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U.S. Bancorp (USB)

Financial Services | Banks - Regional | Minneapolis, United States | NYSE
62.34 USD -0.07 (-0.112%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 62.39 +0.05 (0.080%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:49 a.m. EDT

The momentum here is undeniable, driven by a robust recovery from the 2023 lows and a recent surge in earnings guidance that has analysts raising their price targets. Fundamentally, the bank is showing signs of life with a 14.8% earnings growth rate and a healthy return on equity, trading at a reasonable multiple relative to its sales. The technicals confirm this shift, with the stock reclaiming key moving averages and breaking out near its 52-week highs. While the statistical forecasting model flags a slight short-term headwind, this appears to be a minor noise signal in the face of such strong fundamental and technical confirmation. The options market is screaming 'upside,' with traders positioning aggressively for further gains. This is a high-conviction entry for a trend-following strategy, though investors should remain mindful that the statistical model suggests a potential pullback in the immediate 45-day window before the broader uptrend resumes.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_126 ✓0.034203
AutoTheta0.036651
AutoETS0.036671
AutoARIMA0.036671
MSTL0.038057
MSTL_900.048044
MSTL_90_1260.050788

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 2.68
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.256
Excess Kurtosis -1.00
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Revenue per Share 17.128
Market Cap 97,108,992,000
Trailing P/E 13.07
Forward P/E 10.98
Beta 0.98
Profit Margins 29.29%
Website https://www.usbank.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:49 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily skewed toward bullish exposure, evidenced by a massive concentration of out-of-the-money call open interest (over 90% of total volume) expiring in late July and August. While there is some defensive put buying at lower strikes, the overwhelming capital deployment targets upside moves above the current price, suggesting a consensus expectation of continued appreciation rather than a crash.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.86% 3.91% 4.43% 4.36%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.520000 0.860927
2026-03-31 0.520000 0.999808
2025-12-31 0.520000 0.974513
2025-09-30 0.520000 1.075936
2025-06-30 0.500000 1.104972
2025-03-31 0.500000 1.184273
2024-12-31 0.500000 1.045369
2024-09-30 0.500000 1.093374
2024-06-28 0.490000 1.234257
2024-03-27 0.490000 1.113636
2023-12-28 0.490000 1.123080
2023-09-28 0.480000 1.478288
2023-06-29 0.480000 1.465202
2023-03-30 0.480000 1.354020
2022-12-29 0.480000 1.101675
2022-09-29 0.480000 1.178493
2022-06-29 0.460000 0.997398
2022-03-30 0.460000 0.833635
2021-12-30 0.460000 0.819234
2021-09-29 0.460000 0.763359
2021-06-29 0.420000 0.741264
2021-03-30 0.420000 0.751745
2020-12-30 0.420000 0.910076
2020-09-29 0.420000 1.189802
2020-06-29 0.420000 1.155433
2020-03-30 0.420000 1.170895
2019-12-30 0.420000 0.709819
2019-09-27 0.420000 0.757712
2019-06-27 0.370000 0.711812
2019-03-28 0.370000 0.770191
2018-12-28 0.370000 0.818403
2018-09-27 0.370000 0.699036
2018-06-28 0.300000 0.604595
2018-03-28 0.300000 0.599161
2017-12-28 0.300000 0.556070
2017-09-28 0.300000 0.560957
2017-06-28 0.280000 0.538669
2017-03-29 0.280000 0.541063
2016-12-28 0.280000 0.540749
2016-09-28 0.280000 0.654053
2016-06-28 0.255000 0.652508
2016-03-29 0.255000 0.631344
2015-12-29 0.255000 0.585937
2015-09-28 0.255000 0.630876
2015-06-26 0.255000 0.572905
2015-03-27 0.245000 0.571629
2014-12-29 0.245000 0.536575
2014-09-26 0.245000 0.585145
2014-06-26 0.245000 0.568974
2014-03-27 0.230000 0.544250
2013-12-27 0.230000 0.569730
2013-09-26 0.230000 0.629447
2013-06-26 0.230000 0.640134
2013-03-26 0.195000 0.578979
2012-12-27 0.195000 0.608994
2012-09-26 0.195000 0.574374
2012-06-27 0.195000 0.620426
2012-03-28 0.195000 0.612822
2011-12-28 0.125000 0.465030
2011-09-28 0.125000 0.535332
2011-06-28 0.125000 0.502614
2011-03-29 0.125000 0.469043
2010-12-29 0.050000 0.184980
2010-09-28 0.050000 0.229043
2010-06-28 0.050000 0.216357
2010-03-29 0.050000 0.192604
2009-12-29 0.050000 0.223314
2009-09-28 0.050000 0.224921
2009-06-26 0.050000 0.277469
2009-03-27 0.050000 0.319693
2008-12-29 0.425000 1.792493
