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Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Calgary, Canada | NYSE
9.76 USD +0.36 (3.830%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:03 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Vermilion Energy is currently broken by a severe multi-year structural decline. Despite a 4% dividend yield, the company has suffered three consecutive years of negative annual returns, dragging the total return over the last nine years down by nearly 75%. This is not a temporary dip; the market has priced in a deteriorating business where the stock trades at less than 90% of book value despite generating free cash flow, likely due to massive debt burdens and negative operating margins. The recent price action confirms this bearish thesis, with the stock trading well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. While the dividend provides some income, the payout ratio is high and the trajectory suggests the business quality is eroding. Options activity reinforces this view, with heavy speculative positioning on the downside. Investors should avoid this security until there is clear evidence of a reversal in the multi-year decline.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.138855
AutoETS0.145236
AutoARIMA0.145574
AutoTheta0.179572

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 33.33
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.214
Excess Kurtosis -0.85
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 64.14
Revenue per Share 11.368
Market Cap 1,495,232,000
Forward P/E 15.36
Beta 0.49
Profit Margins -46.65%
Website https://www.vermilionenergy.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:03 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with open interest in puts significantly outweighing calls across nearly all expirations. The put/call ratio is skewed heavily toward the downside, particularly at strikes below the current price (e.g., $7.50 and $10.00), while call volume is concentrated in out-of-the-money strikes far above the current level ($12.50-$20.00). This structure indicates a market expecting a continued decline or a sharp drop rather than a rally.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.92% 1.76% 2.88% 2.18%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-15 0.097 0.918561
2026-03-13 0.099 0.839695
2025-06-30 0.095 1.304945
2025-03-31 0.091 1.123457
2024-12-31 0.084 0.893617
2024-09-27 0.089 0.925156
2024-06-28 0.088 0.799273
2024-03-27 0.088 0.718954
2023-12-28 0.076 0.625514
2023-09-28 0.074 0.502035
2023-06-29 0.075 0.604351
2023-03-30 0.074 0.584057
2022-12-29 0.059 0.332394
2022-09-28 0.058 0.268892
2022-06-29 0.047 0.235825
2022-03-30 0.048 0.225458
2020-03-30 0.082 2.949640
2020-02-27 0.173 1.682879
2020-01-30 0.174 1.130604
2019-12-30 0.176 1.091135
2019-11-26 0.173 1.189003
2019-10-30 0.176 1.199727
2019-09-27 0.173 1.020047
2019-08-29 0.173 1.189821
2019-07-30 0.175 1.007484
2019-06-27 0.175 0.810185
2019-05-30 0.170 0.798497
2019-04-29 0.171 0.664594
2019-03-28 0.172 0.698335
2019-02-27 0.175 0.681995
2019-01-30 0.173 0.708436
2018-12-28 0.169 0.825598
2018-11-29 0.173 0.681908
2018-09-27 0.177 0.545623
2018-08-30 0.178 0.554690
2018-07-30 0.176 0.512522
2018-06-28 0.172 0.485876
2018-05-30 0.177 0.512598
2018-04-27 0.179 0.533055
2018-03-28 0.167 0.535085
2018-02-27 0.170 0.502067
2018-01-30 0.174 0.459467
2017-12-28 0.170 0.467161
2017-11-29 0.168 0.484988
2017-10-30 0.168 0.496014
2017-09-28 0.172 0.477512
2017-08-29 0.172 0.544476
2017-07-26 0.172 0.516361
2017-06-28 0.163 0.505897
2017-05-18 0.158 0.476047
2017-04-20 0.159 0.445129
2017-03-20 0.161 0.442186
2017-02-21 0.164 0.405439
2017-01-20 0.161 0.388889
2016-12-20 0.160 0.368579
2016-11-18 0.159 0.400504
2016-10-20 0.164 0.398252
2016-09-20 0.163 0.473837
2016-08-18 0.167 0.428755
2016-07-20 0.165 0.502283
2016-06-20 0.167 0.503164
2016-05-20 0.164 0.503531
2016-04-20 0.170 0.549984
2016-03-18 0.166 0.528999
2016-02-19 0.157 0.612325
2016-01-20 0.147 0.666364
2015-12-18 0.154 0.585106
2015-11-19 0.162 0.549153
2015-10-20 0.165 0.449346
2015-09-18 0.163 0.509057
2015-08-20 0.164 0.497875
2015-07-20 0.166 0.481299
2015-06-18 0.176 0.387922
2015-05-20 0.176 0.396129
2015-04-23 0.176 0.361471
2015-03-27 0.172 0.400372
2015-02-25 0.172 0.391176
2015-01-28 0.173 0.407827
2014-12-29 0.185 0.370667
2014-11-26 0.191 0.371957
2014-10-29 0.193 0.332358
2014-09-26 0.194 0.324686
2014-08-27 0.196 0.300521
2014-07-29 0.199 0.300695
2014-06-26 0.201 0.291516
2014-05-28 0.198 0.294424
2014-04-28 0.195 0.298942
2014-03-27 0.194 0.308622
2014-02-26 0.194 0.343484
2014-01-29 0.193 0.351612
2013-12-27 0.188 0.323024
2013-11-26 0.190 0.341481
2013-10-29 0.192 0.349918
2013-08-28 0.191 0.356609
2013-07-29 0.195 0.365374
2013-06-26 0.190 0.390144
2013-05-29 0.192 0.375147
2013-04-26 0.196 0.397163
2013-03-26 0.200 0.390701
2013-02-26 0.200 0.395570
2013-01-29 0.200 0.392003
2012-12-27 0.190 0.371893
2012-11-28 0.190 0.380000
2012-10-31 0.190 0.396411
2012-09-26 0.190 0.405550
2012-08-29 0.190 0.405723
2012-07-27 0.190 0.404514
2012-06-27 0.190 0.437083
2012-05-29 0.190 0.443925
2012-04-26 0.190 0.403055
2012-03-28 0.190 0.397656
2012-02-27 0.190 0.390304
2012-01-27 0.190 0.419333
2011-12-28 0.190 0.423823
2011-11-28 0.190 0.447164
2011-10-27 0.190 0.389025
2011-09-28 0.190 0.459159
2011-08-29 0.190 0.425437
2011-07-27 0.190 0.376238
