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Valneva SE (VALN)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Saint-Herblain, France | NasdaqGS
5.26 USD +0.21 (4.158%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:35 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is structurally broken. The company is hemorrhaging value with a trailing twelve-month loss of nearly 88% and a massive debt load relative to equity, creating a precarious balance sheet. Fundamentally, the business is failing to generate revenue, with sales contracting by over 37% year-over-year and gross margins deeply negative, indicating a product or pricing crisis rather than a temporary blip. This operational rot is reflected perfectly in the price action, which has suffered a catastrophic 77% decline over the last four years, with every single year showing negative returns. While the forward P/E looks cheap at under 5x, this is a classic value trap where the market has already priced in the reality that the company cannot sustain operations without capital infusion or a miraculous turnaround. There is no dividend to provide income, and the recent price action shows no signs of stabilization, hovering near multi-year lows. The consensus target price suggests significant upside potential, but given the deteriorating fundamentals and lack of cash generation, relying on a turnaround story in a biotech sector requires extreme caution.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.080114
MSTL0.092274
AutoETS0.100053
AutoARIMA0.100166
MSTL_1050.227193

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 1.29
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.075
Excess Kurtosis -0.55
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 273.152
Revenue per Share 1.794
Market Cap 537,149,312
Forward P/E 5.06
Beta 1.41
Profit Margins -88.30%
Website https://valneva.com

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.1694079
Address1 6 rue Alain Bombard
All Time High 67.84
All Time Low 3.62
Ask 5.27
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 22,310
Average Daily Volume3 Month 50,436
Average Volume 50,436
Average Volume10Days 22,310
Beta 1.413
Bid 5.26
Bid Size 2
Book Value 0.9821974
City Saint-Herblain
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country France
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 5.26
Current Ratio 2.138
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 5.33
Day Low 5.215
Debt To Equity 273.152
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,773,864,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,773,864,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,773,837,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,773,837,000
Ebitda -81,880,496
Ebitda Margins -0.52376
Enterprise To Ebitda -6.996
Enterprise To Revenue 3.664
Enterprise Value 572,862,144
Eps Current Year -1.23
Eps Forward 1.04
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.88
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 33 2 28 07 37 11
Fifty Day Average 5.535
Fifty Day Average Change -0.27499962
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.04968376
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -16.94079
Fifty Two Week High 12.25
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.99
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.57061225
Fifty Two Week Low 5.04
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.22000027
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.043650847
Fifty Two Week Range 5.04 - 12.25
Financial Currency EUR
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,620,221,400,000
Float Shares 73,878,374
Forward Eps 1.04
Forward P E 5.0576925
Free Cashflow -31,007,750
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 674
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins -0.25273
Gross Profits -39,510,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0
Held Percent Institutions 0.03625
Implied Shares Outstanding 102,119,642
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-05-06
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Valneva SE, a specialty vaccine company, develops, manufactures, and commercializes prophylactic vaccines for infectious diseases with unmet needs. It offers IXIARO, an inactivated Vero cell culture-derived Japanese encephalitis vaccine indicated for active immunization against Japanese encephalitis; DUKORAL, an oral vaccine for the prevention of diarrhea caused by Vibrio cholera or heat-labile toxin producing enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli bacterium; and IXCHIQ/ VLA1553, a single-dose, live-attenuated vaccine for the prevention of disease caused by chikungunya virus. The company also develops VLA15, a vaccine candidate against Borrelia, the bacterium that causes Lyme disease; S4V2, a tetravalent bioconjugate vaccine candidate against shigellosis, a diarrheal infection caused by Shigella bacteria; VLA1601, a vaccine candidate targeting the Zika virus, a mosquito-borne viral disease; VLA1554, a vaccine candidate targeting human metapneumovirus; VLA84, a vaccine candidate targeting the prevention of primary symptomatic clostridium difficile infection; and VLA2112, a vaccine candidate to treat patients with epstein-barr virus. It sells its products in the United States, Canada, Germany, Austria, Nordics, the United Kingdom, France, rest of Europe, and internationally. Valneva SE was founded in 1998 and is based in Saint-Herblain, France.
Long Name Valneva SE
Market us_market
Market Cap 537,149,312
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_4550716
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -138,032,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 527,974,258
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 5.28
Operating Cashflow -45,059,000
Operating Margins -0.76672995
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 33 2 28 07 37 10
Previous Close 5.05
Price Eps Current Year -4.276423
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.355339
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.4359741
Profit Margins -0.88295
Quick Ratio 1.225
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.21
Regular Market Change Percent 4.15842
Regular Market Day High 5.33
Regular Market Day Low 5.215
Regular Market Day Range 5.215 - 5.33
Regular Market Open 5.28
Regular Market Previous Close 5.05
Regular Market Price 5.26
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 18,103
Return On Assets -0.14538999
Return On Equity -1.09571
Revenue Growth -0.372
Revenue Per Share 1.794
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 102,119,642
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0018000001
Shares Short 182,102
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 181,003
Short Name Valneva SE
Short Percent Of Float 0.0018000001
Short Ratio 7.57
Source Interval 15
Symbol VALN
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 4.8
Target Mean Price 12.2
Target Median Price 13.0
Total Cash 105,265,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.182
Total Debt 209,504,992
Total Revenue 156,331,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.88
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.209515
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.9495144
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.35928
Type Disp Equity
Volume 18,103
Website https://valneva.com
Zip 44,800