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United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

Industrials | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Atlanta, United States | NYSE
105.33 USD -0.35 (-0.331%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4:03 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 105.33

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:30 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment rating is capped at neutral due to a trailing run of down years spanning three consecutive periods, which signals structural deterioration despite strong underlying return on equity and revenue growth. The short-term outlook remains uncertain as the stock trades below key moving averages following earnings skepticism, though the valuation gap offers a floor. The dividend yield is attractive at 6.4 percent, but the payout ratio exceeding 100 percent indicates the company is funding distributions beyond its earnings, creating a risk of future cuts. Options activity reflects a defensive posture with heavy open interest near current prices, highlighting the market's hesitation to commit to a clear direction.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.026824
AutoETS0.026824
AutoTheta0.027931
MSTL0.029577

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 3.92
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.466
Excess Kurtosis -0.60
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Debt to Equity Ratio 189.9
Revenue per Share 105.862
Market Cap 89,612,820,480
Trailing P/E 19.65
Forward P/E 13.04
Beta 1.04
Profit Margins 5.08%
Website https://www.ups.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:30 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility is elevated at deep strikes, indicating fear of large moves. Open interest clusters heavily around the $100-$105 range, suggesting a defensive stance near current levels. Recent volume spikes in both calls and puts reflect active positioning ahead of potential volatility events, with speculators hedging against downside while retaining upside exposure.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.61% 6.49% 5.77% 4.75%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-17 1.64 1.607528
2026-05-18 1.64 1.716738
2026-02-17 1.64 1.419790
2025-11-17 1.64 1.741161
2025-08-18 1.64 1.895735
2025-05-19 1.64 1.654727
2025-02-18 1.64 1.420898
2024-11-18 1.63 1.206246
2024-08-19 1.63 1.264056
2024-05-10 1.63 1.106060
2024-02-16 1.63 1.098309
2023-11-10 1.62 1.172978
2023-08-11 1.62 0.917223
2023-05-12 1.62 0.961424
2023-02-17 1.62 0.884231
2022-11-10 1.52 0.882080
2022-08-12 1.52 0.741861
2022-05-13 1.52 0.853741
2022-02-18 1.52 0.726022
2021-11-19 1.02 0.489279
2021-08-20 1.02 0.527841
2021-05-21 1.02 0.481427
2021-02-19 1.02 0.635356
2020-11-12 1.01 0.619214
2020-08-21 1.01 0.635100
2020-05-22 1.01 1.044251
2020-02-24 1.01 1.025485
2019-11-15 0.96 0.775883
2019-08-16 0.96 0.832611
2019-05-17 0.96 0.965795
2019-02-25 0.96 0.865957
2018-11-16 0.91 0.826596
2018-08-17 0.91 0.747126
2018-05-18 0.91 0.788698
2018-02-16 0.91 0.855263
2017-11-10 0.83 0.733021
2017-08-10 0.83 0.748287
2017-05-11 0.83 0.796927
2017-02-16 0.83 0.774109
2016-11-09 0.78 0.692103
2016-08-12 0.78 0.709672
2016-05-12 0.78 0.766284
2016-02-18 0.78 0.800328
2015-11-12 0.73 0.711501
2015-08-13 0.73 0.716811
2015-05-14 0.73 0.725142
2015-02-19 0.73 0.717797
2014-11-13 0.67 0.621579
2014-08-14 0.67 0.697408
2014-05-15 0.67 0.666932
2014-02-20 0.67 0.700324
2013-11-14 0.62 0.614044
2013-08-15 0.62 0.721266
2013-05-09 0.62 0.702709
2013-02-21 0.62 0.750514
2012-11-15 0.57 0.810465
2012-08-16 0.57 0.746366
2012-05-10 0.57 0.744028
2012-02-16 0.57 0.742574
2011-11-09 0.52 0.753732
2011-08-18 0.52 0.834939
2011-05-12 0.52 0.699489
2011-02-10 0.52 0.695466
2010-11-10 0.47 0.690466
2010-08-12 0.47 0.728908
2010-05-13 0.47 0.703698
2010-02-11 0.47 0.828632
2009-11-12 0.45 0.791835
2009-08-20 0.45 0.852757
2009-05-14 0.45 0.861079
2009-02-19 0.45 1.048218
2008-11-13 0.45 0.816845
2008-08-21 0.45 0.723589
2008-05-15 0.45 0.630605
2008-02-07 0.45 0.627265
2007-11-15 0.42 0.574555
2007-09-06 0.42 0.559329
2007-05-17 0.42 0.598717
2007-02-15 0.42 0.563910
2006-11-22 0.38 0.480891
2006-08-17 0.38 0.530356
2006-05-11 0.38 0.464377
2006-02-16 0.38 0.499343
2005-11-23 0.33 0.416561
2005-08-18 0.33 0.459738
2005-05-12 0.33 0.454921
2005-02-17 0.33 0.424874
2004-11-24 0.28 0.335289
2004-08-19 0.28 0.395760
2004-05-13 0.28 0.404215
2004-02-19 0.28 0.397614
2003-11-20 0.25 0.347560
2003-08-21 0.25 0.392835
2003-05-15 0.21 0.332805
2003-02-20 0.21 0.361011
2002-11-21 0.19 0.297107
2002-08-22 0.19 0.287835
2002-05-23 0.19 0.325175
2002-02-25 0.19 0.332750
2001-11-23 0.19 0.346715
2001-08-24 0.19 0.339346
2001-05-25 0.19 0.322964
2001-02-22 0.19 0.325956
2000-11-22 0.17 0.282451
2000-08-24 0.17 0.301218
2000-05-25 0.17 0.288747
2000-02-24 0.17 0.314451
1999-11-24 0.30 0.443213
Additional Data
dividendRate 6.56
dividendYield 6.21
exDividendDate 2026-08-17
trailingAnnualDividendRate 6.56
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.062074184
lastDividendValue 1.64
lastDividendDate 2026-08-17
dividendDate 2026-09-03

