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ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (UWM)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
57.55 USD +2.38 (4.314%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 58.25 +0.70 (1.210%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★★ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 1:17 a.m. EDT

This is a pure beta-notification play for a _20%+ quarterly spike in the Russell 2000. The price action confirms the thesis: the ETF has run from 27 in April 2025 to 57 in April 2026 (100%+ gain). Options mechanics are screaming that smart money expects a violent 30-40% vertical push in the next 3 weeks, as evidenced by the 70-strike call volume. However, holding this is a losing bet; the underlying high P/E (22x for a 2x leveraged instrument), erratic dividend payments (jumping from cents to 20%), and the inherent 'buy high, sell low' nature of leveraged ETFs make this a terrible long-term hold. Buy for the weeks, sell or roll as the underlying asset becomes ripe for a 25% correction.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.058838
AutoETS0.058839
MSTL0.065165
AutoTheta0.095192

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 20.55
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.222
Excess Kurtosis -1.02
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 22.13

As of April 19, 2026, 1:17 a.m. EDT: Options flow shows extreme bullish aggression on the short end. The April 17 expiration (less than 3 weeks out) displays massive open interest skew in OTM calls with a 21.6% volume delta at the 70 strike, implying a total directional move of over 30% from current levels within two weeks. Conversely, the near-term OTM put OI is nearly zero (0.95%), indicating a lack of downside protection buying. While ATM IV is suppressed (0.87 for calls, 1.79 for puts), the specific 'New Flow' notes on calls suggest speculators are overpaying for leverage, betting on an immediate 20-30% pop. The discrepancy between low ATM IV and high OTM volume suggests a chance that the SPX volatility might not expand, or that the risk premium is compressed due to the short-dated nature of the bet.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.15% 1.02% 0.95% 0.66%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-03-25 0.07200 0.149192
2025-12-24 0.19500 0.393508
2025-09-24 0.19900 0.431882
2025-06-25 0.01800 0.049918
2025-03-26 0.08200 0.233411
2024-12-23 0.18300 0.439590
2024-09-25 0.13000 0.316404
2024-06-26 0.11100 0.312579
2024-03-20 0.06100 0.159692
2023-12-20 0.11400 0.320231
2023-09-20 0.01600 0.052709
2022-12-22 0.12600 0.418238
2020-12-23 0.00350 0.007804
2020-06-24 0.00200 0.009095
2020-03-25 0.02400 0.162397
2019-12-24 0.07550 0.200577
2019-09-25 0.05300 0.164286
2019-06-25 0.05800 0.184888
2019-03-20 0.02350 0.072120
2018-12-26 0.08650 0.355590
2018-09-26 0.01500 0.037311
2018-03-21 0.00500 0.014102
2017-12-26 0.03600 0.105378
2017-03-22 0.00175 0.006713
2016-12-21 0.03850 0.141002
2016-09-21 0.01300 0.057970
2016-06-22 0.01475 0.077008
2015-12-22 0.02475 0.130465
2015-09-23 0.00875 0.045768
2015-06-24 0.00725 0.029716
2015-03-25 0.00575 0.025535
2014-12-22 0.02475 0.115744
2012-03-21 0.00275 0.026510
2010-09-21 0.00125 0.017047
2010-03-24 0.00100 0.012443
2009-09-24 0.00325 0.051393
2009-06-24 0.00650 0.151048
2009-03-24 0.00550 0.173565
2008-12-23 0.01050 0.248846
2008-09-24 0.01125 0.100119
2008-06-24 0.02275 0.194087
2008-03-25 0.01700 0.144360
2007-12-20 0.23850 1.652655
2007-09-25 0.03125 0.194513
2007-06-26 0.09225 0.535721
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 1.04

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 67.26
All Time Low 2.3
Ask 57.93
Ask Size 1,100
Average Daily Volume10 Day 352,970
Average Daily Volume3 Month 676,859
Average Volume 676,859
Average Volume10Days 352,970
Beta3 Year 2.65
Bid 56.91
Bid Size 300
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 58.25
Day Low 56.52
Dividend Yield 1.04
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.600919
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 50.5168
Fifty Day Average Change 7.0331993
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.13922496
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 110.57446
Fifty Two Week High 58.25
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.70000076
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.01201718
Fifty Two Week Low 26.8
Fifty Two Week Low Change 30.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.1473881
Fifty Two Week Range 26.8 - 58.25
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,169,735,400,000
Five Year Average Return 0.0056526
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family ProShares
Fund Inception Date 1,169,510,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the Daily Target. The index is designed to measure the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. markets. Under normal circumstances, the fund will obtain leveraged exposure to at least 80% of its total assets in components of the index or in instruments with similar economic characteristics. It is non-diversified.
Long Name ProShares Ultra Russell2000
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_32335950
Nav Price 57.5084
Net Assets 216,981,376.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.95
Open 56.65
Post Market Change 0.6963005
Post Market Change Percent 1.2099054
Post Market Price 58.2463
Post Market Time 1,776,470,370
Previous Close 55.17
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 2.38
Regular Market Change Percent 4.31394
Regular Market Day High 58.25
Regular Market Day Low 56.52
Regular Market Day Range 56.52 - 58.25
Regular Market Open 56.65
Regular Market Previous Close 55.17
Regular Market Price 57.55
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 318,800
Short Name ProShares Ultra Russell2000
Source Interval 15
Symbol UWM
Three Year Average Return 0.2293701
Total Assets 216,981,376
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 22.126795
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -0.66237
Trailing Three Month Returns -0.66237
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 47.1564
Two Hundred Day Average Change 10.3936
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.22040701
Type Disp ETF
Volume 318,800
Yield 0.0104
Ytd Return -0.66237