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Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF ETF Shares (VFMO)

Mid-Cap Blend | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
231.74 USD -4.48 (-1.897%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 230.03 -1.72 (-1.715%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:52 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:43 a.m. EDT

The Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF is currently firing on all cylinders, driven by a powerful convergence of superior long-term performance and aggressive short-term speculative positioning. Fundamentally, the security represents an exceptional buy-and-hold opportunity; it has delivered a staggering 106% cumulative return over the last seven years, fueled by six consecutive years of positive annual growth with zero trailing negative years. This sustained trajectory confirms the strategy's ability to capture market leadership, distinguishing it from typical value traps. While the dividend yield of 0.56% is modest and merely serves as a return component rather than a primary income driver, the capital appreciation potential is robust. In the short term, the momentum remains intact. The price is trading well above both its 50-day and 200-day averages, indicating strong trend support. Crucially, the options market is screaming bullishness: traders are accumulating significant call open interest at strikes above the current price while leaving the put side largely naked. This asymmetry suggests that smart money expects the momentum rotation into industrials and chips to continue, pushing prices higher in the coming weeks. With a moderate statistical forecast leaning positive and no signs of structural deterioration, this instrument offers a compelling case for both immediate entry and long-term accumulation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.057533
MSTL0.058137
AutoETS0.066133
AutoARIMA0.066134

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 50%
H-stat 5.07
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.745
Excess Kurtosis -0.54
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 25.38

As of July 11, 2026, 2:43 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for upside continuation, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls (245 strike) and a distinct lack of protective put volume relative to call activity. The implied volatility skew shows elevated pricing for short-dated calls compared to puts, suggesting a 'call-only' bias where traders are betting on further momentum rotation into industrials and chips rather than hedging downside risk.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.20% 0.68% 0.79% 1.05%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-24 0.473 0.197586
2026-03-24 0.226 0.113842
2025-12-23 0.351 0.178972
2025-09-24 0.352 0.185078
2025-06-20 0.555 0.335611
2025-03-25 0.312 0.195415
2024-12-23 0.443 0.266034
2024-09-26 0.272 0.169692
2024-06-27 0.316 0.210920
2024-03-21 0.158 0.104332
2023-12-19 0.374 0.284779
2023-09-21 0.154 0.136779
2023-06-23 0.284 0.241745
2023-03-23 0.355 0.329344
2022-12-22 0.564 0.497267
2022-09-23 0.491 0.466150
2022-06-29 0.555 0.515363
2022-03-21 0.357 0.282642
2021-12-27 0.499 0.370767
2021-09-24 0.255 0.192659
2021-06-29 0.208 0.158799
2021-03-22 0.110 0.087272
2020-12-24 0.189 0.164616
2020-09-21 0.055 0.059609
2020-06-29 0.128 0.152332
2020-03-23 0.133 0.228338
2019-12-20 0.364 0.420868
2019-09-16 0.204 0.248869
2019-06-21 0.286 0.344807
2019-03-21 0.203 0.253187
2018-12-19 0.178 0.260283
2018-09-26 0.124 0.143701
2018-06-28 0.173 0.213212
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 0.56

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 250.2
All Time Low 56.65
Ask 234.09
Ask Size 100
Average Daily Volume10 Day 85,310
Average Daily Volume3 Month 67,593
Average Volume 67,593
Average Volume10Days 85,310
Beta3 Year 1.32
Bid 229.0
Bid Size 100
Category Mid-Cap Blend
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 234.7378
Day Low 231.36
Dividend Yield 0.56
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 9.130777
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 233.58559
Fifty Day Average Change -1.845581
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.007901091
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 35.81326
Fifty Two Week High 250.2
Fifty Two Week High Change -18.459991
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.07378094
Fifty Two Week Low 170.025
Fifty Two Week Low Change 61.71501
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3629761
Fifty Two Week Range 170.025 - 250.2
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,518,791,400,000
Five Year Average Return 0.1394235
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fund Family Vanguard
Fund Inception Date 1,518,480,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund invests primarily in U.S. common stocks with the potential to generate higher returns relative to the broad U.S. equity market by investing in stocks with strong recent performance as determined by the advisor. The portfolio will include a diverse mix of companies representing many different market sectors and industry groups. Under normal circumstances, at least 80% of the fund's assets will be invested in securities issued by U.S. companies.
Long Name Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF ETF Shares
Market us_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_545841262
Nav Price 238.33
Net Assets 1,962,002,940.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.13
Open 234.605
Phone 6,106,696,295
Post Market Change -1.7150116
Post Market Change Percent -0.7400585
Post Market Price 230.025
Post Market Time 1,783,986,739
Previous Close 236.22
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -4.48
Regular Market Change Percent -1.89654
Regular Market Day High 234.7378
Regular Market Day Low 231.36
Regular Market Day Range 231.36 - 234.7378
Regular Market Open 234.605
Regular Market Previous Close 236.22
Regular Market Price 231.74
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 181,629
Short Name Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor E
Source Interval 15
Symbol VFMO
Three Year Average Return 0.2711225
Total Assets 1,962,002,944
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 25.380096
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 26.93791
Trailing Three Month Returns 26.93791
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 207.85172
Two Hundred Day Average Change 23.88829
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.11492948
Type Disp ETF
Volume 181,629
Yield 0.0056
Ytd Return 30.8845