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United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

Industrials | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Atlanta, United States | NYSE
112.89 USD +0.42 (0.373%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4:02 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★⯪☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:49 a.m. EDT

UPS presents a classic value trap scenario where high yields mask deteriorating fundamentals. While the stock trades near its 52-week high and recent technicals suggest short-term resilience, the core business is contracting with earnings down 27 percent and revenue slipping. The 106 percent payout ratio is unsustainable, threatening the dividend's future despite the attractive 5.9 percent yield. Short-term traders may find support at the 110 dollar level, but long-term investors should avoid a stock where capital is being returned faster than it is earned.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.037138
AutoARIMA0.038071
AutoETS0.038071
AutoTheta0.041807

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 0.11
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.100
Excess Kurtosis -1.25
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-17
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-17
Debt to Equity Ratio 181.508
Revenue per Share 104.025
Market Cap 95,957,204,992
Trailing P/E 18.27
Forward P/E 14.07
Beta 1.03
Profit Margins 5.94%
Website https://www.ups.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:49 a.m. EDT: Market participants are positioning for a range-bound outcome with asymmetric downside protection. Call buyers are clustering around the 115 to 120 dollar resistance zone, while put writers and buyers are establishing heavy hedges at the 85 to 105 dollar support levels. Implied volatility remains elevated, reflecting uncertainty around the earnings beat and the company's ability to sustain its high payout ratio amidst shrinking earnings.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.72% 6.77% 5.54% 4.54%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-18 1.64 1.716738
2026-02-17 1.64 1.419790
2025-11-17 1.64 1.741161
2025-08-18 1.64 1.895735
2025-05-19 1.64 1.654727
2025-02-18 1.64 1.420898
2024-11-18 1.63 1.206246
2024-08-19 1.63 1.264056
2024-05-10 1.63 1.106060
2024-02-16 1.63 1.098309
2023-11-10 1.62 1.172978
2023-08-11 1.62 0.917223
2023-05-12 1.62 0.961424
2023-02-17 1.62 0.884231
2022-11-10 1.52 0.882080
2022-08-12 1.52 0.741861
2022-05-13 1.52 0.853741
2022-02-18 1.52 0.726022
2021-11-19 1.02 0.489279
2021-08-20 1.02 0.527841
2021-05-21 1.02 0.481427
2021-02-19 1.02 0.635356
2020-11-12 1.01 0.619214
2020-08-21 1.01 0.635100
2020-05-22 1.01 1.044251
2020-02-24 1.01 1.025485
2019-11-15 0.96 0.775883
2019-08-16 0.96 0.832611
2019-05-17 0.96 0.965795
2019-02-25 0.96 0.865957
2018-11-16 0.91 0.826596
2018-08-17 0.91 0.747126
2018-05-18 0.91 0.788698
2018-02-16 0.91 0.855263
2017-11-10 0.83 0.733021
2017-08-10 0.83 0.748287
2017-05-11 0.83 0.796927
2017-02-16 0.83 0.774109
2016-11-09 0.78 0.692103
2016-08-12 0.78 0.709672
2016-05-12 0.78 0.766284
2016-02-18 0.78 0.800328
2015-11-12 0.73 0.711501
2015-08-13 0.73 0.716811
2015-05-14 0.73 0.725142
2015-02-19 0.73 0.717797
2014-11-13 0.67 0.621579
2014-08-14 0.67 0.697408
2014-05-15 0.67 0.666932
2014-02-20 0.67 0.700324
2013-11-14 0.62 0.614044
2013-08-15 0.62 0.721266
2013-05-09 0.62 0.702709
2013-02-21 0.62 0.750514
2012-11-15 0.57 0.810465
2012-08-16 0.57 0.746366
2012-05-10 0.57 0.744028
2012-02-16 0.57 0.742574
2011-11-09 0.52 0.753732
2011-08-18 0.52 0.834939
2011-05-12 0.52 0.699489
2011-02-10 0.52 0.695466
2010-11-10 0.47 0.690466
2010-08-12 0.47 0.728908
2010-05-13 0.47 0.703698
2010-02-11 0.47 0.828632
2009-11-12 0.45 0.791835
2009-08-20 0.45 0.852757
2009-05-14 0.45 0.861079
2009-02-19 0.45 1.048218
2008-11-13 0.45 0.816845
2008-08-21 0.45 0.723589
2008-05-15 0.45 0.630605
2008-02-07 0.45 0.627265
2007-11-15 0.42 0.574555
2007-09-06 0.42 0.559329
2007-05-17 0.42 0.598717
2007-02-15 0.42 0.563910
2006-11-22 0.38 0.480891
2006-08-17 0.38 0.530356
2006-05-11 0.38 0.464377
2006-02-16 0.38 0.499343
2005-11-23 0.33 0.416561
2005-08-18 0.33 0.459738
2005-05-12 0.33 0.454921
2005-02-17 0.33 0.424874
2004-11-24 0.28 0.335289
2004-08-19 0.28 0.395760
2004-05-13 0.28 0.404215
2004-02-19 0.28 0.397614
2003-11-20 0.25 0.347560
2003-08-21 0.25 0.392835
2003-05-15 0.21 0.332805
2003-02-20 0.21 0.361011
2002-11-21 0.19 0.297107
2002-08-22 0.19 0.287835
2002-05-23 0.19 0.325175
2002-02-25 0.19 0.332750
2001-11-23 0.19 0.346715
2001-08-24 0.19 0.339346
2001-05-25 0.19 0.322964
2001-02-22 0.19 0.325956
2000-11-22 0.17 0.282451
2000-08-24 0.17 0.301218
2000-05-25 0.17 0.288747
2000-02-24 0.17 0.314451
1999-11-24 0.30 0.443213
Additional Data
dividendRate 6.56
dividendYield 5.81
exDividendDate 2026-05-18
trailingAnnualDividendRate 6.56
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.058326665
lastDividendValue 1.64
lastDividendDate 2026-05-18
dividendDate 2026-06-04

