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F/m US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF (UTHY)

Long Government | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
39.70 USD -0.21 (-0.526%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★⯪☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:34 a.m. EDT

The US Treasury 30-Year Bond ETF presents a classic defensive dilemma: a generous yield masking a deteriorating capital structure. While the 5% dividend yield provides immediate income, it is insufficient to offset the relentless price erosion. Over the last two years, the fund has lost over 15% of its value, driven by two consecutive years of double-digit annual declines. This multi-year trajectory confirms that the market views the bond environment as structurally hostile rather than temporarily depressed. Technically, the price is trading well below its 50-day and 200-day averages, reinforcing a bearish trend. Although the short-term statistical model shows a neutral forecast, the heavy put positioning suggests investors are hedging against further drops. For a long-term holder, the combination of falling prices and a yield that barely covers inflation makes this a weak investment; the 'value' here is likely a value trap where the low price reflects permanent damage to the underlying asset class.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.009258
AutoETS0.009582
AutoARIMA0.009583
AutoTheta0.011057

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 66%
H-stat 1.99
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.875
Excess Kurtosis 0.30

As of July 11, 2026, 6:34 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioned defensively with significant open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in September, while call activity is negligible. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term protection, suggesting a fear of further downside or volatility spikes, whereas the lack of call positioning indicates a lack of bullish conviction.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.41% 4.54% 4.36%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-29 0.167 0.405615
2026-05-28 0.158 0.391768
2026-04-28 0.156 0.383934
2026-03-30 0.155 0.379149
2026-02-26 0.160 0.377136
2026-01-29 0.160 0.388227
2025-12-30 0.162 0.390418
2025-12-02 0.162 0.386220
2025-11-03 0.148 0.349386
2025-10-01 0.137 0.325138
2025-09-02 0.157 0.387999
2025-08-01 0.154 0.370915
2025-07-01 0.163 0.391263
2025-06-02 0.154 0.380905
2025-05-01 0.159 0.377314
2025-04-01 0.161 0.370626
2025-03-03 0.161 0.365743
2025-02-03 0.151 0.360563
2024-12-30 0.151 0.360640
2024-12-02 0.158 0.353309
2024-11-01 0.150 0.346741
2024-10-01 0.160 0.341297
2024-09-03 0.165 0.354534
2024-08-01 0.168 0.369824
2024-07-01 0.163 0.380397
2024-06-03 0.154 0.353860
2024-05-01 0.144 0.341192
2024-04-01 0.154 0.348653
2024-03-01 0.164 0.363089
2024-02-01 0.177 0.377423
2023-12-27 0.182 0.378457
2023-12-01 0.157 0.352231
2023-11-01 0.133 0.324834
2023-10-02 0.142 0.338902
2023-09-01 0.145 0.318457
2023-08-01 0.139 0.294679
2023-07-03 0.143 0.291367
2023-06-01 0.143 0.289152
2023-05-01 0.148 0.299486
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 5.02

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 52.146
All Time Low 39.115
Ask 42.97
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 146,010
Average Daily Volume3 Month 113,572
Average Volume 113,572
Average Volume10Days 146,010
Beta3 Year 2.36
Bid 39.61
Bid Size 3
Category Long Government
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 39.815
Day Low 39.6601
Dividend Yield 5.02
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 40.34656
Fifty Day Average Change -0.6416626
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.015903775
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -1.5712857
Fifty Two Week High 43.44
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.7350998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.08598296
Fifty Two Week Low 39.115
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.58989716
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.015081097
Fifty Two Week Range 39.115 - 43.44
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,680,010,200,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family F/m Investments LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,679,875,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-03-28
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary Under normal market conditions, F/m Investments LLC (the “Adviser”) seeks to achieve the fund’s investment objective by investing at least 80% of the fund’s net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in the component securities of the underlying index. The ICE BofA Current 30-Year U.S. Treasury Index is a one-security index comprised of the most recently issued 30-year U.S. Treasury bond.
Long Name F/m US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1793481894
Nav Price 39.9073
Net Assets 152,483,248.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.15
Open 39.78
Phone (302) 791-1851
Previous Close 39.915
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.21010208
Regular Market Change Percent -0.52637374
Regular Market Day High 39.815
Regular Market Day Low 39.6601
Regular Market Day Range 39.6601 - 39.815
Regular Market Open 39.78
Regular Market Previous Close 39.915
Regular Market Price 39.7049
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 79,932
Short Name US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol UTHY
Three Year Average Return -0.0253769
Total Assets 152,483,248
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 0.81652
Trailing Three Month Returns 0.81652
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 41.407406
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.702507
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.041116003
Type Disp ETF
Volume 79,932
Yield 0.0502
Ytd Return 0.84215