2008-09-26 0.425000 1.174033
2008-06-26 0.425000 1.483421
2008-03-27 0.425000 1.284764
2007-12-27 0.425000 1.344937
2007-09-26 0.400000 1.237624
2007-06-27 0.400000 1.198322
2007-03-28 0.400000 1.150417
2006-12-27 0.400000 1.099505
2006-09-27 0.330000 0.994575
2006-06-28 0.330000 1.071777
2006-03-29 0.330000 1.071777
2005-12-28 0.330000 1.088391
2005-09-28 0.300000 1.060071
2005-06-28 0.300000 1.025641
2005-03-29 0.300000 1.059322
2004-12-29 0.300000 0.962773
2004-09-28 0.240000 0.842401
2004-06-28 0.240000 0.861759
2004-03-29 0.240000 0.866113
2004-01-02 0.416000 1.427101
2003-12-29 0.240000 0.810811
2003-09-26 0.205000 0.853811
2003-06-26 0.205000 0.823955
2003-03-27 0.195000 0.984849
2002-12-27 0.195000 0.933908
2002-09-26 0.195000 1.055195
2002-06-26 0.195000 0.868597
2002-03-26 0.195000 0.851528
2001-12-27 0.188000 0.906898
2001-09-26 0.188000 0.884706
2001-06-27 0.188000 0.843806
2001-03-28 0.188000 0.815265
2000-12-27 0.163000 0.672165
2000-09-27 0.163000 0.726462
2000-06-28 0.163000 0.727983
2000-03-29 0.163000 0.702965
1999-12-29 0.163000 0.773887
1999-09-15 0.100000 0.414508
1999-06-28 0.100000 0.370370
1999-03-29 0.100000 0.321500
1998-12-29 0.100000 0.343593
1998-09-28 0.076667 0.337307
1998-06-26 0.076667 0.368002
1998-03-27 0.076667 0.382538
1997-12-29 0.066667 0.348586
1997-09-26 0.066667 0.437161
1997-06-26 0.066667 0.461763
1997-03-26 0.066667 0.467839
1996-12-27 0.052222 0.509483
1996-09-26 0.052222 0.557035
1996-06-26 0.052222 0.691174
1996-03-27 0.052222 0.730094
1995-12-27 0.044444 0.672262
1995-09-27 0.044444 0.767378
1995-06-28 0.044444 0.876704
1995-03-27 0.044444 0.958074
1994-12-23 0.038889 0.955634
1994-09-26 0.038889 0.845924
1994-06-24 0.038889 0.930235
1994-03-25 0.038889 0.945949
1993-12-27 0.032222 0.828566
1993-09-24 0.032222 0.805550
1993-06-24 0.032222 0.794515
1993-03-25 0.032222 0.778518
1992-12-24 0.028889 0.714779
1992-09-24 0.028889 0.793896
1992-06-24 0.028889 0.764709
1992-03-25 0.028889 0.896555
1991-12-24 0.027778 1.010109
1991-09-24 0.027778 1.111120
1991-06-24 0.027778 1.176480
1991-03-22 0.027778 1.176480
1990-12-24 0.026667 1.432854
1990-09-24 0.026667 1.476941
1990-06-25 0.026667 1.078665
1990-03-26 0.026667 1.263174
1989-12-22 0.024444 1.041401
1989-09-25 0.024444 0.916650
1989-06-26 0.002222 0.087903
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.08
dividendYield 3.33
exDividendDate 2026-06-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.06
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.03300753
lastDividendValue 0.52
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.3261794
Address1 800 Nicollet Mall
All Time High 63.57
All Time Low 0.330556
Ask 62.36
Ask Size 900
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,138,030
Average Daily Volume3 Month 9,074,444
Average Volume 9,074,444
Average Volume10Days 8,138,030
Beta 0.979
Bid 62.35
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 7
Book Value 37.537
City Minneapolis
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 62.34
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 62.93
Day Low 61.97
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 2.08
Dividend Yield 3.33
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,203,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,203,200
Earnings Growth 0.148
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.138
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,205,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,205,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,205,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 5.019
Enterprise Value 133,745,369,088
Eps Current Year 5.12686
Eps Forward 5.67773
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.77
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 57.047
Fifty Day Average Change 5.2929993
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.09278313
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 32.61794
Fifty Two Week High 63.39
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.0499992
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.016564116
Fifty Two Week Low 43.46
Fifty Two Week Low Change 18.880001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4344225
Fifty Two Week Range 43.46 - 63.39
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 105,283,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.21
Float Shares 1,547,549,708
Forward Eps 5.67773
Forward P E 10.97974