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.13423085
Address1 55 Glenlake Parkway, N.E.
All Time High 233.72
All Time Low 37.99
Ask 113.5
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.1 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,812,000
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,592,560
Average Volume 5,592,560
Average Volume10Days 3,812,000
Beta 1.03
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 8
Book Value 19.113
City Atlanta
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 112.89
Current Ratio 1.213
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 113.98
Day Low 112.61
Debt To Equity 181.508
Display Name United Parcel Service
Dividend Date 1,780,531,200
Dividend Rate 6.56
Dividend Yield 5.81
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,268,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,268,800
Earnings Growth -0.272
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.272
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,241,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,241,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,241,800
Ebitda 11,834,000,384
Ebitda Margins 0.13399
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.043
Enterprise To Revenue 1.346
Enterprise Value 118,845,210,624
Eps Current Year 7.1268
Eps Forward 8.02273
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 6.18
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,062,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 105.325
Fifty Day Average Change 7.5650024
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.071825325
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 13.423085
Fifty Two Week High 122.41
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.520004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.077771455
Fifty Two Week Low 82.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 30.89
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.37670732
Fifty Two Week Range 82.0 - 122.41
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 942,244,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.34
Float Shares 745,770,009
Forward Eps 8.02273
Forward P E 14.07127
Free Cashflow 4,625,500,160
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 460,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.2245
Gross Profits 19,826,999,296
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00017000001
Held Percent Institutions 0.70779
Implied Shares Outstanding 850,006,279
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Disp Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Key integrated-freight-logistics
Ir Website http://www.investors.ups.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=62900&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,062,400
Last Dividend Value 1.64
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services. The International Package segment provides small package operations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America, and Asia. The company offers a range of guaranteed day- and time-definite international transportation services; day-definite services; cross-border ground package delivery; contract-only, e-commerce solutions for non-urgent, and cross-border shipments; and international service for urgent and palletized shipments. It also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, customs brokerage and insurance, mail services, healthcare logistics, distribution, and post-sales services. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Long Name United Parcel Service, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 95,957,204,992
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_238570
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 5,248,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 95,957,208,836
Number Of Analyst Opinions 26
Open 113.04
Operating Cashflow 8,355,999,744
Operating Margins 0.0633
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 1.0615001
Peg Ratio 1.77
Phone 404 828 6000
Pre Market Change 0.3149948
Pre Market Change Percent 0.27904046
Pre Market Price 113.2
Pre Market Time 1,784,032,738
Previous Close 112.47
Price Eps Current Year 15.840209
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.9064507
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.0865089
Profit Margins 0.05943
Quick Ratio 1.093
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.14286
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.419998
Regular Market Change Percent 0.373431
Regular Market Day High 113.98
Regular Market Day Low 112.61
Regular Market Day Range 112.61 - 113.98
Regular Market Open 113.04
Regular Market Previous Close 112.47
Regular Market Price 112.89
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,942
Regular Market Volume 2,419,006
Return On Assets 0.07194
Return On Equity 0.33353
Revenue Growth -0.016
Revenue Per Share 104.025
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 746,581,816
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0272
Shares Short 23,118,697
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 24,680,797
Short Name United Parcel Service, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.031
Short Ratio 4.26
Source Interval 15
State GA
Symbol UPS
Target High Price 135.0
Target Low Price 76.0
Target Mean Price 114.65385
Target Median Price 116.5
Total Cash 5,801,999,872
Total Cash Per Share 6.826
Total Debt 28,661,999,616
Total Revenue 88,317,001,728
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 6.56
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.058326665
Trailing Eps 6.18
Trailing P E 18.26699
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.7816
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 101.39955
Two Hundred Day Average Change 11.490448
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.113318525
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,419,006
Website https://www.ups.com
Zip 30,328