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United States Oil Fund, LP (USO)

Commodities Focused | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
129.70 USD -0.31 (-0.238%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 128.45 -1.25 (-1.250%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:36 a.m. EDT

The United States Oil Fund is currently trapped in a volatile consolidation pattern, oscillating between geopolitical fear and commodity strength. While the underlying oil prices have rallied recently, the fund itself remains structurally capped by its 2020 crash lows, resulting in a flat long-term trajectory despite the sector's recent gains. This disconnect makes it a poor buy-and-hold vehicle, as the asset has failed to recover its historical value over the last decade. For the short term, the options market is telling a story of uncertainty: heavy put writing suggests traders fear a snap-back to lower levels, yet the surge in call volume at extreme strikes indicates a belief that a geopolitical shock could send prices soaring. With zero dividends and a P/E that implies a premium for a commodity with no earnings, the only play here is tactical trading around the $120-$135 range, avoiding the trap of expecting a linear recovery.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.091574
AutoETS0.091577
MSTL0.095970
AutoTheta0.101031

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 0.12
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.423
Excess Kurtosis -0.95
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 39.24

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:36 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a downside gap fill, evidenced by massive open interest walls in the $80-$120 range on both sides, creating a tight squeeze zone. However, there is significant new volume flowing into deep out-of-the-money calls ($170-$200) with elevated implied volatility, suggesting a hedge against a violent spike or a speculative bet on a breakout above the $135 resistance. The market is pricing in high volatility (IV > 50%) rather than a specific directional outcome.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 953.36
All Time Low 16.88
Ask 128.0
Ask Size 300
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,108,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,084,433
Average Volume 6,084,433
Average Volume10Days 4,108,130
Beta3 Year 2.28
Bid 128.05
Bid Size 300
Book Value 69.097
Category Commodities Focused
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 130.14
Day Low 128.0
Dividend Yield 0.0
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.305
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 120.6594
Fifty Day Average Change 9.040596
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.07492658
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 69.37207
Fifty Two Week High 154.08
Fifty Two Week High Change -24.380005
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.15822951
Fifty Two Week Low 65.99
Fifty Two Week Low Change 63.71
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.96544933
Fifty Two Week Range 65.99 - 154.08
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,144,675,800,000
Five Year Average Return 0.2197648
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change -0.309998
Fullday Change Percent -0.238441
Fullday Price 128.45
Fund Family USCF Investments
Fund Inception Date 1,144,627,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary USO seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing primarily in futures contracts for light, sweet crude oil, other types of crude oil, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, natural gas, and other petroleum-based fuels.
Long Name United States Oil Fund, LP
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_22357130
Nav Price 127.842
Net Assets 1,989,134,080.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.86
Open 128.13
Phone 403-233-9366
Post Market Change -1.25
Post Market Change Percent -0.9637626
Post Market Price 128.45
Post Market Time 1,787,961,598
Previous Close 130.01
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.8770713
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.309998
Regular Market Change Percent -0.238441
Regular Market Day High 130.14
Regular Market Day Low 128.0
Regular Market Day Range 128.0 - 130.14
Regular Market Open 128.13
Regular Market Previous Close 130.01
Regular Market Price 129.7
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 2,062,922
Shares Outstanding 119,100,000
Short Name United States Oil Fund
Source Interval 15
Symbol USO
Three Year Average Return 0.2151954
Total Assets 1,989,134,080
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 39.24357
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -12.19567
Trailing Three Month Returns -12.19567
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 105.47675
Two Hundred Day Average Change 24.223244
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.2296548
Type Disp ETF
Volume 2,062,922
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return 86.63821