2011-06-28 0.190 0.382140
2011-05-27 0.190 0.368503
2011-04-27 0.190 0.358288
2011-03-29 0.190 0.371602
2011-02-24 0.190 0.370082
2011-01-27 0.190 0.400337
2010-12-29 0.190 0.401946
2010-11-26 0.190 0.467635
2010-10-27 0.190 0.489691
2010-09-28 0.190 0.528365
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.38
dividendYield 3.9
exDividendDate 2026-06-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.525
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.055851065
lastDividendValue 0.097
lastDividendDate 2026-06-15
dividendDate 2026-06-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.27415144
Address1 520 - 3rd Avenue S.W.
Address2 Suite 3500
All Time High 72.69
All Time Low 1.5
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 5,700
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,251,810
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,474,021
Average Volume 1,474,021
Average Volume10Days 1,251,810
Beta 0.489
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 8,000
Board Risk 5
Book Value 10.447673
City Calgary
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 9.76
Current Ratio 0.634
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 9.84
Day Low 9.545
Debt To Equity 64.14
Display Name Vermilion Energy
Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Dividend Rate 0.38
Dividend Yield 3.9
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Ebitda 894,238,976
Ebitda Margins 0.51243
Enterprise To Ebitda 3.12
Enterprise To Revenue 1.599
Enterprise Value 2,790,296,064
Eps Current Year 0.41
Eps Forward 0.635382
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -2.34
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 403 476 8100
Fifty Day Average 11.1504
Fifty Day Average Change -1.3903999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.12469507
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 27.415144
Fifty Two Week High 14.82
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.0599995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.34143046
Fifty Two Week Low 7.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.7600002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.39428574
Fifty Two Week Range 7.0 - 14.82
Financial Currency CAD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,284,471,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 13.14
Float Shares 151,758,388
Forward Eps 0.635382
Forward P E 15.360839
Free Cashflow 269,558,752
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 636
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.61355
Gross Profits 1,070,691,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00227
Held Percent Institutions 0.63249
Implied Shares Outstanding 153,200,000
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Last Dividend Value 0.097
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its properties are located in the West Pembina region of West Central Alberta, Canada; southwest Bordeaux and Paris Basin in France; the Netherlands; Germany; Ireland; Croatia; Slovakia; Hungary; and Australia. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Long Name Vermilion Energy Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,495,232,000
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_880530
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -509,860,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,489,159,681
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 9.66
Operating Cashflow 890,675,008
Operating Margins -0.41461
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.7612
Phone 403 269 4884
Pre Market Change 0.03999996
Pre Market Change Percent 0.40983567
Pre Market Price 9.8
Pre Market Time 1,784,029,500
Previous Close 9.4
Price Eps Current Year 23.804878
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.93417937
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.8568243
Profit Margins -0.46651
Quick Ratio 0.386
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.4
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.360001
Regular Market Change Percent 3.82979
Regular Market Day High 9.84
Regular Market Day Low 9.545
Regular Market Day Range 9.545 - 9.84
Regular Market Open 9.66
Regular Market Previous Close 9.4
Regular Market Price 9.76
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 1,014,514
Return On Assets 0.012999999
Return On Equity -0.20701
Revenue Growth 0.099
Revenue Per Share 11.368
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 153,200,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0854
Shares Short 12,382,917
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 12,288,903
Short Name Vermilion Energy Inc.
Short Ratio 9.2
Source Interval 15
State AB
Symbol VET
Target High Price 27.176712
Target Low Price 27.176712
Target Mean Price 27.176712
Target Median Price 27.176712
Total Cash 16,353,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.107
Total Debt 1,311,416,960
Total Revenue 1,745,085,952
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.525
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.055851065
Trailing Eps -2.34
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.13465
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.37465
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.036967237
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,014,514
Website https://www.vermilionenergy.com
Zip T2P 0R3