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 70,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits 26,646,999,040
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00125
Held Percent Institutions 0.85612
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,557,731,728
Industry Banks - Regional
Industry Disp Banks - Regional
Industry Key banks-regional
Ir Website http://www.usbank.com/cgi_w/cfm/about/investor/index.cfm?icid=HPC_6143&WT.mc_id=r6143&original_ref=http%3A%2F%2Fwww%2Eusbank%2Ecom%2Fen%2FAboutHome%2Ecfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.52
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 924,220,800
Last Split Factor 3:1
Long Business Summary U.S. Bancorp, a financial services holding company, provides various financial services to individuals, businesses, institutional organizations, governmental entities, and other financial institutions in the United States. The company operates through Wealth, Corporate, Commercial and Institutional Banking; Consumer and Business Banking; Payment Services; and Treasury and Corporate Support segments. It offers depository services, including checking accounts, savings accounts, and time certificate contracts; and lending services, such as traditional credit products and credit card services, lease financing and import/export trade, agricultural finance, asset-backed lending, and other products. The company also provides cash management, capital markets, and trust and investment management services; and ancillary services comprising capital markets, treasury management, and receivable lock-box collection services to corporate and governmental entity customers. In addition, it offers asset management and fiduciary services for individuals, estates, foundations, business corporations, and charitable organizations; and investment and insurance products to its customers principally within its domestic markets, as well as fund administration services to mutual and other funds. Further, the company provides corporate and purchasing card, and corporate trust services; and credit card services, merchant and ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. U.S. Bancorp was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Long Name U.S. Bancorp
Market us_market
Market Cap 97,108,992,000
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_305304
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 7,432,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 97,218,037,144
Number Of Analyst Opinions 21
Open 62.78
Operating Cashflow 9,617,999,872
Operating Margins 0.37837002
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.4319
Peg Ratio 2.28
Phone 651-466-3000
Post Market Change 0.049999237
Post Market Change Percent 0.0802041
Post Market Price 62.39
Post Market Time 1,783,987,134
Previous Close 62.41
Price Eps Current Year 12.159489
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.6607615
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.644275
Profit Margins 0.29294002
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0699997
Regular Market Change Percent -0.112161
Regular Market Day High 62.93
Regular Market Day Low 61.97
Regular Market Day Range 61.97 - 62.93
Regular Market Open 62.78
Regular Market Previous Close 62.41
Regular Market Price 62.34
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 6,047,907
Return On Assets 0.0113699995
Return On Equity 0.123500004
Revenue Growth 0.046
Revenue Per Share 17.128
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 1,557,731,728
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0
Shares Short 19,224
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 26,017
Short Name U.S. Bancorp
Short Percent Of Float 0.0
Short Ratio 0.0
Source Interval 15
State MN
Symbol USB
Target High Price 75.0
Target Low Price 61.0
Target Mean Price 67.42857
Target Median Price 67.0
Total Cash 52,665,999,360
Total Cash Per Share 33.928
Total Debt 82,372,001,792
Total Revenue 26,646,999,040
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.06
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.03300753
Trailing Eps 4.77
Trailing P E 13.069182
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.2818
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 53.51495
Two Hundred Day Average Change 8.82505
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.16490813
Type Disp Equity
Volume 6,047,907
Website https://www.usbank.com
Zip 55,402