USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR)Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Stillwater, United States | NasdaqGM
17.99 USD
-1.26
(-6.545%) ⇩
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 18.04 +0.05 (0.278%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:13 a.m. EDT
The immediate outlook is driven by a speculative squeeze rather than fundamental recovery. Despite the company posting a +56% price gain over the last two years, the underlying business remains broken: it is burning cash at a rate of nearly $300 million annually, generating negative gross margins, and trading at a forward P/E of -444. This is a classic 'value trap' where the market is pricing in a potential turnaround based on rare earth supply chain narratives, but the financials do not yet support a sustainable enterprise. The recent price action shows resilience, bouncing off the $17 level, but the lack of dividends and the massive cash bleed mean there is no safety net if the strategic partnerships fail to materialize into revenue. The options market is screaming for a move higher, betting on a catalyst to unlock the asset's value, but until the balance sheet stops hemorrhaging cash, this remains a high-risk momentum play rather than a sound investment. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.481905 |
| MSTL | 0.484526 |
| AutoETS | 0.487494 |
| AutoTheta | 0.512637 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 32% |
| H-stat | 5.53 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.502 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.85 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 0.125 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.083 |
| Market Cap | 4,401,633,792 |
| Forward P/E | -415.19 |
| Beta | 2.58 |
| Website | https://www.usare.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:13 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a breakout above $20, evidenced by massive open interest walls at $20, $21, and $22 strikes across multiple expirations. Call volume significantly exceeds open interest at near-the-money strikes ($18.50, $19.50), indicating active buying rather than passive hedging. While deep out-of-the-money calls show high implied volatility spikes suggesting a fear of a crash, the sheer density of call positioning at the upside targets suggests a bullish bias for a move toward the $25-$30 range within the next few months.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.37893987 |
| Address1 | 100 West Airport Road |
| All Time High | 43.98 |
| All Time Low | 5.56 |
| Ask | 27.0 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.1 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 13,948,020 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 13,288,024 |
| Average Volume | 13,288,024 |
| Average Volume10Days | 13,948,020 |
| Beta | 2.583 |
| Bid | 11.81 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 8.617 |
| City | Stillwater |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 17.99 |
| Current Ratio | 32.787 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 19.735 |
| Day Low | 17.81 |
| Debt To Equity | 0.125 |
| Display Name | USA Rare Earth |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,392,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,392,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,392,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Ebitda | -107,552,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -26.823 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 219.181 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,884,854,528 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.59333 |
| Eps Forward | -0.04333 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -2.51 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 18.2927 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.30270004 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.016547587 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 37.893986 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 43.98 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -25.99 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5909504 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 11.45 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 6.54 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.57117903 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 11.45 - 43.98 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,689,600,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 227,283,792 |
| Forward Eps | -0.04333 |
| Forward P E | -415.1858 |
| Free Cashflow | -283,956,512 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Full Time Employees | 132 |
| Fullday Change | -1.26 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -6.54546 |
| Fullday Price | 18.04 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | -0.097399995 |
| Gross Profits | -1,282,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.12967 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.57011 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 244,671,142 |
| Industry | Other Industrial Metals & Mining |
| Industry Disp | Other Industrial Metals & Mining |
| Industry Key | other-industrial-metals-mining |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | USA Rare Earth, Inc. engages in mining, processing, and supplying rare earths and other critical minerals in the United States, Europe, and Asia. It primarily explores neodymium, dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, gallium, hafnium, praseodymium, samarium, and other critical minerals. The company holds interests in the Round Top Mountain located near Sierra Blanca, Texas. It products are used in aerospace, defense, semiconductors, data centers, physical AI, energy, mobility, healthcare, and numerous industrial sectors. USA Rare Earth, Inc. was founded in 2019 and is based in Stillwater, Oklahoma. |
| Long Name | USA Rare Earth, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 4,401,633,792 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_634021927 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -311,160,992 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 4,715,756,307 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 8 |
| Open | 19.47 |
| Operating Cashflow | -106,071,000 |
| Operating Margins | -7.95636 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 813 867 6155 |
| Post Market Change | 0.050001144 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.27793854 |
| Post Market Price | 18.04 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,589 |
| Previous Close | 19.25 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -30.320393 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.0877335 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 334.41983 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0 |
| Quick Ratio | 30.118 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.125 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -1.26 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -6.54546 |
| Regular Market Day High | 19.735 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 17.81 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 17.81 - 19.735 |
| Regular Market Open | 19.47 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 19.25 |
| Regular Market Price | 17.99 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,200 |
| Regular Market Volume | 12,895,980 |
| Return On Assets | -0.04445 |
| Return On Equity | -0.23561001 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.083 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20504117 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 244,671,142 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1161 |
| Shares Short | 28,420,137 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 28,889,305 |
| Short Name | USA Rare Earth, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1166 |
| Short Ratio | 2.41 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | OK |
| Symbol | USAR |
| Target High Price | 45.0 |
| Target Low Price | 30.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 37.375 |
| Target Median Price | 37.0 |
| Total Cash | 1,530,146,944 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 6.253 |
| Total Debt | 3,196,000 |
| Total Revenue | 13,162,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -2.51 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 19.186 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.196001 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.06233717 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 12,895,980 |
| Website | https://www.usare.com |
| Zip | 74,075 |