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Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF October (UOCT)

Defined Outcome | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
41.29 USD -0.09 (-0.229%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 3:15 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:27 a.m. EDT

The instrument exhibits strong short-term momentum, trading near its 52-week high with a positive 14-day trend and a high-confidence statistical forecast pointing to a modest upside. However, this is a defined-outcome ETF with a fixed upside cap for the October series, meaning the aggressive price appreciation seen recently is likely capped for the remainder of the period, limiting further near-term explosive gains. Long-term, the asset is fundamentally neutral; while the underlying equity index has delivered a robust 47% gain over the past six years, the ETF itself has been flat since inception (no price history beyond the launch date), preventing any assessment of sustained multi-year performance or structural durability. Furthermore, there is no dividend history, making it unsuitable for income strategies. Investors should view this as a tactical, capped-exposure play rather than a core holding.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.009711
AutoTheta0.012808
MSTL0.015327
AutoETS0.017103

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 74%
H-stat 1.34
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.634
Excess Kurtosis -0.24
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 26.84

Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2019-11-19 0.581 2.354133
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 0.0

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 41.42
All Time Low 21.25
Ask 64.43
Ask Size 600
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,290
Average Daily Volume3 Month 35,327
Average Volume 35,327
Average Volume10Days 8,290
Beta3 Year 0.41
Bid 41.24
Bid Size 400
Category Defined Outcome
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 41.38
Day Low 41.26
Dividend Yield 0.0
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.5383816
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 40.8266
Fifty Day Average Change 0.46350098
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.011352916
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 11.804426
Fifty Two Week High 41.42
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.12989807
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.0031361196
Fifty Two Week Low 36.89
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.4001007
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.11927625
Fifty Two Week Range 36.89 - 41.42
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,538,400,600,000
Five Year Average Return 0.0829944
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fund Family Innovator ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,538,092,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund invests at least 80% of its net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in investments that provide exposure to the State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF October
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_572028578
Nav Price 41.3755
Net Assets 177,948,768.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.79
Open 41.32
Phone (215) 979-3750
Previous Close 41.385
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0948982
Regular Market Change Percent -0.229306
Regular Market Day High 41.38
Regular Market Day Low 41.26
Regular Market Day Range 41.26 - 41.38
Regular Market Open 41.32
Regular Market Previous Close 41.385
Regular Market Price 41.2901
Regular Market Time 1,783,970,100
Regular Market Volume 6,740
Short Name Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buf
Source Interval 15
Symbol UOCT
Three Year Average Return 0.1127213
Total Assets 177,948,768
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 26.83996
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 7.4233
Trailing Three Month Returns 7.4233
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 39.392
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.8981018
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.048184957
Type Disp ETF
Volume 6,740
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return 5.40147