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F/m US Treasury 20 Year Bond ETF (UTWY)

Long Government | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
42.01 USD

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:37 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook is severely compromised by a brutal multi-year decline. Over the last two years, the asset has lost nearly 11% in total value, driven by two consecutive years of double-digit percentage drops (-4.78% and -6.37%). This sustained price erosion reflects a market verdict that the business—holding long-duration debt—is currently facing significant headwinds, likely from rising rates or a shifting yield curve, rather than a temporary dislocation. While the dividend yield sits attractively at 5.07%, providing a cushion against further price drops, it cannot offset the reality that the principal value is shrinking rapidly. The short-term picture remains murky; while the statistical model hints at a negligible 0.09% upside over the next 45 days, the lack of options flow and the heavy weight of recent losses suggest caution is warranted. Investors here are essentially betting on a reversal of macroeconomic trends, which is a high-risk proposition given the asset class.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.008324
AutoARIMA0.008756
AutoETS0.008756
MSTL0.009235

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 69%
H-stat 0.75
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.987
Excess Kurtosis -0.06

As of July 11, 2026, 4:37 a.m. EDT: Options activity is virtually dormant with zero open interest or volume recorded for both calls and puts across the available expiration. This lack of speculative positioning suggests the market is currently avoiding directional bets on this instrument, likely due to the inherent uncertainty surrounding interest rate movements affecting long-duration Treasuries.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.41% 4.57% 4.43%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-29 0.175 0.405844
2026-05-28 0.158 0.372343
2026-04-28 0.160 0.374138
2026-03-30 0.158 0.369116
2026-02-26 0.170 0.381628
2026-01-29 0.171 0.393900
2025-12-30 0.161 0.368210
2025-12-02 0.174 0.395311
2025-11-03 0.165 0.372334
2025-10-01 0.161 0.364460
2025-09-02 0.165 0.385019
2025-08-01 0.170 0.389953
2025-07-01 0.173 0.396698
2025-06-02 0.164 0.385520
2025-05-01 0.170 0.386953
2025-04-01 0.172 0.382562
2025-03-03 0.169 0.371674
2025-02-03 0.162 0.371219
2024-12-30 0.159 0.365601
2024-12-02 0.152 0.332662
2024-11-01 0.150 0.337261
2024-10-01 0.161 0.337102
2024-09-03 0.175 0.369666
2024-08-01 0.173 0.372131
2024-07-01 0.168 0.380607
2024-06-03 0.162 0.360641
2024-05-01 0.158 0.361391
2024-04-01 0.167 0.368328
2024-03-01 0.176 0.382276
2024-02-01 0.181 0.379216
2023-12-27 0.183 0.378412
2023-12-01 0.158 0.347650
2023-11-01 0.148 0.347785
2023-10-02 0.156 0.361153
2023-09-01 0.146 0.315812
2023-08-01 0.149 0.314379
2023-07-03 0.151 0.309331
2023-06-01 0.153 0.308910
2023-05-01 0.156 0.313845
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 5.07

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 51.77
All Time Low 41.33
Ask 53.63
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 680
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,154
Average Volume 1,154
Average Volume10Days 680
Beta3 Year 1.94
Bid 30.17
Bid Size 2
Category Long Government
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 42.005
Day Low 42.005
Dividend Yield 5.07
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 42.40422
Fifty Day Average Change -0.3992195
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.009414617
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -1.3587654
Fifty Two Week High 45.234
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.229
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.071384355
Fifty Two Week Low 41.33
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.67499924
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.016331943
Fifty Two Week Range 41.33 - 45.234
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,680,010,200,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family F/m Investments LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,679,875,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-03-28
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary Under normal market conditions, F/m Investments LLC (the “Adviser”) seeks to achieve the fund’s investment objective by investing at least 80% of the fund’s net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in the component securities of the underlying index. The ICE BofA Current 20-Year U.S. Treasury Index is a one-security index comprised of the most recently issued 20-year U.S. treasury note.
Long Name F/m US Treasury 20 Year Bond ETF
Market us_market
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1793528986
Nav Price 41.8755
Net Assets 8,533,092.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.15
Open 41.8875
Phone (302) 791-1851
Previous Close 42.005
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0
Regular Market Day High 42.005
Regular Market Day Low 42.005
Regular Market Day Range 42.005 - 42.005
Regular Market Open 41.8875
Regular Market Previous Close 42.005
Regular Market Price 42.005
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,200
Regular Market Volume 29
Short Name US Treasury 20 Year Bond ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol UTWY
Three Year Average Return -0.0051277
Total Assets 8,533,092
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 0.76644
Trailing Three Month Returns 0.76644
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 43.471714
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.466713
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.033739477
Type Disp ETF
Volume 29
Yield 0.0507
Ytd Return 0.31581