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ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (UWM)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
64.08 USD -1.07 (-1.642%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:02 a.m. EDT

The short-term outlook remains neutral to slightly bearish due to overwhelming speculative positioning against the trade. Options data reveals a 'bearish wall' with nearly all activity focused on buying protection below current levels, while call buyers are virtually absent. This suggests smart money is hedging a potential drop rather than betting on a rally. The recent price action confirms this sentiment, with the asset struggling to break above its 50-day moving average and closing lower in the most recent session. While the statistical forecast offers a tiny upward lean, its low confidence makes it irrelevant against the stark options flow. For the long term, the asset faces a significant headwind: despite a positive cumulative return over the last nine years, the most recent annual performance was flat to slightly negative (-0.87%). This single-year stagnation prevents a top-tier rating, as the market has failed to reward the business with a multi-year uptrend recently. Furthermore, the dividend profile is erratic and unreliable, with payments swinging wildly between $0.01 and $0.20 annually, making it unsuitable for income-focused investors seeking consistency.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_79 ✓0.102009
MSTL0.107552
AutoARIMA0.116333
AutoETS0.116335
AutoTheta0.116809
MSTL_79_1150.132782
MSTL_1150.152312

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_79

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 5.97
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.293
Excess Kurtosis -0.90
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 21.01

As of July 11, 2026, 3:02 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest and volume in out-of-the-money puts (over 90% of total put volume) compared to negligible call activity. The strike distribution shows heavy concentration below current prices (e.g., 51, 53, 55 strikes), while call interest is sparse and focused on distant targets. Implied volatility is elevated for downside strikes relative to the money, indicating a market consensus expecting continued weakness or a sharp correction.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.09% 1.06% 0.97% 0.66%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-24 0.06100 0.092889
2026-03-25 0.07200 0.149192
2025-12-24 0.19500 0.392908
2025-09-24 0.19900 0.429527
2025-06-25 0.01800 0.049437
2025-03-26 0.08200 0.231051
2024-12-23 0.18300 0.434164
2024-09-25 0.13000 0.311154
2024-06-26 0.11100 0.306461
2024-03-20 0.06100 0.156090
2023-12-20 0.11400 0.312500
2023-09-20 0.01600 0.051282
2022-12-22 0.12600 0.406714
2020-12-23 0.00350 0.007559
2020-06-24 0.00200 0.008809
2020-03-25 0.02400 0.157274
2019-12-24 0.07550 0.193938
2019-09-25 0.05300 0.158540
2019-06-25 0.05800 0.178133
2019-03-20 0.02350 0.069362
2018-12-26 0.08650 0.341762
2018-09-26 0.01500 0.035727
2018-03-21 0.00500 0.013499
2017-12-26 0.03600 0.100854
2017-03-22 0.00175 0.006418
2016-12-21 0.03850 0.134804
2016-09-21 0.01300 0.055349
2016-06-22 0.01475 0.073484
2015-12-22 0.02475 0.124403
2015-09-23 0.00875 0.043587
2015-06-24 0.00725 0.028287
2015-03-25 0.00575 0.024300
2014-12-22 0.02475 0.110122
2012-03-21 0.00275 0.025195
2010-09-21 0.00125 0.016197
2010-03-24 0.00100 0.011820
2009-09-24 0.00325 0.048817
2009-06-24 0.00650 0.143409
2009-03-24 0.00550 0.164547
2008-12-23 0.01050 0.235558
2008-09-24 0.01125 0.094558
2008-06-24 0.02275 0.183135
2008-03-25 0.01700 0.135973
2007-12-20 0.23850 1.554505
2007-09-25 0.03125 0.180063
2007-06-26 0.09225 0.495036
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 0.78

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 68.32
All Time Low 2.3
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 100
Average Daily Volume10 Day 253,820
Average Daily Volume3 Month 317,977
Average Volume 317,977
Average Volume10Days 253,820
Beta3 Year 2.54
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 100
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 64.99
Day Low 63.74
Dividend Yield 0.78
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.050191
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 62.3648
Fifty Day Average Change 1.7152023
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.027502732
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 62.226093
Fifty Two Week High 68.32
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.239998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.06206086
Fifty Two Week Low 36.18
Fifty Two Week Low Change 27.900002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.77114433
Fifty Two Week Range 36.18 - 68.32
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,169,735,400,000
Five Year Average Return 0.0337221
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family ProShares
Fund Inception Date 1,169,510,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the Daily Target. The index is designed to measure the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. markets. Under normal circumstances, the fund will obtain leveraged exposure to at least 80% of its total assets in components of the index or in instruments with similar economic characteristics. It is non-diversified.
Long Name ProShares Ultra Russell2000
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_32335950
Nav Price 65.0936
Net Assets 279,152,320.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.95
Open 64.79
Pre Market Change 0.26000214
Pre Market Change Percent 0.40568286
Pre Market Price 64.35
Pre Market Time 1,784,028,772
Previous Close 65.15
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.07
Regular Market Change Percent -1.64236
Regular Market Day High 64.99
Regular Market Day Low 63.74
Regular Market Day Range 63.74 - 64.99
Regular Market Open 64.79
Regular Market Previous Close 65.15
Regular Market Price 64.08
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 290,197
Short Name ProShares Ultra Russell2000
Source Interval 15
Symbol UWM
Three Year Average Return 0.21668871
Total Assets 279,152,320
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 21.008522
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 44.28724
Trailing Three Month Returns 44.28724
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 52.84765
Two Hundred Day Average Change 11.232353
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.21254216
Type Disp ETF
Volume 290,197
Yield 0.0078
Ytd Return 43.33152