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Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (VCLT)

Long-Term Bond | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
69.97 USD +0.91 (1.318%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 10:37 a.m. EDT

The most compelling signal here is the massive disconnect between the 6% dividend yield and the underlying capital appreciation reality. While the headline yield is attractive, the price history reveals a brutal multi-year decline where the asset lost nearly 18% of its value over nine years. The market has correctly priced in a 'value trap' scenario where the high coupon is insufficient to offset the drag from falling bond prices and credit spreads. Recent price action confirms this weakness, with the share price trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day averages, showing no signs of a recovery trend. The options market reinforces this pessimism, with traders buying insurance (puts) rather than betting on a rally. For a long-term investor, the structural deterioration of the underlying bond portfolio's value outweighs the income stream, making this a hold or sell candidate rather than a buy.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.016139
MSTL0.018781
AutoETS0.018807
AutoARIMA0.019079

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 61%
H-stat 11.83
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.41

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 10:37 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put open interest at strikes below the current price (67, 68, 69), suggesting a fear of further downside or a need for income protection. Call activity is sparse and concentrated far out-of-the-money, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish bets despite the high yield. Implied volatility remains low, reflecting complacency regarding immediate price moves.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.51% 5.56% 5.36% 4.90%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-01 0.350 0.511621
2026-09-01 0.362 0.507216
2026-08-03 0.350 0.486111
2026-07-01 0.342 0.458138
2026-06-01 0.355 0.472577
2026-05-01 0.327 0.438867
2026-04-01 0.356 0.477981
2026-03-02 0.318 0.415089
2026-02-02 0.346 0.456464
2025-12-18 0.349 0.458607
2025-12-01 0.340 0.443286
2025-11-03 0.333 0.434272
2025-10-01 0.329 0.423805
2025-09-02 0.335 0.447861
2025-08-01 0.425 0.561427
2025-07-01 0.339 0.447053
2025-06-02 0.370 0.504706
2025-05-01 0.358 0.485226
2025-04-01 0.354 0.466035
2025-03-03 0.303 0.391523
2025-02-03 0.345 0.459510
2024-12-24 0.356 0.473656
2024-12-02 0.327 0.414186
2024-11-01 0.338 0.442640
2024-10-01 0.315 0.386740
2024-09-03 0.326 0.409960
2024-08-01 0.311 0.398923
2024-07-01 0.324 0.432866
2024-06-03 0.318 0.416285
2024-05-01 0.323 0.435369
2024-04-01 0.318 0.414332
2024-03-01 0.287 0.371473
2024-02-01 0.340 0.424469
2023-12-22 0.329 0.412694
2023-12-01 0.308 0.403036
2023-11-01 0.338 0.487313
2023-10-02 0.326 0.463463
2023-09-01 0.302 0.403420
2023-08-01 0.319 0.417649
2023-07-03 0.310 0.397691
2023-06-01 0.315 0.406819
2023-05-01 0.299 0.384665
2023-04-03 0.309 0.386250
2023-03-01 0.282 0.372769
2023-02-01 0.307 0.372663
2022-12-23 0.302 0.388674
2022-12-01 0.295 0.371209
2022-11-01 0.287 0.398722
2022-10-03 0.284 0.380340
2022-09-01 0.285 0.359985
2022-08-01 0.282 0.330482
2022-07-01 0.272 0.331707
2022-06-01 0.292 0.344340
2022-05-02 0.276 0.332690
2022-04-01 0.257 0.272911
2022-03-01 0.244 0.251780
2022-02-01 0.286 0.284351
2021-12-23 0.277 0.260681
2021-12-01 0.261 0.244016
2021-11-01 0.267 0.250751
2021-10-01 0.277 0.260314
2021-09-01 0.273 0.252474
2021-08-02 0.277 0.253756
2021-07-01 0.274 0.256987
2021-06-01 0.277 0.269718
2021-05-03 0.266 0.259057
2021-04-01 0.279 0.272861
2021-03-01 0.248 0.239290
2021-02-01 0.278 0.257646
2020-12-23 0.279 0.253429
2020-12-01 0.268 0.241986
2020-11-02 0.287 0.270500
2020-10-01 0.271 0.253247
2020-09-01 0.279 0.257356
2020-08-03 0.290 0.259044
2020-07-01 0.272 0.254111
2020-06-01 0.308 0.298161
2020-05-01 0.303 0.299141
2020-04-01 0.343 0.363964
2020-03-02 0.286 0.269684
2020-02-03 0.323 0.308089
2019-12-23 0.330 0.325476
2019-12-02 0.304 0.301947
2019-11-01 0.329 0.325743
2019-10-01 0.315 0.311604
2019-09-03 0.339 0.330345
2019-08-01 0.339 0.345214
2019-07-01 0.311 0.320652
2019-06-03 0.338 0.362934
2019-05-01 0.308 0.336686
2019-04-01 0.342 0.378654
2019-03-01 0.294 0.336886
2019-02-01 0.317 0.359982
2018-12-24 0.354 0.418341
2018-12-03 0.317 0.379187
2018-11-01 0.338 0.401282
2018-10-01 0.318 0.363678
2018-09-04 0.307 0.349499
2018-08-01 0.332 0.376161
2018-07-02 0.305 0.349690
2018-06-01 0.339 0.384354
2018-05-01 0.309 0.350579
2018-04-02 0.362 0.397715
2018-03-01 0.293 0.324474
2018-02-01 0.305 0.326273
2017-12-26 0.354 0.373575
2017-12-01 0.314 0.331119
2017-11-01 0.320 0.339451
2017-10-02 0.325 0.346002
2017-09-01 0.321 0.342583
2017-08-01 0.319 0.340013
2017-07-03 0.316 0.340444
2017-06-01 0.321 0.348421
2017-05-01 0.321 0.356825
2017-04-03 0.316 0.350294
2017-03-01 0.340 0.378366
2017-02-01 0.270 0.304260
2016-12-22 0.352 0.398776
2016-12-01 0.326 0.374411
2016-11-01 0.313 0.338378
2016-10-03 0.327 0.344428
2016-09-01 0.320 0.333542
2016-08-01 0.323 0.337866
2016-07-01 0.323 0.339250
2016-06-01 0.326 0.361019
2016-05-02 0.321 0.354579
2016-04-01 0.310 0.345828
2016-03-01 0.340 0.404955
2016-02-01 0.292 0.350540
2015-12-23 0.369 0.437048
2015-12-01 0.325 0.375766
2015-11-02 0.325 0.378391
2015-10-01 0.331 0.385287
2015-09-01 0.327 0.383173
2015-08-03 0.327 0.373800
2015-07-01 0.334 0.394147
2015-06-01 0.330 0.375726
2015-05-01 0.337 0.372788
2015-04-01 0.338 0.356766
2015-03-02 0.313 0.338123
2015-02-02 0.284 0.291941
2014-12-23 0.340 0.372603
2014-12-01 0.318 0.350568
2014-11-03 0.328 0.360955
2014-10-01 0.329 0.363817
2014-09-02 0.335 0.366962
2014-08-01 0.330 0.366300
2014-07-01 0.336 0.375293
2014-06-02 0.317 0.353282
2014-05-01 0.324 0.362254
2014-04-01 0.339 0.392543
2014-03-03 0.326 0.374885
2014-02-03 0.343 0.395845
2013-12-24 0.332 0.398655
2013-11-29 0.332 0.401840
2013-10-31 0.313 0.373821
2013-09-30 0.339 0.413465
2013-08-30 0.351 0.428781
2013-07-31 0.335 0.401534
2013-06-28 0.326 0.393008
2013-05-31 0.324 0.371858
2013-04-30 0.353 0.380224
2013-03-28 0.339 0.380130
2013-02-28 0.339 0.374544
2013-01-31 0.327 0.366181
2012-12-24 0.562 0.614745
2012-11-30 0.328 0.353372
2012-11-02 0.327 0.349845
2012-09-28 0.331 0.356105
2012-08-31 0.328 0.351592
2012-07-31 0.329 0.350821
2012-06-29 0.340 0.380867
2012-05-31 0.340 0.383142
2012-04-30 0.351 0.405640
2012-03-30 0.344 0.404801
2012-02-29 0.300 0.338486
2012-01-31 0.323 0.367840
2011-12-23 0.329 0.386105
2011-11-30 0.338 0.405130
2011-10-31 0.329 0.379864
2011-09-30 0.330 0.392390
2011-08-31 0.314 0.384521
2011-07-29 0.328 0.405088
2011-06-30 0.280 0.357919
2011-05-31 0.338 0.421394
2011-04-29 0.340 0.433673
2011-03-31 0.391 0.510044
2011-02-28 0.319 0.411401
2011-01-31 0.315 0.411657
2010-12-27 0.599 0.780456
2010-11-30 0.364 0.463931
2010-10-29 0.356 0.443006
2010-09-30 0.390 0.481125
2010-08-31 0.307 0.370236
2010-07-30 0.334 0.420073
2010-06-30 0.347 0.445157
2010-05-28 0.356 0.474857
2010-04-30 0.347 0.453239
2010-03-31 0.394 0.528221
2010-02-26 0.326 0.435015
2010-01-29 0.325 0.436769
2009-12-24 0.496 0.674646
Additional Data
dividendDate 2017-06-07
dividendYield 5.99

