Velo3D, Inc. (VELO)Technology | Computer Hardware | Fremont, United States | NasdaqCM
12.06 USD
-1.18
(-8.912%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 11.92 -0.14 (-0.140%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:54 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:17 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Velo3D is currently fractured by severe execution risks and deteriorating financials. Despite a recent surge in headlines linking the stock to the SpaceX trade and a fourth-quarter revenue beat, the underlying business is bleeding cash aggressively, with gross and operating margins deeply negative and free cash flow in the tens of millions of dollars lost annually. The balance sheet is precarious, with debt nearly matching cash reserves, creating a looming liquidity risk that analysts seem to be ignoring in their 'strong buy' consensus. Technically, the stock is in a freefall, having lost nearly 99.8% of its value over the last four years and trading well below its 50-day moving average. The recent price action shows continued selling pressure, with the stock closing near its lows for the session. While the options market shows some speculative longing for a rebound, the overwhelming open interest in puts suggests that smart money is betting on further declines or is heavily hedged against them. With no dividend to provide income and a history of massive share dilution via registered direct offerings, the long-term outlook remains bleak until the company can demonstrate a path to profitability without further capital erosion. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.267410 |
| AutoTheta | 0.272082 |
| AutoETS | 0.286015 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.460818 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 25% |
| H-stat | 11.29 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.287 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.15 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 34.622 |
| Revenue per Share | 2.602 |
| Market Cap | 359,400,096 |
| Forward P/E | -21.93 |
| Beta | 2.52 |
| Profit Margins | -105.70% |
| Website | https://www.velo3d.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:17 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with put open interest significantly outweighing call open interest across all expirations. The bulk of call volume is concentrated far out-of-the-money (OTM) strikes, indicating speculative hopes for a massive rally, while the majority of call volume sits ITM, suggesting hedging rather than pure bullish bets. Conversely, put positioning is robust both OTM and ITM, reflecting a dominant fear of further price collapse. Implied volatility is elevated, pricing in significant uncertainty.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.8780142 |
| Address1 | 2,710 Lakeview Court |
| All Time High | 6,919.5 |
| All Time Low | 1.425 |
| Ask | 15.44 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.3 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,701,880 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 3,859,645 |
| Average Volume | 3,859,645 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,701,880 |
| Beta | 2.52 |
| Bid | 9.29 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Book Value | 1.966 |
| City | Fremont |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 12.06 |
| Current Ratio | 2.448 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 13.0 |
| Day Low | 11.94 |
| Debt To Equity | 34.622 |
| Display Name | Velo3D |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,619,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,619,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,616,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,046,400 |
| Ebitda | -47,197,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.93517 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -7.642 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 7.147 |
| Enterprise Value | 360,680,096 |
| Eps Current Year | -1.06 |
| Eps Forward | -0.55 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -2.74 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NCM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 18.8575 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -6.7974997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.36046663 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 87.80142 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 31.75 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -19.689999 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.6201574 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 2.81 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 9.25 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 3.291815 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 2.81 - 31.75 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,611,585,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 13,791,904 |
| Forward Eps | -0.55 |
| Forward P E | -21.927273 |
| Free Cashflow | -21,801,250 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqCM |
| Full Time Employees | 134 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | -0.11334 |
| Gross Profits | -5,720,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.47074002 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.26072 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 29,801,002 |
| Industry | Computer Hardware |
| Industry Disp | Computer Hardware |
| Industry Key | computer-hardware |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,025-08-19 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,753,660,800 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:15 |
| Long Business Summary | Velo3D, Inc. produces and sells metal additive three-dimensional printers in the Americas, Europe, and internationally. Its printers enable the production of components for space rockets, jet engines, fuel delivery systems, and other metal parts. The company also offers Flow, a proprietary software platform, which scans part designs for geometrical features; Sapphire, Sapphire 1MZ, Sapphire XC, and Sapphire XC 1MZ printers; Assure, a quality assurance software platform; Developer, a new version of print preparation software that turns traditional design files into print files; and Intelligent Fusion, the underlying manufacturing process that binds and facilitates all aspects of the Velo3D fully integrated solution. It serves companies in the space, aviation, defense, automotive, energy, and industrial markets. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Fremont, California. Velo3D, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Arrayed Additive inc. |
| Long Name | Velo3D, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 359,400,096 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_303328074 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -53,346,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 394,565,266 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 4 |
| Open | 12.9084 |
| Operating Cashflow | -32,956,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.50282 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 408 610 3915 |
| Post Market Change | -0.14000034 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -1.1608652 |
| Post Market Price | 11.92 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,986,881 |
| Previous Close | 13.24 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -11.377359 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 6.134283 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 7.121205 |
| Profit Margins | -1.0570099 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.086 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.25 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -1.18 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -8.91238 |
| Regular Market Day High | 13.0 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 11.94 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 11.94 - 13.0 |
| Regular Market Open | 12.9084 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 13.24 |
| Regular Market Price | 12.06 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,807,440 |
| Return On Assets | -0.34237 |
| Return On Equity | -1.26379 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.482 |
| Revenue Per Share | 2.602 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Shares Outstanding | 29,801,002 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.16620001 |
| Shares Short | 4,952,700 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 2,798,156 |
| Short Name | Velo3D, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.31370002 |
| Short Ratio | 0.9 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | VELO |
| Target High Price | 33.0 |
| Target Low Price | 17.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 23.75 |
| Target Median Price | 22.5 |
| Total Cash | 16,564,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.556 |
| Total Debt | 17,844,000 |
| Total Revenue | 50,469,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -2.74 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 12.356525 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.296525 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.023997443 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,807,440 |
| Website | https://www.velo3d.com |
| Zip | 94,538 |