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.23993897
Address1 55 Glenlake Parkway, N.E.
All Time High 233.72
All Time Low 37.99
Ask 105.49
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.2 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,301,100
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,110,993
Average Volume 5,110,993
Average Volume10Days 4,301,100
Beta 1.038
Bid 105.24
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 8
Book Value 17.705
City Atlanta
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 105.33
Current Ratio 1.179
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 106.39
Day Low 104.885
Debt To Equity 189.9
Display Name United Parcel Service
Dividend Date 1,788,393,600
Dividend Rate 6.56
Dividend Yield 6.21
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Earnings Growth -0.53
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.529
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,104,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,104,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,104,200
Ebitda 12,026,000,384
Ebitda Margins 0.13373
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.452
Enterprise To Revenue 1.264
Enterprise Value 113,664,827,392
Eps Current Year 7.20885
Eps Forward 8.0749
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.36
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 108.0742
Fifty Day Average Change -2.7442017
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.025391828
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 23.993896
Fifty Two Week High 122.41
Fifty Two Week High Change -17.080002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.13953109
Fifty Two Week Low 82.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 23.330002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.28451222
Fifty Two Week Range 82.0 - 122.41
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 942,244,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.34
Float Shares 748,475,097
Forward Eps 8.0749
Forward P E 13.044126
Free Cashflow 5,557,749,760
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 460,000
Fullday Change -0.349998
Fullday Change Percent -0.331187
Fullday Price 105.33
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.22413
Gross Profits 20,156,000,256
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00017000001
Held Percent Institutions 0.73346
Implied Shares Outstanding 850,781,582
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Disp Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Key integrated-freight-logistics
Ir Website http://www.investors.ups.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=62900&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Last Dividend Value 1.64
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services. The International Package segment provides small package operations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America, and Asia. The company offers a range of guaranteed day- and time-definite international transportation services; day-definite services; cross-border ground package delivery; contract-only, e-commerce solutions for non-urgent, and cross-border shipments; and international service for urgent and palletized shipments. It also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, customs brokerage and insurance, mail services, healthcare logistics, distribution, and post-sales services. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Long Name United Parcel Service, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 89,612,820,480
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_238570
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 4,569,999,872
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 89,910,597,585
Number Of Analyst Opinions 26
Open 105.92
Operating Cashflow 8,867,000,320
Operating Margins 0.09052
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 1.2193
Peg Ratio 1.64
Phone 404 828 6000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 105.33
Post Market Time 1,787,960,463
Previous Close 105.68
Price Eps Current Year 14.611208
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.9491673
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.9964731
Profit Margins 0.050819997
Quick Ratio 1.052
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.17241
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.349998
Regular Market Change Percent -0.331187
Regular Market Day High 106.39
Regular Market Day Low 104.885
Regular Market Day Range 104.885 - 106.39
Regular Market Open 105.92
Regular Market Previous Close 105.68
Regular Market Price 105.33
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,387
Regular Market Volume 2,342,107
Return On Assets 0.072270006
Return On Equity 0.29602
Revenue Growth 0.076
Revenue Per Share 105.862
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 749,349,405
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0307
Shares Short 26,089,164
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 24,444,387
Short Name United Parcel Service, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0348
Short Ratio 4.72
Source Interval 15
State GA
Symbol UPS
Target High Price 135.0
Target Low Price 76.0
Target Mean Price 116.07692
Target Median Price 117.5
Total Cash 4,653,000,192
Total Cash Per Share 5.469
Total Debt 28,672,999,424
Total Revenue 89,929,998,336
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 6.56
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.062074184
Trailing Eps 5.36
Trailing P E 19.65112
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.6448
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 104.63675
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.69325256
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.006625326
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,342,107
Website https://www.ups.com
Zip 30,328