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 113.29
All Time Low 67.47
Ask 72.65
Ask Size 14
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,746,380
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,257,904
Average Volume 5,257,904
Average Volume10Days 6,746,380
Beta3 Year 1.96
Bid 72.6
Bid Size 14
Category Long-Term Bond
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 70.11
Day Low 69.82
Display Name Long-Term Corp Bond Idx Fd ETF
Dividend Date 1,496,793,600
Dividend Yield 5.99
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 70.7504
Fifty Day Average Change -0.7803955
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.011030263
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -10.843527
Fifty Two Week High 79.28
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.309998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.11743186
Fifty Two Week Low 67.56
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.4100037
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.03567205
Fifty Two Week Range 67.56 - 79.28
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,258,986,600,000
Five Year Average Return -0.0373833
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fullday Change -0.5400009
Fullday Change Percent -0.7819301
Fullday Price 69.97
Fund Family Vanguard
Fund Inception Date 1,258,588,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund manager employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. 10+ Year Corporate Bond Index, which includes U.S. dollar-denominated, investment-grade, fixed-rate, taxable debt securities issued by U.S. and non-U.S. industrial, utility, and financial companies, all with maturities greater than 10 years. Under normal circumstances, it invests at least 80% of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in the bonds that make up the Target Index.
Long Name Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond Index Fund ETF Shares
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_81834084
Nav Price 69.08
Net Assets 8,868,049,900.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.03
Open 70.0
Previous Close 69.06
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.910004
Regular Market Change Percent 1.3177
Regular Market Day High 70.11
Regular Market Day Low 69.82
Regular Market Day Range 69.82 - 70.11
Regular Market Open 70.0
Regular Market Previous Close 69.06
Regular Market Price 69.97
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,400
Regular Market Volume 6,976,651
Short Name Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bo
Source Interval 15
Symbol VCLT
Three Year Average Return 0.0456002
Total Assets 8,868,049,920
Tradeable 0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -7.4593
Trailing Three Month Returns -7.4593
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 73.99965
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.029648
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.05445496
Type Disp ETF
Volume 6,976,651
Yield 0.059899997
Ytd Return -6.19358