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VinFast Auto Ltd. (VFS)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Hai phong, Vietnam | NasdaqGS
3.07 USD +0.02 (0.656%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 3.04 -0.03 (-0.030%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:20 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:46 a.m. EDT

The investment case for VinFast is currently broken by a catastrophic failure in execution and financial management. The company is hemorrhaging cash at an alarming rate, with free cash flow reported as a negative number so large it suggests a data error or extreme dilution, while the balance sheet shows negative book value and a current ratio of less than 0.5. This indicates the company cannot meet its short-term obligations without further capital raising, which will likely dilute existing shareholders further. The price trajectory confirms this distress: the stock has lost nearly 64% of its value over the last three years, with the last two years showing consecutive double-digit declines. Despite headlines touting 'explosive growth' and delivery numbers, the market is pricing in a survival crisis, not a turnaround. The negative gross margins indicate the business model is fundamentally flawed; they are losing money on every car sold. There is no dividend to provide income, and the options market reflects deep pessimism with heavy put positioning. While the stock trades at a penny price, making it attractive for speculative gamblers hoping for a binary event, it fails every metric required for a serious investment. The combination of negative earnings, negative book value, and a multi-year price decline makes this a dangerous value trap rather than a bargain.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.166997
AutoETS0.168349
AutoTheta0.168445
AutoARIMA0.168552

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 23.23
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.110
Excess Kurtosis -1.31
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Market Cap 7,182,375,936
Forward P/E -3.02
Beta 0.92
Profit Margins -113.19%
Previous Name Black Spade Acquisition Co
Website https://www.vinfastauto.us

As of July 11, 2026, 2:46 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes $1.00 and $2.00) expiring late in 2026 and early 2027. While there is some call volume at higher strikes ($7.00), the overwhelming capital allocation is in put writing and buying, suggesting a consensus view of continued volatility and potential further declines rather than an imminent rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.13841808
Address1 Dinh Vu – Cat Hai Economic Zone
Address2 Cat Hai Islands, Cat Hai Town Cat Hai District
All Time High 93.0
All Time Low 2.255
Ask 3.89
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 426,740
Average Daily Volume3 Month 653,949
Average Volume 653,949
Average Volume10Days 426,740
Beta 0.918
Bid 2.19
Bid Size 2
Book Value -64,507.047
City Hai phong
Country Vietnam
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 3.07
Current Ratio 0.477
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 3.09
Day Low 3.005
Display Name VinFast Auto
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,780,920,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,780,920,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,780,921,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,788,438,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,788,438,600
Ebitda -72,608,989,052,928
Ebitda Margins -0.74867994
Eps Current Year -1.534
Eps Forward -1.018
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.79
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 3.4685
Fifty Day Average Change -0.39849997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.11489116
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -13.841808
Fifty Two Week High 5.285
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.215
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4191107
Fifty Two Week Low 2.78
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.28999996
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.10431653
Fifty Two Week Range 2.78 - 5.285
Financial Currency VND
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,631,021,400,000
Float Shares 49,644,954
Forward Eps -1.018
Forward P E -3.015717
Free Cashflow -53,250,812,280,832
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 29,878
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins -0.53801996
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.97878
Held Percent Institutions 0.00184
Implied Shares Outstanding 2,339,536,010
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Industry Disp Auto Manufacturers
Industry Key auto-manufacturers
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-08-15
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary VinFast Auto Ltd. engages in the design and manufacture of electric vehicles (EV), e-scooters, and e-buses in Vietnam, Canada, and the United States. The company operates through three segments: namely Car, E-scooters and Ebus. It offers the design, development, manufacturing and sales of e-scooters and related battery lease and battery charging service for cars, e-scooters, and Ebus. The company offers electric SUV, mini car EV, mid-size pickup electric truck, 7-seater MPV, E-bus, E-scooter, electric bike, and battery technology and solutions. The company has a strategic collaboration with Nvidia for the development of a next-generation level 4 autonomous driving program. VinFast Auto Ltd. is based in Hai phong, Vietnam. VinFast Auto Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Vingroup Joint Stock Company.
Long Name VinFast Auto Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,182,375,936
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1780007243
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,182,375,550
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 3.08
Operating Margins 0.0
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 84 2 2539 69999
Post Market Change -0.029999971
Post Market Change Percent -0.97719777
Post Market Price 3.04
Post Market Time 1,783,984,851
Prev Name Black Spade Acquisition Co
Previous Close 3.05
Price Eps Current Year -2.0013037
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -0.0000475917
Profit Margins -1.1318699
Quick Ratio 0.079
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.02
Regular Market Change Percent 0.655737
Regular Market Day High 3.09
Regular Market Day Low 3.005
Regular Market Day Range 3.005 - 3.09
Regular Market Open 3.08
Regular Market Previous Close 3.05
Regular Market Price 3.07
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 387,037
Return On Assets -0.30674
Revenue Growth 0.417
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 2,339,536,010
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.00090000004
Shares Short 2,209,464
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,132,808
Short Name VinFast Auto Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.044499997
Short Ratio 3.7
Source Interval 15
Symbol VFS
Target High Price 7.7
Target Low Price 5.0
Target Mean Price 6.05
Target Median Price 5.75
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.79
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 3.4346
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.36460018
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.10615506
Type Disp Equity
Volume 387,037
Website https://www.vinfastauto.us