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Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares (VBR)

Small Value | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
241.78 USD -0.27 (-0.112%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:43 a.m. EDT

The Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF presents a compelling case for long-term accumulation, driven by a robust nine-year price trajectory that has delivered an 87% gain with no recent consecutive annual declines. The business fundamentals appear sound, supported by a trailing P/E of 18.3x and a price-to-book ratio of 2.45x, suggesting the market is pricing in reasonable growth without excessive speculation. The recent price action shows resilience, trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which reinforces the upward trend. However, the short-term outlook is mixed; while the statistical forecast models a modest 1.58% gain over the next 45 days with moderate confidence, the options market reveals a disconnect. Traders are placing significant bets on a substantial rally to the upside (deep OTM calls), whereas the underlying price momentum has been more subdued recently. This divergence suggests that while the long-term thesis remains intact, immediate catalysts for a sharp spike may be limited, making this a solid hold rather than a high-conviction momentum play for the immediate future.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.016301
MSTL0.020838
AutoETS0.022865
AutoARIMA0.022865

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 63%
H-stat 7.28
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.656
Excess Kurtosis -0.65
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 18.32

As of July 11, 2026, 6:43 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move over the next few months, evidenced by heavy open interest in deep out-of-the-money calls (strikes 275-285) relative to puts. While there is some defensive put buying at lower strikes, the volume skew and strike selection suggest a bullish bias rather than a fear of significant downside.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.45% 1.97% 2.11% 2.12%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-26 1.090 0.448985
2026-03-27 1.244 0.583654
2025-12-22 1.056 0.489773
2025-09-29 0.928 0.446132
2025-06-30 0.911 0.467156
2025-03-27 1.242 0.657491
2024-12-23 1.091 0.548958
2024-09-26 0.870 0.435675
2024-06-27 1.017 0.560331
2024-03-21 0.943 0.498731
2023-12-21 1.154 0.643901
2023-09-21 0.875 0.548349
2023-06-23 0.887 0.560152
2023-03-23 0.892 0.593796
2022-12-22 1.119 0.709125
2022-09-23 0.771 0.526388
2022-06-23 0.712 0.479364
2022-03-23 0.626 0.358452
2021-12-27 1.182 0.662111
2021-09-24 0.662 0.386051
2021-06-24 0.651 0.372490
2021-03-25 0.636 0.389587
2020-12-24 0.876 0.616815
2020-09-25 0.620 0.571639
2020-06-25 0.493 0.469927
2020-03-10 0.400 0.367850
2019-12-24 1.016 0.741822
2019-09-16 0.478 0.363747
2019-06-27 0.741 0.574864
2019-03-28 0.590 0.459502
2018-12-24 0.817 0.756902
2018-09-28 0.783 0.561854
2018-06-22 0.513 0.370584
2018-03-22 0.566 0.438081
2017-12-21 0.862 0.648169
2017-09-27 0.617 0.484454
2017-06-28 0.420 0.340246
2017-03-24 0.477 0.396410
2016-12-22 0.796 0.653906
2016-09-20 0.655 0.606425
2016-06-14 0.320 0.307072
2016-03-15 0.367 0.374413
2015-12-23 0.744 0.743108
2015-09-25 1.143 1.164781
2015-03-25 0.076 0.070377
2014-12-22 1.845 1.750308
2014-03-25 0.024 0.023959
2013-12-24 1.797 1.856021
2013-03-20 0.021 0.025591
2012-12-24 1.874 2.588755
2012-03-22 0.029 0.041715
2011-12-23 1.372 2.166430
2011-03-23 0.008 0.011582
2010-12-27 1.270 1.889319
2010-03-23 0.029 0.047619
2009-12-24 1.051 1.896770
2009-03-23 0.033 0.091820
2008-12-24 1.267 3.180221
2008-03-12 0.046 0.078019
2007-12-20 1.509 2.327626
2007-03-22 0.058 0.079192
2006-12-22 1.331 1.890088
2006-03-20 0.040 0.060150
2005-12-27 1.256 2.057330
2005-03-21 0.008 0.014023
2004-12-27 0.968 1.683186
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 3.131
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.012935344
dividendYield 1.78

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 245.12
All Time Low 27.49
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 900
Average Daily Volume10 Day 261,330
Average Daily Volume3 Month 293,167
Average Volume 293,167
Average Volume10Days 261,330
Beta3 Year 0.95
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 300
Book Value 98.91
Category Small Value
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 243.6
Day Low 241.41
Dividend Yield 1.78
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 13.1994295
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 235.9988
Fifty Day Average Change 5.781204
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.024496753
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 20.004951
Fifty Two Week High 245.12
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.3399963
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.0136259645
Fifty Two Week Low 193.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 48.78
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.2527461
Fifty Two Week Range 193.0 - 245.12
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,075,473,000,000
Five Year Average Return 0.095163494
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family Vanguard
Fund Inception Date 944,524,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund advisor employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the CRSP U.S. Small Cap Value Index, a broadly diversified index of value stocks of small U.S. companies. The advisor attempts to replicate the target index by investing all, or substantially all, of its assets in the stocks that make up the index, holding each stock in approximately the same proportion as its weighting in the index.
Long Name Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_22939653
Nav Price 241.94
Net Assets 67,781,796,000.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.05
Open 242.21
Phone 800-523-1036
Pre Market Change 0.0
Pre Market Change Percent 0.0
Pre Market Price 241.78
Pre Market Time 1,784,016,234
Previous Close 242.05
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.4444444
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.270004
Regular Market Change Percent -0.111549
Regular Market Day High 243.6
Regular Market Day Low 241.41
Regular Market Day Range 241.41 - 243.6
Regular Market Open 242.21
Regular Market Previous Close 242.05
Regular Market Price 241.78
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 228,585
Shares Outstanding 101,351,000
Short Name Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol VBR
Three Year Average Return 0.147614
Total Assets 67,781,795,840
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 3.131
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.012935344
Trailing P E 18.31746
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 12.3311
Trailing Three Month Returns 12.3311
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 222.02776
Two Hundred Day Average Change 19.752243
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.08896294
Type Disp ETF
Volume 228,585
Yield 0.0178
Ytd Return 15.83468