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USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR)

Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Stillwater, United States | NasdaqGM
19.95 USD +1.52 (8.247%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 19.94 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 11, 2026, 3 p.m. EDT

USAR has shown a volatile price pattern over the past few weeks, with both significant dips and rebounds. The fundamental data suggests a company with high market cap but negative earnings, which could indicate financial instability. The options activity shows a mix of bullish and bearish signals, with significant IV spikes and OI walls, suggesting that there is potential for a breakout or a significant move. However, the lack of a clear trend and the negative fundamentals suggest that the stock is risky for both short-term and long-term investors. The absence of dividends further reduces its appeal for income-focused investors.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.095169
AutoETS0.336847
AutoTheta0.352386
MSTL0.354530

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 7.17
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.355
Excess Kurtosis -0.53
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.605
Revenue per Share 0.017
Market Cap 4,348,624,896
Forward P/E -13.57
Beta 1.37
Website https://www.usare.com

As of April 11, 2026, 3 p.m. EDT: The options activity indicates mixed signals. There is significant volatility and unusual positioning, particularly with spikes in IV for out-of-the-money strikes, suggesting potential for large price swings. The ATM strikes show major OI walls, indicating strong support or resistance. The recent price movements have been volatile, with both upward and downward trends, suggesting that options speculators are uncertain about the future direction. The overall options data suggests a lack of clear consensus, which may indicate a high degree of uncertainty or potential for a breakout.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.56984663
Address1 100 West Airport Road
All Time High 43.98
All Time Low 5.56
Ask 20.04
Ask Size 23
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 11,449,550
Average Daily Volume3 Month 19,181,127
Average Volume 19,181,127
Average Volume10Days 11,449,550
Beta 1.366
Bid 19.9
Bid Size 23
Book Value 3.327
City Stillwater
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 19.95
Current Ratio 10.165
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 20.88
Day Low 19.22
Debt To Equity 0.605
Display Name USA Rare Earth
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,762,466,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,762,466,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,774,873,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,702,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,702,400
Ebitda -46,298,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -86.447
Enterprise To Revenue 2,435.973
Enterprise Value 4,002,303,744
Eps Current Year -0.3
Eps Forward -1.47
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -3.59
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 18.4352
Fifty Day Average Change 1.514801
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.08216895
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 56.984665
Fifty Two Week High 43.98
Fifty Two Week High Change -24.029999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5463847
Fifty Two Week Low 8.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 11.950001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.4937501
Fifty Two Week Range 8.0 - 43.98
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,689,600,600,000
Float Shares 169,387,106
Forward Eps -1.47
Forward P E -13.571429
Free Cashflow -47,185,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 132
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.11869001
Gross Profits 195,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.14932999
Held Percent Institutions 0.32268003
Implied Shares Outstanding 217,976,175
Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Disp Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Key other-industrial-metals-mining
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary USA Rare Earth, Inc. engages in mining, processing, and supplying rare earths and other critical minerals in the United States. It explores for neodymium, dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, gallium, beryllium, lithium, and other critical minerals. The company holds interests in the Round Top Mountain located near Sierra Blanca, Texas. USA Rare Earth, Inc. was founded in 2019 and is based in Stillwater, Oklahoma.
Long Name USA Rare Earth, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,348,624,896
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_634021927
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -324,512,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,014,031,262
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 19.61
Operating Cashflow -48,985,000
Operating Margins -8.62203
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 813 867 6155
Post Market Change -0.010101318
Post Market Change Percent -0.050633173
Post Market Price 19.9399
Post Market Time 1,776,470,397
Previous Close 18.43
Price Eps Current Year -66.5
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.9963937
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2,646.759
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 9.593
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.52
Regular Market Change Percent 8.24743
Regular Market Day High 20.88
Regular Market Day Low 19.22
Regular Market Day Range 19.22 - 20.88
Regular Market Open 19.61
Regular Market Previous Close 18.43
Regular Market Price 19.95
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 19,603,642
Return On Assets -0.07779
Return On Equity -1.07164
Revenue Per Share 0.017
Sand P52 Week Change 0.36506534
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Shares Outstanding 217,976,175
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1232
Shares Short 26,862,646
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 26,487,335
Short Name USA Rare Earth, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1342
Short Ratio 2.11
Source Interval 15
State OK
Symbol USAR
Target High Price 45.0
Target Low Price 25.0
Target Mean Price 31.8
Target Median Price 30.0
Total Cash 359,924,992
Total Cash Per Share 1.651
Total Debt 3,046,000
Total Revenue 1,643,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -3.59
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.4907
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.459301
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.14060621
Type Disp Equity
Volume 19,603,642
Website https://www.usare.com
Zip 74,075