.169 0.228811
2017-02-01 0.149 0.202666
2016-12-22 0.189 0.259437
2016-12-01 0.161 0.218780
2016-11-01 0.160 0.198684
2016-10-03 0.166 0.197737
2016-09-01 0.164 0.191499
2016-08-01 0.166 0.193880
2016-07-01 0.171 0.198445
2016-06-01 0.161 0.200398
2016-05-02 0.174 0.219752
2016-04-01 0.162 0.201267
2016-03-01 0.161 0.203257
2016-02-01 0.144 0.184167
2015-12-23 0.201 0.268609
2015-12-01 0.173 0.227871
2015-10-01 0.177 0.231312
2015-09-01 0.165 0.218949
2015-08-03 0.171 0.223910
2015-07-01 0.179 0.248646
2015-06-01 0.168 0.223791
2015-05-01 0.178 0.232528
2015-04-01 0.162 0.199532
2015-03-25 0.314 0.388518
2015-03-02 0.172 0.220146
2015-02-02 0.166 0.197525
2014-12-23 0.181 0.237377
2014-12-01 0.172 0.228208
2014-11-03 0.179 0.242023
2014-10-01 0.174 0.236606
2014-09-02 0.178 0.244405
2014-08-01 0.177 0.247449
2014-07-01 0.178 0.253561
2014-06-02 0.173 0.245077
2014-05-01 0.181 0.258904
2014-04-01 0.169 0.249557
2014-03-03 0.182 0.266199
2014-02-03 0.196 0.286173
2013-12-24 0.157 0.242172
2013-11-29 0.186 0.284056
2013-10-31 0.167 0.248216
2013-09-30 0.163 0.244195
2013-08-30 0.196 0.293853
2013-07-31 0.172 0.255307
2013-06-28 0.186 0.270467
2013-05-31 0.177 0.247899
2013-04-30 0.178 0.233565
2013-03-28 0.159 0.216297
2013-02-28 0.163 0.221017
2013-01-31 0.138 0.188989
2012-12-24 0.314 0.415454
2012-11-30 0.171 0.221187
2012-11-02 0.165 0.217048
2012-09-28 0.180 0.233524
2012-08-31 0.175 0.222222
2012-07-31 0.183 0.229871
2012-06-29 0.182 0.235264
2012-05-31 0.176 0.223549
2012-04-30 0.188 0.257041
2012-03-30 0.182 0.259852
2012-02-29 0.188 0.256201
2012-01-31 0.171 0.227727
2011-12-23 0.191 0.260253
2011-11-30 0.185 0.252698
2011-10-31 0.191 0.265869
2011-09-30 0.192 0.256582
2011-08-31 0.200 0.293126
2011-07-29 0.200 0.317864
2011-06-30 0.198 0.326194
2011-05-31 0.191 0.307618
2011-04-29 0.191 0.316907
2011-03-31 0.199 0.336262
2011-02-28 0.194 0.326380
2011-01-31 0.194 0.329876
2010-12-27 0.254 0.424678
2010-11-30 0.189 0.300907
2010-10-29 0.194 0.302558
2010-09-30 0.183 0.275852
2010-08-31 0.157 0.231905
2010-07-30 0.109 0.171492
2010-06-30 0.194 0.304648
2010-05-28 0.203 0.333333
2010-04-30 0.199 0.339359
2010-03-31 0.204 0.356456
2010-02-26 0.161 0.275591
2010-01-29 0.196 0.333844
Additional Data
dividendDate 2017-06-07
dividendYield 5.04

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 109.76
All Time Low 49.3
Ask 53.24
Ask Size 9
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,604,720
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,913,420
Average Volume 2,913,420
Average Volume10Days 4,604,720
Beta3 Year 2.17
Bid 51.61
Bid Size 1
Category Long Government
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 50.39
Day Low 50.04
Display Name Long-Term Trsy Idx Fd ETF
Dividend Date 1,496,793,600
Dividend Yield 5.04
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 51.9866
Fifty Day Average Change -1.611599
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.031000277
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -12.437034
Fifty Two Week High 58.44
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.064999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.13800476
Fifty Two Week Low 49.3
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.0750008
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.02180529
Fifty Two Week Range 49.3 - 58.44
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,262,615,400,000
Five Year Average Return -0.0714061
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fullday Change -0.034999847
Fullday Change Percent -0.069430366
Fullday Price 50.375
Fund Family Vanguard
Fund Inception Date 1,280,448,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Long Treasury Index. This index includes fixed income securities issued by the U.S. Treasury (not including inflation-protected bonds, floating rate securities and certain other security types), with maturities greater than 10 years. Under normal circumstances, at least 80% of the fund's assets will be invested in bonds included in the index.
Long Name Vanguard Long-Term Treasury Index Fund ETF Shares
Market us_market
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_81834816
Nav Price 50.21
Net Assets 14,842,457,100.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.03
Open 50.08
Previous Close 50.41
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.034999847
Regular Market Change Percent -0.069430366
Regular Market Day High 50.39
Regular Market Day Low 50.04
Regular Market Day Range 50.04 - 50.39
Regular Market Open 50.08
Regular Market Previous Close 50.41
Regular Market Price 50.375
Regular Market Time 1,791,991,915
Regular Market Volume 2,392,574
Short Name Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol VGLT
Three Year Average Return 0.0192579
Total Assets 14,842,457,088
Tradeable 0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -7.99062
Trailing Three Month Returns -7.99062
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 54.43175
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.0567513
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.074529134
Type Disp ETF
Volume 2,392,574
Yield 0.0504
Ytd Return -7.41948