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Tradr 2X Long UPST Daily ETF (UPSX)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
22.75 USD -2.23 (-8.927%) ⇩ (April 21, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 23.49 +0.74 (3.251%) ⇧ (April 21, 2026, 4:49 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★★ | Long-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:13 a.m. EDT

While the underlying price action (from ~13 to ~24 in 2 weeks) mimics a massive leveraged bull run, the liquidity data is a distorted reality warping the fundamental beta; the put-heavy flow indicates that the '2X Long UPST' structure is exposing holders to catastrophic event risk if the massive underlying illiquidity squeezes (a ~43% gap). The model predicts a -2.98% drift, but the volume rush suggests the market is coiling for a higher order of magnitude volatility event irrespective of direction. Long-term fatal: Tradr cannot sustain a 'leveraged ETF' on an illiquid biotech like UPST; the turnover costs and creation/redemption mismatches will likely cause the fund to track value far below the leveraged benchmark, turning a 'top pick' into a slow bleed.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.935773
AutoARIMA0.940498
AutoETS0.940501
AutoTheta1.033720

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 3.26
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.014
Excess Kurtosis 0.10

As of April 19, 2026, 12:13 a.m. EDT: Options flow shows extreme divergence between call and put positioning. Despite the theoretical impossibility of liquid OTM options due to the underlying's high volatility, put buyers are aggressively accumulating deep out-of-the-money strikes (~43% down) with massive open interest, specifically at the 2026-06-18 expiry. This creates an 'iron condor' style dynamic where speculators are pricing in potential tail risks (long straddle moves downwards or extreme volatility expansion). In contrast, call activity is sporadic; while there is some volume near the 50% down mark, the heavy put flow (460 trades vs 97 call trades) suggests a prevalence of asymmetric risk selling or a 'double down on crash' narrative, even if the underlying is currently in a short-term momentum upswing.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 266.9
All Time Low 12.27
Ask 23.31
Ask Size 800
Average Daily Volume10 Day 86,390
Average Daily Volume3 Month 91,070
Average Volume 91,070
Average Volume10Days 86,390
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 22.55
Bid Size 100
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 26.47
Day Low 22.2301
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 18.7388
Fifty Day Average Change 4.0112
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.21405853
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -80.19032
Fifty Two Week High 266.9
Fifty Two Week High Change -244.15
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.9147621
Fifty Two Week Low 12.27
Fifty Two Week Low Change 10.48
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.85411566
Fifty Two Week Range 12.27 - 266.9
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,749,562,200,000
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fund Family AXS
Fund Inception Date 1,749,427,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary Under normal market circumstances, the fund will maintain at least 80% exposure to financial instruments that provide two times leveraged exposure to the daily performance of UPST. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Tradr 2X Long UPST Daily ETF
Market us_market
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1943657319
Nav Price 25.07
Net Assets 20,720,320.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.3
Open 25.26
Phone (414) 299-2295
Post Market Change 0.73950005
Post Market Change Percent 3.2505496
Post Market Price 23.4895
Post Market Time 1,776,804,548
Previous Close 24.98
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.23
Regular Market Change Percent -8.92714
Regular Market Day High 26.47
Regular Market Day Low 22.2301
Regular Market Day Range 22.2301 - 26.47
Regular Market Open 25.26
Regular Market Previous Close 24.98
Regular Market Price 22.75
Regular Market Time 1,776,801,600
Regular Market Volume 99,479
Short Name Tradr 2X Long UPST Daily ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol UPSX
Total Assets 20,720,320
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -71.80004
Trailing Three Month Returns -71.80004
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 82.270325
Two Hundred Day Average Change -59.520325
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.7234726
Type Disp ETF
Volume 99,479
Ytd Return -71.80004