United States Oil Fund, LP (USO)Commodities Focused | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
117.79 USD
+9.09
(8.362%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 119.82 +2.03 (1.723%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 7 a.m. EDT
The United States Oil Fund is currently trapped in a volatile consolidation phase, caught between supply fears and capacity recovery narratives. While the fund rallied 65% this year, it remains down nearly 10% over the last nine years, failing to keep pace with the commodity's long-term value. The recent price action shows a struggle to break above the 129 fifty-day average, with the stock trading near its lower end of the recent range. Crucially, there is no dividend income to offset the capital drag, making it a pure speculation on oil prices. Options data reveals a polarized sentiment: traders are betting on a violent swing either way, with heavy positioning at both distant highs and lows, but the immediate statistical forecast offers no clear edge. Until the price decisively clears the 130 resistance level or breaks down toward the 65-70 support zone, the outlook remains neutral. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.068400 |
| AutoTheta | 0.069410 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.070091 |
| AutoETS | 0.070092 |
| MSTL_126 | 0.111296 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 42% |
| H-stat | 3.81 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.165 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.02 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 35.64 |
As of July 11, 2026, 7 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for extreme volatility rather than a specific directional breakout. There is a massive 'long gamma' wall built at strikes significantly above current prices (120, 130, 142, 150), suggesting a bet on a sharp rally to test these levels. Conversely, deep out-of-the-money put walls exist at 60-80, indicating a hedge against a crash to those lows. The heavy volume and open interest in far-dated OTM calls (200-275 strikes) suggest a speculative 'lottery ticket' mentality, while the ATM IV remains moderate, implying the market expects a range-bound chop until a catalyst forces a move.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 953.36 |
| All Time Low | 16.88 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 700 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 5,495,170 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 9,103,968 |
| Average Volume | 9,103,968 |
| Average Volume10Days | 5,495,170 |
| Beta3 Year | 2.22 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 200 |
| Book Value | 69.097 |
| Category | Commodities Focused |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 119.045 |
| Day Low | 111.71 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 3.305 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | PCX |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 128.4418 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -10.651802 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.08293096 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 43.74504 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 154.08 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -36.29 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.23552701 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 65.99 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 51.800003 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.7849675 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 65.99 - 154.08 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,144,675,800,000 |
| Five Year Average Return | 0.1815512 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSEArca |
| Fund Family | USCF Investments |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,144,627,200 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | USO seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing primarily in futures contracts for light, sweet crude oil, other types of crude oil, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, natural gas, and other petroleum-based fuels. |
| Long Name | United States Oil Fund, LP |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_22357130 |
| Nav Price | 108.493 |
| Net Assets | 1,880,301,180.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.86 |
| Open | 111.885 |
| Phone | 403-233-9366 |
| Post Market Change | 2.0299988 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 1.723405 |
| Post Market Price | 119.82 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,987,199 |
| Previous Close | 108.7 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.704705 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 9.09 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 8.36247 |
| Regular Market Day High | 119.045 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 111.71 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 111.71 - 119.045 |
| Regular Market Open | 111.885 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 108.7 |
| Regular Market Price | 117.79 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 12,150,524 |
| Shares Outstanding | 119,100,000 |
| Short Name | United States Oil Fund |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | USO |
| Three Year Average Return | 0.1946236 |
| Total Assets | 1,880,301,184 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing P E | 35.63994 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | -16.5315 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | -16.5315 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 96.23915 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 21.55085 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.22393018 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 12,150,524 |
| Yield | 0.0 |
| Ytd Return | 52.67004 |